Sports Betting Picks

[brian123321]

I am not sure if this is the appropriate forum to post this.  If not please message me and we can remove this and move it to where it should me.  I am creating this thread because i saw another user had one similar to this a few days ago.  I may have been mistaken on the location of his thread though.

I have been making sports picks for quite some time.  I am nailed down NCAAB and it has been my most profitable sport to make picks on.  I wish i would have thought of doing this earlier but like i mentioned above i saw someone else doing this so thought i would post some picks as well.

I play almost all sports, however there are certain sports i am stronger in.

Here is a breakdown of the sports from strongest to weakest

1. NCAAB
2. NFL
3. MLB
4. NCAAF
5. NBA

I will start posting the daily plays i myself play.  Hopefully if anyone bets on a bitcoin site around here i can help make them some money.  If i do make you some money over the course of a week, month, season etc and you feel like showing your appreciation (which is certainly not required) feel free to send a tip to the following address:

1PyqHAuUU54Bk53XFwGoYAGciovHtL7CEL

I also begain tracking my plays recently, i dont upload all my plays when i make them into the tracking sheet.  Sometimes i upload them before the game starts sometimes i do them all at once at the end of the day.  Basically it depends on how busy i am at the time.

You can see that here: http://narwhalpicks.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

Anyways i had a couple plays already today.  My first two plays won, my third play is looking okay, covering by 4 with some time left and my fourth play just started.

I have some more plays for today so ill start by posting those

March 1:

Portland +4
Brown +9

these games are about to start in 10min so i need to put the picks in myself.  Ill be back in a few min to post the final 3 plays i have today.

*Edited the portland spread.  I had put the number i capped it at instead of actual line.*

*Edited removed boise st, was not a play read the spread wrong, again i made this post in a hurry mistakes like that wont happen in the future*

[brian123321]

The next two plays that start at 630est

Tennessee St +12.5
Murray St +1.5

I have one more play in a couple hours that i will post in a little while

[brian123321]

Last NCAAB play i am making today is:

Northern Arizona +10.5

I will have some NBA plays ill post here also.  My NBA plays are not strong at all and have run 50% since i started tracking them although there are only 4 total tracked plays i believe

[brian123321]

NBA March 1:

Orlando +14
Philadelphia +11.5

i have a few more i will make

[brian123321]

New Orleans +11.5

[brian123321]

Last play today will be

Cleveland +9

[brian123321]

Sitting at 5-3 in NCAAB for the day (includes picks from earlier today that are in my tracking spreadsheet that i linked).

Should be sitting 6-2 but murray misses 2 free throws (1 of which would have won the game) with 4 seconds left to go into double overtime.  Eh oh well.

One more NCAAB basketball play left and 4 NBA picks left (although i have not yet mastered NBA picks).

I am heading out for the night and will post an update later this evening when i return as to the final tally.

Good luck to anyone who is following the plays, hopefully i can win you some money tonight or in the future.

[brian123321]

Finished 6-3 in NCAAB Bets.  Lost all NBA bets except one which i pushed.  I am still working on my NBA capping.  The strategy i use for the NCAAB does not seem to carry over to the NBA.  Ill stop posting NBA picks until i can tweak my NBA system to find consistent winners.

I should have more NCAAB plays tomorrow and ill post them here before the games start.

I am going to clear out the NBA bets from my tracking sheet since it is clear that the strategy i use for them does not work and i will not be using it going forward.  Like i said above i am going to need to tweak some things and do some back checking to figure out what i need to add or remove

[brian123321]

March 2nd

Went 6-3 Yesterday in college basketball.  Have at least a couple more plays today.  First play starts in about 20 min. 

NCAAB:

Depaul +14.5


I will post some more plays a little later.

[brian123321]

Depaul was a winner.

Next play is at 4est

Texas San Antonio +18

[brian123321]

That is going to be the last play today.  Only two plays

link to tracking sheet for NCAAB: http://narwhalpicks.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

Good luck to anyone who decides to follow.

[brian123321]

Texas San Antonio is also a winner!

Finished the day 2-0

8-3 since yesterday and 33-12 since i started tracking for +19.80 Units.

I will be back tomorrow to post Monday plays if i have any.

[brian123321]

March 3

I think i will have 2 plays this evening.

I need to watch the lines of both games to make sure they do not move because they are right on the cusps if becoming a no play.

One of the games is at 7pm est and the other game is at 9pm est.

I am going to wait until 6:45pm est and 845pm est before deciding to make the plays.  I will post an update here if i decide to make a play on those games around those times.

[brian123321]

Navy +10.5

Very sorry about the literally last minute post.  I had lost track of time building a fire and then realized when there was 2 min left until tip-off and had to get the play in myself before posting.  If the later game is indeed a play ill post it around the time i noted previously and it wont be last minute like this one.

[brian123321]

Second play of the evening is

Montana St +9

[brian123321]

Finished the day 2-0

Thats 10-3 since i started posting here and brings total record since tracking to 35-12 for 74% and +21.80 units.

Ill be back tomorrow to post any plays if i am some.

[zneww]

Finished the day 2-0

Thats 10-3 since i started posting here and brings total record since tracking to 35-12 for 74% and +21.80 units.

Ill be back tomorrow to post any plays if i am some.

Look forward to you next picks. Ill throw you some btc for sure.

[Sindelar1938]

Hmm will start tracking you from now

May be the time to get active again on bitbook

[brian123321]

Finished the day 2-0

Thats 10-3 since i started posting here and brings total record since tracking to 35-12 for 74% and +21.80 units.

Ill be back tomorrow to post any plays if i am some.

Look forward to you next picks. Ill throw you some btc for sure.

As always there are streaks in everything so make sure betting with proper bankroll management.  Personally i like to bet no more than 2% of my bankroll on any given game and i highly suggest following that if not less (1%).

There is nothing i hate more than having a losing day when i know people are tailing.  Good luck if you end up tailing and please dont put down anything you cant afford to lose.  Hopefully ill make you some extra BTC for the remainder of the NCAAB season (sunday is basically the last game of the season).

[brian123321]

Hmm will start tracking you from now

May be the time to get active again on bitbook

Glad to hear it.  Like i mentioned in the first post, college basketball is my strongest sport.  I have a system i use for the MLB that i started tracking very late last season.  I believe it was hitting around 57% - 60%, somewhere in there but like i said i did not have a lot plays with it since i started so late in the season.  Also there is no way (that i know of) to back track that system so when it starts this year ill only betting 1/4th a unit for awhile to get a better idea of how it runs.

College football i have always been pretty decent in.  However, this past year was brutal which got me tilting (have to use a poker lingo to describe the feeling) and took a dive from there.  Took a little while to get my confidence back towards the last few bowl games.  That being said im already preparing for next season.  I am backtracking a new system.  Towards the end of bowl season i noticed a major flaw on how i capped college football games, something that i incorporate into college basketball.  I am implementing that into my college football capping and back tracking the numbers from this past season and the season before so i will be ready come next season. 

I tend to always do pretty well in the NFL but there are very few games compared to NCAAB and NCAAF.

And that brings me to the NBA.  I cant figure the NBA out.  I use the same numbers for NFL capping as i do with NCAAF.  However, the major flaw in my capping of college football does not come into play in the NFL, which would explain why i would always have success in the NFL while sometimes going on bad streaks in NCAAF.  I originally tried using the same numbers i use in college basketball to cap NBA but it just does not work.  Either that or it has swings that are bigger than i am willing to take (i hate swings).  Every once in awhile i will go back to the drawing board and try to find something for the NBA but i have not found it yet.  There are some factors present in the NBA which lead me to believe why this but i have yet to have the time back track using those factors (it is going to be very time consuming and very tedious.