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Author Topic: Chain Archaeology - Answers from the early blockchain  (Read 8768 times)
DeathAndTaxes
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March 09, 2014, 06:33:26 PM
Last edit: March 09, 2014, 08:04:35 PM by DeathAndTaxes
 #21

So, satoshi wasn't a special case; He just had a lot more power than everyone else it seems.

That is my understanding.  Even w/ all Satoshi's hashpower the entire network didn't have enough hashrate to sustain 10 minutes per block @ difficulty 1.  The average time between blocks in the first year was closer to 14 minutes.

Quote
If all the early blocks are incremental we may be able to draw a lot of lines, not just for satoshi but for all identifiable early miners.

Possibly although the original miner never stored the extranonce to disk so a miner shutting down (reboot, needing computing resources) would reset back to an extra nonce of zero.

Quote
What still confuses me is the blocks in the 70s range. Hal mined 78. It appears to be at the end of a chain of incremental extra nonces, but Hal didn't mine those. I'll look into it.

IIRC Hal reported his first block was 78 but it is possible he was mistaken and that entire chain is his?  Also the overlap could simply be coincidence.  Hal mined through 78 extra nonces before solving a block.  His block is unrelated to another miner who solved the earlier blocks w/ lower extra nonce value.  I don't know just throwing ideas out there.

One thing to understand is that the early miner was very conservative with use of extra nonce.  Technically on any block change you could reset the extra nonce as the rest of the header has changed but the software didn't.  It simply incremented the extra nonce on every nonce range attempted.
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March 09, 2014, 08:48:43 PM
 #22


Look at these cryptic patterns. I can't wait to separate spent from unspent.
Maybe this will help…


https://bitslog.wordpress.com/2013/04/17/the-well-deserved-fortune-of-satoshi-nakamoto/
https://bitslog.wordpress.com/2013/04/17/more-on-block-mining-history-1st-half-of-2010/
https://bitslog.wordpress.com/2013/04/24/satoshi-s-fortune-a-more-accurate-figure/
https://bitslog.wordpress.com/2013/09/03/new-mystery-about-satoshi/

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March 11, 2014, 10:22:05 AM
 #23

I enjoyed the pointers on the screenshot Cheesy

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March 11, 2014, 02:40:11 PM
Merited by vapourminer (1)
 #24

As I researched some time ago "Satoshi" pattern has a distinctive restricted nonce LSB range, and that's the reason why we see Satoshi pattern to be steeper than the other patterns. But also the pattern is more dense than it is expected, meaning the computer had several threads working on the same ExtraNonce incremental sequence, which suggests something like a special mining rig consisting on a master thread managing 5 child dumb threads, in a quad-core computer.

Regarding having access to the private keys, we know that the generated coins in block 9 (which seems to be part of the pattern) were used to pay for Hal's transaction. I inspected the pattern by eyesight and concluded that never again the coinbase of a block from the Satoshi pattern was spent. For me, this is a clear indication that he wasn't going to use that coins to manipulate the market or he purposely destroyed the keys to access the coins.

After all this media circus we've seen this week regarding his real identity, I suggest we take into account people's privacy. We researchers also make mistakes.
My own research was motivated by the need to understand the market in order to decide if I should invest in Bitcoin or not. And from that day I know that I should have invested more.

Have a nice chain-archeology day...
Sergio.
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March 11, 2014, 03:32:56 PM
 #25

Wasn't Satoshi shortly after release mining on 6 different computers parallel?
I thought I read that somewhere.
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March 11, 2014, 05:13:24 PM
Last edit: March 11, 2014, 05:58:55 PM by Taras
 #26

Wasn't Satoshi shortly after release mining on 6 different computers parallel?
I thought I read that somewhere.
I believe Sergio (the author of the post directly above yours) wrote an article with that as a possible thesis.




Sergio, you are an inspiration. I'm going to plot some more factors tonight and look for some patterns. Deathandtaxes's resolution on the qt's extranonce has me wanting to separate as many candidates as possible.
I'll draw some lines. Maybe for that we should plot on time, rather than block height...
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March 11, 2014, 10:02:35 PM
 #27

I'm trying to connect the normal nonce of a block to blocks we know were not mined by satoshi.
This is probably redundant. But I want to analyze everything.






See blocks 12, 64 and 78.
We know all three were mined by people other than satoshi.
The block's nonces are all less than 500,000,000.

I don't think this is related (it might be but I doubt it), though I'll leave this here for completion.
I'll look at some more blocks we know satoshi didn't mine.

Oh, and it's important to note some of the blocks satoshi DID mine have nonces below 500,000,000. Another reason why I think this is a bit redundant... BUT NO DATA LEFT BEHIND! Wink
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March 11, 2014, 10:13:36 PM
 #28

Regarding having access to the private keys, we know that the generated coins in block 9 (which seems to be part of the pattern) were used to pay for Hal's transaction. I inspected the pattern by eyesight and concluded that never again the coinbase of a block from the Satoshi pattern was spent. For me, this is a clear indication that he wasn't going to use that coins to manipulate the market or he purposely destroyed the keys to access the coins.
This is news to me. Satoshi only spent the coins from block 9? I've got to see where they all went for myself.
It's also a good thing for the press. People might think twice about calling ponzi after they hear the one who started it made no money from it.
After all this media circus we've seen this week regarding his real identity, I suggest we take into account people's privacy. We researchers also make mistakes.
I could never want to put someone through what Dorian is going through. I'll remember not to make myself. Smiley
Have a nice chain-archaeology day...
Sergio.
Chain-archaeology. Cool
I'm going to use this term.

Edit, I forgot to ask you something:
You have data for which blocks are spent, right? Smiley
See, currently I'm manually parsing blockexplorer click by click to know.
I mean... If you could share which ones are spent, that'd be golden Wink
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March 11, 2014, 10:21:24 PM
 #29

After further investigation,
the nonce factor seems totally redundant at this point.
Back to extraNonce only for now.

I thought it'd be interesting to note that block 167's nonce is 3,735,299 units larger than block 168's. That's the closest consecutive number I've ever seen, but maybe it's not as rare as I think it is.

Oh, and happy block 290,000. That's a lot of blocks.
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March 11, 2014, 10:30:31 PM
 #30

The nonce is a random value tried to find a hash that < target. So yeah, nonce at this point is random(you may increase it sequentially, but finding blocks with some nonce is still random).

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March 11, 2014, 10:53:14 PM
Last edit: March 15, 2014, 10:06:52 PM by Taras
Merited by vapourminer (1)
 #31

The nonce is a random value tried to find a hash that < target. So yeah, nonce at this point is random(you may increase it sequentially, but finding blocks with some nonce is still random).
Those three blocks mined by other users were probably just lucky values.
In fact, I'd say they were without any chance of doubt lucky values.


Continuation of research:

I've drawn some sample lines onto the chart.
There ARE some patterns sticking out. Were these blocks found by the same computer?

Also, |)ruid's second block, compared to his first, is sloped like satoshi's extraNonce, but obviously less frequent. I've highlighted them with a yellow line.
Until we see more of his blocks I won't draw any conclusions.
The spent block inbetween |)ruid's blocks, if I remember correctly, was sent to another address and then left there to this day. Can't be |)ruid's.

The purple lines in the bottom right of the chart are very clear. Looks like we've found two early adopters.
The cyan line connects five blocks that were all spent to the same address.

Edit. Looking at the 'jumbled mess of blocks'

There's  not really any conclusions to be drawn from this. Not even leads. Maybe if we have more information... Like another factor...

Edit. I missed block 360 it seems. It's spent.
It is not compliant to satoshi's pattern, but whoever mined it must have known satoshi, for they also owned 11 BTC from block 9.
COULD be Hal. He got another 10 BTC from block 9, and the remaining 29 BTC of block 9 are locked up across a few addresses since 2009.
Not saying it's Hal. I'll investigate.

Edit. It isn't Hal; he'd have spent the coins. They're lodged in 1BBz9Z15YpELQ4QP5sEKb1SwxkcmPb5TMs at the moment.
Our only chance of identifying their owner is through historical conversations.

Edit. March 15. Block 329 is spent.

Edit. Block 357 is spent. Traced to |)ruid.

Edit. Block 361 is spent. Looks like it's Hal's, but not sure yet.

Edit. Block 372 is spent.

Edit. Block 394 is spent.
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March 15, 2014, 10:09:59 PM
Last edit: March 15, 2014, 10:56:17 PM by Taras
 #32

Starting a new post. It's getting crowded up there.
I have fancy-ified the chart, and I've done my best to separate satoshi's pattern.
Below are blocks up to 400, after going through and more thoroughly finding spent blocks.

Edit. Fullrender up to block 500:

Edit... That was incomplete data. Whoops.

Edit. Blocks 407, 413 and 417 are spent.

Edit. Block 419 is spent.

Edit. Blocks 433, 439, 461, 463, 465, 473, 490, 493 and 501 are spent.

Edit. Proper fullrender up to 500:


Edit. Shrank points for readability:


Edit. Time to make some connections and identify who mined our spent blocks.
I'll continue updating this section rather than reposting it constantly (unless someone replies to this thread.)

009 Satoshi
078 Hal
235 Bgo*
268 Vaga*
309 Druid
317 (Moved to single addy)
320 Druid
329 Druid
357 Druid
360 BBz*
361 Yogbaf*
372
394
407
413
417 Vaga*
419
431 Vaga*
433
439
442 Vaga*
450 Vaga*
461
463
465
473
490
493
501

Blocks 9 78 268 309 320 357 417 431 442 and 450 identified to this point.
*Pseudonyms. Names invented by me, based on the conjuncted coin's addresses.

Edit.
Block 235's coins were spent in conjunction with the reward from block 8,970 to 1BgoUL3Mf8vDSDU4jjpFARKBJ6zPDpa4RU. Pseudonym will be Bgo for now.
Block 317's coins were moved to a single 50BTC address, 1QKJnFPvRoZ7avBhxqwxhsEv62JWYoB1R9.

Edit.
Block 329's coins were cut in half, some sent to 1LEWwJkDj8xriE87ALzQYcHjTmD8aqDj1f and the rest returned to the gen addy as change. The change is later spent to 12higDjoCCNXSA95xZMWUdPvXNmkAduhWv, meaning they're Druid's coins.
Block 360's coins were sent to 1BBz9Z15YpELQ4QP5sEKb1SwxkcmPb5TMs in conjunction with 11 coins that originated in block 9, sent around the time satoshi sent 10 coins to Hal in block 170. Since this person has a relationship with satoshi, I'll assign the pseudonym BBz.
Block 361's coins were spent to 16ds1vC8yuFkYogbafQjMJZXYsC4xbXdEX in 2011, along with an asston of other generation outputs totalling 2,000 BTC. We might be able to find their owner but it won't be easy to trace the coins. For now the pseudonym Yogbaf from the addy will have to do.
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March 15, 2014, 10:53:00 PM
 #33

Makes me think most early adopters probably lost their privkeys(aka deleted their wallets) long before they realized the true worth of Bitcoins.

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March 15, 2014, 11:02:45 PM
 #34

Makes me think most early adopters probably lost their privkeys(aka deleted their wallets) long before they realized the true worth of Bitcoins.
There were probably a LOT of people who simply deleted those keys out of disinterest at some point. Sad
Edit. Shrank points for readability:

See this chart. Blocks from 150 to 250 are pretty much exclusively unspent.
Meanwhile blocks from 300 to 500 (not including satoshi's coins) are almost all spent.
Coincidence? Maybe. It's still pretty much all ciherpunks at this point, but there might be a new crowd already on day three. I'm not sure what to think, seeing all these blocks going from being all unspent to being all spent.
Maybe it's because it's a smart few (draw the lines), rather than the 150-250 area which is what looks like a dozen people.
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March 15, 2014, 11:09:04 PM
Last edit: March 15, 2014, 11:36:36 PM by Taras
 #35

009 Satoshi
078 Hal
235 Bgo*
268 Vaga*
309 Druid
317 (Moved to single addy)
320 Druid
329 Druid
357 Druid
360 BBz*
361 Yogbaf*
372 xLyn*
394 YVig*
407 Druid
413 xLyn*
417 Vaga*
419 Jouat*
431 Vaga*
433 YVig*
439 Pxum*
442 Vaga*
450 Vaga*
461 Druid
463 PUR3*
465 Pxum*
473 Pxum*
490 YUYUX*
493 Pxum*
501 ZZz*
506 ZZz*
*Pseudonyms. Names invented by me, based on the conjuncted coin's addresses. Subject to change when identity is discovered or pseudonymously conjoined.


Block 372 is spent with a bunch of other generations to 1CEq15CvdwHZmkfpWxse1UDGBxLynQepTe for 2,000 BTC total in 2011. The circumstances are similar to Yogbaf's coins, but there are no connecting points yet. Pseudonym will be xLyn.
Block 394 is spent along with 7 other generations to 1FBgZPF9ceV7JFDgvWzwJdPjdn6VFJqc5s for 400 BTC on the 20th of 1/09. The coins then move to 1LNYVigk4tKYEduYnA9XDNJCFrm8wo4XAp, summing to 2,000 BTC. This is also in 2011, with 2,000 BTC and change, like xLyn and Yogbaf. I'll call this one YVig for now.

Edit.
Block 407 spent to 12higDjoCCNXSA95xZMWUdPvXNmkAduhWv. Druid.
Block 413 spent to 1CEq15CvdwHZmkfpWxse1UDGBxLynQepTe. xLyn.
Block 419 spent to 17afxUJouat3fkaaQ9tZrDThxdkXGL4WrM, 1,000 coins total, January 31. Designation of pseudonymity will be Jouat.

Edit.
Block 433 spent to 1FBgZPF9ceV7JFDgvWzwJdPjdn6VFJqc5s. YVig.
Block 439 spent to 15oUEZFKAC8E8BTLt1s1jx4fPxumwB3ecr, 500 coins total, January 19. This is a new one. Designated Pxum.
Block 461 spent to 12higDjoCCNXSA95xZMWUdPvXNmkAduhWv. Druid.

Edit.
Block 463 spent to 1PUR3qV3zKcGYXDhmT8o7ekCJP7hnSGzwj, 45,000 coins total, 2011. The expenditure goes into 2012 that I can see. This one could be connectable to a bitcointalk member but for now I'll call them PUR3.
Block 465 spent to 15oUEZFKAC8E8BTLt1s1jx4fPxumwB3ecr. Pxum.
Block 473 spent to 15oUEZFKAC8E8BTLt1s1jx4fPxumwB3ecr. Also Pxum.
Block 490 spent to 1LseHYUYUXkL4Jdd4YTTXvWNqDceTdQXrt, along with an ass mcTon of other generations for exactly 2,000 coins no change. This is a new one as of yet, we'll call them YUYUX.

Edit.
Block 493 spent to 15oUEZFKAC8E8BTLt1s1jx4fPxumwB3ecr. Pxum.
Block 501, although not yet plotted on our chart, is spent with 506's coins to 133fZZzNNbHL5VSuCWrUkLW2oL9ZPJELbY. They're still there today, this miner, like Vaga, disappeared. We'll call them ZZz.

Edit. Time to draw some lines!
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March 15, 2014, 11:44:39 PM
Last edit: March 16, 2014, 01:14:18 AM by Taras
 #36


I've circled blocks we know Druid mined. Look at the 400-500 range. See some potential lines of incremental extraNonce? Me too. Maybe those who mined those blocks are also Druid? It looks like the same machine got them. We'll see.

Edit:

These are xLyn blocks. It looks like again we'll have the opportunity to merge some pseudonyms.

Edit:

Circled are Vaga's blocks. Vaga also mined block 268 or something, and when you draw a straight line from these four to that one, you get a pretty straight line.

Edit:

This line is probably going to merge everyone on it into Druid. It's probable but we'll wait and see.

Edit:

Looks like Pxum and YVig are the same miner. More charts to follow.

Edit:

Here's all the other blocks. Next edits will be me making connections.

Edit.
First thing's first.

Vaga and PUR3 are on the same slope. Vaga put their coins into a single addy at block 586 though, and PUR3 has eons more blocks further in the chain. It's possible that they're the same person, but it looks like this is a coincidence. Undecided

Edit:

Yogbaf, xLyn and Jouat seem to form a single slope.
Yogbaf and xLyn's change addresses spend their outputs to 1LseHYUYUXkL4Jdd4YTTXvWNqDceTdQXrt, YUYUX's address.
This means that Yogbaf, xLyn and YUYUX are the same person, hereon referred to collectively as simply YUYUX.
Come to think of it, YUYUX's block 490 also fits on the slope that Jouat's and the former Yogbaf/xLyn's blocks are in.
Jouat at this point appears to obviously be YUYUX as well, but their coins are a bit harder to connect. I'll do my best.

Edit. I can't make a connection between 1LseHYUYUXkL4Jdd4YTTXvWNqDceTdQXrt and 17afxUJouat3fkaaQ9tZrDThxdkXGL4WrM. If anyone else can, please let me know but at this point I can't connect YUYUX to Jouat.

Edit:

I've labelled the blocks on Druid's slope.
It looks like Pxum and YVig are Druid, but I'm not sure yet.
I'll try and connect the coins.
There's an unspent block on the slope too, but that could be coincidence. It's a tiny bit off.

Edit. I can't connect Pxum OR YVig to Druid. It HAS to be, but I cannot see where the coins conjoin with Druid's address.
It's worth noting that YVig's address still has 1 BTC in it.

Edit. I figured why not ask Druid himself?
Hi! I'm researching the (very) early blockchain and I've linked several of your blocks together. I'd just like to ask if the address 1LNYVigk4tKYEduYnA9XDNJCFrm8wo4XAp is or was yours. It currently has 1 BTC in it and the coins in it were mined using your qtclient's pattern.
I'd also be interested in knowing whether or not 15oUEZFKAC8E8BTLt1s1jx4fPxumwB3ecr was yours.
Thread is here https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=507458.0
Thank you Smiley
He hasn't been online in a while but we'll see if he has any answers for us. Smiley

Edit. Here's what we've learned so far:
009 Satoshi
078 Hal
235 Bgo*
268 Vaga*
309 Druid
317 (Moved to single addy)
320 Druid
329 Druid
357 Druid
360 BBz*
361 YUYUX*
372 YUYUX*
394 YVig*
407 Druid
413 YUYUX*
417 Vaga*
419 Jouat*
431 Vaga*
433 YVig*
439 Pxum*
442 Vaga*
450 Vaga*
461 Druid
463 PUR3*
465 Pxum*
473 Pxum*
490 YUYUX*
493 Pxum*
501 ZZz*
506 ZZz*
*Pseudonyms. Names invented by me, based on the conjuncted coin's addresses. Subject to change when identity is discovered or pseudonymously conjoined.
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March 16, 2014, 01:27:47 AM
Last edit: March 16, 2014, 02:02:39 AM by Taras
 #37

Sorry about all the noise but I've got to start a new post.

I'll start paging through the next batch of blocks now.

Edit. 8:28 PM UTC. Block 509 is spent and obviously mined by Druid.

Edit 8:30 PM UTC. Block 512 is spent to 1CA2W1u66UtA1XoqhXmfCLnutSA1Szk8F7. It's a new one if I'm not mistaken. Designation will be CLnut.

Edit 8:32 PM UTC. Block 521. Pxum.

Edit 8:33 PM UTC. Block 528. Jouat.

Edit 8:33 PM UTC. Block 541. Druid.

Edit 8:34 PM UTC. Block 562. Pxum.

Edit 8:35 PM UTC. Block 563 was mined and the coins were sent to 16qPL5UJzsKCaQ2AAFiRQrYY9KfiXRhhRY. Another pseudonym in line. How about RhhRY. Tongue

Edit 8:37 PM UTC. Block 567. YUYUX.

Edit 8:38 PM UTC. Block 575. PUR3.

Edit 8:40 PM UTC. Block 591. YVig.

Edit 8:41 PM UTC. Block 596. We've got another lost miner like Vaga; the coins went to 1C16qVq3kZpfjCXAKvrrppqxNmRcnfbFdu along with two other generations. We'll call this forgotten fellow CXAK. I promised myself I'd use five letter pseudonyms from now on, but we're only going to see this one two more times.

Edit 8:43 PM UTC. Block 598. RhhRY.

Edit 8:44 PM UTC. Block 604 is the first unspent block that isn't satoshi's that I've seen since I've started looking through this batch. Unbelievable.

Edit 8:46 PM UTC. Block 607. Druid.

Edit 8:47 PM UTC. Block 614 mined and sent to 6aZtmtjCvjT9rEZTz9CV98KJeQvVPxTAX. Another new one, we'll designate PxTAX.

Edit 8:49 PM UTC. Block 624. Pxum. extraNonce is 1.

Edit 8:51 PM UTC. Block 651. Jouat.

Edit 8:52 PM UTC. Block 658. PUR3.
Block 659 is the peak of satoshi's "extraNonce pattern" (we have to make up a name for that.)
It's at this point that I will plot the blocks.

Edit 8:56 PM UTC:

Here's our chart, including the newly parsed blocks.
The four unspent ones between 600 and 650 immediately appear to have been the same computer.

Edit 8:58 PM UTC:

I've omitted satoshi's blocks for readability.

Edit 8:59 PM UTC. Let's have a look at what we've observed.
009 Satoshi
078 Hal
235 Bgo*
268 Vaga*
309 Druid
317 (Moved to single addy)
320 Druid
329 Druid
357 Druid
360 BBz*
361 YUYUX*
372 YUYUX*
394 YVig*
407 Druid
413 YUYUX*
417 Vaga*
419 Jouat*
431 Vaga*
433 YVig*
439 Pxum*
442 Vaga*
450 Vaga*
461 Druid
463 PUR3*
465 Pxum*
473 Pxum*
490 YUYUX*
493 Pxum*
501 ZZz*
506 ZZz*
509 Druid
512 CLnut*
521 Pxum*
528 Jouat*
541 Druid
562 Pxum*
563 RhhRY*
567 YUYUX*
575 PUR3*
591 YVig*
596 CXAK*
598 RhhRY*
607 Druid
614 PxTAX*
624 Pxum*
651 Jouat*
658 PUR3*
*Pseudonyms. Names invented by me, based on the conjuncted coin's addresses. Subject to change when identity is discovered or pseudonymously conjoined.
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March 16, 2014, 02:18:09 AM
 #38

I inspected the pattern by eyesight and concluded that never again the coinbase of a block from the Satoshi pattern was spent.

Will you post a list of those blocks?

Buy & Hold
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March 16, 2014, 02:20:48 AM
 #39

I inspected the pattern by eyesight and concluded that never again the coinbase of a block from the Satoshi pattern was spent.

Will you post a list of those blocks?
I will in the future Smiley
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March 16, 2014, 02:22:03 AM
Last edit: March 21, 2014, 11:37:40 PM by Taras
 #40


I've labeled the blocks by their miners, identified and pseudonymous.
We've got a few lines here.
Also, I believe we're going to see Hal again soon. Any of these pseudonyms could be him.

Edit 9:28 PM UTC. I've linked Hal to the former Yogbaf. What the hell.

Edit 9:30 PM UTC. YUYUX is Hal Finney. It's highly likely that Jouat is as well.

Edit 9:33 PM UTC. I feel like I should just jump to conclusions and make connections based solely on extraNonce slope.

Edit 9:36 PM UTC. I guess it's what the data is there for.

Edit 9:37 PM UTC. This will be the first time I've used a bulleted list on this forum.
  • Jouat is Hal.
  • YVig is Druid.
  • Pxum is Druid.
  • CLnut is PUR3.
  • RhhRY is PUR3.
  • PxTAX is PUR3.

Edit 10:17 AM UTC. Here's a list.
009 Satoshi
078 Hal
235 Bgo*
268 Vaga*
309 Druid
317 (Moved to single addy)
320 Druid
329 Druid
357 Druid
360 BBz*
361 Hal
372 Hal
394 Druid
407 Druid
413 Hal
417 Vaga*
419 Hal
431 Vaga*
433 Druid
439 Druid
442 Vaga*
450 Vaga*
461 Druid
463 PUR3*
465 Druid
473 Druid
490 Hal
493 Druid
501 ZZz*
506 ZZz*
509 Druid
512 PUR3*
521 Druid
528 Hal
541 Druid
562 Druid
563 PUR3*
567 Hal
575 PUR3*
591 Druid
596 CXAK*
598 PUR3*
607 Druid
614 PUR3*
624 Druid
651 Hal
658 PUR3*
*Pseudonyms. Names invented by me, based on the conjuncted coin's addresses. Subject to change when identity is discovered or pseudonymously conjoined.


Edit 8:59 PM UTC 20 Mar 2014. Just as a recap, those extremely fine slope lines don't just happen. I had to jump to conclusions, and I guarantee that the corresponding addresses belonged to the same miners.

We're down to a few big ones: Satoshi, Hal, Druid and PUR3, who has not yet been identified.
Bgo, Vaga, BBz, ZZz and CXAK will probably never be identified. But we'll have to wait and see.

Edit. I'm going to stop including the time and date in edits. Just for now. It's march 21st, ten days before the first anniversary of me finding bitcoin.
Identifying PUR3 is going to be fun. By that I mean painstakingly difficult.
Maybe we never will. That's also a possibility.
Anyways, we will assume blocks on a slope (assuming it's damn perfect) were mined by the same computer. That includes satoshi.
Sergio's tip (that satoshi only ever spent block 9) will prove to be very helpful assuming we don't disprove it.
I'll start up a website about early miners and their blocks, including a list of blocks known to be mined by Satoshi Nakamoto.
Oh, and bitcoin was premined.

Edit. Keep in mind premined coins make up less than 1% of satoshi's alleged stash.
Blocks 0 to 10 were mined before the qt was released.
Does block 0 count? Well, the private key to 1A exists. (Unless satoshi destroyed it.)
"But Taras, I read somewhere that the first fifty bitcoins can't be spent!"
Mostly true, humble reader.
It's the first transaction, not the first address, that causes this.
The transaction exists in the blockchain but is not recognized by the client.
So, when there was only one client, satoshi could have spent it. Once there was two, the only way to spend it would be to either
a) wait for there to be only one client
b) make the transaction spendable
Option B would require a hardfork, and that may or may not be worth the 50 BTC behind it.
Satoshi's got rooms full of coins though. I think those fifty will be ignored for a long, long time.
This also means that other outputs sent to 1A are spendable. So, donating to 1A isn't verifiably destroying coins; it's giving them to the person who deserves them most. Not that he needs them.

Edit. Fullrender to block 659.


Edit.

Figuring satoshi's pattern from this is going to be harder. Look at blocks 666 to 670. Which extraNonce route was taken by satoshi? Huh
Also, block 666 technically puts 666 on all our hard drives. So we have the mark of the beast to use the devil's currency and marketplace! </sarcasm>

Edit. PIUK HAS HEARD ME Smiley

We can now see if a block has been spent or not in one click. That click being navigating to the next block, because we know already.
This is making my life so much better you don't even know.

Edit.

Out of all those blocks, only 666 is mined.
This is all the evidence we need that satoshi took the lower eN route.
That was lucky... I was thinking we'd never know. Cheesy

Double-take three times edit:
Crap man. Another eN fork in the path at 672-675. I didn't even notice it before.
Here I am all choked up with glory and there's a--- wait wait wait WAIT
Block 673's nonce is slightly higher than 675's. Wow I'm retarded nevermind.
672 674 675 676 all satoshi's.

Edit.

Lookin' GOOD.
As for block 666, it was mined by Druid.
INSERT SHITTY CONSPIRACY THEORY HERE

Edit. Moving on.
Blocks 685, 687, 699, 702, and 707 are spent.
Satoshi's pattern ends on 711.

Edit.

I'll now refer to satoshi's pattern areas as iterations.
An iteration ends when satoshi's extraNonce resets.
Iteration 0 was just block 0, by the way. We're on #9 at this point.
I'll plot graphs now based on these iterations rather than friendly numbers.
Above are blocks 660 to 711. 666 was Druid, we know that already. I'll start tracing the coins from the other five blocks.

Edit. Block 685. Hal.

Edit. Block 687. PUR3.

Edit. Block 669. PUR3.

Edit. Block 702. PUR3.

Edit. Block 707. Hal.

Edit. This post is getting significantly (and annoyingly) long but I don't want to bump until I've made significant progress. Maybe a fullrender up to 1,000 would be good for the next post.

Edit. I'm parsing iteration 10 and starting by sorting out satoshi's blocks.
The extra nonce is going through 2,300 now. It's the biggest iteration of all time (at it's time).

Edit. Wow, it's finally over. Block 1295 is the top of the iteration with extranonce 2,614. Time to find which blocks from 713 to 1295 are spent. Tongue

Edit. 720, Hal.

Edit. 726, PUR3.

Edit. 728, Hal.

Edit. 730, Druid.

Edit. 739, CXAK.

Edit. 748, new kid in town. 18L8V7DaFBjAbzF5rzmZqCym31KAbjDQXC. Designation ZqCym.

Edit. 757, Druid.

Edit. 767, Druid.

Edit. 772, CXAK. This is the last time we'll ever see that one.

Edit. 773, Druid.

Edit. 782, PUR3.

Edit. 777, Hal. Lucky.

Edit. 786. I THINK it's Druid. I'll investigate later.

Edit. 803, Hal.

Edit. 809, Druid.

Edit. 813, PUR3. I'm starting to get hungry. But I need to know more.

Edit. 814, Druid.

Edit. 819, Hal.

Edit. 821, another short-lived early adopter. Sent 150 BTC to 1EQkvhEsewdmDuvNTSgvYafu79F8Q4B3CW and left. Designation Esewdm.

Edit. 824, Druid. It's funny; I know the addresses by heart. This one just said 'Pxum' instantly in my head.

Edit. 828, Druid.

Edit. 842, Hal.

Edit. 850. I think this is another new miner, 1PxeCXMZBuXHt4CqWWEQ7Kwgdyob9P955L. I'll check to make sure.
Also, there's a clear mining pattern of unspent blocks in this area. Shame.

Edit. This IS a newcomer. Smiley I checked all the addresses they have. Welcome, Kwgdyop. They left later on, probably before this iteration ended.
I can't take it any longer. I need beefaroni, now.

Edit. All the noodles came out of the can, without me needing to scrape any out. This is turning out to be a great day.

Edit. I heard a popping noise coming from the microwave's direction. Good thing I covered the pasta.

Edit. 15 seconds left woo

Edit. I have successfully eaten a bowl of beefaroni.

Edit. 869, Hal.

Edit. 885, ZqCym. This would be that miner's last block.

Edit. 905, PUR3.

Edit. 913, PUR3.

Edit. 923, Kwgdyop.

Edit. 927, Esewdm.

Edit. 935, Druid. This confirms 786 was also Druid.

Edit. 940, Druid.

Edit. 945, Druid. 3x combo!

Edit. 949, Druid. 4x combo!

Edit. 955. Newcomer? Possibly Hal or Druid. Spent to 1DLyRUi4ibz26TAxsWsXyRDFVtgpJkYWPW.

Edit. 956. I have no idea who the hell this is.

Edit. 958, Hal.

Edit. 959, Druid.

Edit. 964, will investigate later.

Edit. 966, Hal.

Edit. 979. This is getting confusing.

Edit. 984, Kwgdyop.

Edit. 986, Esewdm. That one's gone forever now.

Edit. 992, Druid. Wow there are so many non-satoshi blocks to go before 1000.

Edit. 994, somebody.

Edit. 996, I'll figure this out. Just let me get to 1000, I mean damn.

Edit. 998, Kwgdyop.

Edit. 999, Druid.

Satoshi got 1000. Congrats, nakamoto.

Edit. Now I'm going to do a fullrender in a new post.

Edit. Looking at the fullrender and I screwed up somewhere.

Edit. God damn how did this happen.


Edit. Here's where I went wrong.


Edit. 752, Hal.

Edit. 760, tragically, is unspent. At least now our fullrender is done properly. I'll be more careful to prevent errors like this in the future. Embarrassed
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