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Author Topic: Bitcoin Trading Cycles  (Read 13760 times)
btcusdtrader (OP)
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March 31, 2019, 03:06:25 PM
 #1


Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Came across this article: https://mktcycles.blogspot.com/2019/03/bitcoin-cycles.html

Any thought?
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March 31, 2019, 03:35:43 PM
 #2

Going through the link above, I like the confirmation that bitcoin is not affected by any underlying factor of economics, geographical conflicts nor politics.

Thus, deducing from that is, is most likely it has its own circle and looking at the graphs, I think the circle is the trend.
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March 31, 2019, 04:21:03 PM
 #3

When viewed from the current performance, a significant increase has the potential to occur if it is based on a repetitive four-year cycle, namely the reduction in the bitcoin reward so that the price is higher. Keep in mind that the price of bitcoin is determined like the principle of supply and demand among miners.

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March 31, 2019, 04:58:42 PM
 #4


Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

No, they are not following any trading cycles the market depends on the events look at the other altcoins there are some coins which are increased today and some of the are drop.
Like for example Zcoin there is a big price jump in the past weeks ago after they announce about Debit/Credit card which gives a big impact to the price of zcoin.
So in bitcoin, it is not following any cycles.
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March 31, 2019, 06:45:19 PM
 #5

Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Any thought?

Of course. Like any other asset, Bitcoin experiences supply/demand imbalances that result in bullish and bearish cycles. Wyckoff's theories on markets weigh heavily in my analysis, and Elliott Wave theory has its place as well. In both cases, we expect a bearish correction phase to follow a bullish trend phase, and vice versa.

I'm hesitant to assume this bearish cycle will play out exactly like the 2014-2015 one, but I do think it'll bear some resemblance.

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March 31, 2019, 07:05:21 PM
 #6


Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Came across this article: https://mktcycles.blogspot.com/2019/03/bitcoin-cycles.html

Any thought?


Arghh, I wish that you upload some Bitcoin price cycles in longer timeframe and show some change in fundamentals - I'm thinking about for example Bitcoin block reward halving, etc.
That will show why there might happen.
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March 31, 2019, 07:54:35 PM
 #7


Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Came across this article: https://mktcycles.blogspot.com/2019/03/bitcoin-cycles.html

Any thought?


Cryptocurrency doesn't follow any cycles out there, because this can stand firmly in accordance with everyone's support for Bitcoin, yes of course it's true that Bitcoin has its own cycle but is not tied to weather which is illogical to me, the market goes according to the level of trade every day, more and more adoption will make crypto good and be liked by most people, so that my current outlook after many years behind the outside cycle will not be too influential on the crypto market.
But people quickly lose because of false news there.
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March 31, 2019, 07:59:52 PM
 #8

Everything in the world has its circle. Is it fashion or cryptos, it has its ups and downs. After every top it follows a drop and after the drop it nothing stays besides to go up. Sounds a little bit philosophical, but it's true.
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March 31, 2019, 10:36:16 PM
 #9

As you can see in the pattern charts there is a continues moving of bitcoin in every moment. That means that bitcoin trading has no real pattern. There is a time or a day neither a month that bitcoin's price will change so this is the great challenge in trading activity. And the question is how long did you hold your bitcoin in that time of cycle or pattern.

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March 31, 2019, 11:15:20 PM
 #10


Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Came across this article: https://mktcycles.blogspot.com/2019/03/bitcoin-cycles.html

Any thought?

Bitcoin is depends on supply and demand so if they suspect the cycles. Normally crypto market was active in each and every second so some of the peoples are said it was a cycle. I think trading is purely based on own participation because yesterday it was negative in the market all are buy because it will raise again at anytime and sinusoidal graph was explain the time and values of Bitcoin.

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April 01, 2019, 01:26:03 AM
 #11

There are only 2 trend on crypto market , bullish and bearish. Before enter to crypto market we should be first analysis the trend of Bitcoin because all altcoin will follow the trend of BTC. If BTC bullish so that will be more bullish for altcoin. With low capitalization , all price of crypto can be going up multiple times in the long run.

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freedomgo
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April 01, 2019, 03:34:22 AM
 #12

There's only a little explanation in the link shared, but in my understanding it signals a bullish trend?
IMO, crypto always follow the cycle, and we experience a long drought, but this year I'm very optimistic that we will see more bullish than bearish trend.

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April 01, 2019, 04:07:52 AM
 #13

I don't know what cycles, but I only know bitcoin always go to up and down in every day.

From the links, that shows to us bitcoin is not always in the up line but sometimes stay in the down the line.

But here is the interesting part, when supply decreased, and demand will increase, the price will increase. That is the economic law which I know. So when the supply of bitcoin was decreased in the next halving and the demand for bitcoin increase, then the price will increase.

But as we don't know how long the line will be at the up line or down the line, we should enjoy the journey and stay survive, and it is hard to see when the bull or bear market will come. But for this year, we have a chance to see the bull market will appear.
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April 01, 2019, 09:43:40 AM
 #14

there are cycles in bitcoin like there is in any other market in the world that has ever existed. but the important thing to remember is that you can never rely on these cycles and think it should be repeated each time the same way as it was repeated in the past. unfortunately nowadays because of the similarity of the current "cycle" of the past 2 years compared to the "cycle" that happened from 2013 to 2016 people are starting to think it is reliable and should be repeated the exact same way. and many of these clickbait sites like the one you posted here are posting misleading articles about this.

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April 01, 2019, 10:16:31 AM
 #15


Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Came across this article: https://mktcycles.blogspot.com/2019/03/bitcoin-cycles.html

Any thought?

Not following any cycles because if you do tend to follow those 3 and making presumptions on your trades then you will surely have a headache on guessing on what would be probably the next
Bitcoin movement on next days or months.

This is why i dont really rely too much on charts patterns yet all movements are random on crypto specially with Bitcoin.

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April 01, 2019, 10:31:33 AM
 #16

I don't think that bitcoin is following any cycle because every day there's a different pattern that you can see in the graphs. I don't know if you can call the bearish and bullish market a bitcoin cycle.
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April 01, 2019, 01:07:21 PM
 #17

Bitcoin has its own cycle but there is no fixed pattern as it is always depending on the supply and demands. You may follow the cycles to predict the future price but it wont be that easy. Bitcoin is still the most unpredictable asset, no one knows when it will rise or down at the exact time.

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April 01, 2019, 05:59:48 PM
 #18

It is not a very shocking deal that bitcoin goes up and down that frequently the reason is it is neither willing to go down but not strong enough to go back up. Now if you want to go back up to 4200 and above you need to spend a lot of money, however if you want to go back down than you gotta go back down a lot and bitcoin doesn't want to do that (well at least people who hold bitcoins) which means sellers are fine with this price but not lower. That is why bitcoin goes up and down in hourly charts very frequently on a small scale, nothing huge of course but for that type of pricing it is seriously major for bitcoin right now since whichever direction it ends up going more than it will go even further so we are still debating (with our trades) on which direction we will go.
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April 01, 2019, 06:34:25 PM
 #19

It's not a symphony or an iterative tone repeated every period of time unless we've seen big differences in price appearing for the first time.
Sometimes prices follow specific patterns when factors do not affect the price, but taking cycles without addressing some factors will give wrong results.

It is best to modify the charts to be based on news or analysis of some factors that affect the market.
Also, not specifying the axes in the charts makes them useless.

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April 01, 2019, 06:42:16 PM
 #20

It does so far.

The profitability curve however, had to flatten out somewhere in the future. We can't expect it (bitcoin) to make a x20 run in every 4-5 years. It'll go down and down, it should go down but on the other hand, bitcoin isn't gold neither.

The supply of bitcoin is hard capped at 21millions while we don't exactly know how much physical gold is in circulation and even if we knew that, it still wouldn't make a difference because it is not the physical gold you own affects the gold price. It is the paper gold.

Bitcoin may go up forever (slowlier than what it does now) or it may go sideways forever after certain time passed. (unlikely to me)

The markets however, will always have its ups and downs, that's I know.

Another thing I know is, there will be another bull run.

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