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Author Topic: BTC and altcoins rising and falling together  (Read 3683 times)
Kaiji (OP)
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December 19, 2013, 01:12:00 PM
 #1



I find it very strange that most of the altcoins :Litecoin, nmc, nvc etc., are rising and falling the same exact time and rate as BTC this past 2 days when btc fell drastically to $400.

Is there any reason to this?
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December 19, 2013, 01:14:41 PM
 #2

Of course yes. Altcoins price are compared to btc price usually, so they are attached to bitcoin. If 1 altcoin is worth 0.01 bitcoin, then if bitcoin rise, altcoin price rise too. This does not mean it will then stay high, maybe later will drop so it will become 1 altcoin=0.005btc. But in the short time they are often attached.

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December 19, 2013, 01:19:25 PM
 #3

The value of altcoins are directly related to the value of bitcoin. Bitcoin is the heart of the crypto ecosystem and provides blood and oxygen for the various altcoins.

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trace666
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December 19, 2013, 01:25:04 PM
 #4

Altcoins are near perfect substitutes of Bitcoin, hence value perceived by the wider economy rises and falls together.
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December 19, 2013, 04:52:28 PM
 #5

You guys dont understand OP. Its not the alt/usd price that that is rising and falling with btc - it is actually the alt/btc ratio. Alt / btc * btc/ USD = alt/usd. If BOTH ratios move the same way then your gains and losses are SQUARED. For example while btc is moving 600 to 400, LTC is moving 18 to 9. THIS is what is unusual.
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December 19, 2013, 08:11:15 PM
 #6



I find it very strange that most of the altcoins :Litecoin, nmc, nvc etc., are rising and falling the same exact time and rate as BTC this past 2 days when btc fell drastically to $400.

Is there any reason to this?

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ArticMine
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December 19, 2013, 08:23:02 PM
 #7

It is a behaviour not unlike that silver with respect to gold. Silver tends to peak in terms of gold when gold peaks in terms of USD. The psychology is gold is very expensive so the masses buy silver instead. The same psychology is for example evident with LTC vs BTC. BTC (gold) at 1240 USD is very expensive so the masses buy LTC (silver) instead. Yet the BTC peak is the point in time when it makes the most sense to trade one's LTC for BTC.

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GigaCoin
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December 19, 2013, 08:25:41 PM
 #8

Altcoins are bought with BTC so their prices will fluctuate accordingly.


The only coin that has potential to decouple from Bitcoin is Litecoin, but only once major exchanges start offering it.

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December 19, 2013, 08:28:01 PM
 #9

You guys dont understand OP. Its not the alt/usd price that that is rising and falling with btc - it is actually the alt/btc ratio. Alt / btc * btc/ USD = alt/usd. If BOTH ratios move the same way then your gains and losses are SQUARED. For example while btc is moving 600 to 400, LTC is moving 18 to 9. THIS is what is unusual.

Been trying to figure this one out for a while too.

I suspect its speculators buying into BTC with fiat when its on an uptrend, transferring their BTC to Cryptsy & buying cheap alts (knowing that BTC value will likely continue to increase which they can sell back into at anytime), which pushes up the price of alts, and once the alts hit a peak or when BTC price starts to slide (whichever comes first) they are converting their alts back into BTC which they then convert back into fiat.

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Argwai96
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December 19, 2013, 08:28:11 PM
 #10

op is saying btc/usd rise cause alt/btc rise. and vice versa.
ArticMine
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December 19, 2013, 08:30:44 PM
 #11

Altcoins are bought with BTC so their prices will fluctuate accordingly.
...

They do not:

Here are some examples:

NMC/BTC http://www.cryptocoincharts.info/period-charts.php?period=3-months&resolution=day&pair=nmc-btc&market=btc-e

LTC/BTC http://www.cryptocoincharts.info/period-charts.php?period=3-months&resolution=day&pair=ltc-btc&market=btc-e

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
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December 19, 2013, 08:32:17 PM
 #12

it is new pattern, since last 2-3 weeks.

Before this new pattern alts would go down if btc would rise, or rise if btc would go down. On the road to 1200$ all alts completely plummeted withmost of them being on their historical lows. But then they all exploded too and now are following btc price which is very frustrating, it was much easier to make money before.

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GigaCoin
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December 19, 2013, 08:33:16 PM
 #13


i was referring to the other alt coins, i mentioned in my post about litecoin already.

ArticMine
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December 19, 2013, 08:42:45 PM
 #14


i was referring to the other alt coins, i mentioned in my post about litecoin already.

My personal experience is with Namecoin (NMC). I sold my NMC for BTC on November 29, 2013 for 0.01251 BTC per NMC for the reasons stated above. Today I would get 0.0069 BTC per NMC.

Concerned that blockchain bloat will lead to centralization? Storing less than 4 GB of data once required the budget of a superpower and a warehouse full of punched cards. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/87/IBM_card_storage.NARA.jpg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Punched_card
GameKyuubi
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December 19, 2013, 11:38:36 PM
 #15

Well, think about it.  If BTC goes down, the USD value of your altcoin portfolio does too, so you'd want to convert to fiat, which means you'd sell your altcoins, which brings down the value of the altcoin as well...

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Kaiji (OP)
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December 20, 2013, 09:21:58 AM
 #16

it is new pattern, since last 2-3 weeks.

Before this new pattern alts would go down if btc would rise, or rise if btc would go down. On the road to 1200$ all alts completely plummeted withmost of them being on their historical lows. But then they all exploded too and now are following btc price which is very frustrating, it was much easier to make money before.


Exactly what I've noticed and I've found puzzling. If you check the graphs they are almost identical to that of BTC. What is more strange is that before some altcoins would usually go down or stay the same while eithers would rise in price. Now they are all in unison.

People are buying with cash altcoins so it is not just because of alt/btc ratio; my observations are concerning the USD price of the altcoins which are independent of btc.

The only reason I gather is that if BTC gets cheap people sell their altcoins to get more BTC and vice versa if BTC price rises.
Kaiji (OP)
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December 20, 2013, 01:00:53 PM
 #17




The only reason I gather is that if BTC gets cheap people sell their altcoins to get more BTC and vice versa if BTC price rises.

That doesn't even make sense, if that happened then the altcoins would get cheaper as people move to buy BTC. Its frustrating since crypto market does exactly the opposite of what I expect it to do. People on this forum already warned me of that.
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December 20, 2013, 02:22:30 PM
 #18


i was referring to the other alt coins, i mentioned in my post about litecoin already.

My personal experience is with Namecoin (NMC). I sold my NMC for BTC on November 29, 2013 for 0.01251 BTC per NMC for the reasons stated above. Today I would get 0.0069 BTC per NMC.

A lot of speculation is doing with altcoins and the altcoins trading volume is much lower than Bitcoin so price manipulation is much easier
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December 20, 2013, 04:20:16 PM
 #19

Well, think about it.  If BTC goes down, the USD value of your altcoin portfolio does too, so you'd want to convert to fiat, which means you'd sell your altcoins, which brings down the value of the altcoin as well...

I think you are right, before the "usual" behaviour was to move to alts from BTC as alts were going up.
Now, because alts got a decent value (from few cent to dollars) people might covert to BTC and cash out in FIAT.
If this is true it could possibly accelerate the sell out, very interesting, never thought about it
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December 20, 2013, 06:28:11 PM
 #20

I always wonder why people invest in alts, I think you're "safer" in BTC, because they seem to rise and fall together but the chances of BTC going completely under (unlike most alts) is much closer to zero.

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