If the bull market recur periodically, how long dose a cycle take?

[RomanPoman]

If it was possible to predict the length of the cycle, then there would be only millionaires on this forum In the speculation section there are thousands of posts about what will happen in the near future. And as usual, some believe that at the end of this year the price of BTC will be above $10k, and others that it will fall to $4k. I think that the truth is in the middle and the price should start growing slowly now. So in my opinion, we are at the beginning of new cicle.

This.
No one can exactly predict the timeframes of each market cycle but it is likely that the price will grow more steadily with all of the recent hype having cooled off.

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[Cryptopiana]

The last Bitcoin bear market lasted a few years of slow sideways.
There certainly isn't any exact math to "guessing" how long this one or the next one will last.

Instead just sit back and keep an eye out for big moves, once it starts "really" moving and breaks out of this sideways you'll know real quick.

[pooya87]

there is no rule for these things, even in other markets and even if bitcoin was a much bigger and older market. a bull market depends on a lot of factors and those factors determine the size and length of the trend. for instance last year we had multiple bull runs, starting with the "close to previous ATH and breaking it bull run" then followed by the "mass adoption in Japan" bull run and finally the "SegWit bull run" and each of these took a different amount of time. some may consider all these as one big bull run but if you see the bubbles of each round and the correction of them with the downtrend and the accumulation phases you can see they weren't exactly linked.

[blackbold]

If the bull market recur periodically, like what happened in late 2017, how long dose a cycle would take? It seems at least longer than a year now..

to exceed the highest price record as in 2017, it takes a lot of breakouts, because at the time of the decreasing prices, there are many breakouts that penetrate the resistance line

[Kakmakr]

No matter what people say, there are no predictable pattern. Bitcoin is based on supply & demand and that determines the value. The stock markets usually have a 10 year cycle, where stock prices will grow and after about 10 years a correction will happen. Bitcoin is not even 10 years old, so we do not have enough long-term data to predict anything.

I say, wait another 20 years and see if you can recognise a fixed pattern then, because it is way too early to do it down, with the data that we have now. 

[jseverson]

If we compare crypto time scale to dot com  bubble time scale, we are 3-6 months way from The start.

Start of what?

The bull market being recurring seems to imply that it's completely natural and that it just happens. Well it doesn't; there are always several factors beside each one, so unless you're able to predict an event that will spark a sustained rally, you really won't know when it will happen. It certainly doesn't come with time, unless it has been established that investors tend to do this and that every few periods or whatever.

For what it's worth, some people believe that an ETF approval will start a bull run. We don't know for sure if it will though, of course.

[St4yInTh3D4rk]

If the bull market recur periodically, like what happened in late 2017, how long dose a cycle would take? It seems at least longer than a year now..

As others stated there is not enough data we have yet for predicting the cycle of crypt currencies but actually the bull run after 2013 is at 2018 which almost going throughout this year but it will be expected to soon before the time taken of bear run so we may hope for a better run at the beginning or at first quarter of 2019.

[bitbunnny]

You can't predict the next bull run, at least not for sure. In fact, it's like any other prediction, something you can't rely on.
It's true that many things connected with Bitcoin happen periodicaly but you can't predict the next cycle of bull run, you don't have any relevant data for that. Besides, it's too many factors you can't control and envisage like investors and market.

[Jating]

If the bull market recur periodically, like what happened in late 2017, how long dose a cycle would take? It seems at least longer than a year now..

If we're going to look at the historical logs, bull run seems to occur every 2 years. But its not a good estimates as we all know that past performances doesn't mean future success in this market.

But if you look at the next possible bull run which is 2020,  we will be having the next "bitcoin halving" that may trigger the a bull run. I'm sure that the demand will increase as bitcoin will be scarce and limited so everyone  will want to get their hands on that "precious" bitcoins.

[nicster551]

If the bull market recur periodically, like what happened in late 2017, how long dose a cycle would take? It seems at least longer than a year now..

No one knows, but maybe it will occur step by step and months by months like what happened when it rallied last year. Hope that it will be long though.

[iASIC]

If the bull market recur periodically, like what happened in late 2017, how long dose a cycle would take? It seems at least longer than a year now..

The market will change over time and you should not expect it to arrive too soon. I think Bitcoin will not be as strong as the previous pump. It will slowly grow but its value is always strong and makes us feel safe investing in it. I think the market will take more than 2 years to get back to its peak.

[coinwizard_]

There is no accurate pattern to follow but the overall trend is that the price swings up and down and the period of stagnation can last over a year. Eventually the bull market will return but no one can tell you when

[zhanyiguai261315]

The market is hard to predict, like the bull market at the end of 2017 is a hundred years!
The market is changing rapidly, and any information can change the market trend!
Be good at analyzing the market and seize the opportunity, you can make money!

[MMS2017]

Crypto market is uncertain and we can not say that bull market will recover the whole market and it is not sure that one move of bull can make bitcoin good, Bitcoin is good at all and the market is good now and bitcoin price is stable for the whole month while bull run is required for the growth of bitcoin.

[hashshashin]

The market is hard to predict, like the bull market at the end of 2017 is a hundred years!
The market is changing rapidly, and any information can change the market trend!
Be good at analyzing the market and seize the opportunity, you can make money!

Unfortunately (or fortunately) the news can no longer fundamentally influence the market situation and prices, as was the case last year, but you need to understand that the market is really volatile, unpredictable and anything can happen in the future.

[TBboys]

If the bull market recur periodically, like what happened in late 2017, how long dose a cycle would take? It seems at least longer than a year now..

I don't think that the past experience can be used to prove the future trend. In my opinion, the market in 2017 is very different from the market situation in 2018. We can't because it happened at the end of 2017, and take it for granted that it will happen at the end of this year, which is logically wrong.

[Kasen Matthews]

Bull Market is the main driving source for any bitcoin investors. But the bitcoin is volatile and decentralised. Also its only 10 years since its birth. So its difficult for it to find any pattern yet, so just go with your instinct.

[ICOMain.io]

The opposite of a bull market is a bear market, which is characterized by falling prices and typically shrouded in pessimism. The use of "bull" and "bear" to describe markets comes from the way the animals attack their opponents. A bull thrusts its horns up into the air, while a bear swipes its paws downward. These actions are metaphors for the movement of a market. If the trend is up, it's a bull market. If the trend is down, it's a bear market.

Bull and bear markets often coincide with the economic cycle, which consists of four phases: expansion, peak, contraction and trough. The onset of a bull market is often a leading indicator of economic expansion. Because public sentiment about future economic conditions drives stock prices, the market frequently rises even before broader economic measures, such as gross domestic product (GDP) growth, begin to tick up. Likewise, bear markets usually set in before economic contraction takes hold. A look back at a typical U.S. recession reveals a falling stock market several months ahead of GDP decline.

[clonely]

It can takes 3-4 years if the cylce run truely. But I don't think it will be same all the times.

[Barbut]

It can takes 3-4 years if the cylce run truely. But I don't think it will be same all the times.

If you take a look on history of crypto currerncies you can see that this cycle repeats itself after bitcoin halving plus one year. 3-5 years is the closest prediction we can have about bull runs, its when price rise a lot and set up new much higher bottom than before, its how crypto currencies are growing in long term. I think next bull run we can expect in 2021, one year after halving.