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Vishnu.Reang
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May 19, 2019, 12:15:23 PM
Merited by theymos_away (10), Flying Hellfish (5), JSRAW (2), Quickseller (1)
 #1

The voting for 2019 Indian general election ends today, and I though that it will be better to create a thread here. Unlike yesterday's Australian elections, this one hasn't got much media attention from outside India.

Still, we need to remember that this election is the biggest democratic exercise in the recorded history, with a total of 900 million people eligible to vote. The system used here is first-past-the-post voting, and there are a total of 543 constituencies.

The elections were being held in 7 different phases, starting from 11th April. The turnout varied from 10.32% (for Jammu and Kashmir during Phase 4) to 85.11% (for Assam, phase 3).

The ideological position of the various alliances are as follows:

NDA: headed by BJP, a center-right party. The core support base comes from upper-caste Hindus (~15% of the population) and urban voters. Foreign policy is pro-Israel and pro-Trump, while maintaining historical friendships with Russia. Hawkish on defense policy and hostile towards China / Pakistan. Stands against affirmative action. Against illegal immigration by Bangladeshi Muslims.

UPA: Headed by INC, a center-left party. Core support base comes from Muslims (~15% of the population) and Christians (~6% of the population). Mostly depends on rural votes. Foreign policy is pro-Palestine and pro-Democrat with preference for Russia over USA. Pacifist defense policy. Strongly in favor of affirmative action and tolerant of illegal immigration by Bangladeshi Muslims.

Others: A bunch of regional parties with different ideologies. Don't have any foreign policy. Most of them derives support from rural and minority voters. Have more ideological similarity with UPA.

These were the seat positions during the last election:

NDA - 336 (ruling alliance)
UPA - 60 (main opposition alliance)
Others - 147 (most of them allied with UPA informally)

As per the last opinion polls (published in April), this is the prediction (exit polls will be available in another 45 minutes from now):

NDA: 275 to 310
UPA: 122 to 149
Others: 111 to 142

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May 19, 2019, 01:11:08 PM
Last edit: May 19, 2019, 01:34:06 PM by Vishnu.Reang
 #2

The exit polls are out now, and I will give the details from the most reliable ones.



In short, almost all the polls are predicting that NDA will be back to power, although with a reduced majority.

Some of the state-level numbers:

















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May 19, 2019, 01:48:38 PM
 #3

The main fight is in UP and WB. though will wait for 23 May. As a Kashmiri born, living in Delhi. I only want Narendra Modi to win despite his mistake on some issue. the last thing I want to see is Rahul Gandhi Leading India with his "Grand Alliance". Big No!




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May 19, 2019, 02:11:39 PM
Last edit: May 19, 2019, 05:43:43 PM by Vishnu.Reang
 #4

The main fight is in UP and WB. though will wait for 23 May. As a Kashmiri born, living in Delhi. I only want Narendra Modi to win despite his mistake on some issue. the last thing I want to see is Rahul Gandhi Leading India with his "Grand Alliance". Big No!

I voted for NDA this time, after being refused voter registration in 2014 (my family is originally from Mizoram, but the state authorities won't allow me to register. So this time registered in Tripura). The opposition is just hopeless. The campaigning was really toxic during the last two months, and I was really afraid of the proposed NYAY scheme. If it was implemented (as UPA promised), then the taxes will go up by 2x.


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May 22, 2019, 03:26:46 AM
 #5

After the exit polls were out, the Indian stock markets went up by 4%. So in case the results matches with those given in the exit polls, then we can see another rally in the markets, when the results are out (the first trends will be available in around 24 hours from now).

Narendra Modi has many similarities with other world leaders, especially Donald Trump and Rodrigo Duterte. They are very strongly polarizing figures. There are sections of the society which strongly supports them and there are some sections which hate them with a passion.

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JSRAW
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May 22, 2019, 04:31:53 AM
 #6

They are very strongly polarizing figures. There are sections of the society which strongly supports them and there are some sections which hate them with a passion.

Modi even polarized Rahul Gandhi, he's now "Janehudhari Shiv Bhakt" (Sacred thread- Devotee of Shiva-). In Delhi Muslim community especially Ahmadiyya, Shia and Educated class of Sunni community support Modi Blindly. this is a fact on the ground level. pseudo secular and commies don't want to see this truth.

In Delhi, people are very clear about their choices no matter what the media says. Modi for India and Kejriwal for Delhi.

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May 22, 2019, 04:42:04 PM
 #7

Less than 10 hours to go before the counting is about to start. A lot of excitement in the air, as people are looking forward to having NDA for a second term with a clear majority. A hung parliament would not have benefited anyone and a lot of us are happy that the exit polls don't show such a possibility.

The counting is going to take at least 10-12 hours to get to 90% completion and the first trends will be out by 9 am IST (first the postal ballots will be counted). Results for the remote constituencies may be known only by Friday or Saturday.

Each constituency has around 1,400 poll booths and approx 100 booths constitute one "round". Approx 40 minutes are taken for counting one "round" of votes. If the constituency has an average of 14 rounds, then it takes 9 to 10 hours for the counting to complete.

Modi even polarized Rahul Gandhi, he's now "Janehudhari Shiv Bhakt" (Sacred thread- Devotee of Shiva-). In Delhi Muslim community especially Ahmadiyya, Shia and Educated class of Sunni community support Modi Blindly. this is a fact on the ground level. pseudo secular and commies don't want to see this truth.

In Delhi, people are very clear about their choices no matter what the media says. Modi for India and Kejriwal for Delhi.

Exit polls are saying that NDA is much ahead of AAP in Delhi. Perhaps the situation may change for the assembly elections (2020).

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May 22, 2019, 06:09:43 PM
 #8

Several news has come to the international media stating those exit poll results were the manipulated results in support of the ruling NDA party. Most international media describes the winning probability for UPA is found high than the present party. Anyhow tomorrow by this time we'll get to know the results concluding who is gonna rule India for the next five years.

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May 23, 2019, 05:39:08 AM
 #9

Votes are being counted currently and this time also current ruling party got the majority as of now but still lot of places to count but on my states they were completely ignored by the people even the allied parties got ignored due to their alliance.

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May 23, 2019, 06:51:25 AM
 #10

No doubt that now BJP has the maximum votes and Modi will be the PM now. People in my area are such strong Modi bhakts and a word criticizing him makes them question your intelligence. Have never seen such craze for a political party earlier except for the members of that group and now these supporters are worse than fan groups of celebs who come to personal attack other members. Don't know now which ban is awaiting us but surely nothing positive. Acche din aaye hi nahi Sad




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May 23, 2019, 07:10:01 AM
 #11

No doubt that now BJP has the maximum votes and Modi will be the PM now. People in my area are such strong Modi bhakts and a word criticizing him makes them question your intelligence. Have never seen such craze for a political party earlier except for the members of that group and now these supporters are worse than fan groups of celebs who come to personal attack other members. Don't know now which ban is awaiting us but surely nothing positive. Acche din aaye hi nahi Sad
By the time passes opponents were losing their seats more and now BJB can stand alone just like what happened on 2014.

I didn't expect this results after BJB were lost some state elections recently and the controversies on EVM machines will continues again as well.

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May 23, 2019, 03:36:58 PM
 #12

No doubt that now BJP has the maximum votes and Modi will be the PM now. People in my area are such strong Modi bhakts and a word criticizing him makes them question your intelligence. Have never seen such craze for a political party earlier except for the members of that group and now these supporters are worse than fan groups of celebs who come to personal attack other members. Don't know now which ban is awaiting us but surely nothing positive. Acche din aaye hi nahi Sad
By the time passes opponents were losing their seats more and now BJB can stand alone just like what happened on 2014.

I didn't expect this results after BJB were lost some state elections recently and the controversies on EVM machines will continues again as well.

EVMs being stolen is nothing but another controversy. BJP will always keep winning as people still really think that they are going to curb terrorism and corruption. The amount of hatred people had for Congress is the major reason people voted for BJP. We'll see more foreign trips, technology-loving speeches, more bans on cryptocurrencies and then something worse than GST.

Can't believe Smriti Irani won against Rahul too.




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May 23, 2019, 04:28:02 PM
 #13

Can't believe Smriti Irani won against Rahul too.
When they have EVM then they will do these again and again on the upcoming elcetions.

The more sad thing is Congress didn't even got the opposition status as well just like what happened in 2014,so BJP will implement any rule if they want since they have single majority to rule the country for next five years.

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May 23, 2019, 04:45:19 PM
 #14

The results were as expected. The exit polls were showing somewhere between 300 and 320 seats for the NDA, but the ground situation was entirely different. In rural areas, it was very hard to find a single person who would support the UPA (I am a resident of Tripura), outside their core-support groups (Muslims / Christians). Free electricity, housing and LPG made the difference for this election.


As you can see, NDA swept the entire country with the exception of three states in the south. I don't know whether the UPA can ever recover from such a heavy defeat (their PM candidate was also defeated in Amethi).

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May 23, 2019, 05:21:17 PM
 #15

The results were as expected. The exit polls were showing somewhere between 300 and 320 seats for the NDA, but the ground situation was entirely different. In rural areas, it was very hard to find a single person who would support the UPA (I am a resident of Tripura), outside their core-support groups (Muslims / Christians). Free electricity, housing and LPG made the difference for this election.


As you can see, NDA swept the entire country with the exception of three states in the south. I don't know whether the UPA can ever recover from such a heavy defeat (their PM candidate was also defeated in Amethi).
Even at the south Congress didn't got much wins only with the allies they are able to get some wins at the lower bottom of the country.I didn't expect this result after huge crisis on the economical level of a common level in their previous ruling period.

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May 24, 2019, 03:45:51 AM
Last edit: May 24, 2019, 11:06:48 AM by Sithara007
 #16

Counting has been completed in 523 seats and pending in 19. NDA has 350 wins or leads (BJP alone has 304), while UPA is trailing with 98 (INC at 52). NDA needed 362 for a two-third majority, which would have allowed them to amend the constitution and cancel the Article 35A. But now they will be 12 seats short of that and may need support from parties such as the YSCRP (22 seats) and BJD (12 seats). In the upper house (Rajya Sabha), they are still devoid of a clear majority.


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May 24, 2019, 11:54:52 AM
 #17

The elections were being held in 7 different phases, starting from 11th April. The turnout varied from 10.32% for Jammu and Kashmir during Phase 4 to 85.11% for Assam, phase 3.
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May 24, 2019, 11:54:56 AM
 #18

NDA: headed by BJP, a center-right party, while congress lost his own  seat of amethi
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May 24, 2019, 12:42:16 PM
 #19

Now only one seat left (Arunachal East), where the results are pending. For a total of 541 seats, the results have been declared. Congress will not be getting the opposition party status, as they are well short of the required 54 seats (10% of the total). Assembly elections for Andhra, Arunachal, Sikkim and Odisha were held simultaneously. They were won by YSRCP, BJP, SKM, and BJD respectively.

BJP comes back to power with 40 seats (out of 60) in Arunachal, while SKM wins Sikkim for the first time after toppling the long-serving chief minister Pawan Kumar Chamling (in power for the last 25 years).

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May 24, 2019, 03:41:50 PM
 #20

indian 2019 election result is already came,modi won in india, so now modi is indian president and he won the 352 places,UPA won 86 places and others 104 places.
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