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Author Topic: Worst Case Scenario - Price Predictions?  (Read 2850 times)
Opsamk (OP)
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January 18, 2014, 09:58:35 AM
 #1

I sense a crash coming. Share your floor predictions.

1GPsFkReoJi8isJk1Vyry7NVnL2qpaC9Ja

Feeling generous? Send me some bits Smiley
T.Stuart
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January 18, 2014, 10:07:42 AM
 #2

No crash is coming. You're thinking in pre-2014 terms. Market sentiment is transformed now. Any selling in the future will happen slowly and deliberately as you can see from the past few weeks, and using previous crash data to calculate lows will fail.  Smiley

                                                                               
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fonzie
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January 18, 2014, 10:15:58 AM
 #3

We will see 2-300$ coins this year again, maybe not not this weekend. But rather expect sooner than later.

"To know death, Otto, you have to fuck life in the gallbladder"
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January 18, 2014, 11:06:06 AM
 #4

Depends on the scenario. If the USA, EU and China ban bitcoin <30$.

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January 18, 2014, 11:07:54 AM
 #5

Depends on the scenario. If the USA, EU and China ban bitcoin <30$.

Yeah right - if Bitcoin gets banned in the whole world then I reckon around $25 per coin is the right value.  Roll Eyes

                                                                               
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January 18, 2014, 11:31:41 AM
 #6

Depends on the scenario. If the USA, EU and China ban bitcoin <30$.

Yeah right - if Bitcoin gets banned in the whole world then I reckon around $25 per coin is the right value.  Roll Eyes

super cheap coins, I can only dream....

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January 18, 2014, 11:35:58 AM
 #7

$800 actual gox bottom, $650 if some major FUD comes out in the following weeks, $500 if proudhon's sources are correct Smiley

i am satoshi
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January 18, 2014, 02:56:34 PM
 #8

No crash is coming. You're thinking in pre-2014 terms. Market sentiment is transformed now. Any selling in the future will happen slowly and deliberately as you can see from the past few weeks

Your btc market empathy is quite impressive !
And it's too bad that you wait till november 2013 to share with all forum members your insightful long term analysis  Grin
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January 18, 2014, 03:26:55 PM
 #9

450 stamp is where the bottom of a logarithmic channel meets the falling resistance from Jan 5th.  I can't construct anything meaningful lower than that.

Give a man a fish and he eats for a day.  Give a man a Poisson distribution and he eats at random times independent of one another, at a constant known rate.
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January 18, 2014, 03:42:06 PM
 #10

0. That's the worst case scenario. Glad we got that sorted.

Look inside yourself, and you will see that you are the bubble.
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January 18, 2014, 05:49:17 PM
 #11

$800 actual gox bottom, $650 if some major FUD comes out in the following weeks, $500 if proudhon's sources are correct Smiley

proudhon is full of BS, provide links to some Chinese government site to make the FUD look authentic while none of the links contain anything about BTC.
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January 18, 2014, 06:01:14 PM
 #12

$800 actual gox bottom, $650 if some major FUD comes out in the following weeks, $500 if proudhon's sources are correct Smiley


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January 18, 2014, 06:06:20 PM
 #13

$800 actual gox bottom, $650 if some major FUD comes out in the following weeks, $500 if proudhon's sources are correct Smiley
They are official Chinese sources so obviously they're correct.

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January 18, 2014, 06:19:01 PM
 #14

You want a worst case scenario price prediction? $0.

Unless you think there is a possibility that in the future you will have to pay people to take your bitcoins.

If you aren't the sole controller of your private keys, you don't have any bitcoins.
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January 18, 2014, 06:22:54 PM
 #15

Depends on the scenario. If the USA, EU and China ban bitcoin <30$.

We all know that prohibition always makes the thing being prohibited less valuable. Wink

The freedom to transfer value without permission or middlemen is more important to me than ingesting substances which governments around the world have outlawed. We all know how well that worked out.

Bitcoin was designed to be ban proof from the start.

If you aren't the sole controller of your private keys, you don't have any bitcoins.
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January 18, 2014, 06:51:25 PM
 #16

Depends on the scenario. If the USA, EU and China ban bitcoin <30$.

We all know that prohibition always makes the thing being prohibited less valuable. Wink

The freedom to transfer value without permission or middlemen is more important to me than ingesting substances which governments around the world have outlawed. We all know how well that worked out.

Bitcoin was designed to be ban proof from the start.

True, but then only people will invest who really need bitcoins (drugs, guns, etc). I think currently at least 90% of the investors just want to get rich LEGALLY. Banning bitcoin will definetly have huge impact on the market cap.
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January 18, 2014, 06:52:19 PM
 #17

Depends on the scenario. If the USA, EU and China ban bitcoin <30$.

We all know that prohibition always makes the thing being prohibited less valuable. Wink

The freedom to transfer value without permission or middlemen is more important to me than ingesting substances which governments around the world have outlawed. We all know how well that worked out.

Bitcoin was designed to be ban proof from the start.
Can't agree with that. As you know Bitcoin was designed to have progressively lower block rewards, while mining revenue was supposed to increasingly come from transaction fees. This means that as time goes by a larger price and volume become necessary to keep mining profitable. By banning Bitcoin governments can destroy every chance of mainstream adoption while leaving Bitcoin a much smaller part of the economy in which it can operate. The price would crash leaving many ASICS unprofitable making the network much weaker. It's role as a transfer of value would be severely damaged because of the difficulty to exchange it for fiat as no formal exchange can exist anymore.

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January 18, 2014, 06:53:22 PM
Last edit: January 18, 2014, 07:15:05 PM by Ducky1
 #18

I sense a crash coming. Share your floor predictions.

I also sense a crash, but not in bitcoins. Fiat crash is coming to a stock market near you.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-17/terrifying-technicals-chartist-predicts-anti-fed-revulsion-and-plunge-sp-450

S&P 500 -> 450 (now 1830,70)


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SilverandBitcoins
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January 18, 2014, 07:06:13 PM
 #19

0. That's the worst case scenario. Glad we got that sorted.

Wow, this post is right on the money.  Zero is the worst case scenario.  I think zero is impossible though - you can always find someone willing to buy something, so maybe it can go down to a few pennies, or something like the price of DEVcoin where it's worth .0004 U.S.D.

Cause, I aint proud - BTC: 1DyXSR8nsB56yhTUhR5HMKLzB6UpytiWnK
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January 18, 2014, 07:25:36 PM
 #20

It's kind of funny...everyone's talking about/predicting a crash, yet, yesterday, last night and all day today so far it's stayed the same and hasn't crashed at all.

Cause, I aint proud - BTC: 1DyXSR8nsB56yhTUhR5HMKLzB6UpytiWnK
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