🥊 The UFC Info and Prediction Thread

[rdbase]

Last night's event in Mexico was full of upsets and was watching it on and off but managed to catch the entire Green vs Zellhuber fight.
That was a great one as it showed how experience can win anyone the fight. Everyone doubted him being the older fighter of the two but he made it out of the first round without taking much damage from Zellhuber so this was a good tactical way to plan out how the rest of the fight was going to proceed.
Those who took Green via KO got paid nicely this night.

Today the CBS network ran a spot on the UFC and Dana White's rise of how he got it to be highlighted at the White House this summer.
Since they are part of Paramount, they also announced during this special that the next numbered event will be televised on CBS.
So UFC 326 will be available for free to those who have cable through their tv provider and available to those who are not subscribers of Paramount+.

[TopTort777]

^  Lmaaaooo  Kiiing Greeeen!!!  Sadly no, as I didn't watch the even.  

But still...  Nice call there.  Maybe next time we plan something up.  I let everybody itt make picks, I bet on some and share the winnings if it hits.  If it loses, it's on me.  

Anyway, here's the results of the event.  Looks like Kavanaugh doesn't have cardio issues.  I wanna see him fight Kape.  Let's see if he has what it takes to fight for the belt.

Lone'er Kavanagh def. Brandon Moreno via unanimous decision (49-46, 48-47, 48-47)
David Martinez def. Marlon Vera via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
King Green def. Daniel Zellhuber via TKO (punches) – Round 2, 4:55

I havent listened to my advice as well I ignored it, believed to much into Zellhuber youth, put on other scale damage that Green gathered during career and thought he wont be able to hand young blood. Btw isnt these 3 fights were underdogs won? Next time Moreno fights, I think it would be good to bet against him. Time when he was really cool have gone. 4 fights against Figueiredo were his prime. Bookies give that too much attention and make him favorite.

[bbc.reporter]

It appears that we have witnessed another underdog who has received a victory in the fight on the main event hehehe. Will we witness another underdog win on the next main event on UFC 326? Charles Oliveira is the underdog. I very much speculate that the Do Bronxs will strangle the neck of Max Holloway and he will sleep on the floor before round 5 hehehe!

This fight will be something similar to Do Bronxs vs. the Diamond Poirier where the Do Bronxs' knees on the Diamond's ribs has caused much wind to come out of the Diamond's body and this caused much tiredness.

[TopTort777]

Remember how some time ago I was surprised that Arman Tsarukyan instead of participating in UFC, is taking part in wrestling and bjj events. I was surprised that UFC even let him do that instead of concentrating on a title fight.

Here is a new story. Few day ago Tsarukyan was participating in RAF 06 event against Georgio Poullas and he wasnt doing well. Even though both violated rules by aggressive behavior, it was Arman who punches his opponent in wrestling match, that later turned into mass brawl. Here is he video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wkbaWvbQ7IM. Long story short, Arman dont know how to lose (or win without dominance) and freaks out. Imagine what would be if he loses in a title fight...

[tokeweed]

Here the roster for the next event.  The main card looks sweet but the rest of match ups are decent but nothing really to get excited about.

But yeah...  All we want is to watch these guys throw leather.    What do you guys think?

Date:  Saturday, March 7
Main Card:  9:00pm EST
Preliminary Card:  7:00pm EST
Early Prelims:  5:00pm EST
Venue:  T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada



Main Card
Lightweight:  Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira      
Middleweight:  Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder            
Bantamweight:  Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr.            
Lightweight:  Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson            
Middleweight:  Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira

Preliminary Card
Bantamweight:  Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long            
Featherweight:  Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes            
Flyweight:  Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel      

Early Prelims
Flyweight:  Su Mudaerji vs. Jesus Santos Aguilar            
Light Heavyweight:  Luke Fernandez vs. Rodolfo Bellato

[TopTort777]

I think it might be worth risking to bet Max by KO. We all know how bad Oliveira is with his head movement and often neglects defense. I dont remember Max being at the net, so it already decreases Oliveira arsenal of bjj finishes and techniques. When avoiding strikes, Max never goes back, he always cut corners. I think he wont be dumb to jump into deep waters and try to outplay Oliveira on the canvas. Btw both already met long time ago, Max won that fight by TKO (Oliveira got mysterious injury) and was leading the fight.

Your thought on RDR vs Borralho fight? RDR is an underdog with 3.20. Why so low? Just because he has lost to Allen? But fight against Whittaker showed that RDR also is good at striking. I think bookies confused something. Odds should be more even.

[Pumared]

I think it might be worth risking to bet Max by KO. We all know how bad Oliveira is with his head movement and often neglects defense. I dont remember Max being at the net, so it already decreases Oliveira arsenal of bjj finishes and techniques. When avoiding strikes, Max never goes back, he always cut corners. I think he wont be dumb to jump into deep waters and try to outplay Oliveira on the canvas. Btw both already met long time ago, Max won that fight by TKO (Oliveira got mysterious injury) and was leading the fight.

I wish Oliveira would win so he could get a belt and see if that would motivate him to keep fighting. But unfortunately, he's going to lose to Holloway. I don't think Oliveira will do anything after so many impactful losses; I think it will just be another one.

[OgNasty]

Ronda Rousey saying she wants to fight Gina Carano to help her after seeing she had gained an unhealthy amount of weight is a masterclass is trolling. I really hope Gina doesn’t get herself hurt for a paycheck. I have a feeling this fight might not last more than a few minutes.

[pawel7777]

Remember how some time ago I was surprised that Arman Tsarukyan instead of participating in UFC, is taking part in wrestling and bjj events. I was surprised that UFC even let him do that instead of concentrating on a title fight.

Here is a new story. Few day ago Tsarukyan was participating in RAF 06 event against Georgio Poullas and he wasnt doing well. Even though both violated rules by aggressive behavior, it was Arman who punches his opponent in wrestling match, that later turned into mass brawl. Here is he video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wkbaWvbQ7IM. Long story short, Arman dont know how to lose (or win without dominance) and freaks out. Imagine what would be if he loses in a title fight...

Yeah, I've seen this earlier today. I'm starting to think he's doing this on purpose, just to hype himself up. Or maybe that's just a result of the culture he grew up in.
In this particular case, it looked like there was something more going on. After Tsarukyan landed the punch both teams started to go against each other, so there's probably more background to the story that we don't know.
Anyhow, he might face another suspension from fighting. Although I'm not sure if any mma commission could penalise him for something unrelated to mma.

As for this weekend's event, Kavanagh did very well. He was unranked before that fight, but that win over Moreno will likely put him straight into the top 10.

[rdbase]

Remember how some time ago I was surprised that Arman Tsarukyan instead of participating in UFC, is taking part in wrestling and bjj events. I was surprised that UFC even let him do that instead of concentrating on a title fight.

Here is a new story. Few day ago Tsarukyan was participating in RAF 06 event against Georgio Poullas and he wasnt doing well. Even though both violated rules by aggressive behavior, it was Arman who punches his opponent in wrestling match, that later turned into mass brawl. Here is he video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wkbaWvbQ7IM. Long story short, Arman dont know how to lose (or win without dominance) and freaks out. Imagine what would be if he loses in a title fight...

Tsarukyan is acting like he is on steroids since it is well known to give it's users anger management issues.
I remember when he dipped from a fight last year right after the weigh-ins and fighter face-offs. He claimed it was due to an injury but from this recent incident at only a BJJ tournament it just might be more towards his unstable mental state.

[TopTort777]

I would carefully say that Tsarukyan is using every possible way to create hype to become more media, more demanded to force UFC to give him bigger fights. He is already filming in his instagram video where he eats enormous portions of food, collaborate with bloggers, goes on podcasts. During Olympic Winter games, he hosted Jake Paul and organized different fun activities for him. Few years ago Tsarukyan was completely different.

Yeah, I've seen this earlier today. I'm starting to think he's doing this on purpose, just to hype himself up. Or maybe that's just a result of the culture he grew up in.
In this particular case, it looked like there was something more going on. After Tsarukyan landed the punch both teams started to go against each other, so there's probably more background to the story that we don't know.

It is funny that there is no background story. Tsarukyan and Poullas met before fight, made friendly photos. Fight went even. When Poullas tried neck grab, he failed, but it looked like a slap (which is prohibited). It wasnt a direct slap or Poullas did not do it on purpose. Arman replied on that with his own obvious slap and that is when everything started. Tbh, I think it all started in Armans head, when Poullas refused to lose fight easily

Little update: https://www.reddit.com/r/ufc/comments/1rjgs1t/i_criticized_arman_first_but_after_watching_how/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button if this is not fake or compilation of Poullas fouls, then he really deserve that punch.

But

[tokeweed]

I think it might be worth risking to bet Max by KO. We all know how bad Oliveira is with his head movement and often neglects defense. I dont remember Max being at the net, so it already decreases Oliveira arsenal of bjj finishes and techniques. When avoiding strikes, Max never goes back, he always cut corners. I think he wont be dumb to jump into deep waters and try to outplay Oliveira on the canvas. Btw both already met long time ago, Max won that fight by TKO (Oliveira got mysterious injury) and was leading the fight.

Your thought on RDR vs Borralho fight? RDR is an underdog with 3.20. Why so low? Just because he has lost to Allen? But fight against Whittaker showed that RDR also is good at striking. I think bookies confused something. Odds should be more even.

Yeah Oliveira's chin is prolly shot rn after getting KO'd by Topuria.  And he doesn't exactly have granite chin.  He's been shown to get knocked down in his past fights.  Chandler almost finished him in the first round when they fought.  But then again I agree with BBC's lean that Oliveira could also find a finish via SUB. 

So I guess the bet here is the under?  But the bookies opened it at under 2.5 at 2.23.  I'd rather get a smaller line at under 3.5. 

As for RDR vs Borralho.  I'm with you.  RDR is disrespected in this spot.  I'll bet 30 bucks on RDR and split the winnings with you. 

[Pumared]

I think it might be worth risking to bet Max by KO. We all know how bad Oliveira is with his head movement and often neglects defense. I dont remember Max being at the net, so it already decreases Oliveira arsenal of bjj finishes and techniques. When avoiding strikes, Max never goes back, he always cut corners. I think he wont be dumb to jump into deep waters and try to outplay Oliveira on the canvas. Btw both already met long time ago, Max won that fight by TKO (Oliveira got mysterious injury) and was leading the fight.

Your thought on RDR vs Borralho fight? RDR is an underdog with 3.20. Why so low? Just because he has lost to Allen? But fight against Whittaker showed that RDR also is good at striking. I think bookies confused something. Odds should be more even.

Yeah Oliveira's chin is prolly shot rn after getting KO'd by Topuria.  And he doesn't exactly have granite chin.  He's been shown to get knocked down in his past fights.  Chandler almost finished him in the first round when they fought.  But then again I agree with BBC's lean that Oliveira could also find a finish via SUB. 

I think it's very unlikely; as long as the fight stays standing, Holloway will always be superior, due to Oliveira's terrible striking compared to his opponent's. Besides, I think it's unlikely Holloway will attempt takedowns; I think it's more practical for him to stay standing the entire fight without trying to take him down.

[pawel7777]

Max Holloway is x1.42 favourite, while odds for Charles are x2.90
ChatGPT Fight Analyst Advanced prediction:
"Max Holloway defeats Charles Oliveira via TKO (Round 3)
Confidence: 72%"

I don't know why, but for some reason I thought Oliveira would be a slight favourite. His striking is inferior, but he has a reach advantage that he could utilise.
If the fight goes to the ground it could be over for Max, but the question is if Charles will be able to take Max down. Max has good take-down defense and Charles, while good on the ground, is not really famous for his high takedown success rate and does not shoot for takedowns very often. That's probably why Max is the favourite here.

I have a gut feeling that Oliveira will somehow find a way to win, but I'm not planning on betting on him.

[trendcoin]

I want Charles to win, but Max is my favorite. Max is one of the best boxers in the UFC. Charles has a chin like cheese. Sure, if Charles manages to catch Max on the ground, he could choke him like a python, but I don't think Max will let him get close. Still, I can't speak with certainty about this matchup. It does give me a feeling that we're in for a great fight...

[TopTort777]

Addition to cheesy chin, Oliveira neglects head defense and sometimes prefer to block strikes with his face. Btw Oliveira is a kind of guy whos experience in MMA is doing opposite. During their career they became matured and smarter. Oliveira is doing opposite right now. Previously he was more disciplined. Now he fight in stance with striker and gain damage and wrestle with wrestlers. I think he is going to try to outstrike Max, when it would be better to submit him. Either he is not following game plan, or his game plan is weird. There are always moments in fight, when opponent offers to make a brawl, a mess, stupidly throw punches until only 1 stands, and Charlie accepts that always. He is knocked down in every fight.

[tokeweed]

Max Holloway is x1.42 favourite, while odds for Charles are x2.90
ChatGPT Fight Analyst Advanced prediction:
"Max Holloway defeats Charles Oliveira via TKO (Round 3)
Confidence: 72%"

I don't know why, but for some reason I thought Oliveira would be a slight favourite. His striking is inferior, but he has a reach advantage that he could utilise.
If the fight goes to the ground it could be over for Max, but the question is if Charles will be able to take Max down. Max has good take-down defense and Charles, while good on the ground, is not really famous for his high takedown success rate and does not shoot for takedowns very often. That's probably why Max is the favourite here.

I have a gut feeling that Oliveira will somehow find a way to win, but I'm not planning on betting on him.

Hmmm interesting...  I might use AI to help me make my weekly full card degen parlays or maaaybe I let you guys use AI to come up with full card parlays and put them up in the thread.  We discuss which one's the best, I make a small bet and the regs itt get a piece of the winnings.  

What do you guys think?  I know some of you guys don't really bet a lot but I want everybody who visits the thread regularly to look forward in watching the fights during the weekends.  

Btw...  TopTort made the bet for RDR at 3.30.

[Pumared]

Max Holloway is x1.42 favourite, while odds for Charles are x2.90
ChatGPT Fight Analyst Advanced prediction:
"Max Holloway defeats Charles Oliveira via TKO (Round 3)
Confidence: 72%"

I don't know why, but for some reason I thought Oliveira would be a slight favourite. His striking is inferior, but he has a reach advantage that he could utilise.
If the fight goes to the ground it could be over for Max, but the question is if Charles will be able to take Max down. Max has good take-down defense and Charles, while good on the ground, is not really famous for his high takedown success rate and does not shoot for takedowns very often. That's probably why Max is the favourite here.

I have a gut feeling that Oliveira will somehow find a way to win, but I'm not planning on betting on him.

I'm just not sure if it will be a knockout from Holloway, but I believe he'll win without much difficulty. Oliveira is in terrible form; he's only winning against those who take him to the ground. I believe Holloway will put all the pressure on him standing and wait for him to get up. Fighting on the ground for that belt is shameful.

[TopTort777]

Btw...  TopTort made the bet for RDR at 3.30.

Good, good

Why not pick someone from prelims also? I can suggest a bet based on funny name Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel. Even though Tumendemberel is a favorite with 1.7, I think it might be a good bet. Durden is on a series of losses and probably will get kicked. His opponent is 9-1, but most fights are outside UFC, and is from country with low income, so he would die to win and stay in UFC and States. Sorry if that sounds bad, but that is the life

P.S. I just want him to win because it will be hilarious when commentators will try to pronounce his name and surname lol.

[OgNasty]

Dana White just said, “We’ll see” when reporters asked him if Conor McGregor would be on the White House card. This is a pretty big change from the ‘no way’ from a few weeks ago. Every time you think Conor McGregor is done fighting forever, another rumor hits the scene. We’ll have to wait and see if it is true.