Pmalek
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April 12, 2019, 08:39:22 AM |
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Are these tips based solely on the information that the teams have financial problems and can't pay the players wages? Therefore the players won't have any motivation to give 100% and will end up losing the matches. Because that is not entirely true. Just because the teams are broke and the players are not getting paid, the players have to play good because their careers depend on it. Scouts and managers are watching these players and they are not going to pick one who looks like he is playing in the park with his friends.
Can you walk us through the process of what you are basing this info on?
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 12, 2019, 06:17:57 PM |
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Are these tips based solely on the information that the teams have financial problems and can't pay the players wages? Therefore the players won't have any motivation to give 100% and will end up losing the matches. Because that is not entirely true. Just because the teams are broke and the players are not getting paid, the players have to play good because their careers depend on it. Scouts and managers are watching these players and they are not going to pick one who looks like he is playing in the park with his friends.
Can you walk us through the process of what you are basing this info on?
Thank you for question. Of course, this is not about players motivation as well. I'm analysing team managers, its about team leadership as well. This is part of analysis, but not limited to this only. My analysis include over 5 indicator and a lot of data. I'm using algorith about avarage goals of the bankrupty team against teams of different ranks. I can't tell you exactly how I made a analyzes. I'm using algorithm to calculating risk/reward for last phase of picking. I hope this answer satisfies you. Dont hesitate if you have another questions. ----- First match from Croatia auto closed at 1.50. It's win.
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 13, 2019, 03:35:25 AM |
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Are these tips based solely on the information that the teams have financial problems and can't pay the players wages? Therefore the players won't have any motivation to give 100% and will end up losing the matches. Because that is not entirely true. Just because the teams are broke and the players are not getting paid, the players have to play good because their careers depend on it. Scouts and managers are watching these players and they are not going to pick one who looks like he is playing in the park with his friends.
Can you walk us through the process of what you are basing this info on?
Thank you for question. Of course, this is not about players motivation as well. I'm analysing team managers, its about team leadership as well. This is part of analysis, but not limited to this only. My analysis include over 5 indicator and a lot of data. I'm using algorith about avarage goals of the bankrupty team against teams of different ranks. I can't tell you exactly how I made a analyzes. I'm using algorithm to calculating risk/reward for last phase of picking. I hope this answer satisfies you. Dont hesitate if you have another questions. ----- First match from Croatia auto closed at 1.50. It's win. EDIT: Second match losed 1:1 Full time. We are keep going. I will post later matches for today. Bitcointalk matches statistic: 3 wins/3 lose. (statistic about matches posted here)
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 13, 2019, 10:58:23 AM |
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Hello, Matches for today are ready.
Netherlands Tweede Devisie AFC-Barendrecht Tip: 1 ( -2.5 asian handicap)
England National League North Bradford PA-Nuneaton Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)
Spain Tercera Group 3 Union Montanesa Escobedo-Naval Reinosa Tip: 1 (-2.0,-2.5 asian handicap) Don't forget about auto close bet at 1.50 odd. My bookmaker offers auto closing bet.
Good luck!
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Lucius
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April 13, 2019, 01:03:43 PM |
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This kind of betting makes some sense, but I think it can not be profitable in the long run. You bet against teams that have financial problems, and let's be realistic that the great majority actually have such problems, money is always problem. The very fact that the percentage of wins is only 50% (let's say that's the average) tells us that even those teams who have financial problems sometimes play good football.
The disadvantage in this strategy is just playing against teams that allegedly have financial problems, but without an opponent's analysis. They can be without important players, in a lousy mood for playing or in long series without defeat. On the other hand, team in financial problems can be extra motivated to win, just because some players want to show that they can play and some scouts look at them.
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 13, 2019, 05:25:06 PM Last edit: April 13, 2019, 07:01:20 PM by SoccerGuru |
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This kind of betting makes some sense, but I think it can not be profitable in the long run. You bet against teams that have financial problems, and let's be realistic that the great majority actually have such problems, money is always problem. The very fact that the percentage of wins is only 50% (let's say that's the average) tells us that even those teams who have financial problems sometimes play good football.
The disadvantage in this strategy is just playing against teams that allegedly have financial problems, but without an opponent's analysis. They can be without important players, in a lousy mood for playing or in long series without defeat. On the other hand, team in financial problems can be extra motivated to win, just because some players want to show that they can play and some scouts look at them.
Thank you for question. You are right, but part of my analysis is a analysing result and the game as whole about bankrupt team against different teams of different ranks. I will upload picture soon with part of my analysis. Thanks EDIT: 2 of 3 matches win today. Only Bradford finished 1:0 . The match from Netherland win with 1.90 odd, due to bookmaker removed it from live sessions.
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Pmalek
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April 14, 2019, 08:10:58 AM |
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I agree with Lucius. If the overall win percentage is 50% or slightly over/under 50% how profitable can this be if one uses this strategy an entire month. Lets say you bet $100 per match, and the odds are 1.8-1.9. If the overall win percentage is 50% you will not end the month with a profit. You would need a few won bets above the 2.0 region to make a winning at the end of the month.
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jademaxsuy
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April 14, 2019, 01:18:09 PM |
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just one week of tips is too little to prove your worth to be honest. You need to at least post for a month so that people actually take you seriously and follow you. The only case where one week might be enough is if you get all your picks in the week right and with odds 2x or over. In any case, good luck. Ill follow the first few picks to see how it goes. Well as long as it is free information for betting in soccer then that is good. Now, gaining one's trust will depend on the individual that perceives it. It may not work on you within 1 week but for others may be. I will be watching thia thread and for the possible predictions especially that the championship game is already coming on. Let's head to the matches!
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Lucius
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April 14, 2019, 01:38:02 PM |
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Thank you for question. You are right, but part of my analysis is a analysing result and the game as whole about bankrupt team against different teams of different ranks. I will upload picture soon with part of my analysis. Thanks
In sports betting we should take into account all possible information, and although we believe some team will win, we should be kept in mind that in this case the game has two more possible outcomes. It is good that you check both teams, so the chances of winning are much higher. It would be nice to edit first post with all games, or maybe even better if you can use spreadsheets, and post that link in first post.
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 14, 2019, 03:27:09 PM |
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I agree with Lucius. If the overall win percentage is 50% or slightly over/under 50% how profitable can this be if one uses this strategy an entire month. Lets say you bet $100 per match, and the odds are 1.8-1.9. If the overall win percentage is 50% you will not end the month with a profit. You would need a few won bets above the 2.0 region to make a winning at the end of the month.
Thanks for your replay. Winrate on my predictions is not 50%, its over 80% for full season. I want to gain trust here about my predictions. If you want, create one account on another bookmaker, and try this tips for 1 month, you will obtain good profit. Thank you for question. You are right, but part of my analysis is a analysing result and the game as whole about bankrupt team against different teams of different ranks. I will upload picture soon with part of my analysis. Thanks
In sports betting we should take into account all possible information, and although we believe some team will win, we should be kept in mind that in this case the game has two more possible outcomes. It is good that you check both teams, so the chances of winning are much higher. It would be nice to edit first post with all games, or maybe even better if you can use spreadsheets, and post that link in first post. Thanks for your replay. It is good idea, about updating first post and creating a spreadsheets. I will do. Thank you! ---- For today, we have not markets for the matches that i picked.
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Pmalek
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April 15, 2019, 08:48:31 AM |
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Thanks for your replay. Winrate on my predictions is not 50%, its over 80% for full season. I want to gain trust here about my predictions. If you want, create one account on another bookmaker, and try this tips for 1 month, you will obtain good profit. If your win rate is 80% it is a totally different thing. A full spreadsheet is a good way to go as well as some proof that you actually placed bets on those matches. That could help to make you look trustworthy and gain some reputation.
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 15, 2019, 03:12:10 PM |
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Matches for today.
Malta Premier League Hibernians-Qormi Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)
Gibraltar Premier League Mons Calpe-Lions Gibraltar Tip: 1 (-3.5 asian handicap)
Do not forget to close bet at 1.50 odd.
Latter, or tomorrow I will create spreadsheet and will update first post in topic.
Good luck!
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swogerino
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April 15, 2019, 04:58:37 PM |
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Matches for today.
Malta Premier League Hibernians-Qormi Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)
Gibraltar Premier League Mons Calpe-Lions Gibraltar Tip: 1 (-3.5 asian handicap)
Do not forget to close bet at 1.50 odd.
Latter, or tomorrow I will create spreadsheet and will update first post in topic.
Good luck!
That would be a good indicator of how well your algorithm and analyzes have worked so far, if you end up with a more than 60% winning rate it could be profitable in the long term although past results do not guarantee future results also. I think that because you are playing handicaps you are limiting yourself and you ask for higher odds , even if the odd is lower you should go for a simple win.I like playing really low odds like 1.25 and even lower as long as it is a win most of the times.
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 16, 2019, 08:40:31 PM |
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Matches for today.
Malta Premier League Hibernians-Qormi Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)
Gibraltar Premier League Mons Calpe-Lions Gibraltar Tip: 1 (-3.5 asian handicap)
Do not forget to close bet at 1.50 odd.
Latter, or tomorrow I will create spreadsheet and will update first post in topic.
Good luck!
That would be a good indicator of how well your algorithm and analyzes have worked so far, if you end up with a more than 60% winning rate it could be profitable in the long term although past results do not guarantee future results also. I think that because you are playing handicaps you are limiting yourself and you ask for higher odds , even if the odd is lower you should go for a simple win.I like playing really low odds like 1.25 and even lower as long as it is a win most of the times. Thanks for your replay. Everyone can track my prediction now with this spreadsheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1foR3moDe-qb6sNjE92n9oHipNmUjYp_GLRRpsObGVWc/edit?usp=sharing . As I said, I created spreadsheet with all tips, which published here. Please, review it and if you find something wrong, please replay here. First post was also updated. Thanks
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 17, 2019, 11:52:44 AM |
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Hello, Pick for today
Spain Tercera Group 3 Tropezon-Revilla Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)
I will update spreadsheet later. Good luck!
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akram143
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April 17, 2019, 01:57:48 PM |
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Hey, I'm offering soccer betting information. I'm not offering "fixed" matches. My betting information is on bankrupt teams. How it work?
I'm using a lot of data with past matches about specific teams on specific leagues. My tips are focuse on bankcrupt teams. I'm using algorithms for avarage goals and winrate/loserate (respectively about bankrupt team) for specific "rank" teams (I'm using rank system for teams about specific position in tabble and info about "motivation of the team" as promotions and more). I'm using solid financial information about bankrupt teams. Strategy
I'm betting with special strategy. I will tell you only concept and basic things about my betting strategy (full strategy for subscribers only). I'm betting 7% of whole bank (amount of betting account) and using auto close bet at ~1.50 odd. I'm saying "around", because most of the times, auto close bet closed bet with more then 1.50 odd. Free trial
I will share tips for 1 month, to gain bitcointalk's community turst. Tips will be free (trial) until 12.05.2019. Tips archive Google SpreadsheetThank you. Feel free to ask questions in this topic. ------------ UD Los Garres-CD Algar Tip: 1 Info: Algar is bankrupt team. They lose on average with one goal difference. thank you for your Strategies and friend and I can take it guidance for me to do the next investment and I definitely implement a strategy to get my success if it was successful I will be very happy to get my profit.
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SoccerGuru (OP)
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April 17, 2019, 08:50:39 PM |
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Hey, I'm offering soccer betting information. I'm not offering "fixed" matches. My betting information is on bankrupt teams. How it work?
I'm using a lot of data with past matches about specific teams on specific leagues. My tips are focuse on bankcrupt teams. I'm using algorithms for avarage goals and winrate/loserate (respectively about bankrupt team) for specific "rank" teams (I'm using rank system for teams about specific position in tabble and info about "motivation of the team" as promotions and more). I'm using solid financial information about bankrupt teams. Strategy
I'm betting with special strategy. I will tell you only concept and basic things about my betting strategy (full strategy for subscribers only). I'm betting 7% of whole bank (amount of betting account) and using auto close bet at ~1.50 odd. I'm saying "around", because most of the times, auto close bet closed bet with more then 1.50 odd. Free trial
I will share tips for 1 month, to gain bitcointalk's community turst. Tips will be free (trial) until 12.05.2019. Tips archive Google SpreadsheetThank you. Feel free to ask questions in this topic. ------------ UD Los Garres-CD Algar Tip: 1 Info: Algar is bankrupt team. They lose on average with one goal difference. thank you for your Strategies and friend and I can take it guidance for me to do the next investment and I definitely implement a strategy to get my success if it was successful I will be very happy to get my profit. Thanks for your replay. My wining rate 58% for now. For sure, this is not good winrate, I want to prove you this information. Just stay active in thread and watch. However, you can bet it with small amount, to test this specific betting strategy. Today's pick auto closed at 1.79 odd. Spreadsheet updated too. Thank you!
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SoccerGuru (OP)
Newbie
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Activity: 24
Merit: 0
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April 18, 2019, 10:30:17 AM |
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Picks for today
Denmark Series Group 4 Nørresundby-Lystrup Tip: 1 (-3.5 asian handicap)
Spain Tercera Division Group 16 SD Logrones-Autol Tip: 1 (-2.5 asian handicap)
Spain Tercera Division Group 2 Marino de Luanco-La Madalena Tip: 1 (-2 asian handicap)
Do not forgot to place auto close bet. I'm betting on Bet365, but you can use your local licensed bookmaker. The spreadsheet will be updated every day. Good luck!
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SoccerGuru (OP)
Newbie
Offline
Activity: 24
Merit: 0
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April 19, 2019, 09:41:43 AM Last edit: April 19, 2019, 04:42:30 PM by SoccerGuru |
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Picks for today
Germany Oberliga NOFD-Nord Lichtenberg-Malchower Tip: 1 (-4.5 asian handicap)
Netherlands Eerste Divisie Den Bosch-Jong Utrecht Tip: 1 (-1.5 asian handicap)
Portugal Campeonato de Portugal Casa Pia-Redondense Tip: 1 (-2.5,-3 asian handicap)
Austria Regionalliga Central Grazer-Wels Tip: 1 (-2.5 asian handicap)
I'm updating matches, because first match from germany is after about 2 hours. I will update markets (tips) on last 2 matches, when bookmaker release a valuable bet (asian handicap). I will update spreadsheet, when update all matches for today.
Edit 1: Now my bookmaker offers asian handicap on Casa Pia-Redondense.
Edit 2: Now my bookmaker offers asian handicap on Grazer-Wels.
Thank you
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