Bitcoin Forum
December 11, 2016, 02:44:06 AM *
News: Latest stable version of Bitcoin Core: 0.13.1  [Torrent].
 
   Home   Help Search Donate Login Register  
Pages: « 1 [2] 3 4 »  All
  Print  
Author Topic: why price so low  (Read 3479 times)
ElectricMucus
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1540


Drama Junkie


View Profile
August 31, 2011, 10:56:42 PM
 #21

Most likely refers to speculation on my part and my evidence is common sense.
Use it some times   Roll Eyes

First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they keep laughing, then they start choking on their laughter, and then they go and catch their breath. Then they start laughing even more.
1481424246
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481424246

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481424246
Reply with quote  #2

1481424246
Report to moderator
1481424246
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481424246

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481424246
Reply with quote  #2

1481424246
Report to moderator
1481424246
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481424246

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481424246
Reply with quote  #2

1481424246
Report to moderator
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction. Advertise here.
1481424246
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481424246

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481424246
Reply with quote  #2

1481424246
Report to moderator
1481424246
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481424246

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481424246
Reply with quote  #2

1481424246
Report to moderator
1481424246
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1481424246

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1481424246
Reply with quote  #2

1481424246
Report to moderator
critmass
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 42


View Profile
September 01, 2011, 01:46:22 AM
 #22

IMHO bitcoin prices right now are too high.  When I first heard about this, I was expecting BTC to be trading for less than dollars, or at the very most, around dollars, but $8 per bitcoin?  I think that bitcoin is a great idea, but I think its far from being a full fledged currency.  Most of the sites that I seen are selling a tightly limited number of common products, nothing that makes me want to jump ship of my dollars just yet.
As far as people jacking up prices, look at it from their prospective.  They are taking a much larger risk, accepting BTC than USD.  They deserve to be compensated for that risk, which you probably don't mind if you mined them, and you're happy that you don't have to waste your time going through one of the exchanges to get the cash to buy on a regular site, plus its kind of exciting to buy stuff with BTC.
joulesbeef
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Activity: 476


moOo


View Profile
September 01, 2011, 02:07:30 AM
 #23

critmass, tell me where you can can play poker online with us dollars or a us credit card. YAY land of the free!



just recently someone moved 2 million btc or about 20 million dollars, can you do that with dollar bills? without informing the government?


Perhaps there is some value to BTC beyond the scope of your life.

Just saying you cant look at the limited things you want to look at and say 'well it doesnt work for me, so it must be worthless", you have to expand your thinking and say "well what could it do for other people besides myself and why would it be better than dollars"

mooo for rent
Surawit
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 28



View Profile
September 01, 2011, 02:12:06 AM
 #24

Price is HIGH at the moment because of speculators and other people with no interest in Bitcoin as a currency. They just want to make a quick buck then disappear... Hopefully they will all disappear soon, and we can get down to business of moving Bitcoin into the mainstream as a competitor to the US dollar.

PROUD TO BE A SUPPORTER OF CAPITALISM
15rBQe46XjCzSYbQN9dWYwaSLRqiXckSDb
didgydont
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 13



View Profile WWW
September 01, 2011, 02:55:04 AM
 #25

I think now is just the time to buy Grin

http://ozbtc.com.au - Australian Bitcoin Classifieds
critmass
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 42


View Profile
September 01, 2011, 05:59:19 AM
 #26

critmass, tell me where you can can play poker online with us dollars or a us credit card. YAY land of the free!



just recently someone moved 2 million btc or about 20 million dollars, can you do that with dollar bills? without informing the government?


Perhaps there is some value to BTC beyond the scope of your life.

Just saying you cant look at the limited things you want to look at and say 'well it doesnt work for me, so it must be worthless", you have to expand your thinking and say "well what could it do for other people besides myself and why would it be better than dollars"
You are making the wild assumption that I am against bitcoin.  I am not against it at all.  I actually like the idea a ton, and I am looking forward to becoming an active member of the bitcoin community.  That said, I realize that the current price of bitcoins can not be supported with the size of the bitcoin economy.  A 10% discount on alpaca socks isn't going to drive many people into the market, especially when they have to deal with their own local currencies for most day to day transactions.  And retailers only have the incentive of attracting a special breed of geek and the major disincentive of a very unstable, unsafe, risky currency that can't buy most of the things that they need for a successful business.

My point, obviously not clearly stated, was this; the surge in the price of bitcoin is mostly artificial and is starting to slide down again because the economy that supports it is not nearly large enough.  Now if some wholesalers got on board with bitcoin, then bitcoin would start to warrant something like $8USD/BTC.
doktor99
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 15


View Profile
September 01, 2011, 06:40:58 AM
 #27

In the context of determining whether 'old' coins are flooding the market (to drive the price down), it's worth tracking the CoinDD (days destroyed) metric available here: http://abe.john-edwin-tobey.org/chain/Bitcoin.

The metric has not grown in any large jump since before this most recent price decline, and as such I suggest this decline is not a result of coins that have been sitting anywhere for any length of time.
indio007
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 210


View Profile
September 01, 2011, 07:23:03 AM
 #28

Don't worry BTC is still over TWICE  as profitable than every other mainstream investment.

1gh/sec
 $8 per BTC
1000KW
 .15 KW/hr
 30 days

Coins per 24h at these conditions: 0.5658 BTC

Power cost per 24h: 3.60 USD
Revenue per day: 4.53 USD
      ... less power costs: 0.93 USD

Power cost per time frame: 109.57 USD
Revenue per time frame: 133.86 USD
      ... less power costs: 24.29 USD


Net profit first time frame: 24.29 USD

Profit Margin = 18%



Let's compare to other endevours....


Historical US corporate profit margin is 5.5% to 7.5%.
Historical US Equities yield is 9% to 11%


CURRENT
1905
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 198


Give him a mask and he will tell you the truth.


View Profile
September 01, 2011, 07:52:55 AM
 #29

hahaha indio! for sure. but the thing is u know this. and others dont. convince them to invest in bitcoin instead of mining. gaining you more profit. bitcoin isnt going anywhere dont get concerned about the longevity of it and therefore give others the opportunity to profit making your difficulty level higher. just a though. if people were smart enough to figure it out for themselves, they deserve the reward.

Man is least himself when he talks in his own person. Give him a mask and he will tell you the truth.

- Oscar Wilde
1905
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 198


Give him a mask and he will tell you the truth.


View Profile
September 01, 2011, 07:54:54 AM
 #30

silver has had terrible appreciation since 2001 i hear. dont invest in it either. not even worth looking into. lol

Man is least himself when he talks in his own person. Give him a mask and he will tell you the truth.

- Oscar Wilde
JimTaylor
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 16


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 12:09:05 AM
 #31

Does anyone foresee it going down anymore next week?  I wanted to invest a bit but I may as well wait if the correction isn't through yet.
Revalin
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 728


165YUuQUWhBz3d27iXKxRiazQnjEtJNG9g


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 07:59:39 AM
 #32

Yes.  My personal opinion is that the fundamentals are still really poor - there aren't very many merchants accepting BTC, so the purchase cycle (Buy BTC on the market, go shopping, pay BTC, merchant sells BTC on the market) can be fulfilled with very few coins - you only need enough to sit in the buyers' wallets until they make their purchase, which realistically means a few days.  That's what I consider to be the fundamental price of the BTC, and it's much lower than where we are now, and it will be until more people accept the BTC for payment.

What's holding the price up right now is speculation: basically, people are hoarding it hoping the price will go up.  Short term the only way that will work is if people can push enough hype to get more people to "invest" (IE, keep speculating and hoarding).  That's what you're seeing in this thread, and from anyone who keeps saying "Up up up!".  People who keep saying the sky's the limit without mentioning any downside are usually the ones holding the bag, and they're trying to pump the price back up because they're losing their investment.  Long-term this never works.

If all the speculation ends (and it's starting to look like we're running out of suckers), the price will fall to the level supported by actual use as currency.  That means cents, not dollars, until we have much more real commerce happening in BTC.  That's fine by me because I want to use BTC as a currency, and it doesn't really matter to me what the price is - I just want it to be somewhat stable, and I think that will happen at a much lower price.

Next post: a bag holder with an insightful rebuttal.  Smiley

      War is God's way of teaching Americans geography.  --Ambrose Bierce
Bitcoin is the Devil's way of teaching geeks economics.  --Revalin 165YUuQUWhBz3d27iXKxRiazQnjEtJNG9g
indio007
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 210


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 08:10:56 AM
 #33

The only thing missing from Bitcoin is a mature marketplace. It's getting there though.
critmass
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 42


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 05:34:47 PM
 #34

Yes.  My personal opinion is that the fundamentals are still really poor - there aren't very many merchants accepting BTC, so the purchase cycle (Buy BTC on the market, go shopping, pay BTC, merchant sells BTC on the market) can be fulfilled with very few coins - you only need enough to sit in the buyers' wallets until they make their purchase, which realistically means a few days.  That's what I consider to be the fundamental price of the BTC, and it's much lower than where we are now, and it will be until more people accept the BTC for payment.

What's holding the price up right now is speculation: basically, people are hoarding it hoping the price will go up.  Short term the only way that will work is if people can push enough hype to get more people to "invest" (IE, keep speculating and hoarding).  That's what you're seeing in this thread, and from anyone who keeps saying "Up up up!".  People who keep saying the sky's the limit without mentioning any downside are usually the ones holding the bag, and they're trying to pump the price back up because they're losing their investment.  Long-term this never works.

If all the speculation ends (and it's starting to look like we're running out of suckers), the price will fall to the level supported by actual use as currency.  That means cents, not dollars, until we have much more real commerce happening in BTC.  That's fine by me because I want to use BTC as a currency, and it doesn't really matter to me what the price is - I just want it to be somewhat stable, and I think that will happen at a much lower price.

Next post: a bag holder with an insightful rebuttal.  Smiley
I couldn't agree more!  I think that the biggest thing is that BTC doesn't penetrate the economic structure deep enough to warrant accepting it at the retail level, unless you are trying to be novel.  And novelty only goes so far.  That's why I said that if a wholesaler or two get into the BTC game we would see a real explosion in BTC utility, because then retailers don't have to take such a risk on inputs.  Also, if a legit lender (ie not a loan shark) started issuing loans in BTC.  Then you would start to get a sizable economy and start warranting a larger exchange rate.
mykroft
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 6


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 06:02:12 PM
 #35

lately,the bitcoin price has been go down ,why? what happen important event

I think the $8-10 range is probably the true value of bitcoin at the moment.  The only reason it jumped to $11.50 is because of the speculation that the BTC conference was going to somehow drive up the demand for BTC, but it kinda didn't do anything so the price dropped back down again.   

At least it looks like it's creeping up a little bit after a week of being down below the 2 day average:

http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=1107&m=mtgoxUSD&k=&r=2&i=Hourly&c=1&s=2011-08-26&e=2011-09-02&Prev=&Next=&v=0&cv=0&ps=0&l=0&p=0&t=S&b=&a1=SMA&m1=48&a2=&m2=25&x=1&i1=&i2=&i3=&i4=&SubmitButton=Draw&

Mykroft
doktor99
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 15


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 07:12:55 PM
 #36

Don't worry BTC is still over TWICE  as profitable than every other mainstream investment.

1gh/sec
 $8 per BTC
1000KW
 .15 KW/hr
 30 days

Coins per 24h at these conditions: 0.5658 BTC

Power cost per 24h: 3.60 USD
Revenue per day: 4.53 USD
      ... less power costs: 0.93 USD

Power cost per time frame: 109.57 USD
Revenue per time frame: 133.86 USD
      ... less power costs: 24.29 USD


Net profit first time frame: 24.29 USD

Profit Margin = 18%

https://docs.google.com/document/pubimage?id=1s9K93oRTI6AwGqZ1cpAOvW6HyKhqSdggVO0_ignOONw&image_id=1kXwssAy6yqKlftv5wrFUurmYC2hJVg4

Let's compare to other endevours....


Historical US corporate profit margin is 5.5% to 7.5%.
Historical US Equities yield is 9% to 11%



OK, but in order to complete your analysis which compares the gross operating margin of bitcoin mining to other investment instruments, consideration needs to go to 1) the capital cost of the mining rigs and 2) the volatility of the underlying commodity and the associated risk premium. Even if you just take the volatility of the BTC as your cost of capital, the math changes significantly.
1905
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Activity: 198


Give him a mask and he will tell you the truth.


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 09:12:16 PM
 #37

Don't worry BTC is still over TWICE  as profitable than every other mainstream investment.

1gh/sec
 $8 per BTC
1000KW
 .15 KW/hr
 30 days

Coins per 24h at these conditions: 0.5658 BTC

Power cost per 24h: 3.60 USD
Revenue per day: 4.53 USD
      ... less power costs: 0.93 USD

Power cost per time frame: 109.57 USD
Revenue per time frame: 133.86 USD
      ... less power costs: 24.29 USD


Net profit first time frame: 24.29 USD

Profit Margin = 18%



Let's compare to other endevours....


Historical US corporate profit margin is 5.5% to 7.5%.
Historical US Equities yield is 9% to 11%



OK, but in order to complete your analysis which compares the gross operating margin of bitcoin mining to other investment instruments, consideration needs to go to 1) the capital cost of the mining rigs and 2) the volatility of the underlying commodity and the associated risk premium. Even if you just take the volatility of the BTC as your cost of capital, the math changes significantly.


k well regardless what your math skillz include anything relating to US investments or stock markets are garbage. people want to get on here and talk about how bitcoin is overapreciated and really worth less. wait til the real estate market starts adjusting to what it should be again. fucking flames. there is no guarantees. let people do their math all they want. like the guys who are so smart and say silver and gold are bad investments. yes they might be in a bubble right now... but in the long run they are going to make you the most... second to bitcoins of course.

Man is least himself when he talks in his own person. Give him a mask and he will tell you the truth.

- Oscar Wilde
cbeast
Donator
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1722

Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 09:14:30 PM
 #38

*snip*
like the guys who are so smart and say silver and gold are bad investments. yes they might be in a bubble right now... but in the long run they are going to make you the most... second to bitcoins of course.
+1

Any significantly advanced cryptocurrency is indistinguishable from Ponzi Tulips.
perfectfire
Newbie
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 6


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 09:39:48 PM
 #39

New currency + uncertain future + controversy + low volume = high volatility.
critmass
Jr. Member
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 42


View Profile
September 02, 2011, 11:16:26 PM
 #40

k well regardless what your math skillz include anything relating to US investments or stock markets are garbage. people want to get on here and talk about how bitcoin is overapreciated and really worth less. wait til the real estate market starts adjusting to what it should be again. fucking flames. there is no guarantees. let people do their math all they want. like the guys who are so smart and say silver and gold are bad investments. yes they might be in a bubble right now... but in the long run they are going to make you the most... second to bitcoins of course.

Actually, in the long run, investments in precious metals traditionally don't outperform stocks.  Neither do currency investments.  So it might be better to say that those are better short term investments.

New currency + uncertain future + controversy + low volume = high volatility.
exactly
Pages: « 1 [2] 3 4 »  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Sponsored by , a Bitcoin-accepting VPN.
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!