Futures or no futures, I still firmly believe that Bitcoin will be priced in 6 digits after the next halving because of simple economics, " more demand, less supply", and technological merit.
Simple economics don't really come into play here. If they did things may look extremely different. Since it's pure speculation is it not the case that pure emotion drives this? Apart from a small number of users there is no economic use in play here and those users are nobodies compared to the traders batting the price around.