morvillz7z
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January 19, 2021, 12:25:34 AM Last edit: January 19, 2021, 03:03:22 AM by morvillz7z |
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I think the league took the right decision to start the season early, as you all know, players had today's MLK Day in mind as a start date of the new season. With so many positive cases and postponed games, starting one month earlier seems like the better option now. They will have time to reschedule those games, and maybe finish as planned. Anyway, i'm going with two bets to start the day, will likely have one more for the Lakers/Warriors matchup. Portis 14+ pts/rebs + Lopez 12+ pts/rebs + Harden O6.5 assists total odds 1.98Vucevic was a nightmare matchup for D.Jordan, a big man who can spread the floor, like Lopez, will get a lot of open shots, he is likely to cover those 12 off 3s alone if he gets hot. Portis has covered 14+ pts/rebs combo in MIL's last three games. As for Harden, with no Kyrie on the floor, i guess he will take out on the assignment of being the primary ballhandler/distributor, 7 assists should come easy. VanVleet O3.5 assists + Doncic O7.5 assists + Hardaway 20+ pts/reb/ast total odds 2.0524 assists for VanVleet in TOR's last three games. Doncic took upon himself the loss against the Bulls, i expect him to have a very efficient game and maybe get another triple-double, 8 assists won't be a problem. Tim Hardaway has been my cash cow this season, a slightly risky spread today as he coming off an injury, but i'm still rolling with it. I'm however not calling a night yet, I've got a feeling that Bucks vs Nets wouldn't not be as high scoring as they are expected to,
I've got Under 240 @ 1.87
Tailing you on this one as a side bet. Gl, everyone! edit; getting rekt ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) , Hardaway went 0/12, Portis broke his streak and the O240 hit, at least the ending of the game was entertaining, nice win for the Nets!
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wheelz1200
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January 19, 2021, 02:33:34 AM |
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Nets @2.26 against Bucks? Hmm.
Surprised by the odds. Nets are now @2.45. Even they suddenly become the Favorites on the East, they got good odds against the Bucks. I like to risk on this. Mavericks also got a good @2.60 against the Raptors. Maybe because of consecutive losses and most of their starters are out because of health protocols. I will risk this too. Nets @2.45 Mavericks @2.60 Watching the mavs and they look terrible, they might win and cover but as a team they need more than lula if they think they are going to go anywhere. Books are over compensating for the mavs a little and think betting against them might be what I will be doing going forward. I need to look at their record ATS but if I had to guess its probably terrible.
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Reid
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January 19, 2021, 05:53:34 AM |
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Damn. First time I had a perfect bet. Won my wild bet for GSW @4.70. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) What a great come back from a 17 points deficit. Their 2nd unit really helped a lot while Wiseman and Green were in foul trouble. Oubre with his high defensive awareness. Wiggins with 3 consecutive 3 point shots that cut that huge lead from the Lakers in the 3rd quarter.
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Botnake
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January 19, 2021, 10:53:35 AM |
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Damn. First time I had a perfect bet. Won my wild bet for GSW @4.70. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) What a great come back from a 17 points deficit. Their 2nd unit really helped a lot while Wiseman and Green were in foul trouble. Oubre with his high defensive awareness. Wiggins with 3 consecutive 3 point shots that cut that huge lead from the Lakers in the 3rd quarter. Warriors now beat the 2 best teams in the NBA, and it's remarkable as they beat them by both come back from a huge deficit. Curry seems to be the nightmare of Davis and Lebron James, they should figure out how beat his team, congratulations mate, you lucky day.
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OgNasty
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January 19, 2021, 11:10:20 AM |
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Looks like Kyrie will be back on Wednesday for the Nets Cavaliers game. I can’t imagine the odds will make that an intriguing bet but the the first look at the Nets big 3 against a below 500 team should be an easy victory. Maybe a good one to add to a parlay. Contrarians might find an opportunity to bet against them with the spread and hope the lack of chemistry holds them back. Either way, should be a fun game to watch.
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nelson4lov
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January 19, 2021, 03:37:05 PM |
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Damn. First time I had a perfect bet. Won my wild bet for GSW @4.70. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) What a great come back from a 17 points deficit. Their 2nd unit really helped a lot while Wiseman and Green were in foul trouble. Oubre with his high defensive awareness. Wiggins with 3 consecutive 3 point shots that cut that huge lead from the Lakers in the 3rd quarter. Congrats on your win! I certainly didn't see that one coming. I'd admit that I was a little bit skeptical about Lakers winning yesterday so I didn't make any pre-match bet so when I saw that huge lead against Warriors, I took an in-play bet for a Lakers win. What I had in my for yesterday's game was GSW +11 at about @1.72. Elsewhere, my singles for Bucks U242.5 (joined Harkorede for this one) and Miami heat ML all went under water. Last night was a night for the underdogs. Rough night for me yesterday. Hopefully, I would get back to winning ways soon.
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Pamadar
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January 19, 2021, 04:34:31 PM |
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Damn. First time I had a perfect bet. Won my wild bet for GSW @4.70. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) What a great come back from a 17 points deficit. Their 2nd unit really helped a lot while Wiseman and Green were in foul trouble. Oubre with his high defensive awareness. Wiggins with 3 consecutive 3 point shots that cut that huge lead from the Lakers in the 3rd quarter. Congrats Reid that's a wild pick, a very risky one. But the profits for GSW is very sweet! That was the old Step playing with very familiar fearless squad. Lakers are solid coming in the early last quarter of the game but the bench tgether with Green and Curry really outscore them snatching this win against the last years champ. That last 3 point is very classic Steph. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif)
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Reid
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January 19, 2021, 06:55:38 PM |
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Rough night for me yesterday. Hopefully, I would get back to winning ways soon.
I hope you do. We all had our great nights here. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Jazz had 5 consecutive wins already and including in the lists are strong teams like Denver and Bucks. I'll take Jazz -5.5 against Pelicans. Then, Nuggets -9.5 against Thunder. Jokic 3pt field goal at 2+ for my crazy bet. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Good luck guys.
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chaser15
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January 19, 2021, 08:15:46 PM |
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Good thing I didn't parlay this. Almost a loss but thanks for KD's clutch shot. ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.postimg.cc%2FNfb4fLyV%2Fstake.jpg&t=665&c=eg4ozJW3l3UIsg) I was about to put my stake on GSW @9 on Live Bet but who will think they can bounce back on that game against the Lakers. I should have not doubted my risk management. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif)
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nelson4lov
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January 19, 2021, 08:31:50 PM |
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(...)
I hope you do. We all had our great nights here. ![Wink](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/wink.gif) Jazz had 5 consecutive wins already and including in the lists are strong teams like Denver and Bucks. I'll take Jazz -5.5 against Pelicans. Then, Nuggets -9.5 against Thunder. Jokic 3pt field goal at 2+ for my crazy bet. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Good luck guys. Thanks. It feels good to know I'm not alone on this journey. Btw, I'm with you on this Jazz bet but I'm going with Jazz ML instead of any handicap. I just need them to win to recover some losses and not worry whether or not they would cover the spreads. No parley for me this night since there's only few games. Jazz ML for my single. Goodluck to everyone tonight.
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Natalim
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January 19, 2021, 10:46:26 PM |
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I was about to put my stake on GSW @9 on Live Bet but who will think they can bounce back on that game against the Lakers. I should have not doubted my risk management. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) 9 is to one, why not? Actually, I love that kind of bet, sometimes I even bet on an underdog winning 6+ even if they are down by 10 points. NBA is a game of run, sometimes an opposing team forget to score and the dog will have a good run, try that mate, believe me it's fun. But anyway congratulations as though you are 1-1, you still manage yourself to be profitable due to odds are over 2.
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chaser15
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January 19, 2021, 11:35:25 PM |
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I was about to put my stake on GSW @9 on Live Bet but who will think they can bounce back on that game against the Lakers. I should have not doubted my risk management. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) 9 is to one, why not? Actually, I love that kind of bet, sometimes I even bet on an underdog winning 6+ even if they are down by 10 points. NBA is a game of run, sometimes an opposing team forget to score and the dog will have a good run, try that mate, believe me it's fun. It's not that easy to decide once you are in the situation and watching that game live as we all know the distance between the Lakers and the Warriors. The most lead is 19 points and the Warriors are all underperforming in the first half. That's the only time the @9 was popped in. After the Warriors narrow the lead to less than 10, the odds are now playing between @5-@4 at most. congratulations as though you are 1-1, you still manage yourself to be profitable due to odds are over 2.
Yes as I only put a small amount on Mavericks as part of the risks. I put mostly on the Nets vs Bucks game and thanks for the clutch shots made by Joe Harris and Durant. Almost a loss as Harden misses a three but he able to rebound it and pass to Durant. Whew, I would be fucked up if that shot wasn't made.
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wheelz1200
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January 19, 2021, 11:38:09 PM |
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Hit a loss time to start the winning streak again. Here are todays 5 picks
1) Knicks -2 2) Atlanta -6.5 3) Nets bucks under 239 4) Miami -6 5) Lakers -8.5
Thoughts or comments on these picks?
2-3 for the day started well then flaked out. Only 2 games on tonight so here is my picks 1) Denver-10 2) Denver game over 220 3) utah -6 4) utah game over 217.5 Thoughts? Don't feel good about either of the 2 bets but the only ones to chose from. Good luck everyone
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agustina2
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January 19, 2021, 11:53:19 PM |
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1) Denver-10 2) Denver game over 220
1) OKC majority of their losses are behind 10+ points so maybe a good chance that this bet will win 2) Denver and OKC are averaging 115 and 106 points per game respectively. If the game will be close, reaching 220 points as a total likely be difficult to achieve.
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Harkorede
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January 20, 2021, 01:03:10 AM |
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Elsewhere, my singles for Bucks U242.5 (joined Harkorede for this one) and Miami heat ML all went under water. Last night was a night for the underdogs.
Rough night for me yesterday. Hopefully, I would get back to winning ways soon. Crazy game! They just couldn't stop getting the basket in the 4th Quarter ![Sad](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/sad.gif) @Reid! Congratulations bud!
There is not much many options to choose from for tonight, I'm going with the Utah Jazz - 4.5 vs Pelicans for tonight, I hope they'll cover the -4.5 Spread. Elsewhere, I've got my betbuilder on the same fixture ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FNZM2UQ8.png&t=665&c=1FW_Uk6mcfV0mw)
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wheelz1200
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January 20, 2021, 02:16:51 AM |
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1) Denver-10 2) Denver game over 220
1) OKC majority of their losses are behind 10+ points so maybe a good chance that this bet will win 2) Denver and OKC are averaging 115 and 106 points per game respectively. If the game will be close, reaching 220 points as a total likely be difficult to achieve. Yeah I was teetering which way but I like this to be an up and down type of game. Now the only thing is how well they put it in the bucket. I believe the pace will be there between the teams. Fingers crossed ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif)
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nelson4lov
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January 20, 2021, 07:11:42 AM |
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~~Snipped Jazz ML for my single.
Just woke up to realize that Utah Jazz came through for me. I watched the game until the half time before sleeping off. Came up this morning to see a green betslip. I should have taken @Ried's handicap option for Jazz -5.5 ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.postimg.cc%2FfyWQjrvt%2FIMG-20210120-075832.jpg&t=665&c=rEV_9Hxl0usXDg) This puts me at break-even for the week after the Bucks and Lakers upsets. Nuggets and Jazz won last night so it's safe to assume that everyone had a great night. There's even more games tonight so I'm looking forward getting more wins. If possible, win a parlay too. Kudos to everyone for the tips.
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Vaculin
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January 20, 2021, 09:00:23 AM |
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~~Snipped Jazz ML for my single.
Just woke up to realize that Utah Jazz came through for me. I watched the game until the half time before sleeping off. Came up this morning to see a green betslip. I should have taken @Ried's handicap option for Jazz -5.5 ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.postimg.cc%2FfyWQjrvt%2FIMG-20210120-075832.jpg&t=665&c=rEV_9Hxl0usXDg) This puts me at break-even for the week after the Bucks and Lakers upsets. Nuggets and Jazz won last night so it's safe to assume that everyone had a great night. Break even on the win-loss? how about on the money side mate? I noticed you are betting on low odds, I believe you need to have at least 70% win chance in order to profit using a strict bankroll management. There's even more games tonight so I'm looking forward getting more wins. If possible, win a parlay too. Kudos to everyone for the tips.
I wish you luck with parlay bets, that's would certainly fill your pocket if you win. Personally I love to bet on parlay, sometimes the total odds reach 1000 with a low stake, looks like a lottery but I'm loving it.
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nelson4lov
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January 20, 2021, 09:11:45 AM |
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~Snipped
Break even on the win-loss? how about on the money side mate? I noticed you are betting on low odds, I believe you need to have at least 70% win chance in order to profit using a strict bankroll management.
Yeah, after too many losses with parlay bets, I decided to manage my risks better. So what I do is play single bets rather than parlay ones. Even I don't get those jackpot-like wins, it's profitable in the long run since I only have to focus on winning more than I lose. Also, the reason why I don't chase after those optimistic high odds in NBA games is because I'm still learning more on NBA games and the market. So my bets tend to be on the safer markets. I wish you luck with parlay bets, that's would certainly fill your pocket if you win. Personally I love to bet on parlay, sometimes the total odds reach 1000 with a low stake, looks like a lottery but I'm loving it.
Yeah, I do love parlay bets as well. The only problem is they're a lot harder to win compared to singles. I've won some parlays while playing NBA games though. Really enjoying the huge odds.
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Fredomago
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January 20, 2021, 09:39:00 AM |
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~Snipped
Break even on the win-loss? how about on the money side mate? I noticed you are betting on low odds, I believe you need to have at least 70% win chance in order to profit using a strict bankroll management.
Yeah, after too many losses with parlay bets, I decided to manage my risks better. So what I do is play single bets rather than parlay ones. Even I don't get those jackpot-like wins, it's profitable in the long run since I only have to focus on winning more than I lose. Also, the reason why I don't chase after those optimistic high odds in NBA games is because I'm still learning more on NBA games and the market. So my bets tend to be on the safer markets. Much better to adjust if you feel that the old way is not generating good outcomes. It's good to plan and take every chances, you don't need to rush as most of the time it will only lead you to lose your money. Aiming for a big blow in the other hand can consider only if you have enough money to risk and knowledge sorting those good bets to win over, though without this taking more risk can also annoyed you turning you being more aggressive chasing the win. Taking one step at a time make you more wiser and more practical choosing between high risk over low risk betting strategy.
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