The most valuable intrinsic characteristic of bitcoin is its scarcity. Because bitcoin is in short supply and no more will ever be created it’s value is inflationary (its value will always increase because no more can be created).
not true
doing some maths
take the 35exa hash average
work out how many asics does that 35exahash
(35000000thash/14= 2500000 s9 ASICS all running all the time)
imagine electric at $0.05c /kwh
an asic uses 1.3kwh
=$162,500 an hour = ~$27083.33 per block(12.5btc) = ~$2166 /btc for electric
then with the asic itself. at bitmains latst release price of $850 per s9i, and assuming they run for a year (52416blocks = 655200btc time)
2500000*850=$3243
make it COST $3248+2166=5409 minimum to mine a btc
so taking the bitcoin price. of ~6700 right now against the $5409 minimal cost makes the cost of mining 80% of intrinsic VALUE
(i excluded some minimal extra things that get added to 'costs' like salary, facility leasing which bring it nearer to $6k cost (nearer 90% value)
but you see my point
in short
the speculation of
supply(amount of coins on exchanges NOT total circulation on network)
scarcity(amount of coins on network NOT on the exchanges)
demand
social drama
other things
makes up LESS than 20% of the price
anyway heres a chart
the top edge of yellow is the actual btc price.
the top line of blue is the combined cost of rigs and electric (s9i @ $850 each and electric at 5cent/kwh calculated using the hashrate changes over the month)
the reason scarcity is not a big percentage is the same as me saying this
my dog will only do ~4000 bowel movements in its life.. anyone want a bag?
lets see if a high population of those reading this says yes.. (they wont)
scarcity alone is small, its the
speculation of function, utility and desire along with scarcity that adds more to the price than just cost
as you can see by the yellow speculation area. a month ago thr was 30% speculation ontop of basic minimal mining cost and this week its under 10%