I think that there is good chance for rebranding and a different team taking over (MT)Gox.com and within a month or so everything will be "ok" or even better.
Some points and evidence:
1. The leaked document was published Before the website halted trading and shut down. While the document itself has a schedule for the shut down and halt of trade to the exact time (I.E morning time in Japan, Tuesday the 25th).
2. The Gox.com evidence is pretty strong as well; I.E the redirect to MTGox.com, the name of Mark showing on the registry within the last few days and of course the fact that a 3-letters domain is very expensive. For those who don't know, there is no 3-letters combination that is not taken already in the .com space, and possibly in the .net as well.
3. The amount of Bitcoins that was traded during the super low prices on MTGox are around 750,000 btc.
4. Hours before the document was leaked MTGox had a surge of bidding coming in for $100-$110, it was about 15-20k BTC bidding war. As if someone("s") knew people are going to sell massively to those low prices. Furthermore, after the price went down and those 15-20k BTCs were sold on the way down, another ~10K were bought on the way up. This was a super unusual activity in terms of size, even for these last weeks which had huge volumes. This means there is a connection between the document and the trade on MTGox, which clearly has a link to a potential success with the #1 bullet on the document itself.
5. MTGox said that they want to "will provide more information as soon as possible to keep everyone in the loop." Which sounds like there is something secretive going on behind the scenes that only few knows about. It fits well with a new team taking over or a major security issue or both.
6. When a company say what MTGox has been saying in the past few weeks about re-enabling withdrawals repeatedly... They have liabilities, legal liabilities, because in a future court case if it can be demonstrated that they had no way and/or intention on doing so, then they mislead the public using official statements. That can very easily help a "bad faith" liability charge to be accepted in court which would make the management personally responsible. In other words, it is inconsistent with many of the FUD being spread, while it is very consistent with a new team taking over and/or making a joint venture to rebrand and/or restructure etc.
7. The document suggested that the support of MTGox will be available during the shutdown in order to allow "customers" to ask for their accounts' history/records etc, which is of extreme importance(!) and I sent an email using the still technically working support and got verification email and automatic responses as if everything is still working in terms of support. I haven't had a personal reply from the support, but again it shows consistency with the document.
There are a few more notes to be taken, but I think I listed enough,
Obviously, as I do hold some GOXBTC I do also Hope, it is the case and that us, MTGox's customers will see our money back. I really do.
By the way, at first I accepted it was all lost, but now with all the new evidence surfacing, it seems hope is not lost, there is a good chance that a rebrand and a new team is exactly what is going on, on top of making the customers whole.
I do not confuse hope with facts and odds with evidence. If you stay nutral and just look at the information in front of you, the most logical and consistent thesis to be made is a take-over and/or rebranding and/or restructuring. At this point I would like to also add the fact that MTGox could have disclosed the (in)solvency issue many, many times - that fact they chose not to, shows that most chances are there is a very serious issue related to it, an issue that might be resolved with a take-over and therefore requires silence until the other party/ies are ready to reveal everything.
This is also consistent with what Mark said here:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/02/25/us-bitcoin-mtgox-ceo-idUSBREA1O12T20140225 specifically this part :
I can't tell much more for now as this also involves other parties.
