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Author Topic: NBA 2024-2025 betting  (Read 119518 times)
ralle14
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May 03, 2022, 01:30:03 AM
 #9401

I took the under 214.5 on the Suns game since I don't like the spread at -6.5 it feels like Mavs will keep it close for some reason. The under seems nice given how Mavs totals are usually going under when they're up against the Jazz last series. I think they'll be able to slow the Suns down and keep the total under once more. I might go for a bit of live betting if the Mavs manage to get an early lead and push the Suns line close to -120 or -110.


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May 03, 2022, 04:46:17 AM
 #9402

I think I would feel somewhat comfortable betting on the Miami Heat and Phoenix Suns to WIN their games (not cover the spread) in a multibet.  I think it will be extremely difficult for the 76ers to win without Embiid at this stage in the season, and I think the Suns will be able to take down the Mavericks.  It's playoff basketball, and when it comes to multibets I don't like to push it, but I think outright wins for the Mavericks and Heat wouldn't be the most unlikely thing to ever happen.  Given that it's round 1 and there's some uncertainty in play, I think it might be best to play it a little safe while trying to maximize return on the likely scenario to unfold.

As I have said previously, I will be betting on the initial spread for both Miami and Suns. Although there are some anxious moments on the Dallas vs Suns game specially in the last seconds as the lead was cut down to 5 at one point with Luka's 3 and then Spencer going for a 3 in the corner in the last second, and fortunately, it was a missed.


 
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May 03, 2022, 08:47:13 AM
 #9403

2 for 2.

Cheers to the winners as the spreads are completely covered especially for the Miami Heat who played a high level of defense. There was a time the 76ers took the lead at 51-50 but that's it, I didn't feel any worry at all. They lack a big body to protect the rim and get the rebound, the 76ers lose at that part where the Heat registered 15 offensive rebounds against 9 for the 76ers.

As for the Suns vs Mavs, Dinwiddie scared me there for a bit as the spreads might not cover if that last shot went in.  Cheesy

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May 03, 2022, 10:45:40 AM
 #9404

^^ Congrats to all, I got the -7.5 at 1.92 as well.

For tomorrow's game, what do you think?

I have the Bucks +4.5 at 1.93. If they can't solved Giannis, I don't think that the Celtics can win this series. And one of their defensive players, Marcus Smart seems to be questionable in game 2. So no one can stop Holiday as well.

 
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May 03, 2022, 12:16:00 PM
 #9405

^^ Congrats to all, I got the -7.5 at 1.92 as well.

For tomorrow's game, what do you think?

I have the Bucks +4.5 at 1.93. If they can't solved Giannis, I don't think that the Celtics can win this series. And one of their defensive players, Marcus Smart seems to be questionable in game 2. So no one can stop Holiday as well.

I think Boston defended Giannis decently in that game costing the star some turnovers. Boston lost because they were shooting so poorly. Although credit to the Bucks defense. And another thing to admire Giannis is his ability to assist.

I haven't made my bet yet. I want to bet on Boston. I think Boston will do better this time. Their low shooting against Bucks game one is rare to them. But I am not sure if they can cover the spreads.     

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May 03, 2022, 12:59:17 PM
Last edit: May 03, 2022, 04:08:30 PM by YuginKadoya
 #9406

Here are the results of today's game

Miami Heat VS Philadelphia 76ers SCORE 106 - 92 - WIN

Just like I thought without Joel Embiid they will surely have a hard time against the Miami Heat, and this new and improved Heat is kind of understandable but I think the 76ers can beat them even without Embiid, they just need a push, James Harden just got 16 points, while Tyrese Maxey got 19 points and their main man Tobias Harris got 27 points, I think they can do it Harden just need a push, while the Heat Jimmy Butler got 15 points, Bam Adebayo had a double-double performance of 12 rebounds and 24 points while the main man today was Tyler Herro with 25 points and the 76er does have many turnovers than the Heat that could cause their defeat.


Phoenix Suns VS Dallas Mavericks SCORE 121 - 114 - WIN


The Phoenix Suns just are so strong from start to finish they are leading the game against the Mavericks pretty much the Mavericks are playing very likely as a team they are so much relying on Luka Doncic, and Doncic got a double-double performance of 12 Rebounds and 45 points, he is a 1 man team, but this is not enough because the Phoenix Suns, is playing perfectly as a team, with most of their players had double-digit points, Jae Crowder got 11, Mikal Bridge got 13, Cameron Johnson got 17, Chris Paul got 19, Deandre Ayton got 25, and their main man Devin Booker got 23, and winning against the Mavericks as a team.
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May 03, 2022, 01:23:21 PM
 #9407

I think I would feel somewhat comfortable betting on the Miami Heat and Phoenix Suns to WIN their games (not cover the spread) in a multibet.  I think it will be extremely difficult for the 76ers to win without Embiid at this stage in the season, and I think the Suns will be able to take down the Mavericks.

No surprises here yesterday.  I think this will be the most boring round of the playoffs this year.  I don't foresee any upsets as the Philadelphia 76ers without Embiid isn't exactly a threat for a championship and the Phoenix Suns are just plain better than the Dallas Mavericks.  This bet will probably be good 3 more times...  The Mavs and Sixers might be able to sneak a victory sometime this round, but I don't see either of them being a serious threat to win the series.  A shame because I thought this might be the year that Embiid makes it to the Finals now that the Nets are out of the way...  Looking forward to the next round.

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May 03, 2022, 01:44:41 PM
 #9408

I got Warriors ML and Bucks ML tomorrow.

I think they are capable of sweeping their respective opponent, what do you think?
Total odds is 4.60.. I know most of us think that Celtics and Memphis are going to even the series, I'm going the other way.  Grin

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May 03, 2022, 04:40:55 PM
 #9409

Here are my picks for today's game highlighted in green are my picks,

Boston Celtics VS Milwaukee Bucks (Bucks Lead 1 - 0)

Stake odds for this game are 1.49 for the Celtics while 2.70 for the Bucks right now Marcus Smart is questionable if he can play for the Celtics, while the Bucks Khris Middleton and George Hill can not play for the Bucks, in their first game Giannis Antetokounmpo made a triple-double but pretty much maybe Celtics are just looking for openings on their 1st game, so they can retaliate in the 2nd game right now I think they will focus more defense on Antetokounmpo, which is the high scoring for the Bucks, I think the Celtics will gradually gain momentum this time and they might get the 2nd game so my pick will be for the Celtics.

Memphis Grizzlies VS Golden State Warriors (Warriors Lead 1 - 0)

Stake odds for this game are 2.10 for the Grizzlies while 1.78 for the Warriors right now Santi Aldama, Killian Tillie, and Steven Adams can not play for the Grizzlies, while Ziaire Williams and Desmond Bane are questionable if they can play, while the Warriors Andre Iguodala can not play for the Warriors and Klay Thompson is questionable if he can play, well even without Klay Thompson, I really think the Warriors can put up a fight against the Grizzlies, and on game 1 Green was forced to leave the 1st game but I guess the Warriors can utilize a great strategy in defense for Ja Morant, and Jaren Jackson, I am positive that this will be an upset for the Grizzlies, so my pick will be the Warriors.
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May 03, 2022, 06:24:52 PM
 #9410

I got Warriors ML and Bucks ML tomorrow.

I think they are capable of sweeping their respective opponent, what do you think?
Total odds is 4.60.. I know most of us think that Celtics and Memphis are going to even the series, I'm going the other way.  Grin
I admire your courage bro for putting both at ML. I wish you win it.
I am also taking the Milwaukee Bucks ML as I think they can win again with their high level of defense. It's at 2.80 so it will be really profitable if they can snatch one more.  Cheesy
Warriors -4.5 on the other side, Klay Thompson is listed as probable but I don't think he would miss one of these crucial games, especially with a team that almost beat them if not for his defensive act. Draymond Green should be careful now. Suspension will be coming if he gets another flagrant 2.

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May 03, 2022, 06:38:30 PM
 #9411

I got Warriors ML and Bucks ML tomorrow.

I think they are capable of sweeping their respective opponent, what do you think?
Total odds is 4.60.. I know most of us think that Celtics and Memphis are going to even the series, I'm going the other way.  Grin

Honestly that's not where the money is coming in.  Bucks and Warriors getting all the love.  Grizzlies at home getting 2 points is still too enticing.  I'm taking the Grizzlies here.  They shot terrible and still came within a missed layup from winning last game.  Gimme the Grizzlies to take this one.

I will be taking the Bucks in the other game but light.  Celtics at home are still tough so treading lightly there.
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May 03, 2022, 10:04:50 PM
Last edit: May 04, 2022, 12:03:55 AM by morvillz7z
Merited by Harkorede (1)
 #9412

A. Horford 1+ 3pt made / J. Holiday 1+ steal / J. Brown 1+ steal @1.78won

J. Brown flopped so bad in GM 1 scoring only 12 points, he was at 5 turnovers and 6 points mid through the 4Q, huh goodness me....guess i'm moving away from points and assists in these series and will focus on defense and 3pts made instead.

My biggest takeaway from GM 1 was Milwaukee's defense and their ability to stop Celtics players from scoring inside. Take a look at this stat, crazy i know:

source: https://twitter.com/taylorcsnow/status/1520859951744397318
Quote
The Celtics made their fewest 2-pointers in team history today with 10.

Previous low was 14 (12/9/16 vs. TOR).

I don't think the Bucks will make any major changes to their defense. They'll try to keep the ball out of Tatum and Brown's hands and allow the role players to beat them with outside shots. Horford made 4 3-pointers on 9 attempts in GM 1 (9 was a season-high for him), he'll have plenty of good looks again. I'm also counting on Holiday and Brown to both get at least one steal, Jrue finished GM 1 with 3 and Brown with 2.

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May 03, 2022, 10:37:31 PM
 #9413

^

I hope the board game stay intact then, the Bucks money line or at least covering +4.5 spread seem really valuable imo.

I'm however still going with Bobby Portis Over 9.5 Rebs @ 1.71

I've also got Draymond Green Under 0.5 3pt made @1.72

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May 03, 2022, 10:47:26 PM
 #9414

Tough games today, both home teams down one game and expected to tie the series but it feels like it could go either way with how both road teams are so experienced and will continue to put pressure.

Anyway, i'm liking the Bucks +4.5, Celtics missing one of their starters today as Smart won't be playing and after that first game, it's hard to tell if the Celtics have any solution.

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May 03, 2022, 11:40:39 PM
 #9415

A. Horford 1+ 3pt made / J. Holiday 1+ steal / J. Brown 1+ steal @1.78

J. Brown flopped so bad in GM 1 scoring only 12 points, he was at 5 turnovers and 6 points mid through the 4Q, huh goodness me....guess i'm moving away from points and assists in these series and will focus on defense and 3pts made instead.

My biggest takeaway from GM 1 was Milwaukee's defense and their ability to stop Celtics players from scoring inside. Take a look at this stat, crazy i know:

source: https://twitter.com/taylorcsnow/status/1520859951744397318
Quote
The Celtics made their fewest 2-pointers in team history today with 10.

Previous low was 14 (12/9/16 vs. TOR).

I don't think the Bucks will make any major changes to their defense. They'll try to keep the ball out of Tatum and Brown's hands and allow the role players to beat them with outside shots. Horford made 4 3-pointers on 9 attempts in GM 1 (9 was a season-high for him), he'll have plenty of good looks again. I'm also counting on Holiday and Brown to both get at least one steal, Jrue finished GM 1 with 3 and Brown with 2.


Jaylen brown properly going off in the first half right now.  Frustrating trying to pick games when it's no rhyme or reason that they sh** the bed or if they go off.  I do like that approach to parlays though, 1 steal shoukd be a given for a starting guard regardless of who they are.
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May 03, 2022, 11:44:48 PM
 #9416

My pick for tonight

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors(-2,5) = 2,04 odds


Memphis Grizzlies Injuries;
 - Steven Adams will be back on May 2
 - Santi Aldama   will be back on May 2
 - Killian Tillie will be back on May 2

Golden State Warriors Injuries;
 - Andre Iguodala will be back on May 2


I think Golden State Warriors will win again tonight. My favorite again for tonight is the Golden State Warriors.
I'm also going to watch this game tonight.

Good luck guys, I hope we all win. Smiley

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May 04, 2022, 12:13:29 AM
 #9417

Jaylen brown properly going off in the first half right now.  Frustrating trying to pick games when it's no rhyme or reason that they sh** the bed or if they go off.  I do like that approach to parlays though, 1 steal shoukd be a given for a starting guard regardless of who they are.

Halftime winner, my prop cashed early, steals came in nicely, and Horford nailed one of his 4 3pt attempts. What a turnaround from gm 1 though, Brown may have read my post about him being a complete no-show, 25 points at the half.  Shocked

^

I hope the board game stay intact then, the Bucks money line or at least covering +4.5 spread seem really valuable imo.

I'm however still going with Bobby Portis Over 9.5 Rebs @ 1.71

I've also got Draymond Green Under 0.5 3pt made @1.72

Bucks down big, Portis' prop does not look good either, and if they don't make a run in the 3Q, cut that big deficit to something more manageable, i suspect Bucks starters will not play in the 4Q. GL though!  Wink

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May 04, 2022, 12:22:29 AM
 #9418

^^ Yeah, Just woke up and surprised to see that the Bucks is down, it seems that the outside shooting of the Celtics is good in this game.

And then Giannis is being check in this game, no easy shots for him and the usual double or triple team when he has the ball. We might see 1-1 tonight.

 
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May 04, 2022, 05:43:55 AM
 #9419

What the hell happened.  Cheesy
It's like both teams that I rooted for rattled so bad they cannot find their offensive flows. Klay Thompson first, 2/12 at outside shots, that's not normal. Steph is 3/11 and just found a way to score by attacking the paint. GP2 is a big loss to them and I wish he is okay. I had props for his defense and I didn't win it because of the sad event. (fractured elbow)
0 out of 4.  Cry
Will surely get it back. Cheers to the winners.

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May 04, 2022, 06:10:05 AM
 #9420

^^ Yeah, Just woke up and surprised to see that the Bucks is down, it seems that the outside shooting of the Celtics is good in this game.

And then Giannis is being check in this game, no easy shots for him and the usual double or triple team when he has the ball. We might see 1-1 tonight.

Bucks is indeed easy to counter if only Giannis has a good shooting percentage while the rest of his team has low points contribution especially Jru Holiday. His game tonight is not same compared on game 1 while Jaylen Brown and Tatum step up on there performance which punish the struggling Bucks. I really thought Bucks can get this game base on there game 1 performance but his team mates is dragging down Giannis.

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