Bitcoin Trading Cycles

[raven7886]

Some investors have said that Q2 and Q3 every year often have big growth markets and I believe that when the price of BTC suddenly increases from 3300 $ -> $ 5000 and maintains that value. . I could not believe my eyes.
I looked back at the stock charts of 2016 and 2017, buying power also increased sharply at that time. So the cycle is real.

This could just be a coincidence, usually first quarter of the year is for most companies into production to produce products that will be going out for the year for sales, this is why most Asian countries such as china goes on holiday these period in preparation, which means its spending period which will make people not have much money to invest into the system.

But from Q2 and after, incomes would have been coming in from their productions for them to use in investing, reason why cryptocurrency really need to go beyond just investment but to making use of it for utility, as this countries goes on production in Q1, there will be lots of payment needed which bitcoin would have been a better choice of payment if adopted, which will make the market look good too in Q1.

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[South Park]

I have been in forex before coming into cryptocurrencies market and as a trading analyst I have find out that bitcoin follow some trading cycles and some whales invest based on some patterns and candlesticks formation.  For those that has been in this market before 2017 when bitcoin become popular because of the bull run will agree with me that it has been up and down in price movement.  Last year bitcoin was facing a downward cycles but this year it is in the bullish cycle though at the beginning of that.  The paravolical sar is around showing bullish cycles.

The movements of bitcoin cannot be that much different from the movements of any other market, the main difference is just the magnitude of those movements, while in the stock market a movement of a few percentage points in a single day is significant that is nothing in this market but besides that you can use technical analysis in the same way to try to predict the movements of bitcoin in the future and you should have an accuracy close to the one that you could have in the stock market.

[playboy654]

Yes everything is moving under a cycle so if the rating is also like that it will definitely had the value again to continue how to develop every time when the currency falling and rising to make this possible in the better investment and trading field in this situation.

[Kelvinid]

Yes everything is moving under a cycle so if the rating is also like that it will definitely had the value again to continue how to develop every time when the currency falling and rising to make this possible in the better investment and trading field in this situation.

We can get more profits when there is a high fluctuations and also when the market continue to move high.  It's that we actually take advantage of the market, and even doing a buy and sell scheme will still be working.  But we should also analyze the market carefully cause we know it's characteristics and to avoied for not be fall into losing.

[Gaff]

I have been in forex before coming into cryptocurrencies market and as a trading analyst I have find out that bitcoin follow some trading cycles and some whales invest based on some patterns and candlesticks formation.  For those that has been in this market before 2017 when bitcoin become popular because of the bull run will agree with me that it has been up and down in price movement.  Last year bitcoin was facing a downward cycles but this year it is in the bullish cycle though at the beginning of that.  The paravolical sar is around showing bullish cycles.

The movements of bitcoin cannot be that much different from the movements of any other market, the main difference is just the magnitude of those movements, while in the stock market a movement of a few percentage points in a single day is significant that is nothing in this market but besides that you can use technical analysis in the same way to try to predict the movements of bitcoin in the future and you should have an accuracy close to the one that you could have in the stock market.

Looking back the days we had more green cycles of trading bitcoin, it was so amazing to think that people got fascinated with fast rising price. Having accurate analysis cannot be done because for long time bitcoin still cannot be measured with any predictions, although it boosted confidence but not a good factor to rely on. Always refer for the actual market movement, and avoid getting some signs from any articles of trader groups due to most of them were paid by some manipulators. Always have independent decisions, just read some opinions but don't embrace it seriously.

[Idrisu]

The life we are living is in cycles and it is very important we understand this because trading and investments is not different!  The distribution and accumulation of the trading and investment is in cycles and following those cycles is what put you ahead of others in trading.

[sopanbmp]

Of course! Market cycle it very important for me as a trader, Market cycle is like a cheat in the game, we can do research and analysis with it.  Its very eassy to get a signal and find a trading opportunities if you already capable to read the market cycle.

[South Park]

Of course! Market cycle it very important for me as a trader, Market cycle is like a cheat in the game, we can do research and analysis with it.  Its very eassy to get a signal and find a trading opportunities if you already capable to read the market cycle.

There is no doubt that market cycles exists the problem is that you have no way to know we are in a particular cycle until several months have passed and we discover the cycle has changed but by the time that happens you have already lost the best opportunities to profit from the change of a cycle to the next, just to give you an example during 2018 it was way more profitable to short the markets than to buy and hope the market will go up, but you had no way to know that before the whole year passed so you needed to take the opportunities that appeared in both sides of the market.

[maxreish]

There are times that cycles from the past repeats itself. Some traders are very sure that history from the past years are going to happen now because of the patterns they are looking from the charts.
I have known someone who are telling me about the 4 waves and i wasn't aware about it until now. Maybe he is telling me about this patterns or cycles you are saying.

[katerina5643]

It's obvious that people who trade Bitcoin face cycles when price go down,then go up and over time again down It's usual thing that happens on every market. You can't avoid that but you can learn how to cope with these cycles.
I read in analysis provided by Monfex about new active trading signal :
- Buy at $11,000
- Stop-loss at $10,500
- Take-profit at $12,500
- Forecasted P&L: $3,000 per 0.1 lot
- Risk/reward ratio: 1:3 (very attractive)

What do ypu guys think about it?

[maydna]

Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Came across this article: https://mktcycles.blogspot.com/2019/03/bitcoin-cycles.html

Any thought?

I don't think bitcoin will follow any cycles because if you watch closely, there is a different chart line from time to time and it's not the same. Well, perhaps that will look similar, but it is not the same so that will make us miss something in analyze. Sometimes we make a mistake in buying bitcoin at one level price.

If I read on the news, every news, I will check at the market, and analyze with care because I think from that news, I can get something for me. And sometimes, I can have a feeling to buy or sell bitcoin in one hour later at any level price. But that does not always work because sometimes I make a mistake too, and I realize that it is difficult to make predictions on where the market will run.

[SquallLeonhart]

It is almost always Q3 that gets more attention but unfortunately when the peak happens will never be the same. So, if you are looking to find when bitcoin gets most attention from news and investors and what not its always Q3 but when the peak like 20k will happen will change because that will only happen when there is a huge hype going on and there hasn't been a stable hype cause of bitcoin, that happens almost always on different times which is why we have a very different time periods on all previous peaks.

I think the last time we had a huge increase and decrease was in November of 2014 than we had one in December so we could say that Q4 has seen most of the peaks but just because that happened doesn't mean it will happen again, we have seen a x4 increase in Q2 this year so that could happen again at any time.

[Mahanton]

Does Bitcoin trading follows any cycles?

Came across this article: https://mktcycles.blogspot.com/2019/03/bitcoin-cycles.html

Any thought?

I don't think bitcoin will follow any cycles because if you watch closely, there is a different chart line from time to time and it's not the same. Well, perhaps that will look similar, but it is not the same so that will make us miss something in analyze. Sometimes we make a mistake in buying bitcoin at one level price.

If I read on the news, every news, I will check at the market, and analyze with care because I think from that news, I can get something for me. And sometimes, I can have a feeling to buy or sell bitcoin in one hour later at any level price. But that does not always work because sometimes I make a mistake too, and I realize that it is difficult to make predictions on where the market will run.

Not only sometimes but everynow and then where we do commit mistakes on when we do buy up and sell out.Theres no specific pattern on this very unpredictable market and also we have seen lots of speculations not only on us retail traders but also to those so called experts or famous people do keep predicting that theres such pattern and giving out exaggerated speculation which not even realistic at all.

[leavolnhals]

Only the most recognizable cycle is the increase and decrease cycle.
When the prices of coins fluctuate red or green, after a few days, they will tend to reverse.
I have observed this after 5 months of working here, which is quite interesting.

[barbara44]

Every cryptos will have ups and downs in the trading cycles. It is important to analyze the charts before investing on any cryptos. According to Coinswitch BTC to BCH trading chart, one can trade bitcoins for bitcoin cash which gives 33 BCH. The live chart gives the clear idea about when the price is dropped and when it is high.

I don’t even believe in cycles normally because I believe that everything has its own different time, season, and different factors entirely, so we should not so much rely on cycles from all these charts, we have to always move along with the market according to current event of the day.

For bitcoin prediction, I usually follow more pd speculation, because I believe that we have different reason why we all buy bitcoin, and as we know that in the last bull run, ICO was one of the factors that contributed to why we have that increase. We can even see clearly from this movement of bitcoin from April that it never follows cycle because I don’t think we have experience such move before, I mean bitcoin taking time to slowly and gradually increase in value.

[SuperTA]

If you bet against the CNBC bitcoin predictions you had a 80%-90% chance for a success.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5176891.msg52204427#msg52204427

[devis9990i]

Of course! Market cycle it very important for me as a trader, Market cycle is like a cheat in the game, we can do research and analysis with it.  Its very eassy to get a signal and find a trading opportunities if you already capable to read the market cycle.

There is no doubt that market cycles exists the problem is that you have no way to know we are in a particular cycle until several months have passed and we discover the cycle has changed but by the time that happens you have already lost the best opportunities to profit from the change of a cycle to the next, just to give you an example during 2018 it was way more profitable to short the markets than to buy and hope the market will go up, but you had no way to know that before the whole year passed so you needed to take the opportunities that appeared in both sides of the market.

Each trader should be prepared for such cycles because it's natural. And get ready for new cycle.BTC will fall to 9 500 in short term so here's a beginning of bearish season . Monfex suggested to set a stop-loss order at 10 500 $ and a take -profit order at 9 500$. What do yoi think about it&