Hmmmm ... $1700 (according to you) is a big issue ... and you are assuming the BTC price also ... which changes every single day.
OK so to do your numbers accurately - since your math is actually wrong:
On my web site it currently says:
"The pool hash rate for the last day is roughly 74.65PHs which means the 5Nd 'ramp' is roughly 22days 8hrs."
So what does that actually mean?
It means that it currently takes 22 1/3 days to reward your mining.
It also means the expected return for the first 22.33 days is half PPS+ expected, but consistent from then onwards, and of course if he leaves, then he gets the ramp down also for 5Nd after he leaves.
We've only found one block this month so far so the reward is based on one lower than average txn block - check the previous two months, the average is 104.77% and 103.00% - but I'll also use that low current number.
101.78% minus the pool fee of 0.9% gives 100.8% expected.
At the current diff, a 1600TH miner expects, on average at 100% PPS,
0.06003001 BTC a day - 100.8% gives
0.06051025 BTC expected average per day
So for the first two weeks of this diff, he'd expect 14 times that = 0.84714356 BTC
Now we can leave this
0.06051025 BTC a day if you like, even though it's wrong after this diff, since diff changes every 2 weeks, and if we keep that number it makes his results look worse than they are - so my calc below is actually worse than what would happen - but we'll go with that.
So for 22.33 days that's 1.35119388 BTC expected.
But due to the 5Nd it's half that - so 0.67559694 BTC expected for 22.33 days.
Then say it's only 30 days (again makes the result worse) there's thus another 7.66 days at
0.06051025 = 0.46350852 gives
1.13910546 BTC of 1.81470240 if he was already fully ramped
Every month after that, it has no effect.
However, the starting position is not correct either:
1.81470240 BTC is not $11,000 ... it's more like $10525 (
$5800 per BTC) if he can pay NO fees converting it (which I also doubt)
Of course he isn't expected to get $10525 on my pool, but 1.13910546 BTC which gives $6606 = a
$3394 loss in the first month.
However, on ViaBTC his expected BTC for 30 days is PPS-4% but they supposedly add more on top of that ... but since we are saying that txn fees are only 101.78% for my pool above, I very much doubt you'll get much more than 96% PPS but we'll throw in that extra 1.78% and say about 97.8% PPS
So 97.8% PSS for 30 days is 30 x
0.06003001 x 0.978 = 1.76128049 BTC (N.B. ViaBTC has withdrawl fees also) but magically without any fees anywhere that =
$10,215 so his numbers basically say there's no way he should do this especially considering the next diff change will most likely be over 10% and thus a loss mining even on ViaBTC.
So while you are trying to trash my pool due to the PPLNS 5Nd, you completely ignored the fact that your suggestion to use ViaBTC is a bad idea also, just not as bad for the first 22.33 days as mining on my pool
Edit: though if you think price is rising, then the 22.33 day 5Nd is a good thing to get a higher BTC price