UFC FN 146: Lewis vs Dos Santos Prediction and Info Thread

[tokeweed]

Date: Saturday, March 9
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 22:00 BCT / 2pm PST / 5pm EST
Main Card (ESPN+): 1:00 BCT / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Live Streams: http://www.fìrstrow.eu/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Derrick Lewis (21-6) vs. Junior dos Santos (20-5) (Heavyweight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (20-5) vs. Curtis Millender (17-3) (Welterweight)
Tim Means (28-10-1) vs. Niko Price (12-2) (Welterweight)
Blagoy Ivanov (16-2) vs. Ben Rothwell (36-10) (Heavyweight)
Beneil Dariush (15-4-1) vs. Drew Dober (20-8) (Lightweight)
Tim Boetsch (21-12) vs. Omari Akhmedov (17-4-1) (Middleweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN+)

Anthony Rocco Martin (15-4) vs. Sergio Moraes (14-3-1) (Welterweight)
Marion Reneau (9-4-1) vs. Yana Kunitskaya (11-4) (Women's Bantamweight)
Grant Dawson (12-1) vs. Julian Erosa (22-6) (Featherweight)
Maurice Greene (6-2) vs. Jeff Hughes (10-1) (Heavyweight)
Louis Smolka (15-5) vs. Matt Schnell (12-4) (Bantamweight)
Alex Morono (15-5) vs. Zak Ottow (17-6) (Welterweight)
Alex White (12-5) vs. Dan Moret (13-4) (Lightweight)

Other

- Daniel Spitz was expected to Jeff Hughes at the event. However, Spitz pulled out of the fight on in February 2019 citing injury and he was replaced by Maurice Greene on February 18.

Thanks to the Puertorican for letting me use this content.

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[cabron]

Lewis looks more powerful than Dos Santos. He has more TKO wins than Junior. I saw this guy swings wildly and knock a big guy in one punch while Junior isn't as hard puncher.

[TopTort777]

My predictions on this tournament:

Derrick Lewis would KO Dos Santos. Lewis had much stronger opponents in his previous matches. He also fought more in the last 2-3 years. While Dos Santos had like "1 match per year" since 2013. This he had lost his experience.

Niko Price would win Tim means. On the paper Price looks better, plus he had a better record.

Blagoy Ivanov would definitely have a win over Ben Rothwell. This would be an easy win. For example, Blagoy had a victory over Fedor Emelianenko at the time when Fedor was in top shape (or close to it). I'm not saying that Rothwell is a bad fighter, but is quite decent. "Neither fish nor flesh".

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Curtis Millender must be interesting. Capoeira guy vs guy with 9 wins in a row.

Cant say much about other matches. Don't know much about the fighters. Tim Boetsch vs Omari Akhmedov - I guess this is gonna be ether boring match, either ends quick with a submitions from Omari. Omari is from Dagestan, which means he is most probably wrestler. Either he will end Tim quick or will cover him like a blanked for 3round.

Beneil Dariush probably KO or win with decision Drew Dober. Dont know why, just a shot in the dark.   

 

[tokeweed]

^  Lewis is my pick too.  But Dos Santos opened slightly above two for one as the favorite tho.  So I guess we'll just have to see...  I'm not that confident in my picks atm.  Lol. 

[nydiacaskey01]

One thing I hate about Dos Santos is this guy only have a few moves. He will try to avoid going down and wrestle, he prefers to have a fist fight. I guess he forgot that its MMA not boxing, I remember UFC 117 when Junior Dos Santos walkout song was the theme from movie Rocky. Striking accuracy of Lewis and dos Santos is almost identical.

[gabmen]

Lewis looks more powerful than Dos Santos. He has more TKO wins than Junior. I saw this guy swings wildly and knock a big guy in one punch while Junior isn't as hard puncher.

Well i've seen jds in his prime and he IS a destructive puncher. He's a striker and usually puts his opponents to sleep in his wins, though he's obvuously struggled with good wrestlers and all around fighters then like cain. Both are ko artists but i'd lean a little to lewis here since the veterans i were rooting for weren't doing good recently.

[MakeMoneyBtc]

Lewis looks more powerful than Dos Santos. He has more TKO wins than Junior. I saw this guy swings wildly and knock a big guy in one punch while Junior isn't as hard puncher.

The question is if he will ever have the occasion to land that one puch. Lewis is definitely more powerful than Dos Santos, but we have to keep in mind that Dos Santos speed and movement is higher. I think Dos Santos will have control over the match and probably win if he doesnt make any error.

[kenzawak]

I'm going with Dos Santos... mostly because I don't like the kind of fighter that Lewis is. He may be a nice guy and all but he is no athlete. He'll never get anywhere if he stays in that kind of shape. You have to respect the sport, be a professional and for me he's not doing that.

[TravelMug]

Lewis looks more powerful than Dos Santos. He has more TKO wins than Junior. I saw this guy swings wildly and knock a big guy in one punch while Junior isn't as hard puncher.

The question is if he will ever have the occasion to land that one puch. Lewis is definitely more powerful than Dos Santos, but we have to keep in mind that Dos Santos speed and movement is higher. I think Dos Santos will have control over the match and probably win if he doesnt make any error.

Well there's one strategy that can beat Lewis, get him tire and not engage him early. I think that would be the thing that JDS will do here.

Keep Lewis at a distance and then avoid that one big punch and tire him. And in latter rounds take that opportunity if Lewis gets out of breath.

[electronicash]

Lewis looks more powerful than Dos Santos. He has more TKO wins than Junior. I saw this guy swings wildly and knock a big guy in one punch while Junior isn't as hard puncher.

The question is if he will ever have the occasion to land that one puch. Lewis is definitely more powerful than Dos Santos, but we have to keep in mind that Dos Santos speed and movement is higher. I think Dos Santos will have control over the match and probably win if he doesnt make any error.

Well there's one strategy that can beat Lewis, get him tire and not engage him early. I think that would be the thing that JDS will do here.

Keep Lewis at a distance and then avoid that one big punch and tire him. And in latter rounds take that opportunity if Lewis gets out of breath.

that is also true for Lewis, he doesn't have a tank to last for rounds. he''d barely survive for 3 rounds while Dos Santos has the footwork to dance. Dos Santos however isn't in his prime now, its not like he is in the early 20's. If he gets to the ground by heavy wight like Lewis he might not also survive it.

[tokeweed]

Not much going on in this event but it's gonna be interesting to see where Lewis ends up if he wins.  A bout vs Miocic would be perrrfect.  The winner should at least be closer on the way back to another shot at the belt again...

UFC FN 146:  Weigh Ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9B3nbcICBnk

UFC FN 146:  Face Offs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p75roU0DeOo

[nydiacaskey01]

Here is the Results on the Main Card

Junior dos Santos def. Derrick Lewis via KO/TKO on Round 2 01:58
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos def. Curtis Millender via submission on Round 1 02:35
Niko Price  def. Tim Means KO/TKO on Round 1 04:50
Blagoy Ivanov def. Ben Rothwell via Decision
Beneil Dariush def. Drew Dober via submission on Round 2 04:41
Omari Akhmedov def. Tim Boetsch via Decision

Looks like Junior Dos Santos is determined to reclaim the heavyweight crown.

[mich]

Wow Junior dos Santos looked impressive as hell!
Talk about making an impression vs a fighter who typically does not get defeated in that way. 
Congrats again to the Brazilian and hopefully he gets a title shot soon. 

[Jating]

Yes, that impressive and glad to see JDS back again in the discussions in the heavyweight division. They really put up a good game plan here, using his kicks to soften Lewis and have some distance and then go for the kill is the opportunity is offered. Congrats to Cigano.

[btc_angela]

Would be good if Cain also win in his previous fights. We all know that this two has a history before so it would be nice to see them fight again in the future. Anyways, Dos Santos proves why he is still in fighting up to this point in his career because he can still beat opponents with superior techniques. I'm sure with this win, he should be somewhat next in line for the Heavyweight belt again.

[TravelMug]

As expected, my man JDS win. 

You can clearly see in the first round that he didn't engage and put a good distance to avoid that big punch from Lewis. But he did land a good punch there but Lewis countered. And then exposed Lewis weaknesses, his body.

[kenzawak]

I hope you guys are kidding when you say JDS was impressive ?
The Heavyweight division is like Derrick Lewis, in very bad shape.

Bas Rutten said it : when you hit someone in the liver, you can hit him anywhere in the body after, it will fuckin' hurt !
What in the hell was JDS waiting for after that kick to Lewis' midsection ? Just finish the guy, god damn it !

Terrible fight, terrible fighters.

[peter0425]

I hope you guys are kidding when you say JDS was impressive ?
The Heavyweight division is like Derrick Lewis, in very bad shape.

Bas Rutten said it : when you hit someone in the liver, you can hit him anywhere in the body after, it will fuckin' hurt !
What in the hell was JDS waiting for after that kick to Lewis' midsection ? Just finish the guy, god damn it !

Terrible fight, terrible fighters.

Maybe because Lewis is still dangerous even after he is seriously hurt. I see him throwing punch after Dos Santos hits him that's why he remain cautious even after he hurt Lewis and didn't go for the finish in the first round. But agree that the division is somewhat lacking and we wanted some real champion like Cain during his prime. And what impresses is how Dos Santos methodically dissect Lewis and win the fight.

[kenzawak]

I hope you guys are kidding when you say JDS was impressive ?
The Heavyweight division is like Derrick Lewis, in very bad shape.

Bas Rutten said it : when you hit someone in the liver, you can hit him anywhere in the body after, it will fuckin' hurt !
What in the hell was JDS waiting for after that kick to Lewis' midsection ? Just finish the guy, god damn it !

Terrible fight, terrible fighters.

Maybe because Lewis is still dangerous even after he is seriously hurt. I see him throwing punch after Dos Santos hits him that's why he remain cautious even after he hurt Lewis and didn't go for the finish in the first round. But agree that the division is somewhat lacking and we wanted some real champion like Cain during his prime. And what impresses is how Dos Santos methodically dissect Lewis and win the fight.

All JDS had to do after kicking Lewis in the liver was to kick him again or get close enough to punch him in the body. That would have done the job. Plus he had all the time in the world to do that, there was no rush but no he went straight for Lewis' jaw. No wonder Lewis punched him.   
These guys are weak not only physically but technically as well.

[TopTort777]

I wonder who JDS gonna face next? This is not gonna be Cormier definitely.
Maybe Ngannou?