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政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
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Topic: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想 (Read 773 times)
microlost
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政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 14, 2014, 03:03:43 AM
Last edit: January 14, 2014, 03:30:37 AM by microlost
#1
随着虚拟货币发展越来越成熟,比特币一波又一波兴风作浪,不断去挑拨那根绷紧的神经,政府必将进一步干涉。这倒未必就是坏事,干涉的过程也是表明态度的过程,合法或者不合法,政府态度何如,这一直是悬挂在比特币头上的达摩克利斯之剑。同时个人也认为缺乏政府的监管,比特币想获得成功很难,只要政府存在,在货币领域里还是得让他占主导地位,而理想的无政府主义啥的,最好还是跟邓爷爷一样,相信子孙比我们聪明,不然有的折腾。也许我们能把货币发行权争取过来就不错了。对于政府何如干涉,这里有几个猜想,仅仅是个人无厘头幻想:
1.重税,纳税是政府生存之道,如今鲜有不纳税的经济行为,如果政府承认比特币合法地位,第一件事可能就是对比特币的存储、转账、兑付等进行纳税,而且没准还是重重纳税,不听话就加重税收,看你奈何。问题就来了,对于交易所的交易容易征税,但是对于个人的p2p转账,你连谁在交易都不知道,在宇宙的哪个角落交易也不知道,怎么纳税?你还真以为没办法?殊不知道高一尺,魔高一丈……
2.地址登记,为了利于监管,政府可以要求个人在使用比特币之前先登记地址,而且规定只有登记了的地址才算合法,甚至可以规定只有本国的地址之间的交易才算合法,跨国交易另外处理(彩色币的作用就出来了),如果区块链里发现你跟没有登记的地址进行交易,你麻烦了,怎么样,我等屁民,还不是乖乖登记去……
3.交易所国有化,或者说禁止民间开设交易所,这个太有可能了,政府承认比特币合法的那一刻,必然也会是招安交易所的时候。而彼时已经既得利益的交易所,还不是跟此时的淘宝一个熊样。
4.开设比特币中央银行,亲们,到时我们还得将比特币存在银行里哦。如论何如,比特币银行都将是比特币产业链里的重要一环,比特币银行可以简化、加速交易行为,我们的交易又变成银行里账户的余额变动,没必要花一个小时等待交易进入链条。同时存在银行里也解决了选择纸钱包脑钱包在线钱包的纠结,至少不用再那么担心万一丢了就彻底没了,当然了,付出了一定的隐私代价。
5.彻底封杀,挖矿、安装软件啥的都是违法,惹毛了实在拿你没办法,就是这个结果了,尤其在这片神圣而不可侵犯的领土上。还好世界上还有新大陆,还好比特币生性放荡自由而又严谨自律,无孔不入而又井然有条,神秘莫测而又晶莹剔透……
总之那只大手会伸到比特币的每一个角落,无论是挖矿,交易,存储,支付,兑付,转账,以及衍生出来的期货、股票等金融行为,终将难逃监管也需要监管。比特币已经悄然成长了五年,羽翼丰满,接下来的一个阶段就是全面博弈碰撞的过程,个人和政府的博弈,散户和庄家的博弈,矿池和矿工的博弈,pow和pos证明机制的博弈,比特币和山寨币的博弈……
我坚信比特币有着光明的前途,有创新的山寨币也会有明媚的未来,金子是金子,白银是白银,珍珠是珍珠……
liuguohuivv
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Re: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 15, 2014, 06:58:16 AM
#2
完全封杀不太可能,缴纳重税非常可能,现在各大交易平台都要求实名认证绑定身份证了,坐看2014的风云起伏。
eranbtc
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Re: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 15, 2014, 07:13:08 AM
#3
笑话,想禁,没门!
买不起40万的比特币,还可以免费领取!
历时9年持续支付唯一还没倒的靠谱平台!
yifan9014
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Re: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 15, 2014, 09:44:20 AM
#4
P2P交易所的重要性很快就要凸显了,问题在于解决交易所的信用疑惑
microlost
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Re: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 15, 2014, 10:30:07 AM
#5
Quote from: yifan9014 on January 15, 2014, 09:44:20 AM
P2P交易所的重要性很快就要凸显了,问题在于解决交易所的信用疑惑
我一直还没弄明白p2p交易所在技术上怎么实现,怎么实现充值和提现
kingangel
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Re: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 15, 2014, 03:03:14 PM
#6
设立国家交易所是有可能的,因为ZF除了股市,又找到一个圈钱途径,不用是白痴啊!但如果真搞个无中心化交易所出来,ZF可能就直接禁了比特币,得不到好处的,咱就灭了你!虽然比特币确实还可以在国外交易,但,那就是非法的了,一旦查实,以我中国之社会主义特色,你死得有多难看,这个就不需要详细描述了吧。随便给你安个扰乱社会金融秩序,洗黑钱之类的,你就吃不了兜着走!上面的,搞正事不行,整人的招数,那是一套一套的,这都是经过实践多次检验的!!
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thecoinjournal
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Re: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 16, 2014, 04:52:08 AM
#7
一派胡言。
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TinaK
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Re: 政府进一步监管虚拟货币猜想
January 16, 2014, 04:53:21 AM
#8
政府没当回事。
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