Fundstrat predict that the Bitcon will cost $64,000 by the end of the year. The most interesting in this prediction is that it is based on the growth of mining activity.Note, Fundstrat predict that the hash rate will increase to 350% until 2019. Sam Doctor, head of data research at Fundstrat, said in a report:
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Do you agree with the analysts at Fundstrat?
I love some good speculation as much as the next guy, but it still seems rather unfounded.
Looking at the hashrate of the last 2 years, the growth of mining activity during the last few months hasn't increased more than usual.
https://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate?timespan=2years&scale=1Ignoring the big slope during the advent of ASICs, hashrate growth has been fairly stable since late 2011. Looking at 2014 the hashrate seems to grow more than usual in wake of a bubble (could also have been ASIC laggards though), but in itself doesn't seem like a good indicator of future price movements.
https://blockchain.info/charts/hash-rate?timespan=all&scale=1It is also worth noting that at this point the majority of Bitcoins has already been mined, so investor sentiment will have a larger influence on the Bitcoin price than miner sentiment.