NCAA Basketball PIX (parlays welcome) 2015-16 Record 8-2

[RyanK]

My Results today were:

-NCAAB-

Creighton ML WIN
Michigan St. ML WIN
Manhattan ML WIN
Cleveland St. ML WIN
Wisconsin Green Bay ML WIN
North Dakota St. ML WIN
Western Kentucky ML WIN
Quinnipiac ML WIN
Belmont ML WIN
Weber St. ML WIN
Wisconsin ML WIN
UTEP ML LOSS
BYU ML LOSS

[FUR11]

My Results today were:

-NCAAB-

Creighton ML WIN
Michigan St. ML WIN
Manhattan ML WIN
Cleveland St. ML WIN
Wisconsin Green Bay ML WIN
North Dakota St. ML WIN
Western Kentucky ML WIN
Quinnipiac ML WIN
Belmont ML WIN
Weber St. ML WIN
Wisconsin ML WIN
UTEP ML LOSS
BYU ML LOSS

Didn't those two losses negate the 10 wins?

[RyanK]

Yep, bad day... It was looking very promising and then 

[RyanK]

My Pix today are:

-NCAAB-

Iona ML
Harvard ML
Canisius ML
Arizona ML
Louisville ML
SMU ML

[quone17]

Ryan, any idea how often you hit one of the "all game" parlays?  I know you change it up, like some days it's 10 games and some days 5, but how often - is it like once a week, etc.?  thanks

[RyanK]

Over the last few weeks its been about twice a week.  I have also had some really close calls that lost them for me so it could have been even better.  The funny part is I have hit more often on the bigger parlay days!!

[quone17]

See this could be useful then. Keep it up!  I can join in and as long as we hit even once a week it would be profitable, wouldn't it?

[RyanK]

yeah on the bigger parlays which are usually near or over +1000.  On the smaller ones such as todays we would need a couple wins.  There weren't very many games today that looked good to me.  I am eyeing betting on Louisville at -15 and SMU at -8 though...

[FUR11]

See this could be useful then. Keep it up!  I can join in and as long as we hit even once a week it would be profitable, wouldn't it?

Not really, no.  For example if you parlayed all six picks today, it would only pay +324.  Increasing the number of picks increases the risk (you need every pick to win) but doesn't move the odds that much in your favor since all of his picks are massive favorites.  If you are playing them as straight bets it's also ineffective since one loss cancels out your winnings from 5-10 wins.

[j3steven]

See this could be useful then. Keep it up!  I can join in and as long as we hit even once a week it would be profitable, wouldn't it?

Not really, no.  For example if you parlayed all six picks today, it would only pay +324.  Increasing the number of picks increases the risk (you need every pick to win) but doesn't move the odds that much in your favor since all of his picks are massive favorites.  If you are playing them as straight bets it's also ineffective since one loss cancels out your winnings from 5-10 wins.

Thank you for making me not feel crazy.  I posted something similar to this before.  Each time I comment I seriously want to make sure I am not coming off arrogant, so please Ryan don't take it that way.  At the very least maybe this can help increase your profits.  

The two main problems I have with this system is everything just said above, and also the fact the almost all sportsbooks won't offer the Moneyline plays you take.  Like last night, you took Michigan State ML....the spread was -15 at tip off.  What was the ML on them?  Because I couldn't find it at any sportsbook on- or off-shore.  Doing this for years and I'm not sure I can recall a ML being available when the spread is (giving)10-12+



EDIT:  If you have a system that you like then keep it that way.  I think ppl post like me and above because there isn't all the information needed when trying to offer up the betting advice.  Showing what you are parlaying and what the odds are should be posted I think, but that is just my opinion.

[RyanK]

See this could be useful then. Keep it up!  I can join in and as long as we hit even once a week it would be profitable, wouldn't it?

Not really, no.  For example if you parlayed all six picks today, it would only pay +324.  Increasing the number of picks increases the risk (you need every pick to win) but doesn't move the odds that much in your favor since all of his picks are massive favorites.  If you are playing them as straight bets it's also ineffective since one loss cancels out your winnings from 5-10 wins.

Actually they arent all massive favorites.  Go look at my picks each day and do your homework.  Thanks though... 

[FUR11]

See this could be useful then. Keep it up!  I can join in and as long as we hit even once a week it would be profitable, wouldn't it?

Not really, no.  For example if you parlayed all six picks today, it would only pay +324.  Increasing the number of picks increases the risk (you need every pick to win) but doesn't move the odds that much in your favor since all of his picks are massive favorites.  If you are playing them as straight bets it's also ineffective since one loss cancels out your winnings from 5-10 wins.

Actually they arent all massive favorites.  Go look at my picks each day and do your homework.  Thanks though... 

I looked at your picks, and did the homework.  That's what you responded to.  Instead of refuting anything I said, you are playing semantics.

[RyanK]

See this could be useful then. Keep it up!  I can join in and as long as we hit even once a week it would be profitable, wouldn't it?

Not really, no.  For example if you parlayed all six picks today, it would only pay +324.  Increasing the number of picks increases the risk (you need every pick to win) but doesn't move the odds that much in your favor since all of his picks are massive favorites.  If you are playing them as straight bets it's also ineffective since one loss cancels out your winnings from 5-10 wins.

Thank you for making me not feel crazy.  I posted something similar to this before.  Each time I comment I seriously want to make sure I am not coming off arrogant, so please Ryan don't take it that way.  At the very least maybe this can help increase your profits.  

The two main problems I have with this system is everything just said above, and also the fact the almost all sportsbooks won't offer the Moneyline plays you take.  Like last night, you took Michigan State ML....the spread was -15 at tip off.  What was the ML on them?  Because I couldn't find it at any sportsbook on- or off-shore.  Doing this for years and I'm not sure I can recall a ML being available when the spread is (giving)10-12+



EDIT:  If you have a system that you like then keep it that way.  I think ppl post like me and above because there isn't all the information needed when trying to offer up the betting advice.  Showing what you are parlaying and what the odds are should be posted I think, but that is just my opinion.

MSU was available when I bet it at ML -1852 on Nitrogensports.eu.  it was by far the biggest favorite I had.  The system works for me so it is what I will stick with... If you want to watch I welcome everyone!  And feel free to post some of your picks here as well if you'd like.

[RyanK]

See this could be useful then. Keep it up!  I can join in and as long as we hit even once a week it would be profitable, wouldn't it?

Not really, no.  For example if you parlayed all six picks today, it would only pay +324.  Increasing the number of picks increases the risk (you need every pick to win) but doesn't move the odds that much in your favor since all of his picks are massive favorites.  If you are playing them as straight bets it's also ineffective since one loss cancels out your winnings from 5-10 wins.

Actually they arent all massive favorites.  Go look at my picks each day and do your homework.  Thanks though... 

I looked at your picks, and did the homework.  That's what you responded to.  Instead of refuting anything I said, you are playing semantics.

Yeah today is not a big payout day if I win, but others are.  Is that what you are looking for?  It was a nice payout on Feb 9th when I went 16/16 with a payout of +1800.  If I win tonight I will be very happy with a payout of +300 because those are the only games I felt worth betting.

[RyanK]

My Results today were:

-NCAAB-

Iona ML WIN
Harvard ML WIN
Canisius ML WIN
Arizona ML LOSS
Louisville ML WIN
SMU ML WIN

Arizona really blew that one... Damn

[RyanK]

Does anyone know of a betting site that takes bitcoins and has "progressive parlays" ?  They are parlays in which you can still win if you lose 1 or 2 games, but the odds go down each loss.  That would be perfect for my picks...

[FUR11]

Does anyone know of a betting site that takes bitcoins and has "progressive parlays" ?  They are parlays in which you can still win if you lose 1 or 2 games, but the odds go down each loss.  That would be perfect for my picks...

Why don't you just do round robins?

[RyanK]

My Pix today are:

-NCAAB-

Virginia ML
Iowa ML
Davidson ML
Rider ML
Wofford ML
Wyoming ML
UCLA ML
Duke ML
Georgia St. ML
Syracuse ML
Stanford ML
Youngstown St. ML
Idaho St. ML
Ohio St. ML
Western Kentucky ML
UC Irvine ML

[RyanK]

Welp that sucks... Georgia St 10-0 in conference just lost to Troy 3-8 in conference.  UGLY!!!  Oh well, still have a chance for some wins.

[RyanK]

Does anyone know of a betting site that takes bitcoins and has "progressive parlays" ?  They are parlays in which you can still win if you lose 1 or 2 games, but the odds go down each loss.  That would be perfect for my picks...

Why don't you just do round robins?

I sort of do round robins.  On days where I have a lot of games like today I bet one parlay with all games and 2 with half the games on each side and sometimes change it up a bit.