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Author Topic: When there are 2,100 trillion Satoshis why the talk of scarcity?  (Read 271 times)
drmilind2004 (OP)
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October 05, 2018, 02:32:29 AM
 #1

This is the one thing I don't quite understand about the talk of Bitcoin's "scarcity value". Sure, "21 million coins only" does give the impression of scarcity prima facie. But then, each coin is divisible to the tune of one hundred million Satoshis. While currently, there's no way to transact a single Satoshi without paying significantly more transaction fees, if 1 BTC reaches US$ 200K as some analysts speculate, then even that won't remain a miniscule transaction anymore.

Thus, in effect, rather than there being 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, the effective value would qualify as: there being 2,100 trillion Satoshis in circulation. This is way beyond the wildest, furthest estimates of total global money supply.

Why then the talk about Bitcoin being in scarce supply?
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October 05, 2018, 02:58:18 AM
 #2

Currently, there are about 21 million Bitcoins and only over two-thirds of them are making the distribution to the community. However, most people don't take into consideration that these Bitcoins have been lost or intentionally canceled. In addition, there are also a large number of coins that aren't currently in use but may still be available in the future... Satoshi stash, for example, has kept large amounts of money for years and it is the largest amount of BTC owned by an individual. People think that these coins will never be spent, but in reality, Satoshi can use them at any time. Only with 21 million available Bitcoins, many believe that its scarcity and Another aspect that promises to bring about the potential for deflation. There aren't comprehensive statistics on how many Bitcoins are standing or losing forever. This can be accepted and pleasing as it just adds further speculation on the concept of scarcity.
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October 05, 2018, 03:24:16 AM
 #3

when speaking of scarcity it is mostly about bitcoin being capped. meaning the production can not go on forever unlike the fiat printing which has no cap. and usually scarcity is used in the context of speculation about the price of bitcoin. in other words they say there is only 21 million coins max so 1 coin could be worth a lot eventually.

While currently, there's no way to transact a single Satoshi without paying significantly more transaction fees,
you can not transact a single satoshi NOWADAYS because it doesn't make sense NOW. if in the future it made sense then it will also become possible to do it. it is like saying you want to pay 0.00001 dollar! well you can't because that much dollar doesn't make any sense.

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Thus, in effect, rather than there being 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, the effective value would qualify as: there being 2,100 trillion Satoshis in circulation. This is way beyond the wildest, furthest estimates of total global money supply.
well if you want to take the smallest unit of bitcoin and compare it with the total supply then you also have to take the smallest unit of each currency (ie. 1 USD = 100 cents?) and compare it that way. and you can see it is the same.

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October 05, 2018, 05:47:51 AM
 #4

You have to remember that millions of bitcoins are not in circulation. Satoshi himself has more than 1 000 000 coins that has not moved since it was mined. A lot of coins has been burnt by some owners to increase scarcity and a lot of people are hoarding coins and not making them available for trade or commerce.  Roll Eyes

Also, not all of the 21 000 000 bitcoins will be mined in our life time, so we cannot use the whole 21 000 000 as a total <available> capped total.  Wink

Last thought... A Satoshi can be divided into a smaller measure of unit.  Cool

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October 05, 2018, 06:00:28 AM
 #5

This is the one thing I don't quite understand about the talk of Bitcoin's "scarcity value". Sure, "21 million coins only" does give the impression of scarcity prima facie. But then, each coin is divisible to the tune of one hundred million Satoshis. While currently, there's no way to transact a single Satoshi without paying significantly more transaction fees, if 1 BTC reaches US$ 200K as some analysts speculate, then even that won't remain a miniscule transaction anymore.

Thus, in effect, rather than there being 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, the effective value would qualify as: there being 2,100 trillion Satoshis in circulation. This is way beyond the wildest, furthest estimates of total global money supply.

Why then the talk about Bitcoin being in scarce supply?

Its just haters thing that spreading bitcoin will not be enough when compared with world's total population but when we see it in terms of satoshi we have abundant source for usig it and moreover we have thousands of altcoins as well so there is no problem with crypto currency to be used as alternative to fiat money.









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October 05, 2018, 06:05:46 AM
 #6

This is the one thing I don't quite understand about the talk of Bitcoin's "scarcity value". Sure, "21 million coins only" does give the impression of scarcity prima facie.

The idea of scarcity is bore from the fact that Tue supply is limited, and with increased adoption and circulation, it would be a more vital fact.

But then, each coin is divisible to the tune of one hundred million Satoshis. While currently, there's no way to transact a single Satoshi without paying significantly more transaction fees, if 1 BTC reaches US$ 200K as some analysts speculate, then even that won't remain a miniscule transaction anymore.


On the basis that the currency gets so huge that most of the transactions are made in satoshis and each becomes more valuable. Buy majority of this is hoarded up already by a fee people, if the bitcoin market truly gains mass adoption, the early holders could create scarcity by hodling unto their assets. This would of course be for more profit. In the long run I believe there would be an even distribution.

Satoshi made his creation to support wide growth.

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October 05, 2018, 06:16:30 AM
 #7

There are two view points to the bitcoin scarcity you are referring. One is from the business men who are trading. In their own view, it is scarse because the volume is limited. And much of the bitcoin is not in trading circulation therefore it is scarse.

On the other hand, the mass adopters, it is abundant because at every time, there is bitcoin in the market. You sure look at the availability from this view point.


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October 05, 2018, 06:55:09 AM
 #8

This is the one thing I don't quite understand about the talk of Bitcoin's "scarcity value". Sure, "21 million coins only" does give the impression of scarcity prima facie. But then, each coin is divisible to the tune of one hundred million Satoshis. While currently, there's no way to transact a single Satoshi without paying significantly more transaction fees, if 1 BTC reaches US$ 200K as some analysts speculate, then even that won't remain a miniscule transaction anymore.

Thus, in effect, rather than there being 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, the effective value would qualify as: there being 2,100 trillion Satoshis in circulation. This is way beyond the wildest, furthest estimates of total global money supply.

Why then the talk about Bitcoin being in scarce supply?

because it doesn't matter what unit you use: 21 million bitcoins or 2100 trillion satoshis are both a limited supply, and both have the same value at the protocol level. scarcity means having a ceiling on the monetary supply, not a ceiling on the number of decimal places you can use!

if people want to start transacting in satoshis rather than BTC, it doesn't increase the number of coins in circulation. Smiley

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October 05, 2018, 11:07:52 AM
 #9

Thus, in effect, rather than there being 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, the effective value would qualify as: there being 2,100 trillion Satoshis in circulation. This is way beyond the wildest, furthest estimates of total global money supply.

Why then the talk about Bitcoin being in scarce supply?

1. People think in Bitcoins. This is not good at this price, but that's the reality.
2. There's already a minimum amount of Bitcoin you can send through the network. It was 5500 satoshi some years ago, I don't know if it has change. Smaller amounts than that don't really matter, so your 2.1 trillion satoshi needs to be somehow redefined by that amount.
3. No matter how big it is, it's a finite number. The results are:
i. As more people put some Bitcoins away for long time (HODL) some will not get to get a slice of the pie as big as they'd like.
ii. As there are plenty of ways to lose Bitcoin, from death to losing the private key/seed. Those will never get replaced.
The result is that the amount of Bitcoin in circulation/available to buy is not great (and the number is declining over time), causing people call it "scarce".

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October 05, 2018, 11:30:06 AM
 #10

Last year,during the major bitcoin forks,some forum member was asking a similar question.
"If bitcoin/blockchain can be divided into two separate coins/blockchains,why do we keep talking about scarcity and limited supply?"The Bitcoin Core supporters have an easy answer to this:"The fork just creates another altcoin out of bitcoin.It's not creating new bitcoins for free."
I'm not sure that this answer helps newbies to better understand btc.

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October 05, 2018, 12:04:25 PM
 #11

IMO this is not only about the 21-M hard cap of bitcoin but also the fact that day by day, more and more bitcoins are being lost into oblivion, thus a factor added towards scarcity. True that bitcoin can be sent in minute amounts, though only at a certain extent since the network only allows a certain number of satoshis to be sent, otherwise it would be considered as 'dust' by most wallets.

It's easy to say that bitcoins are divisible into satoshis thus there should be no problems for 'scarcity', but that excludes the idea of dust outputs, minimum amount to be sent allowed by the network (CMIIW) and the number of lost coins due to carelessness and forgetfulness.

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October 05, 2018, 12:50:49 PM
 #12

This deficit is created artificially so that the price of Bitcoin increases, but there is no deficit because the Pocaitcoin is not used so widely among the masses that there is a shortage
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October 05, 2018, 12:58:31 PM
 #13

If it is 2,100 thousand billion satellites, then it is 21 million Bitcoins. People use only satoshi to calculate small amounts but we will still use Bitcoin to trade. We can not use satoshi to trade so Bitcoin is still in short supply.

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ralle14
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October 05, 2018, 01:22:32 PM
 #14

we have thousands of altcoins as well so there is no problem with crypto currency to be used as alternative to fiat money.
The problem with using altcoins is that not all of them are accepted by merchants who currently accept Bitcoin. Having alts is not the same as having Bitcoin.  I would rather have 1 Bitcoin than have one of each altcoins because most of them are only used for trading purposes.


People use only satoshi to calculate small amounts but we will still use Bitcoin to trade. We can not use satoshi to trade so Bitcoin is still in short supply.
For now we don't use satoshi because it's not worth anything. Currently satoshi is mainly used for faucets and to calculate transaction fees.


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October 05, 2018, 01:42:58 PM
 #15

This is the one thing I don't quite understand about the talk of Bitcoin's "scarcity value". Sure, "21 million coins only" does give the impression of scarcity prima facie. But then, each coin is divisible to the tune of one hundred million Satoshis. While currently, there's no way to transact a single Satoshi without paying significantly more transaction fees, if 1 BTC reaches US$ 200K as some analysts speculate, then even that won't remain a miniscule transaction anymore.

Thus, in effect, rather than there being 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, the effective value would qualify as: there being 2,100 trillion Satoshis in circulation. This is way beyond the wildest, furthest estimates of total global money supply.

Why then the talk about Bitcoin being in scarce supply?


The result of a recent study of the company Chainalysis on the state of the Bitcoin network, says that 36% of BTC is lost in circulation, 22% is used by speculators and investors' assets are 30%.

Therefore, the number of Bitcoin is much smaller and will be even smaller over the years.
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October 07, 2018, 07:23:51 AM
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This is the one thing I don't quite understand about the talk of Bitcoin's "scarcity value". Sure, "21 million coins only" does give the impression of scarcity prima facie. But then, each coin is divisible to the tune of one hundred million Satoshis. While currently, there's no way to transact a single Satoshi without paying significantly more transaction fees, if 1 BTC reaches US$ 200K as some analysts speculate, then even that won't remain a miniscule transaction anymore.

Thus, in effect, rather than there being 21 million Bitcoins in circulation, the effective value would qualify as: there being 2,100 trillion Satoshis in circulation. This is way beyond the wildest, furthest estimates of total global money supply.

Why then the talk about Bitcoin being in scarce supply?


The result of a recent study of the company Chainalysis on the state of the Bitcoin network, says that 36% of BTC is lost in circulation, 22% is used by speculators and investors' assets are 30%.

Therefore, the number of Bitcoin is much smaller and will be even smaller over the years.

since their "analysis" is only based on whether the coins have moved for a certain amount of time or not it is obvious that the amount of bitcoins lost is far less than the amount that they came up with. the reason is obviously the coins that are not moving only mean that someone has purchased and stored them for long term. and we all know in bitcoin many people do this.

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October 07, 2018, 08:51:26 AM
 #17

A significant amount of Bitcoin is lost in circulation. It is speculated that more bitcoins can be lost in the future if something is not done to prevent it.


Isn't that a good thing? Since people and investors wants their investment to give them great profit in time, the less the total supply of Bitcoin is that means the more the demand or price will increase.

I don't know how will these Bitcoins will be lost as you've said it but I don't think it will happen that easily. In the past a lot of Bitcoins are lost, with the total supply being deducted by that, as the OP says that the price increases at that height, it will be really great but don't forget the transactions fees here. Even the price goes that high, the transaction fees will still be there.
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October 07, 2018, 09:20:06 AM
 #18

the same simple reason why we say something like gold is scarce while there is seemingly a lot of it (tons of gold) in existence and more is mined. it is not about how much the number looks to you, it is about how much demand is for that available supply.

for example there are altcoins with much small supplies (eg 42 coin which has 42 coins!) but you can not call them "scarce" because they are useless.

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November 16, 2018, 10:51:56 PM
 #19

The simplest explanation would be based on the principle of demand and supply. It is always surprising to see people complaining about the scarcity of bitcoin on the crypto market. Personally, I think the  amount of circulating satoshies  is too much, maybe a lesser amount could even suffice. People confuse themselves whenever there is a less amount of circulating bitcoin on the crypto market.
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November 16, 2018, 11:09:34 PM
 #20

It's understandable that people complain about the scarcity, people just afraid that they won't get a part of Bitcoin, for me it's just a psychology thing, when something is valuable they will afraid that it won't be enough, if compare Bitcoin and world population then it will seem not enough, but we got alt coin that people can buy, and not all people are into Bitcoin


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