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Topic: Cult of hoarding (Read 4207 times)
miketonic
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Re: Cult of hoarding
January 31, 2014, 01:38:31 PM
#41
Quote from: BitDreams on January 31, 2014, 12:22:46 AM
I am also Hoadring. Hoardring will make many savers around the world.
One day we will look around and where we see a debtor today, we will instead see a saver tomorrow. Many people with assets instead of slaves with undeserved burdens.
Every hoadrer has a price and eventually they spedn their Bitcoins.
The point of the game is to eventually disperse your coins before they become lost to the blockchain.
I agree on this. Even if the price keeps climbing, people will spend their coins in some minor downturn in fear of coins losing all their value.
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toomsie
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Re: Cult of hoarding
January 31, 2014, 01:51:04 PM
#42
Better computers came out every year. It doesn't mean people put of buying computer indefinately
hilariousandco
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Re: Cult of hoarding
January 31, 2014, 03:36:37 PM
#43
Quote from: miketonic on January 31, 2014, 01:38:31 PM
Quote from: BitDreams on January 31, 2014, 12:22:46 AM
I am also Hoadring. Hoardring will make many savers around the world.
One day we will look around and where we see a debtor today, we will instead see a saver tomorrow. Many people with assets instead of slaves with undeserved burdens.
Every hoadrer has a price and eventually they spedn their Bitcoins.
The point of the game is to eventually disperse your coins before they become lost to the blockchain.
I agree on this. Even if the price keeps climbing, people will spend their coins in some minor downturn in fear of coins losing all their value.
I'm hodling and I don't have a price. I just want more mainstream adoption and be able to spend them on things I actually want.
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Sonny
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 01, 2014, 02:11:12 PM
#44
Quote from: hilariousandco on January 31, 2014, 03:36:37 PM
Quote from: miketonic on January 31, 2014, 01:38:31 PM
Quote from: BitDreams on January 31, 2014, 12:22:46 AM
I am also Hoadring. Hoardring will make many savers around the world.
One day we will look around and where we see a debtor today, we will instead see a saver tomorrow. Many people with assets instead of slaves with undeserved burdens.
Every hoadrer has a price and eventually they spedn their Bitcoins.
The point of the game is to eventually disperse your coins before they become lost to the blockchain.
I agree on this. Even if the price keeps climbing, people will spend their coins in some minor downturn in fear of coins losing all their value.
I'm hodling and I don't have a price. I just want more mainstream adoption and be able to spend them on things I actually want.
Hodl forever? lol
When you decide to spend bitcoin instead of fiat, it is like you sell the bitcoin
johnyj
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 02, 2014, 12:28:03 AM
#45
As long as bitcoin appreciate more than 50% per year, it is very natural to just take a consumer loan with 8% interest, and spend the loan instead of coins. Or even take a loan to buy coins if it goes mainstream, and that will make the hoarding more severe and price appreciation more crazy
Spending the inflative money and saving the deflative money, make perfect sense. I'm sure somebody is already doing this
Of course if the price is driven by credit money like housing, then it will become dangerous. Spending coins to buy goods/services will not affect exchange rate that much, but you always need fiat money to pay back the loan. When there is a fiat money liquidity problem, the exchange price will crash. Currently the liquidity is not a problem, but who knows when all the fiat money has been drained by bitcoins
Why bitcoin will appreciate forever:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=277275.msg3244038#msg3244038
skivrmt
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 02, 2014, 02:31:34 AM
#46
Quote from: johnyj on February 02, 2014, 12:28:03 AM
As long as bitcoin appreciate more than 50% per year,
it is very natural to just take a consumer loan with 8% interest, and spend the loan instead of coins. Or even take a loan to buy coins if it goes mainstream, and that will make the hoarding more severe and price appreciation more crazy
Spending the inflative money and saving the deflative money, make perfect sense. I'm sure somebody is already doing this
Of course if the price is driven by credit money like housing, then it will become dangerous. Spending coins to buy goods/services will not affect exchange rate that much, but you always need fiat money to pay back the loan. When there is a fiat money liquidity problem, the exchange price will crash. Currently the liquidity is not a problem, but who knows when all the fiat money has been drained by bitcoins
That is a -very- big if. Yes we've done it in the past. A couple of times over.
I hope it continues but it's certainly going to be tougher each year as more money needs to flow into Bitcoin than ever before for any price appreciation.
Prolifik
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 02, 2014, 03:27:31 AM
#47
I will always hoard one of the 21 million bitcoins.
At least until the price is $1,000,000.00 a coin.
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billyjoeallen
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 02, 2014, 04:31:56 AM
#48
Quote from: johnyj on February 02, 2014, 12:28:03 AM
As long as bitcoin appreciate more than 50% per year, it is very natural to just take a consumer loan with 8% interest, and spend the loan instead of coins. Or even take a loan to buy coins if it goes mainstream, and that will make the hoarding more severe and price appreciation more crazy
Spending the inflative money and saving the deflative money, make perfect sense. I'm sure somebody is already doing this
Of course if the price is driven by credit money like housing, then it will become dangerous. Spending coins to buy goods/services will not affect exchange rate that much, but you always need fiat money to pay back the loan. When there is a fiat money liquidity problem, the exchange price will crash. Currently the liquidity is not a problem, but who knows when all the fiat money has been drained by bitcoins
Obviously the price is driven by credit, but the fiat printing presses and artificially low interest rates are likely to continue until hyperinflation. Janet Yellen is Chair of the Fed and it is clear there is no political will to allow a meaningful correction. Credit markets are so screwed up that they CANNOT be normalized. It's like having a patient that is too sick to survive the life-saving surgery he needs. The point of no return occurred in 2008 with the housing market crash. Interest rates are too low to allow capital formation, so the only way to keep the ponziconomy going is to double down on stupid and take real interest rates negative. I myself have THREE zero APR credit cards. I could easily pay them off by selling my bitcoin holdings, by why? I sell enough to make the minimum payments and wait for the inevitable governmental stupidity to drive the BTC price higher. I love my country and I want it to succeed, so this is a hedge bet. If I loose, everybody wins which means I win too. I win either way.
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pbody
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 03, 2014, 06:12:40 AM
#49
Bitcoin will stop increasing in price by tenfold a year and people will start spending it. By that point just about everyone will except bitcoin and I will have enough bitcoin to retire on. So I guess Im hodling for life.
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Whtwabbit
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 03, 2014, 12:11:13 PM
#50
Quote from: johnyj on February 02, 2014, 12:28:03 AM
As long as bitcoin appreciate more than 50% per year, it is very natural to just take a consumer loan with 8% interest, and spend the loan instead of coins. Or even take a loan to buy coins if it goes mainstream, and that will make the hoarding more severe and price appreciation more crazy
Spending the inflative money and saving the deflative money
, make perfect sense. I'm sure somebody is already doing this
Of course if the price is driven by credit money like housing, then it will become dangerous. Spending coins to buy goods/services will not affect exchange rate that much, but you always need fiat money to pay back the loan. When there is a fiat money liquidity problem, the exchange price will crash. Currently the liquidity is not a problem, but who knows when all the fiat money has been drained by bitcoins
That would be Gresham's Law
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gresham%27s_law
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Timetwister
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 04, 2014, 12:12:04 PM
#51
Quote from: hilariousandco on January 30, 2014, 01:21:38 PM
Quote from: Timetwister on January 30, 2014, 01:04:07 PM
Not only we need more people accepting them as a payment method, but also more ways to invest them. If in the future it becomes easy to invest in something like a stock market, there will be less hoarding, and more capital used to increase productivity.
What do you mean by invest? I'd say it's easier to buy into Bitcoins than it is in shares.
Invest the bitcoins, not fiat in bitcoins.
1Pakis
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 04, 2014, 01:11:59 PM
#52
I hodling until somebody can offer me something else that worthless fiat
Tips are welcome at this address 18DVZkpSwmejPjekX3QMKvRRtR8Bfx65LN.
nobbynobbynoob
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 04, 2014, 03:56:53 PM
#53
Whatever the price is doing, bitcoiners scream in unison: HOADR!
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hellscabane
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 04, 2014, 05:01:23 PM
#54
Quote from: skivrmt on February 02, 2014, 02:31:34 AM
Quote from: johnyj on February 02, 2014, 12:28:03 AM
As long as bitcoin appreciate more than 50% per year,
it is very natural to just take a consumer loan with 8% interest, and spend the loan instead of coins. Or even take a loan to buy coins if it goes mainstream, and that will make the hoarding more severe and price appreciation more crazy
Spending the inflative money and saving the deflative money, make perfect sense. I'm sure somebody is already doing this
Of course if the price is driven by credit money like housing, then it will become dangerous. Spending coins to buy goods/services will not affect exchange rate that much, but you always need fiat money to pay back the loan. When there is a fiat money liquidity problem, the exchange price will crash. Currently the liquidity is not a problem, but who knows when all the fiat money has been drained by bitcoins
That is a -very- big if. Yes we've done it in the past. A couple of times over.
I hope it continues but it's certainly going to be tougher each year as more money needs to flow into Bitcoin than ever before for any price appreciation.
Yes, this is one of the biggest issues. Each percentage of growth requires even more and more money to flow into the system, compound this with about 3600 new BTC coming into existence each day and the money needed for growth starts to loom large. As an example, just for prices to stay the same this month, we would need over $50M in new value to enter the system (assuming that about 1/3rd of coins are just simply off the market). Mind you though, the new value doesn't have to come in the form of fiat; it could come in other forms. But to acquire $50M each month isn't something so easy. And remember, this is just to maintain the price. Growth would require proportionally greater and greater amounts of value.
podyx
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 04, 2014, 05:43:28 PM
#55
Quote from: hellscabane on February 04, 2014, 05:01:23 PM
Quote from: skivrmt on February 02, 2014, 02:31:34 AM
Quote from: johnyj on February 02, 2014, 12:28:03 AM
As long as bitcoin appreciate more than 50% per year,
it is very natural to just take a consumer loan with 8% interest, and spend the loan instead of coins. Or even take a loan to buy coins if it goes mainstream, and that will make the hoarding more severe and price appreciation more crazy
Spending the inflative money and saving the deflative money, make perfect sense. I'm sure somebody is already doing this
Of course if the price is driven by credit money like housing, then it will become dangerous. Spending coins to buy goods/services will not affect exchange rate that much, but you always need fiat money to pay back the loan. When there is a fiat money liquidity problem, the exchange price will crash. Currently the liquidity is not a problem, but who knows when all the fiat money has been drained by bitcoins
That is a -very- big if. Yes we've done it in the past. A couple of times over.
I hope it continues but it's certainly going to be tougher each year as more money needs to flow into Bitcoin than ever before for any price appreciation.
Yes, this is one of the biggest issues. Each percentage of growth requires even more and more money to flow into the system, compound this with about 3600 new BTC coming into existence each day and the money needed for growth starts to loom large. As an example, just for prices to stay the same this month, we would need over $50M in new value to enter the system (assuming that about 1/3rd of coins are just simply off the market). Mind you though, the new value doesn't have to come in the form of fiat; it could come in other forms. But to acquire $50M each month isn't something so easy. And remember, this is just to maintain the price. Growth would require proportionally greater and greater amounts of value.
$50mil a month is nothing for bill gates and that is ONE person
there is plenty of money out there, believe me
hellscabane
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Re: Cult of hoarding
February 04, 2014, 07:11:59 PM
#56
Quote from: podyx on February 04, 2014, 05:43:28 PM
Quote from: hellscabane on February 04, 2014, 05:01:23 PM
Yes, this is one of the biggest issues. Each percentage of growth requires even more and more money to flow into the system, compound this with about 3600 new BTC coming into existence each day and the money needed for growth starts to loom large. As an example, just for prices to stay the same this month, we would need over $50M in new value to enter the system (assuming that about 1/3rd of coins are just simply off the market). Mind you though, the new value doesn't have to come in the form of fiat; it could come in other forms. But to acquire $50M each month isn't something so easy. And remember, this is just to maintain the price. Growth would require proportionally greater and greater amounts of value.
$50mil a month is nothing for bill gates and that is ONE person
there is plenty of money out there, believe me
Of course there is plenty money out there. (The US M2 Money Supply is at over $10 Trillion.) The trick is convincing people to put money into BTC over, let's say, finding treatments for cancer (since you used Bill Gates as an example). Gates definitely has no trouble donating billions of USD to charity, but I'm fairly confident that he would be significantly more hesitant putting money into BTC. Just because there is money out there doesn't mean it's going to go into the bucket that you think it could go in to.
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