Looks like the political problem might be resolved shortly, if it does btc will fall if currency controls are relaxed and the population feel more comfortable.
even if Guaido proclaims himself president of venezuela, unfortunately Maduro still has support from the military, the judiciary and the police. he has control of many things, this problem will not be solved so soon
Guaido did not proclaim himself, he was proclaimed by the National Assembly, the Legislative branch that Maduro decided to outlaw because he and his group feels omnipotent to do anything they please. The so called "support" is eroding faster than the bolivar, precisely because Maduro thinks the economy is only for imperialist pigs or something.
The situation is deteriorating fast, because many countries recognize Guaido but not Maduro, for example the United States. Maduro in anger just ordered all US personnel from the US Embassy out of the country, but the US gov. refuses to comply because Maduro is illegitimate and lost the authority to dictate Venezuela's foreign policy. In fact, diplomats from various countries are already presenting credentials to Guaido.
So what is Maduro going to do now, attack the embassy? Good luck with that... You will see how truly thin is this "support" Maduro really has. His government is falling to pieces, and he himself is accelerating the process. There are rumors the military might turn at any moment, and the police is a joke, more like a band of criminals in uniform. Oh and the judiciary? Those appointed to the supreme court by him and the 2nd in command? They simply obey because they themselves have criminal records. It is a gang, with boss, lieutenant, tugs, etc.
Whatever happens in Venezuela the effect on bitcoin is ZERO, the OP is wrong.