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Author Topic: UNDERSTANDING CRYPTO CYCLE  (Read 382 times)
goaldigger (OP)
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May 25, 2019, 01:42:10 AM
 #1




Some of you noticed this type of technique and most of that people who knows have the most calm and smart way of trading. As you can see on the diagram above, you will notice that bitcoin for example has a cycle which happens all the time like what happened last 2017 moon, 2018 drop and possible another 2019 moon. This technique are usually profitable for hodlers and traders.

This is how it works. If the value of the bitcoin for example has reached its peak, don't buy any of it. Wait until it goes down fully into its peak. After you noticed that it is already consecutively increase, its now time to buy. If you are not sure about whether its now time to buy or not, its normal. Remember that you always have a chance for another cycle.

Now, If you want to play safe, if the value decreases consecutively and become stagnant for a while, buy some. If it increases then sell it at once. Trading really requires time and decision making. If you know how to do it well depending on your technique then it will work well.

To summarize it all, Bitcoin always has its phases in a cycle so if you feel that you didn't ride on a rocket going to moon, don't feel hopeless because there's always another cycle to start. Its just a matter of time and patience.

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May 25, 2019, 01:45:04 AM
 #2

This is the thing newbies doesnt know.Most of us whos been trading cryptocurrency for almost a year or so already know this pattern the rise the down and the bottom.We cant just go pump and pump every month of the year.This is why bitcoins reputation in public is negative because people buy at peak lose money and then rant it on social media saying bitcoin is  a scam and a trap.

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May 25, 2019, 03:36:38 AM
 #3

When I came back to crypto I only knew a little about it and how the market cycle goes. I went back investing to crypto last bull-market and I was really happy and thought that the market rise will never stop and there's no way for it to drop. As time goes by I looked back on the history of bitcoin price and understood the market cycle.

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May 25, 2019, 05:31:24 AM
 #4

This is the thing newbies doesnt know.Most of us whos been trading cryptocurrency for almost a year or so already know this pattern the rise the down and the bottom.We cant just go pump and pump every month of the year.This is why bitcoins reputation in public is negative because people buy at peak lose money and then rant it on social media saying bitcoin is  a scam and a trap.

I totally agree, they put the blame on cryptocurrency being crap when in fact they are the reason why they lost. This happens when a new trader didn’t do there research, they just randomly trade dependent on there luck without really knowing how trading cryptocurrency works. As a result they lost huge amount of money and to avoid criticisms from other people they put the blame on something else and in this case they put the blame on crypto.

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May 25, 2019, 07:21:52 AM
 #5

When this cycle becomes too obvious, it will stop being reliable. That's the nature of markets, because investors are all operating off the same information. We might have another bubble or two in the pipeline that will mimic the past cycles, but my guess is we will drastically diverge from the logarithmic growth path in the coming years.

My money is on a vertical adoption / S-curve path, where growth will blow all past cycles out of the water.....8-figure valuations sooner than any of us thinks. As an alternative, we could enter a bearish supercycle and go back to double digits. Smiley

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May 25, 2019, 08:02:11 AM
 #6

This is the thing newbies doesnt know.Most of us whos been trading cryptocurrency for almost a year or so already know this pattern the rise the down and the bottom.We cant just go pump and pump every month of the year.This is why bitcoins reputation in public is negative because people buy at peak lose money and then rant it on social media saying bitcoin is  a scam and a trap.
I agree most of newbies expect only the rise of crypto they are blinded by their greed.
They doesn't want to accept the fact that it wouldn't always be a great day even in crypto.
We should always remember that there are always a negative side and we should always expect it don't just focus on the bright side it isn't always works that way.

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May 25, 2019, 08:24:42 AM
 #7

Looks so easy but the uncertain condition of crypto made the users into confused status about when to invest and when to cashout even if we knows the condition for almost a decade.

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May 25, 2019, 10:42:32 PM
 #8

Looks so easy but the uncertain condition of crypto made the users into confused status about when to invest and when to cashout even if we knows the condition for almost a decade.
By "uncertain condition" you mean not being able to know when the "peak" is really a peak and when the "down" is really the lowest price, right?
It really makes thing a bit harder for those who are starting with cryptos but, just like everything, it needs a time and lots of study to be able to understand how cryptos cycle really work (if we can ever do such a thing lol)

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May 25, 2019, 11:10:23 PM
 #9

I had also noticed this crypto cycle a few months ago when we are experienced near to bull run. The price goes down a little and after that, it will rapidly upward the price and after days it will fall down again just a little and going back to rise again.
This opportunity has been waiting for the traders so many time, only buy when we noticed that the market dip and sell if the price goes up.
That is the fact here and let's accept that how volatile crypto works.

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May 25, 2019, 11:23:40 PM
 #10

Looks so easy but the uncertain condition of crypto made the users into confused status about when to invest and when to cashout even if we knows the condition for almost a decade.
I remember when my friend told me in the first month, I try trading.
He said that if I want to buy any coins, make sure I can see the red in the price and then pick the number 3 or 5 down from the order buy and place my buy price in that place and don't just make one order buy only but spread into 3 order buy.
That will help me to reduce the average buy price to lower, so I don't have to afraid if somehow the price is down deeper because I already have the other buy order in a low price.
Don't try to place an order when the price changes into a green price if I am not sure on where the trend wants to go and only to wait for a while because the price will always get down for a small price and that will be the best time to place the order buy.
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May 25, 2019, 11:42:47 PM
 #11

I agree with this cycle. It's simple but it's real and occurring. I have been trading for years and I have noticed that this cycle has just been circulating.
I don't follow any technical analysis but do the simple and basic trading which is to buy low and to sell and understanding this cycle would be a great guide.
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May 25, 2019, 11:57:25 PM
 #12

Looks so easy but the uncertain condition of crypto made the users into confused status about when to invest and when to cashout even if we knows the condition for almost a decade.
It really does look easy, but that's always the case in hindsight. I prefer to focus on the mass and their sentiment, because the mass is mostly wrong, so if you counter whatever they do, you'll be doing well over time.

Do you remember what the sentiment was back in 2018 before we broke the $6000 mark? People were overly bullish and expected a bull run to happen before the end of the year, but they got a massive crash instead.

Similarly, people were overly bearish before we pumped to $5000 and we got a massive pump instead. People were throwing around even with sub $1000 predictions due to the hyperwave squad. How wrong can one be.... Roll Eyes

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May 26, 2019, 01:41:40 AM
 #13

Looks easy to see the image but its hard to apply on actual trade because most of us who are in trading industry confusingbwhen the right time to enter and exit.

I agree with this cycle. It's simple but it's real and occurring. I have been trading for years and I have noticed that this cycle has just been circulating.
I don't follow any technical analysis but do the simple and basic trading which is to buy low and to sell and understanding this cycle would be a great guide.

But most of the time you buy altcoin at low price but because bitcoin are too volatile the altcoin you buy got make lower so the situation became you buy low sell lower this is so annoying to think but its happen mant times.


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May 26, 2019, 01:47:44 AM
 #14

Cycle it is and for us to ride it we must bring a lot of patience as they always says it here that there is no such thing as getting overnight with crypto. You have to witness the struggle that it brings and the good thing if you are patient enough is that you are stress free.
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May 26, 2019, 04:32:37 AM
 #15

This is the thing newbies doesnt know.Most of us whos been trading cryptocurrency for almost a year or so already know this pattern the rise the down and the bottom.We cant just go pump and pump every month of the year.This is why bitcoins reputation in public is negative because people buy at peak lose money and then rant it on social media saying bitcoin is  a scam and a trap.

If we analyze properly we will see that bitcoin follow a four year cycle which includes Halving in every third year and the bull run comes in the 4th year.

1st Year-----Bear Market
2nd Year----Consolidation and accumulation
3rd year----Halving and uptrend
4th Year ----Bull Run
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May 26, 2019, 07:51:07 AM
 #16

It also gives chance for new investors to get into crypto and for traders to grab some profit as well. The problem is some people buy at its peak and sell when its down even if the price is more -50% from when they bought. Then they give a wrong impression about cryptos.
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May 26, 2019, 09:47:36 AM
 #17

Its so funny that most newbies don't know about this trading circle.  They came into crypto trading wirh the mindset that once a coin is pumping it will continue that upward trend,  so they fail to take profit when due. At the long run they get burnt. If they can learn from this infopgarphics it will be so beneficial to them

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May 26, 2019, 11:05:57 AM
 #18

Its so funny that most newbies don't know about this trading circle.  They came into crypto trading wirh the mindset that once a coin is pumping it will continue that upward trend,  so they fail to take profit when due. At the long run they get burnt. If they can learn from this infopgarphics it will be so beneficial to them

Don't you worry because they will learn in a very expensive way.

Specially those irrational newbies in December 2017, then thought that the price would go on parabolic rise and keeps on throwing huge chunks of money, now they got burn in 2018 and 'praying' that 2019 will be different.

So there is the whole cycle for them, they became battle tested in investing/trading. But it's not the end because the cycle will continues when a new set of investors in 2020-2021 will enter because of the new all-time-high, so it's cyclical as well. Grin
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May 26, 2019, 11:20:27 AM
 #19

Yes. everything needs time and opportunity to always come to us. The most important thing is patience and how you manage risk. I used to be very greedy and used my first $ 2000 to completely invest and fail. I only collected $ 122 from that investment.
Save money and invest in the altcoins you understand about it. Don't invest indiscriminately and you'll have to pay. Wink

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May 26, 2019, 04:01:34 PM
 #20

Specially those irrational newbies in December 2017, then thought that the price would go on parabolic rise and keeps on throwing huge chunks of money, now they got burn in 2018 and 'praying' that 2019 will be different.
Well, I actually believe 2019 can be different.. I am a bit affraid to ask but what can be worse than 2018? lol
If BTC can pass the 15k USD mark by this Christmas (and I trully believe it will) it's already a good thing if we look back at the past 14 months

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