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Author Topic: [GAMBLING] PBA Governor's Cup Discussion and Crypto-Sportsbetting  (Read 2329 times)
bisdak40
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May 20, 2019, 02:35:21 PM
Last edit: October 02, 2019, 07:55:41 AM by bisdak40
Merited by Russlenat (2), Darker45 (2), GreatArkansas (2), Ziskinberg (1), deadsilent (1), Baofeng (1), inthelongrun (1)
 #1

I am going to run/get data from betting on the PBA games on which i would bet straight up on the underdog without doing any analysis on the teams playing.
I would be betting 0.01 ETH per game and be doing this for a month or 4 weeks and this could entail us more or less 30 games.
The purpose of this study is to find out how underdog teams perform and determine if we gain profit betting on them.
Thanks to @stadus for the inspiration Cool.


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bisdak40
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May 20, 2019, 02:35:54 PM
Last edit: June 19, 2019, 10:09:01 PM by bisdak40
 #2

Betting History


June 19,2019
1st game
Northport Batang Pier 2.58 vs Rain or Shine 1.47 (Win)
2nd game
NLEX Road Warriors 2.40 vs Meralco Bolts 1.50 (Win)

June 16,2019
1st game
Columbian Dyip 3.66 vs. Magnolia Hotshots 1.25 (Lose)
2nd game
Barangay Ginebra 2.43 vs San Miguel Beermen 1.52 (Win)

June 15,2019
1st game
Meralco Bolts 3.83 vs Tnt Katropa 1.18 (Lose)
2nd game
Phoenix Fuel Masters 2.20 vs Alasca Aces 1.60 (Win)

June 12,2019
1st game
Northporth Batang Pier 1.95 vs Magnolia Hotshots (did not bet as the odds is almost even and below 2)
2nd game
Barangay Ginebra 2.33 vs. Tnt Katropa 1.56 (Lose)

June 9,2019
Meralco Bolts 2.05 vs Alaska Aces 1.71 (Lose)
2nd game
Phoenix Fuel Masters 2.56 vs Rain or Shine 1.47 (Lose)

June 8,2019
1st game
NLEX Road Warriors 3.30 vs. Blackwater Elite 1.40 (Lose)
2nd game
San Miguel Beermen 2.10 vs Tnt Katropa 1.70 (Lose)

June 7,2019
1st game
Phoenix Fuel Masters 2.45 vs Meralco Bolts 1.51 (Lose)
2nd game
Rain or Shine 3.34 vs Barangay Ginebra 1.30 (Win)

June 5,2019
1st game
Alaska Aces 2.53 vs. Magnolia Hotshots 1.48 (Win)
2nd game
Northport Batang Pier 3.33 vs. San Miguel Beermen 1.30 (Win)

June 2,2019
1st game
Blackwater Elite 1.88 vs. Rain or Shine 1.86 (did not bet as the odds is almost even and below 2)
2nd game
Phoenix Fuel Masters 2.50 vs. Tnt Katropa 1.49 (Lose)

June 1,2019
1st game
Columbian Dyip 2.20 vs. NLEX Road Warriors 1.60 (Win)
2nd game
Northport Batang Pier 2.81 vs. Barangay Ginebra 1.40 (Lose)

May 31,2019
1st game
Blackwater Elite 2.48 vs. Phoenix Fuel Masters 1.50 (Lose)
2nd game
Meralco Bolts 2.20 vs. Rain or Shine 1.60 (Win)

May 29,2019
1st game
Northport Batang Pier 3.75 vs. Tnt Katropa 1.24 (Win)
2nd game
NLEX Road Warriors 1.89 vs. Alaska Aces 1.85 (Lose)


May 26,2019
1st game
Columbian Dyip 3.21 vs. Blackwater Elite 1.32 (Loss)
2nd game
Meralco Bolts 3.30 vs. Barangay Ginebra 1.30 (Loss)

May 25,2019
1st game
Northport Batang Pier 1.89 vs NLEX Road Warriors 1.85 (Win)
2nd game
Alaska Aces 3.75 vs Tnt Katropa 1.20 (Loss)

May 24,2019
1st game
Columbian Dyip 3.68 vs Meralco Bolts 1.25 (Loss)
2nd game
Blackwater Elite 3.74 vs. Barangay Ginebra 1.25 (Win)


May 22,2019
1st game
Northport Batang Pier 2.25 vs Alaska Aces 1.60 (Win)
2nd game
NLEX Road Warriors 4.35 vs Tnt Katropa 1.19 (Loss)


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May 20, 2019, 02:44:47 PM
 #3

Goodluck sayo brad. In my experience in betting on pba games napakabihira manalo ng underdog talaga so unless maging 5x odds ng underdog kada game baka mag end up ka na negative profit.
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May 20, 2019, 03:30:43 PM
 #4

sa ngayon pwede yan kasi may mga imports sa magkakabilang team, sa mga mauunang laro this conference pwedeng mag succeed ka kasi magsusukatan pa yang mga yan pero once na gumalaw ang conference magkakaalaman ng laro malabo na magkaprofit ka dyan hehe. Goodluck still.


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May 20, 2019, 11:11:58 PM
 #5

Goodluck sayo brad. In my experience in betting on pba games napakabihira manalo ng underdog talaga so unless maging 5x odds ng underdog kada game baka mag end up ka na negative profit.
Sa totoo lang brader hindi profit ang habol ko dito. Just want to gather data para magkaroon tayo ng idea na kahit sa underdog tayo tataya ay may tsansa pa rin na magka-profit because of the betting odds. Kung sa powerhouse ka tataya ay ang liit lang ng odds na kung talo ka nang isang beses kailangan mo pang manalo ng tatlong beses para mabawi yon.

sa ngayon pwede yan kasi may mga imports sa magkakabilang team, sa mga mauunang laro this conference pwedeng mag succeed ka kasi magsusukatan pa yang mga yan pero once na gumalaw ang conference magkakaalaman ng laro malabo na magkaprofit ka dyan hehe. Goodluck still.
yup, import will play a big role here kaya kahit underdog sa All-Filipino ay may chance na sila sa conference na ito.

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May 21, 2019, 03:05:17 AM
 #6

sa ngayon pwede yan kasi may mga imports sa magkakabilang team, sa mga mauunang laro this conference pwedeng mag succeed ka kasi magsusukatan pa yang mga yan pero once na gumalaw ang conference magkakaalaman ng laro malabo na magkaprofit ka dyan hehe. Goodluck still.
Depende yan, alam mo naman ang NBA.

Bigyan mo ng pansin ang laro ng SMB vs Magnolia na umabot ng game 7.
Odds ng Magnolia ay laging x3 yung, so laki ng panalo mo sa 3 wins nila, experiment lang naman tong kay OP, tingnan natin kung mag profit.

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May 22, 2019, 04:25:07 AM
 #7

May game tayo today.

Northport vs Alaska Aces - +4.5 and -4.5

NLEX vs  TNT Katropa - +8.5 and -8.5


Malaki siguro kung ML ang taya natin dito.

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|ROULETTE
MINES
TOWERS
DICE
CRASH
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May 22, 2019, 11:58:15 AM
 #8

May game tayo today.

Northport vs Alaska Aces - +4.5 and -4.5

NLEX vs  TNT Katropa - +8.5 and -8.5


Malaki siguro kung ML ang taya natin dito.
Stick muna ako sa experiment ko brader which is 0.01 ETH ML bet for underdog, so far panalo naman sa first game at kung matalo man yong bet ko sa second game at least profit pa rin.

Northport Batang Pier 2.25 vs Alaska Aces 1.60 = Win 0.01*2.25=0.0225 eth


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May 22, 2019, 03:15:02 PM
 #9

May game tayo today.

Northport vs Alaska Aces - +4.5 and -4.5

NLEX vs  TNT Katropa - +8.5 and -8.5


Malaki siguro kung ML ang taya natin dito.
Stick muna ako sa experiment ko brader which is 0.01 ETH ML bet for underdog, so far panalo naman sa first game at kung matalo man yong bet ko sa second game at least profit pa rin.

Northport Batang Pier 2.25 vs Alaska Aces 1.60 = Win 0.01*2.25=0.0225 eth



maganda ganda din pala ung numbers ng panalo mo sa first game mo, sana lang tumagal yung experiment mo para mas lalo mong maenjoy, Good luck bro update ka lang dito ng bets mo para makita din namin hehe.


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May 23, 2019, 03:42:36 AM
 #10

May game tayo today.

Northport vs Alaska Aces - +4.5 and -4.5

NLEX vs  TNT Katropa - +8.5 and -8.5


Malaki siguro kung ML ang taya natin dito.
Stick muna ako sa experiment ko brader which is 0.01 ETH ML bet for underdog, so far panalo naman sa first game at kung matalo man yong bet ko sa second game at least profit pa rin.

Northport Batang Pier 2.25 vs Alaska Aces 1.60 = Win 0.01*2.25=0.0225 eth



maganda ganda din pala ung numbers ng panalo mo sa first game mo, sana lang tumagal yung experiment mo para mas lalo mong maenjoy, Good luck bro update ka lang dito ng bets mo para makita din namin hehe.

Good win by northport, the  moneyline odds goes as high as 3.00 IIRC.

2.25 was only the opening line but close to the time it start, the line was +8.5, I bet on that one but not on the ML and I also won the game.
2nd game was a complete opposite, the favorites just dominated the underdog, galing din kasi ng import ng TNT, Terrence Jones NBA player.

So far, OP's experiment is successful, only question is how long it would last?
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May 23, 2019, 10:05:00 PM
 #11

So far, OP's experiment is successful, only question is how long it would last?
This experiment would last a month or 30 games  brader no matter what happen with my betting because i allotted just a small amount for this.

In the end we would conclude somehow the better betting strategy considering the odds involve. 

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May 24, 2019, 01:50:59 AM
 #12

So far, OP's experiment is successful, only question is how long it would last?
This experiment would last a month or 30 games  brader no matter what happen with my betting because i allotted just a small amount for this.

In the end we would conclude somehow the better betting strategy considering the odds involve. 

Brad maglagay ka rin ng total kung magkano na ang profit or loss mo, mas maganda yun para malaman natin kung effective talaga yan.
I'm watching your thread, small bet muna pero pag effective ayun pwede ng lakihan yan.

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May 24, 2019, 10:21:17 AM
Last edit: May 25, 2019, 05:07:31 AM by bisdak40
 #13



After 4 games and a standing of 2win-2loses ^^ is the scenario of my profit/loss. Still 26 games to go and for sure the trend will change or continue, let us see. As of this writing, patuloy pa ang laro between Ginebra and Blackwater and if manalo ang Elite i will just update the chart. Pinapakita ko lang yong current standing ko though it's too early yet.

Initial investment of 0.30 ETH after four games it is now 0.319 ETH.


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May 25, 2019, 09:31:30 AM
 #14

Initial investment of 0.30 ETH after four games it is now 0.319 ETH.

Good job, congratulations to you mate, that's already 6.33% profit thus far.

You find it better than trading? let me know, as I might follow you. Here, no TA needed, just be consistent with the fixed strategy until the end of the conference .

I saw some bright light ahead of you, good luck.

......
.L I V E C O I N . N E T.
.
..PROFITBOX..
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May 25, 2019, 11:38:10 AM
 #15

Initial investment of 0.30 ETH after four games it is now 0.319 ETH.

Good job, congratulations to you mate, that's already 6.33% profit thus far.
Thanks brader but it's too early to tell as there a lot of games left and the trend might change along the way but somehow a positive sign to this approach.

You find it better than trading?
There are pros and cons in everything that we do and i must admit that i am not very good at trading, hate that TA.
There is some sort of excitement when you do betting that is not found is trading. Stressful kasi yong trading para sa akin  Grin.

Like i said, too early to conclude that this strategy works. Tingin-tingin lang kayo dito as i will update this thread regularly.

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May 26, 2019, 06:12:17 AM
 #16

Malas kahapon bro, yung odds maliit lang kaya overall talo ka pa rin.

Tumaya rin ako kahapon pero +3.5 yung line ng NLEX kaya lang minalas sa huli, wala palang import, pa bago bago talaga ang lines ng PBA.

Ngayon, sana matalo naman ang favorites dahil walang tumama kahapon, yung Rey Parks masyadong hype team nila dahil nanalo sa Ginebra, sana matalo sila now.

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May 26, 2019, 07:38:56 AM
 #17

~snip~
Napansin ko nga rin, sa dalawa, mukhang yong Blackwater ang may chance na matalo since galing sila sa dalawang panalo at medyo relax at import nila ay hindi naman yong sobrang galing. Yong Ginebra at kailangan nila manalo pero good odds pa rin kasi Meralco kalaban nila. Kung may tumamang isa rito ay ok na.

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May 26, 2019, 08:35:05 AM
 #18

~snip~
Napansin ko nga rin, sa dalawa, mukhang yong Blackwater ang may chance na matalo since galing sila sa dalawang panalo at medyo relax at import nila ay hindi naman yong sobrang galing. Yong Ginebra at kailangan nila manalo pero good odds pa rin kasi Meralco kalaban nila. Kung may tumamang isa rito ay ok na.

Good odds for columbian dyip at 3.21, sayang hindi ako nakaabot, nag umpisa na.
I'll just try to find a good timing in live betting.

2-0 pa naman score so far.
bisdak40
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May 26, 2019, 09:38:37 PM
Last edit: May 26, 2019, 10:16:20 PM by bisdak40
 #19



After eight games and with a standing of 3wins-5loses, i have now a slight negative profit.

Blackwater on the roll since hindi pa sila nakakaharap ng mga bigating teams tulad ng SMB, Magnolia or the Fuelmasters. Tingnan natin kung may ibubuga ba itong si Ray Parks sakaling magkakaharap sila ni Marcio Lassiter or Abueva na magaling dumepensa.

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May 26, 2019, 10:02:56 PM
 #20

Blackwater on the roll since hindi pa sila nakakaharap ng mga bigating teams tulad ng SMB, Magnolia or the Fuelmasters. Tingnan natin kung may ibubuga ba itong si Ray Parks sakaling magkakaharap sila ni Marcio Lassiter or Abueva na magaling dumepensa.
Lumakas lalo ang blackwater ngayong season. Bobby Ray Parks is a great addition to their team and they actually having a great start at the season.

About kay Abueva, part siya ng team ng Phoenix Pulse diba? Anong nangyare sa team nila parang walang laro? Pati yata SMB at ROS.

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