Pompliano 75% Confident Bitcoin Price is $100,000 by End of 2021

[UnDerDoG81]

Did he say he has 75% confidence? this is the same guy that last year said that the price would fall below 3000 $

Bitcoin’s Price Will Go Below $3,000, Anthony Pompliano Tells Mainstream Media

I ask:

Last year someone saw the price drop below $3000? ithe price did not fall below  $3000, he failed in his prediction. So the right thing was to say he has 1% confidence that the price will be $ 100,000 by end of 2021, at least so he will not be ashamed when in 2021 the price does not reach $ 100,000

Well it was $3300, close enough. I am good with $95.000.

[WinslowIII]

It's weird to me to believe in these kind of predictions above 50k because I have some BTC, and if hits this price of 100k I would have a LOT of money, so I prefer to keep thinking about 20k first 

Same here @100k. The question is, what to do with that money when you cash out Bitcoin? I don´t want to hold FIAT but also I want to get out (at least with 75-80%) of crypto at one point. I am not into stocks and Gold is pure manipulation through US Government.

You keep holding bitcoin until it buys everything. This mentality of cashing out is not the answer.

[Ridwan Fauzi]

You have to see the predict who made by Jhon McAfee because he has been predicting that bitcoin will touch the price 1 million dollar at 2020, if the price can't reach the price he was predicted then he will cut off his own genitals. I think speculation is just speculation, whoever who made it is if he is the popular person then some people will believe it.

I'm only hoping cryptocurrencies will be a popular thing in the future, all people know it and the development of cryptocurrencies will be grow either on the system or on the securities matter. So, for those people who have a predict that bitcoin will touch a high price can be trusted and for those people who believe against it will have a huge of wealth.

[Lucius]

Bitcoin can reach this price some weeks before the halving, in 2020.

I'm not saying this can not happen before 2020 halving, but it is much more realistic to happen afterwards halving as was the case in the past. Although it is rather frivolous to speculate about $100k based only on halving, if such a thing happens my guess is that new ATH could be reached in 2022, some 1+ year after halving.

Did he say he has 75% confidence? this is the same guy that last year said that the price would fall below 3000 $

He can say whatever he wants, and it is up to those who read it, to believe in such prediction or to reject it as a complete nonsense. He predict that price will go to $3000, which is what happened, but he fail with prediction that price will fall below that level. You should stop be surprised with what is someone say, this is just how things work - and media need clickbaits titles to attract more readers.

[el kaka22]

I love the fact that he is "75% sure" about bitcoin going that high. I mean I wouldn't bet millions upon millions of dollars on something that has a 25% chance to fail. Or I would be afraid and scared as hell going into a surgery with a 25% chance of failure. There are things in life where 25% chance to fail is literally way too much.

I can say that bitcoin will be 1000 by 2021 and I am 75% sure about it too, plus I think bitcoin will be a million dollars by 2021 and I am 75% sure about that too, I know it made 150% but it still makes more sense than saying there is a probable chance bitcoin going up to 100k. He is just like Tom Lee and has a lot of bitcoins and just wants to create this bull run and hype so people would buy more bitcoins and he can get rich.

[Wilhelm]

I love the fact that he is "75% sure" about bitcoin going that high. I mean I wouldn't bet millions upon millions of dollars on something that has a 25% chance to fail. Or I would be afraid and scared as hell going into a surgery with a 25% chance of failure. There are things in life where 25% chance to fail is literally way too much.

I can say that bitcoin will be 1000 by 2021 and I am 75% sure about it too, plus I think bitcoin will be a million dollars by 2021 and I am 75% sure about that too, I know it made 150% but it still makes more sense than saying there is a probable chance bitcoin going up to 100k. He is just like Tom Lee and has a lot of bitcoins and just wants to create this bull run and hype so people would buy more bitcoins and he can get rich.

Captain obvious:
Other experts have guaranteed other high prices and they were wrong.
Humans cannot predict with 100% accuracy without tools like TA and maths.
Predicting human behavior and stocks with high accuracy is impossible.
Real traders are happy with a 5% edge and put in hundreds of trades to win.

[gentlemand]

$100,000 is the new $10,000 in the universal consciousness. I well remember all the predictions being made at the start of 2014 for that upcoming year and $10,000 came up regularly. As ever it did not pan out that smoothly.

Either we get there sooner than anyone dares imagine or it takes vastly longer. It seems most people already have the end of 2021 in the bag based on a cycle that's only happened twice so far and this may be the last halving to have a significant effect.

[justdimin]

this may be the last halving to have a significant effect.

You mean by upcoming halving, we are going to have supply under 10 BTC for every 10 min and by 2024 halving, we will have supply under 5 BTC means negligible supply compared to original supply of 50 BTC ? It means after this upcoming halving that we are going to have only demand against almost zero supply (a supply which is only enough for satisfying less than 10% of demand) ?

Halving may NOT lose its significance over reduced supply as supply is happening for every 10 minutes and this short time frame (compared to Gold mining or Crude oil production) may still bring enough significance to all upcoming halving.

[gentlemand]

You mean by upcoming halving, we are going to have supply under 10 BTC for every 10 min and by 2024 halving, we will have supply under 5 BTC means negligible supply compared to original supply of 50 BTC ? It means after this upcoming halving that we are going to have only demand against almost zero supply (a supply which is only enough for satisfying less than 10% of demand) ?

Halving may NOT lose its significance over reduced supply as supply is happening for every 10 minutes and this short time frame (compared to Gold mining or Crude oil production) may still bring enough significance to all upcoming halving.

As the block reward reduces that's less of a shock in production when it halves again. There are that many more coins already in existence too.

By 2032 it'll be less than 1 BTC per ten minutes and 99.2% of coins will be in existence. Beyond psychology, nostalgia and the excuse for a good party it's hard to imagine that figure will be anywhere near as significant for the fundamentals as the 50 or 25 BTC halving.

This halving will be a biggie. After that I believe it'll slowly lose its potency.

[hatshepsut93]

this may be the last halving to have a significant effect.

You mean by upcoming halving, we are going to have supply under 10 BTC for every 10 min and by 2024 halving, we will have supply under 5 BTC means negligible supply compared to original supply of 50 BTC ? It means after this upcoming halving that we are going to have only demand against almost zero supply (a supply which is only enough for satisfying less than 10% of demand) ?

Halving may NOT lose its significance over reduced supply as supply is happening for every 10 minutes and this short time frame (compared to Gold mining or Crude oil production) may still bring enough significance to all upcoming halving.

The pattern breaks when too many people are aware of the pattern, the rally of 2017 had similarities with the rally of 2013, but no one talked about it much, only after the bubble popped people started looking at the historical charts and proclaiming that Bitcoin has cycles that align with halvenings, and look what we have now - a bull run one year before the halvening, with the price increasing by 300% in just a few months - a growth never seen before at early stages of bull market. I believe there's a big chance will be in a bear market already during the halvening 2020.

[exstasie]

I believe there's a big chance will be in a bear market already during the halvening 2020.

Interesting thought. It's possible if the market doesn't slow down and give us some multi-month corrections and sideways ranging like we saw in 2016. When the market goes straight up without building support along the way, the likelihood of "eiffel towering" and crashing right back down becomes greater.

[1Referee]

When the market goes straight up without building support along the way, the likelihood of "eiffel towering" and crashing right back down becomes greater.

That's why people should be happy with how the market isn't continuing its rush right now. It really seems that people got upset or even disappointed now it's no longer going up, which is quite a shocker considering that most of these noobs were of believe that Bitcoin would be hovering below the $1000 level by now.

It must suck being a noob. Price down they are upset, but when the price is going up they're upset too. 

[cocoadreamboy]

If bitcoin hit $100,000 in 2021 there would have to be $90 million of new longterm investment into bitcoin every day.

$100,000 x 900 (new bitcoin created/day) = $90 million/day

Personally I think that is hopeful dreaming at best.

If you want to see cash flow data such as this check out my site:

https://www.amsinger.org

Much Love!

Aaron

[omonuyak]

If bitcoin hit $100,000 in 2021 there would have to be $90 million of new longterm investment into bitcoin every day.

$100,000 x 900 (new bitcoin created/day) = $90 million/day

Personally I think that is hopeful dreaming at best.

If you want to see cash flow data such as this check out my site:

https://www.amsinger.org

Much Love!

Aaron

What if in 2021 some of this big financial institution invested $4,000,000,000,000 at the end of 2020 what will happen? I believe achieving $100,000 in bitcoin price is very possible and we should understand that it is not about the gradual process that will make this happen but huge adoptions by financial system.

[cocoadreamboy]

What if in 2021 some of this big financial institution invested $4,000,000,000,000 at the end of 2020 what will happen? I believe achieving $100,000 in bitcoin price is very possible and we should understand that it is not about the gradual process that will make this happen but huge adoptions by financial system.

I dont operate off "what if's" with my money. I use numbers.

https://www.amsinger.org

[exstasie]

What if in 2021 some of this big financial institution invested $4,000,000,000,000 at the end of 2020 what will happen? I believe achieving $100,000 in bitcoin price is very possible and we should understand that it is not about the gradual process that will make this happen but huge adoptions by financial system.

I dont operate off "what if's" with my money. I use numbers.

https://www.amsinger.org

Of course you operate off "what ifs." Your "numbers" aren't a crystal ball. They don't guarantee the future, which is why your track record here is so poor. They just give you a tiny, opaque glimpse into miner costs and hash rate trends.

[Wilhelm]

What if in 2021 some of this big financial institution invested $4,000,000,000,000 at the end of 2020 what will happen? I believe achieving $100,000 in bitcoin price is very possible and we should understand that it is not about the gradual process that will make this happen but huge adoptions by financial system.

I dont operate off "what if's" with my money. I use numbers.

https://www.amsinger.org

Of course you operate off "what ifs." Your "numbers" aren't a crystal ball. They don't guarantee the future, which is why your track record here is so poor. They just give you a tiny, opaque glimpse into miner costs and hash rate trends.

He is just advertising his TA trying to make money off of the weak.

[cocoadreamboy]

https://www.amsinger.org

Of course you operate off "what ifs." Your "numbers" aren't a crystal ball. They don't guarantee the future, which is why your track record here is so poor. They just give you a tiny, opaque glimpse into miner costs and hash rate trends.

My numbers are based off the hash rate. There are no "what if's" on what the hash rate is.
I tell people the reality I do not tell people whether to invest or not. I simply give people risk analysis.

Thanks Mr. Troll

https://www.amsinger.org

[cocoadreamboy]

He is just advertising his TA trying to make money off of the weak.

Not Trading analysis. It is fundamental analysis. I did nothing on this thread but state the financial needs of a $100,000 bitcoin in 2021. You are oddly aggressive in response.

Do you have an agenda of some sort?

[South Park]

By the end of 2021? I'm funny from such predictions. Professional analysts can not predict what price btc will have in a month, and here they declare the price by the end of 2021 

While I cannot vouch for this particular prediction, you are wrong in the way you think, short term predictions are way harder to make than it is to make long term predictions, no one knows if the price of bitcoin will go up or down tomorrow but what about the next decade? Do you think the price will go up or down? And when we see the usefulness of bitcoin and all the improvements that could take place during that decade then it is safe to assume bitcoin will be way more valuable than it is now.