Bitcoin Forum
May 07, 2024, 09:04:03 AM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register More  
Pages: « 1 2 [3]  All
  Print  
Author Topic: It's that time again! Rally is coming soon :)  (Read 4063 times)
BTCurious
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 714
Merit: 504


^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.


View Profile
November 01, 2011, 10:44:57 PM
 #41

Let me rephrase that then:

It only takes some lucky media attention to spark an influx of cash, and a corresponding rally, especially when we start off with a rather extreme volatility like this.

So what you are saying is that its media share is low. There are a lot of people that don't know about Bitcoin who might want in so it has the potential to increase in price. This has nothing to do with the dollar value. If the price was $1000 per coin and the general knowledge situation was the same would it also be a low price?

Hmm, what do I mean?
The current situation of bitcoin looks very much like an unstable balance. Most people think its price will either increase, and increase a lot, or decrease, and decrease a lot, maybe even die. Apart from that, there are a number of events going which might spark a large new interest in bitcoin, e.g. occupy wallstreet, but also bitcoin being mentioned a lot at Constellation's Connected Enterprise 2011.

Thinking about it, I believe you're right, it has nothing to do with the dollar value in itself, only with the bitcoin situation being at a tipping point. The reason the tipping point is there, is conflicting signals. There seems to be potential external interest, but the exchange rate has been dropping. Which of these impulses is going to prevail?

i think tomorrow we get a large ramp in the stock mkt which will correspond to a ramp in Bitcoin.
Why would a ramping stock market correspond to a ramp in bitcoin? Wasn't the reasoning: "Stock markets are crashing! There's a lot of 'free wealth' which needs new investments! Bitcoin is ideal for that!"

1715072643
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1715072643

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1715072643
Reply with quote  #2

1715072643
Report to moderator
1715072643
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1715072643

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1715072643
Reply with quote  #2

1715072643
Report to moderator
TalkImg was created especially for hosting images on bitcointalk.org: try it next time you want to post an image
Advertised sites are not endorsed by the Bitcoin Forum. They may be unsafe, untrustworthy, or illegal in your jurisdiction.
1715072643
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1715072643

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1715072643
Reply with quote  #2

1715072643
Report to moderator
1715072643
Hero Member
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 1715072643

View Profile Personal Message (Offline)

Ignore
1715072643
Reply with quote  #2

1715072643
Report to moderator
proudhon
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311



View Profile
November 01, 2011, 10:49:01 PM
 #42

The rate of decline has slowed a bit; the price dropped $3 in September, but only $2 in October.
Actually, try putting it in Log. Then the rate of decline is actually increasing. (30% in August, 40% in September, 50% in October)
Edit: So yeah, actually not straight, as Dan said, but going faster and faster. This can also be blamed on less market depth though.

But yes, it's anyone's call. It only takes some lucky media attention to spark an influx of cash, and a corresponding rally, especially when we start off low like this.

Edit:


I don't see a single thing that could possibly induce enough incoming cash.  This thing is dying.  And it only takes another big screw-up to spark an ouflux(?) of cash, and a corresponding crash, especially when confidence is already low like this.

Bitcoin Fact: the price of bitcoin will not be greater than $70k for more than 25 consecutive days at any point in the rest of recorded human history.
cypherdoc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002



View Profile
November 01, 2011, 10:59:10 PM
 #43

Wasn't the reasoning: "Stock markets are crashing! There's a lot of 'free wealth' which needs new investments! Bitcoin is ideal for that!"

i don't know if you're referring to my reasoning but i never said that.

what i've been saying is that there appears to be a newfound revulsion of sovereign debt which appears to include US Treasuries.  if the selloff in US Treasuries continue, THAT will free up huge sums of USD's looking for a new home.
BTCurious
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 714
Merit: 504


^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.


View Profile
November 01, 2011, 11:14:44 PM
 #44

I'm not sure, I seem to remember someone saying that, and you seemed the most likely person Wink

Still though, why would a ramping stock market be good for bitcoin? By ramping you mean ramping up, right?

cypherdoc
Legendary
*
Offline Offline

Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002



View Profile
November 01, 2011, 11:30:59 PM
 #45

I'm not sure, I seem to remember someone saying that, and you seemed the most likely person Wink

Still though, why would a ramping stock market be good for bitcoin? By ramping you mean ramping up, right?

basically, when the USD goes down, all assets go up.  when the USD and UST's go down, all assets really go up.
BTCurious
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Activity: 714
Merit: 504


^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.


View Profile
November 01, 2011, 11:51:35 PM
 #46

Hm, I guess that sounds plausible Smiley

Pages: « 1 2 [3]  All
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!