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Question: What do you think about 4-year market cycle approach?
It looks like a bullshit
I think it could be a truth
It definitely works!

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DanWalker (OP)
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January 12, 2019, 07:17:33 PM
 #1

Hey guys, I've just seen a video about 4-year cycle model on BTC (and overall) market price. I wonder what do you folks think about it. For me this model looks pretty realistic to be truth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tfts2qHGle0

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January 12, 2019, 07:53:43 PM
 #2

I think it could be a truth.
Sometimes it may not be 4 years, 5 years or less.
However, I believe that the BTC is finishing a cycle and starting a new cycle.
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January 12, 2019, 08:04:23 PM
 #3

I think exactly the same way as shown in the graph in this video review. We have definitely did not see a minimum, and only after it will grow

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January 12, 2019, 08:44:36 PM
 #4

It's extremely interesting approach, I didn't see anything like that yet. I'd like to believe that it works. In a few years we'll see for sure Wink Btw I like this halving-based approach as well.
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January 12, 2019, 11:22:33 PM
 #5

The bitcoin halving is sire a good development, which is of utmost importance, for us to see another phase of growth. It has happened in the past and was seen to impact the growth of bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies alike.
It might not happen this year, but by next year, there is ebeyry tendency, the approach is used.
If supply of a coin is not controlled, it will likely not grow as expected.
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January 12, 2019, 11:44:40 PM
 #6

The 4-year market cycle approach for me really works. Because there is Halving that happens every 4 years to Bitcoin. And after halving, the price of Bitcoin usually rises, like before. But anything can happen.

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January 12, 2019, 11:59:51 PM
 #7

Hey guys, I've just seen a video about 4-year cycle model on BTC (and overall) market price. I wonder what do you folks think about it. For me this model looks pretty realistic to be truth.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tfts2qHGle0
But sadly most people only try to consider latest ATH price of bitcoin as the min point to determine the performance of bitcoin.
It looks realistic if that will grow ever more. Bitcoin still not yet achieved its hardcap supply and when it does it and then it could be a very interesting thing because miners will not dump bitcoin to the market again.

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January 13, 2019, 03:35:01 AM
 #8

I think we will see the hype next year. You know there is someone who have to eat own dick on National TV if there occurs no hype, lol. I think market will turn into bullish right at the end of this year.

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January 13, 2019, 03:42:45 AM
 #9

The 4 year cycle model is partially true for every economic sector not just the crypto market. But yet there are many complications. Such as the crest and trough not getting the similar value even after a few 4 years. And the economics of crypto is fulled by quick earning mentality and 4 years are just a lot of work for many of the investors.

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January 13, 2019, 05:24:34 AM
 #10

I think the cryptocurrency market is still a bit young to be using a 4-year market cycle. I agree though that 2019 is still an accumulation period.

Here's another video that supports the 4-year period analysis https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g1llVz208eI
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January 13, 2019, 06:11:36 AM
 #11

I've seen review about 4 year cycle before. I think it can be true. Bitcoin market cycle ran completely until now. And I think we may watching a new one now. It has lost value and trying to come back.
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January 13, 2019, 06:55:20 AM
 #12

I've just seen a video about 4-year cycle model on BTC (and overall) market price. I wonder what do you folks think about it. For me this model looks pretty realistic to be truth.
It is possible for the market to be having a 4 year of cycle approach because bitcoin is designed to have halving an approximately every four years. When all the coins are being valued in terms of bitcoin then it is highly possible for this crypto market to react in cycle for every four years.

Bitcoin still not yet achieved its hardcap supply and when it does it and then it could be a very interesting thing because miners will not dump bitcoin to the market again.
For that to happen, I believe you must wait at least for next 100 years because bitcoin will be having significant to supply up to 2180 and some people are expecting bitcoin will never stop its supply because when bitcoin will be devised into more decimal points (currently we are having bitcoin divisible by 8 digits), its will never find and end even though we are going to have only 21M total supply.
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January 13, 2019, 07:09:08 AM
 #13

I believe in 4yrs cycle which btc has to follow and looking at the past with his it trend then there is no doubt that it is true for bull to return and it also apply to every other coins in the crypto space which is what the TA show and why the past align with the present and working toward the future too.
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January 13, 2019, 07:13:49 AM
 #14

It's enough for Bitcoin to get a ban in the entire European Union and the price falls, Facebook accepts Bitcoin and the price goes up, Bitcoin 2 is created and Bitcoin don't exist anymore. One very big event is enough and the whole theory about price cycles does not work. The cryptocurrency market is unpredictable.

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January 24, 2019, 11:41:00 AM
 #15

i believe the approach is good and the bitcoin halving is likewise positive, But as a crypto currency investor, do we need to wait every 4 years to have massive profits??

every investors needs to look up the potentials in the market, in this month, there has been massive development in price tags, increase and unprecedented profits too
why wait 4 years to cash out ?
i see no reason.
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January 24, 2019, 12:49:28 PM
 #16

people always love to come up with these "cycles" and trends for themselves and there is absolutely no truth to them. there is no such cycles in the market even if it happens multiple times. the thing is when many start following a certain pattern then they shape the market to that pattern not the other way around. for example when everyone waits for some magical time to reach before the price rises, they won't buy until that magical time so it takes that much!

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January 24, 2019, 12:58:39 PM
 #17

TA's and cycles? I started not to believe them anymore.

It's good to hear some positive speculations like these 4-year market cycle approach but this market can't really have that exact prediction that everyone says. It's very unpredictable and it can go sideways or the other way that these experts has said.

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January 24, 2019, 01:02:08 PM
 #18

I think it's not 4 years, the market grows every 5 years. but despite all that there is indeed a repetition here and I admit that. so I thought this would come true. next year bitcoin will be halving, and if you see the success of halving in 2016 and continued up trend in 2017 to the highest price in history. I predict the price of bitcoin will rise past last year's highest price in 2021.

so there is still a long time to prepare for this, if we want to invest maybe this is a good time.

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January 24, 2019, 01:09:24 PM
 #19

This speculation seems like near the truth, 4 years market cycle approach. But one thing that always comes up in my mind, crypto market price was still unpredictable, so I don't believe that it has a year gap on price cycle. A lot of well-known people claiming their selves as an expert on predicting but nothing happens.

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January 24, 2019, 09:46:58 PM
 #20

Yes i think 4 year cycle does matter alot and have massive impact on market and volume, as we know btc is still the most dominant coin in the market in terms of volume so btc reward halving that results in less supply definitely puts buying pressure on btc resulting in parabolic run and this in turn effects overall crypto market.

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