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Question: why is this crash not going deeper ?
multiple exchanges
strong support
dude, we are still crashing
it´s a 2011 slow decline
bitcoin follows no pattern

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Author Topic: why no harder crash ?  (Read 3952 times)
600watt (OP)
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December 17, 2013, 11:23:51 PM
 #1

we all knew november couldn´t last forever. the epic rise was to be followed by an epic crash. only this correction wasn´t really THAT epic at all (so far?).

if this is all, bitcoin is made of steel.
lambdaE
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December 17, 2013, 11:51:50 PM
 #2

I believe there is no reason for harder crash at all, unless some really negative news come
pera
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December 17, 2013, 11:56:09 PM
 #3



b-but it is crashing Tongue

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aminorex
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December 17, 2013, 11:57:47 PM
 #4

Most of the bitcoins are held by persons who are not inclined to take profits until the price of bitcoin exceeds its fundamental value,or least comes closer to it.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
aminorex
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December 17, 2013, 11:58:55 PM
 #5

b-but it is crashing Tongue

Excuse me, but that chart shows an uptrend:  A sequence of higher lows.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
imbladednow
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December 18, 2013, 12:09:48 AM
 #6

Most of the bitcoins are held by persons who are not inclined to take profits until the price of bitcoin exceeds its fundamental value,or least comes closer to it.

Very true, selling and hoping price go lower seems risky to me

I need crypto in my life and garbage out of it.
Odalv
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December 18, 2013, 12:10:09 AM
 #7

I think the crash is hard enough. ("imagine" you have 10k BTC then you did lose  10,000 BTC * $(1200-600)/BTC =  $6M USD )
nastybit
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December 18, 2013, 12:10:57 AM
 #8

bitcoin follows no pattern, clearly!
pera
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December 18, 2013, 12:13:10 AM
 #9

I think the main problem right now is that most people don't know what to believe about the news from China, something similar happened when we went from 1200 to 860 and then back to 1150 because "it's good news morons!"... I'm not saying that the price is being controlled by redditors, just giving it as an example of how difficult is for the market to interpret some news.
At this point there are already enough sources (CCTV, Sina, even Coindesk) "confirming" what could be really bad news from the long-term pov, but I think it could take 48hs more to see some real action in the market. Meanwhile the price is oscillating and some daytraders are still making money Smiley

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pera
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December 18, 2013, 12:16:16 AM
 #10

b-but it is crashing Tongue

Excuse me, but that chart shows an uptrend:  A sequence of higher lows.

really? and what about this one?



a short stabilization means nothing at this point, the downtrend is pretty clear.

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traderCJ
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December 18, 2013, 01:17:38 AM
 #11

we all knew november couldn´t last forever. the epic rise was to be followed by an epic crash. only this correction wasn´t really THAT epic at all (so far?).

if this is all, bitcoin is made of steel.

600watt, because the reality of the situation is unclear.  I have a sinking suspicion that more bad news is around the corner from China.
jamesc760
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December 18, 2013, 01:24:10 AM
 #12

It's forcing out short-term traders and weak-hands. It will make BTC stronger. Just hold on to your bitcoins until Jan'2014!
Xer0
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December 18, 2013, 01:48:48 AM
 #13

Bitcoin™
JimboToronto
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December 18, 2013, 01:56:30 AM
 #14

Pretty biased bearish choice of options.

Why didn't you include the obvious?

- This isn't a crash, just an adjustment.

- This dip was based on misinterpreted news and people are smartening up.

- Panickers ran out of coins to dump.
MatTheCat
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December 18, 2013, 01:56:33 AM
 #15

It's forcing out short-term traders and weak-hands. It will make BTC stronger. Just hold on to your bitcoins until Jan'2014!

I heard this kind of 'forcing out weak hands' crap from the silver rampers all the way down from $50 to $18 or whatever it is now.

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aminorex
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December 18, 2013, 02:02:49 AM
 #16

b-but it is crashing Tongue

Excuse me, but that chart shows an uptrend:  A sequence of higher lows.

really? and what about this one?

a short stabilization means nothing at this point, the downtrend is pretty clear.

That's a failing downtrend, bottoming out.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
pbody
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December 18, 2013, 02:03:28 AM
 #17


a short stabilization means nothing at this point, the downtrend is pretty clear.

very true. I dont see how people can trade on m charts. You really have to look at at least a 4hr to get a good idea of whats going on. A day chart is even better since its usually a single news story that moves the market.

What Im still unsure of is why it shot up so quick in the first place. Kinda fishy.

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hoewer4what
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December 18, 2013, 02:04:47 AM
 #18

a short stabilization means nothing at this point, the downtrend is pretty clear.

OK, cheap coins then. But situation is unclear, it helps only FUD, but announcement may clear the situation
aminorex
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December 18, 2013, 02:07:26 AM
 #19

There's nothing particularly unclear at this point.  Alipay, tencent and the like can't be used in btcchina deposit/withdrawal transactions (which are the only btc transactions in china which have any impact outside of china).  Only major chinese state-owned banks have the remit to transfer funds to/from btcchina.  BTC is treated like gold and silver, which are approved investment vehicles, and not like a currency, which is illegal to trade.  Lots of forum users report on their btcchina funding and trading experiences, and all of the information is clear and consistent.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
traderCJ
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December 18, 2013, 02:16:03 AM
 #20

There's nothing particularly unclear at this point.

At this point.  What's next from the regulators is what I want to know.
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