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Author Topic: Twitter shares price falls -20%  (Read 56 times)
First77
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July 27, 2018, 03:56:03 PM
 #1

Search in google.com for twitter share price today

Twitter is down -20% today

Is this the beginning of the end of .com and tech bubbles ??
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jaysabi
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July 27, 2018, 04:07:53 PM
 #2

No. First, they're not bubbles, and second, no. Both Facebook and Twitter's declines this week are attributable to very specific challenges in their business. Facebook missed on revenue expectations, which caused analysts to re-evaluate their assumptions for future growth, and because stocks are forward-looking and trade relative to future earnings, this causes the price in the present to decline as the previously-assumed potential shrinks. On top of that, Facebook is ramping up spending related to monitoring the spread of fake information on its platform, which reduces profitability.

Twitter is removing millions of fake accounts which is causing its user numbers to decline, and since Twitter is fairly cryptic about the types of information they release, investors don't have very much information to judge user engagement on, so the uncertainty of declining "users" causes them to view the stock as riskier, hence the price decline. On top of that, this quarter Twitter suffered an unexpected decline in the active user base (which they said the fake accounts were never included in), so the very small decline in active users when analysts were expecting a small increase causes them to also re-evaluate the future profitability of the company.

Tech, more than perhaps any other industry, is prone to large price swings because technology is so prone to disruption and more speculative than other industries. These swings this week are big, they're not the demise of the tech industry or a harbinger of things to come.
deerlion
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July 27, 2018, 04:08:27 PM
 #3

Search in google.com for twitter share price today

Twitter is down -18% today

Is this the beginning of the end of .com and tech bubbles ??

I don't think its just tech stocks, Almost every stock looks overpriced compared to their earnings.  I've seen a lot of speculation of another crash that will be even bigger than 2008.  Everything right now is a bubble, stocks, real estate etc.

Looks like facebook is also down a large amount as well.

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TheBiochemist
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July 27, 2018, 04:10:14 PM
 #4

At least there seem to be some overvaluations in the social media sector. Facebook recently took a dive as well and their user bases had to stagnate somewhere. When that happens the speculation driven prices will start to come down and if this continues along with weak earnings we can go way down, this being just the start.

If it spreads to other tech stocks, even google then it seems you could be right, and we will see a wider bubble pop. Lets see where it goes Smiley

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First77
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July 27, 2018, 04:14:07 PM
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]I don't think its just tech stocks, Almost every stock looks overpriced compared to their earnings.  I've seen a lot of speculation of another crash that will be even bigger than 2008.  Everything right now is a bubble, stocks, real estate etc. Looks like facebook is also down a large amount as well.

I agree 100%. Those cartel of giant banks/scammers are at work in stock markets. They get Billions and billions of dollars from people as "wealth management etc.." and they throw billions into stock markets. Money creating money [ponzi].

HSBC was involved in $100 billion money laundering.
cyberlilith
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July 27, 2018, 05:24:17 PM
 #6

What a surprise! NOT!

Facebook down by 20%, as expected twitter will follow. Who's next? Google? Amazon?

Someone is on massive short. Where would that money go? Guess where.
The Pharmacist
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July 27, 2018, 05:40:04 PM
 #7

I don't think its just tech stocks, Almost every stock looks overpriced compared to their earnings.  
I don't know about that.  The stocks I own, which are mostly S&P 500 stocks, have been doing pretty well.  Definitely not dropping 20% or thereabouts.  This is a much-needed correction for social media stocks, because unlike bigger businesses with real earnings, the P/E on Twitter, Facebook, and the like are much higher than average.  It's not surprising to me they've dropped like they did.  There's kind of a flight to safety happening, where people want to own more stable companies with real earnings, and that happens once investors realize how inflated these stocks have gotten and how much of a bubble it could be.

That said, I do agree that a lot of stocks have gotten out of the comfort zone of value investors, and that includes blue chips and the rest.  The stock market has gone a little mad in the past 5 years.  A selloff is normal, though.

Yes, Google and amazon are next. Facebook, twitter, google, amazon will fall by -40% to -60%.
If you really believe that with all your heart, you ought to sell some of those stocks short--you could make a huge profit if they do fall. 

First77
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July 28, 2018, 12:20:19 AM
 #8

If you really believe that with all your heart, you ought to sell some of those stocks short--you could make a huge profit if they do fall.  

That $1 Trillion should come to Gold and Silver.
Hydrogen
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July 28, 2018, 02:55:09 AM
 #9

Not many are aware of this but both facebook and twitter have been accused of pushing anti right wing political stances which could be linked to their userbase shrinking and eventual stock declines on decreased advertising revenue. This has been an ongoing accusation since at least 2016 with Milo Yiannopoulus and others being banned. They stopped banning right wing accounts when Milo's twitter ban boosted his book sales overnight by something like 300% iirc.

There has been a call for right wingers to move to a social media platform that is more independent and less politically biased. Many right wingers left twitter/facebook and moved to gab.ai. This could be part of the reason coinbase recently banned gab.ai's coinbase account for seemingly no reason.

There could be political agendas or some type of political war being waged here behind the scenes. Of which facebook & twitter could now be paying a price for doing explicit things to alienate sizable portions of their own userbase.

First77
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July 28, 2018, 05:03:42 AM
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950 replies in 15 days

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4664341.0
mostkey
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July 28, 2018, 05:36:10 AM
 #11

Yes it is with the declining users both from Facebook and from Twitter who deleted some of their dead accounts, to turn these stocks very warmly in talks in other well-known media, Facebook shares became the main spotlight in the closing session with the fall of 20% becoming a loss great for Mark Zuckerberg / Facebook, in the near future there will be user delays and warnings in some time have an impact on income decline, unfortunately, this incident is much related to others. things that are political and similar after the abuse of personal user data.
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