i would pay based on antminer's price + some premium since it has enclosure and consumes less power. i'd value it at 20 btc as of current difficulty and if shipping was on schedule.
Contemplating selling my pre-order of my Prospero X-3. Trying to see what people will value these at, and whether it'll be better for me to hold onto it or sell this bad boy. Would clearly use escrow, and have Black Arrow facilitate the order transfer themselves if I did decide to sell.
If I choose to sell it, I'll open a different thread, but for now... what would you all be willing to pay for this bad boy?
2TH of ANTMINERS was 19BTC shipped out this last week.
No way in heck you can convince me 20BTC would be reasonable for a box that at earliest will show up in MARCH if somehow the stars align.
Remember even KnC was over a month late and they have been considered the only preorder company to actually deliver "on time". Hashfast was originally supposed to ship at the same time as KnC and we've just now seen the first of their boxes 4 months later? WOW.
OP honestly your best bet is to put it on eBay (where the suckers are) NOW ...
Just remember this - the people that made the most money with Avalon Batch 2/3 were those that sold the PREORDERs on eBay for $40K. By the time the systems shipped they were just worth a fraction of that and Batch 3 customers who mined with their boxes lost BTC...
As for what I would pay?
Well I did buy 3TH of ANTS
But for a BA first-day preorder it would have to be 20% over cost (coins held in escrow), deal voided if shipping goes over two difficulty changes from the original estimated shipping date. So thats like what 9-10BTC? And might as well void that now as FEB 24th ship date for working hardware is impossible with a chip that hasn't even taped out yet! But that is the beauty of it, eBay won't allow presales that go over 30 days out, so you are basically within guidelines. Just have to keep the buyer informed to not really expect it that soon so they don't chargeback (see :
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=426425.20 )