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Author Topic: Bitcoin Price in late December 2018 ! The giant cristal ball.  (Read 291 times)
trgnn (OP)
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July 30, 2018, 06:02:23 PM
 #1

I have unfortunately no answer.

But I'm starting a little experiment. I don't know if we will turn into a giant cristal ball or not but this isn't the part I'm interested in anyway. Actually, I'm wondering if the crowd, if the people, can be more accurate than Tone Vays and alikes, more accurate than all the self called specialists in the space. So I made a short survey and I hope to be able to collect a few hundreds and maybe a few thousands answers. Thanks in advance guys, it's only a few seconds of your time and it can be fun !


Here's the survey !
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1v4qiO3I9Q7zvLijHBHyyZ60jlZbW-unl0ZzUTuwAdhk

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July 30, 2018, 06:35:40 PM
 #2


, it's only a few seconds of your time



trgnn (OP)
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July 30, 2018, 07:31:32 PM
 #3


, it's only a few seconds of your time





T_T

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July 30, 2018, 07:32:43 PM
 #4

50'000, of course.




...




trgnn (OP)
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July 30, 2018, 08:20:02 PM
 #5

50'000, of course.




...






lol

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July 30, 2018, 09:02:06 PM
Merited by The Sceptical Chymist (1)
 #6

As I said many times, there is really no point making these ''predictions''. They aren't predictions, they are inventions. There is no analysis capable of giving accurate results when it comes to that time frame. At most with technical analysis you can make educated guesses short term. Fundamental analysis might allow you to make longer term predictions but they can't be very accurate.

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.a.


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trgnn (OP)
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July 30, 2018, 09:43:05 PM
Last edit: July 30, 2018, 10:29:07 PM by trgnn
 #7

As I said many times, there is really no point making these ''predictions''. They aren't predictions, they are inventions. There is no analysis capable of giving accurate results when it comes to that time frame. At most with technical analysis you can make educated guesses short term. Fundamental analysis might allow you to make longer term predictions but they can't be very accurate.

As explained in the first post it's not about Bitcoin price, it's about specialists educated knowledge / guesses VS crowd knowledge / guesses. It's a probabilistic experiment and I personally don't really care about the BTC price. I'm bullish on it, but that's also irrelevant here. English isn't my first language so maybe it wasn't clear enough.

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July 31, 2018, 03:42:02 AM
 #8

So I made a short survey and I hope to be able to collect a few hundreds and maybe a few thousands answers.

unless you sticky this on the front page of /r/bitcoin i don't see you getting more than a dozen answers. i hope i am wrong though. you can see a list of "predictions" here which actually was giving incentive (0.125BTC) to the closest guess and it didn't get that many replies: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4710399.msg43025808#msg43025808
(i waited for last minute to join but i missed the deadline Roll Eyes)

ps. make sure to share the result of your poll with us later on.

.
.BLACKJACK ♠ FUN.
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July 31, 2018, 08:45:42 AM
 #9

At end of this year i think it will creep back up to 20k again. Hopefully it won't dump back down like it did this year, and the new norm will be in the twenties
trgnn (OP)
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July 31, 2018, 05:17:55 PM
 #10

So I made a short survey and I hope to be able to collect a few hundreds and maybe a few thousands answers.

unless you sticky this on the front page of /r/bitcoin i don't see you getting more than a dozen answers. i hope i am wrong though. you can see a list of "predictions" here which actually was giving incentive (0.125BTC) to the closest guess and it didn't get that many replies: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4710399.msg43025808#msg43025808
(i waited for last minute to join but i missed the deadline Roll Eyes)

ps. make sure to share the result of your poll with us later on.

Thank for the tip mate!

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July 31, 2018, 07:10:21 PM
 #11

In December 2018 bitcoin prices will range between $10,000 - $12,000. In this year will not be like in 2017, because at this time the market is very unhealthy.
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July 31, 2018, 07:24:20 PM
 #12

So sad that you didn't provide option of answer like from XkUSD to XXUSD or XXUSD to XXUSD. There is too much room when you look into 2 next options of answer. Please, if you can, fix that Smiley
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July 31, 2018, 08:43:11 PM
 #13

As I said many times, there is really no point making these ''predictions''. They aren't predictions, they are inventions. There is no analysis capable of giving accurate results when it comes to that time frame. At most with technical analysis you can make educated guesses short term. Fundamental analysis might allow you to make longer term predictions but they can't be very accurate.

As explained in the first post it's not about Bitcoin price, it's about specialists educated knowledge / guesses VS crowd knowledge / guesses. It's a probabilistic experiment and I personally don't really care about the BTC price. I'm bullish on it, but that's also irrelevant here. English isn't my first language so maybe it wasn't clear enough.

Unfortunately when you look at the ''experts'' predictions, they never match, not even close. Some ceo of some company said bitcoin will reach 40k this year. Someone else actually said 65k, that's not a small difference. Point being is that even if the ''experts'' can't agree then what's the point of making these predictions? Of course being bullish on bitcoin is something else, you are not necessarily making an accurate prediction.

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.a.


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July 31, 2018, 10:34:09 PM
 #14

I think that the price will easily touch more than ten thousand dollars by the end of the year, we all should wait a little bit longer, anyway, predictions are not accurated.
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July 31, 2018, 11:39:32 PM
 #15

i still sense a lot of ranging in our future. both bulls and bears gonna get cucked! $6500-$17000.

Actually, I'm wondering if the crowd, if the people, can be more accurate than Tone Vays and alikes, more accurate than all the self called specialists in the space.

ah, dem self-styled experts! tone vays' TA is terrible---although he is not too bad at reading sentiment and landing on the right side of it.

but when it comes to altcoins, do yourself a favor and do the opposite of what he says. every altcoin he says is a scam ends up making massive gains. once a coin hits his scam radar, it's a buy! Tongue

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August 01, 2018, 08:00:46 PM
 #16

I think that the price will easily touch more than ten thousand dollars by the end of the year, we all should wait a little bit longer, anyway, predictions are not accurated.

Yes, you're right but look it's just only Speculation board of the bitcointalk forum, that's why people are trying to predict the right price of 1 BTC in exact date/period of time. In my opinion price between 12-14kUSD is very realistic Smiley
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August 01, 2018, 08:09:24 PM
 #17

My crystal ball says it is 30 000 USD. Or maybe even 40 000 US Dollars.
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August 03, 2018, 12:42:56 AM
 #18

As I said many times, there is really no point making these ''predictions''. They aren't predictions, they are inventions. There is no analysis capable of giving accurate results when it comes to that time frame. At most with technical analysis you can make educated guesses short term. Fundamental analysis might allow you to make longer term predictions but they can't be very accurate.

As explained in the first post it's not about Bitcoin price, it's about specialists educated knowledge / guesses VS crowd knowledge / guesses. It's a probabilistic experiment and I personally don't really care about the BTC price. I'm bullish on it, but that's also irrelevant here. English isn't my first language so maybe it wasn't clear enough.

Unfortunately when you look at the ''experts'' predictions, they never match, not even close. Some ceo of some company said bitcoin will reach 40k this year. Someone else actually said 65k, that's not a small difference. Point being is that even if the ''experts'' can't agree then what's the point of making these predictions? Of course being bullish on bitcoin is something else, you are not necessarily making an accurate prediction.

The year isn't over and well, second, as stated, it's not about getting an accurate prediction about the price but an accurate prediction about the predictions Cheesy

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August 03, 2018, 03:30:57 AM
 #19

I have unfortunately no answer.

But I'm starting a little experiment. I don't know if we will turn into a giant cristal ball or not but this isn't the part I'm interested in anyway. Actually, I'm wondering if the crowd, if the people, can be more accurate than Tone Vays and alikes, more accurate than all the self called specialists in the space. So I made a short survey and I hope to be able to collect a few hundreds and maybe a few thousands answers. Thanks in advance guys, it's only a few seconds of your time and it can be fun !


Here's the survey !
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1v4qiO3I9Q7zvLijHBHyyZ60jlZbW-unl0ZzUTuwAdhk

Many experts predict that the price of Bitcoin, many experts are right in predicting but not a few experts missed the prediction, this is due to the nature of interoperable Bitcoin prices which make the fluctuation of Bitcoin prices quite extreme.
trgnn (OP)
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August 03, 2018, 03:21:32 PM
 #20

I have unfortunately no answer.

But I'm starting a little experiment. I don't know if we will turn into a giant cristal ball or not but this isn't the part I'm interested in anyway. Actually, I'm wondering if the crowd, if the people, can be more accurate than Tone Vays and alikes, more accurate than all the self called specialists in the space. So I made a short survey and I hope to be able to collect a few hundreds and maybe a few thousands answers. Thanks in advance guys, it's only a few seconds of your time and it can be fun !


Here's the survey !
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1v4qiO3I9Q7zvLijHBHyyZ60jlZbW-unl0ZzUTuwAdhk

Many experts predict that the price of Bitcoin, many experts are right in predicting but not a few experts missed the prediction, this is due to the nature of interoperable Bitcoin prices which make the fluctuation of Bitcoin prices quite extreme.

Can you explain further ?

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