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Author Topic: My betting diary  (Read 745 times)
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efialtis (OP)
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July 13, 2019, 01:22:45 PM
Last edit: February 09, 2020, 08:47:39 PM by efialtis
 #1

I have been betting on sports quite successfully for many years now and thought I would start a betting diary here in this forum. Anyone who wants can of course follow my bets, feel free to do so - in the end though, this is not the main intention of this thread and most importantly: please only bet with money you can afford to loose.

Please do not expect this to be a highly professional diary - I will just write down the events along with my picks, the respective odds and mark them green (if won) and red (if lost). I will not share my exact stakes for the time being. I will be tracking all of my bets in this opening post. I am kindly asking you not to "spam" this thread - you are more than welcome though for "real" discussions even though these should be related obviously.

This thread is now self-moderated - as mentioned before, you are welcome to post stuff that makes sense - all "random" posts will be deleted though.

Bet History

11.07.2019 - Crusaders vs B36 Torshavn: 1 @1.75
11.07.2019 - Connah's Quay vs Kilmarnock: 1 over 0,5 goals @1.80
11.07.2019 - Ventspils vs Teuta Durres: 1 @1.67

12.07.2019 - AEK Athens vs AS Trenčín: 1 @1.67
12.07.2019 - Derry City vs UCD: Over 2,5 goals @1.65
12.07.2019 - Shelbourne FC vs Cabinteely FC: 1 @1.53

13.07.2019 - Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa Red Diamons: 1 & over 1,5 @2.50
13.07.2019 - Sligo Rovers vs Waterford: 1 @2.38

14.07.2019 - Orlando vs Columbus: X2 & over 1,5 @2.60
14.07.2019 - Minnesota vs Dallas: 1 @1.80
14.07.2019 - Djurgardens - Malmo: Both teams to score @1.86
14.07.2019 - Lillestrom vs Stromgodset: 1 @2.01
14.07.2019 - Hacken vs Orebro: Over 2,5 @1.55
14.07.2019 - Seattle Sounders vs Atlanta United: 1 @2.05

15.07.2019 - Stabaek vs Sarpsborg: Both teams to score Yes @1.80
15.07.2019 - Helsingborg vs Sirius: 1 @2.00

16.07.2019 - Olympiacos vs Nottingham: DC 1X & Over 2.5 goals @2.25

16.07.2019 - Skendija 79 vs Nomme Kalju: Over 3.5 goals @2.15
16.07.2019 - Valletta vs Dudelange: 2 @2.80
16.07.2019 - Saburtalo Tbilisi - Sheriff Tiraspol: Both  teams to score Yes @1.65

18.07.2019 - Inter Turku vs Brondby: Over 2,5  goals @1.67
18.07.2019 - RoPS vs Aberdeen: 2 @2.02
18.07.2019 - Petrocub vs AEK Larnaca: 2 @1.95

19.07.2019 - Senegal vs Tunisia: Tunisia to win the trophy @1.95
19.07.2019 - FC Koebenhavn vs AGF: 1 -1.5 @2.15
19.07.2019 - TSV 1860 Munich vs Preußen Muenster: 1 @2.00
19.07.2019 - Derry City v Sligo Rovers: 1 @1.55
19.07.2019 - FC Sion v Basel: 2 @1.60
19.07.2019 - Slovan Liberec v Viktoria Plzen: 2 @2.370

20.07.2019 - CSKA Moscow v FC Orenburg: CSKA Moscow -1.00 (Asian Handicap) @ 1.825 - PUSH
20.07.2019 - GIF Sundsvall v BK Hacken: Away Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.610
20.07.2019 - AIK v Helsingborg: Home Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.660
20.07.2019 - Kaiserslautern v Unterhaching: Home Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.850

21.07.2019 - IK Start v Ham-Kam: Home Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.8

21.07.2019 - PFC Sochi v Zenit St Petersburg: Away Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.530

22.07.2019 - Odense BK v Lyngby: Home Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.55
22.07.2019 - Kalmar FF v Djurgarden: Away Win (Full Time Result) @ 2.25
22.07.2019 - Carl Zeiss Jena v FC Ingolstadt: Yes (Both Teams to Score) @ 1.66
22.07.2019 - Hammarby v Elfsborg: Yes (Both Teams to Score) @ 1.7
22.07.2019 - ACS Sepsi v FCSB: Away Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.75

23.07.2019 - Viktoria Plzen v Olympiakos: Yes (Both Teams to Score) @ 1.830
23.07.2019 - T.N.S. v FC Copenhagen: Over 2.5 (Total Goals) @ 1.650

24.07.2019 - BATE Borisov v Rosenborg: Yes (Both Teams to Score) @ 2
24.07.2019 - Ferencvarosi TC v Valletta: Over 2.5 (Total Goals) @ 1.5
24.07.2019 - NK Maribor v AIK: Home Win (Full Time Result) @ 2.37
24.07.2019 - Red Star Belgrade v HJK Helsinki: Red Star Belgrade & No (Result/Both Teams to Score) @ 1.530

25.07.2019 - Haugesund v SK Sturm Graz: Haugesund (Draw No Bet) @ 2.100
25.07.2019 - Aris Salonika v AEL Limassol: Home Win (Full Time Result) @ 1.720
25.07.2019 - Lechia Gdansk v Brondby: Yes (Both Teams to Score) @ 1.830
25.07.2019 - Torino v Debreceni VSC: Over 2.5 (Total Goals) @ 1.650

26.07.2019 - Rapid Vienna - FC Salzburg: FC Salzburg (Full Time Result) @ 1.910
26.07.2019 - Dinamo Moscow - Ural: Dinamo Moscow (Full Time Result) @ 1.600
26.07.2019 - Guingamp - Grenoble: Guingamp (Full Time Result) @ 1.830
26.07.2019 - SJK - Lahti: SJK (Full Time Result) @ 1.800

27.07.2019 - Cove Rangers - Raith: Raith (Full Time Result) @ 1.650

27.07.2019 - Brechin - Montrose: Montrose (Full Time Result) @ 1.500
27.07.2019 - Basel - St Gallen: Yes (Both Teams To Score) @ 1.620
27.07.2019 - Sirius - AIK: AIK (Full Time Result) @ 2.100
27.07.2019 - FK Tambov - Spartak Moscow: Spartak Moscow (Full Time Result) @ 1.670
27.07.2019 - La Equidad - Union Magdalena: La Equidad (Full Time Result) @ 1.750
27.07.2019 - Ajax - PSV: Ajax (Full Time Result) @ 1.730
27.07.2019 - Waasland-Beveren - Club Brugge: Club Brugge (Full Time Result) @ 1.500
27.07.2019 - AFC Eskilstuna - Hammarby: Hammarby (Full Time Result) @ 1.45

28.07.2019 - New England Revolution - Orlando City SC: Yes (Both Teams To Score) @ 1.620
28.07.2019 - New York Red Bulls - Columbus Crew: Yes (Both Teams To Score) @ 1.670
28.07.2019 - Chicago Fire - DC United: Draw or DC United (Double Chance) @ 2.100
28.07.2019 - FC Dallas - Real Salt Lake: FC Dallas (Full Time Result) @ 1.700
28.07.2019 - Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC (Draw No Bet) @ 2.200
28.07.2019 - Hamburg - Darmstadt: Hamburg (Full Time Result) @ 1.650
28.07.2019 - Brondby - Odense BK: Brondby (Full Time Result) @ 2.300
28.07.2019 - CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow: Over 2.5 (Goals Over Under) @ 2.200
28.07.2019 - Djurgarden - BK Hacken: Djurgarden (Full Time Result) @ 2.050
28.07.2019 - Neuchatel Xamax - Young Boys: Young Boys (Full Time Result) @ 1.550

29.07.2019 - Ceske Budejovice - Sparta Prague: Sparta Prague (Full Time Result) @ 1.600
29.07.2019 - Elfsborg - Kalmar FF: Elfsborg (Full Time Result) @ 2.05
29.07.2019 - Lorient - Paris FC: Lorient (Full Time Result) @ 2.050
29.07.2019 - AaB - Silkeborg IF: AaB (Full Time Result) @ 1.570
29.07.2019 - Helsingborg - Orebro SK: Helsingborg (Full Time Result) @ 1.85

30.07.2019 - Valletta - Ferencvarosi TC: Over 2.5 (Goals Over Under) @ 1.620
30.07.2019 - Olympiakos - Viktoria Plzen: Olympiakos (Full Time Result) @ 1.730
30.07.2019 - Maccabi Tel Aviv - CFR Cluj: Maccabi Tel Aviv (Full Time Result) @ 1.95

31.07.2019 - AIK - NK Maribor: Yes (Both Teams To Score) @ 2.000
31.07.2019 - Rosenborg - BATE Borisov: Over 2.5 (Goals Over Under) @ 2.100
31.07.2019 - FC Copenhagen - T.N.S.: Over 3.0 (Goal Line) @ 1.83
31.07.2019 - FK Qarabag - Dundalk: FK Qarabag -1.0 (Asian Handicap) @ 1.9
31.07.2019 - Real Madrid - Fenerbahce: Over 4.0 (Goal Line) @ 1.83
31.07.2019 - Bayern Munich - Tottenham: Over 3.0 (Alternative Goal Line) @ 1.7

01.08.2019 - AEL Limassol - Aris Salonika: Aris Salonika (Full Time Result) @ 1.950
01.08.2019 - Brondby - Lechia Gdansk: Yes (Both Teams To Score) @ 1.800
01.08.2019 - Levski Sofia - AEK Larnaca: Levski Sofia (Full Time Result) @ 1.950
01.08.2019 - Levski Sofia - AEK Larnaca: Yes (Both Teams To Score) @ 1.910

01.08.2019 - BK Hacken - AZ: AZ (Full Time Result) @ 2.300
01.08.2019 - Spartak Trnava - Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Spartak Trnava (Full Time Result) @ 2.000
01.08.2019 - Atromitos Athinon - Dunajska Streda: Atromitos Athinon (Full Time Result) @ 2.150

02.08.2019 - Silkeborg IF - Hobro IK: Silkeborg IF (Full Time Result) @ 2.500
02.08.2019 - Silkeborg IF - Hobro IK: Over 2.5 (Goals Over Under) @ 1.750
02.08.2019 - PEC Zwolle - Willem II: Yes (Both Teams To Score) @ 1.530
02.08.2019 - Troyes - Clermont Foot: Troyes (Full Time Result) @ 2.150
02.08.2019 - Le Havre - Niort: Le Havre (Full Time Result) @ 1.730
02.08.2019 - Grenoble - AC Ajaccio: Grenoble (Full Time Result) @ 2.050

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July 13, 2019, 06:00:26 PM
 #2

Yes, random post should be deleted in this thread. By the way, what are your basis with the picks you made that you shown in your post?. I want to know what did you base on your pickings for this to happen because some people (especially tipster) that they only give random picks to people that will only made them lose more, win less or worst than losing money from betting.

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efialtis (OP)
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July 13, 2019, 06:51:06 PM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:23:16 PM by mprep
 #3

I have never tracked it mate to be honest - I am surely winning but this has not always been the case. When I began, many many years ago, I lost lots of money... money to buy cars... Wink

I am betting mostly on football (or soccer if you wish to call it so) and basketball.



I have added new picks for the day - you guys can be assured that all picks I am posting are well researched  - obviously I am not placing bets without analyzing in advance. Anyway, even though I will definitely not post my complete thoughts on the picks I am posting, I will try to write a few words whenever I find the time to do so.

So for Djurgarden - Malmo: Both teams are in good shape and its a big derby in Sweden. Last week Djur only played 1-1 at home - with a win today against malmo they would only be 3 points away from the top. Their form is 5-1-0 in the last 6 matches.

Malmo on the other side won 2-1 at home vs Orebro last week and it will be important not to loose in order to keep their rivals at distance.

Both teams definitely have what it takes to score in this big Swedisch duel and Goal/Goal paying 1.86 is worth a shot.



Just added two new picks for the day - without going into detail:

Firstly we have Stabaek vs Sarpsborg, quite a difficult match. Very likely though that both teams will score. Then I chose Helsingborgs home win vs Sirius - just the better team and they wont give away points at home.

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July 15, 2019, 09:23:08 PM
 #4

Gret job until now mate!
Keep up the good work  Grin
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July 15, 2019, 10:26:16 PM
 #5

Added new picks with some nice odds - lets hope it continues like this Smiley

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July 15, 2019, 10:47:59 PM
 #6

Have you any service for tracking your bets (blogabet or other) ?
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July 15, 2019, 11:53:16 PM
 #7

Your current ROI is 29.94% which is pretty high. It will be interesting to see what your weekly and monthly return percentages are.
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July 16, 2019, 12:01:14 AM
 #8

I didnt intend to add live bets to my "diary", which is why I am not posting it in op... but if anyone is reading... fluminense - ceara Over 3.25 @2.02 is a great bet now and I am taking it.
 

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July 16, 2019, 01:12:51 AM
 #9

I didnt intend to add live bets to my "diary", which is why I am not posting it in op... but if anyone is reading... fluminense - ceara Over 3.25 @2.02 is a great bet now and I am taking it.
 

They could play until tomorrow that did not appear more goals in the second Half  Angry
I had Over 2.5 and I also screwed up.  Cry
The corners went well: P
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July 16, 2019, 11:00:34 AM
 #10

Your current ROI is 29.94% which is pretty high. It will be interesting to see what your weekly and monthly return percentages are.

ROI for just 16 bets don't give info at all , but would love to see OP start tracking that
it's a big plus that all picks are included in OP so there is nothing to hide , but would be nice to start updating how many units were made total with ROI as well

if all bets are 1 unit then ROI isn't a problem
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July 16, 2019, 11:16:59 AM
 #11

I didnt intend to add live bets to my "diary", which is why I am not posting it in op... but if anyone is reading... fluminense - ceara Over 3.25 @2.02 is a great bet now and I am taking it.
 

They could play until tomorrow that did not appear more goals in the second Half  Angry
I had Over 2.5 and I also screwed up.  Cry
The corners went well: P


Well... more than enough chances to score with one goal not having counted... some bad luck! Smiley

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July 16, 2019, 11:20:46 AM
 #12

Where did you get this bet "16.07.2019 - Olympiacos vs Nottingham: DC 1X & Over 2.5 goals @2.25" ?
I do not find it on bet365 and looking at https://www.oddschecker.com/ this market is not available in the best known bookies.
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July 16, 2019, 11:55:27 AM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:23:38 PM by mprep
 #13

Where did you get this bet "16.07.2019 - Olympiacos vs Nottingham: DC 1X & Over 2.5 goals @2.25" ?
I do not find it on bet365 and looking at https://www.oddschecker.com/ this market is not available in the best known bookies.

Greek bookie stoiximan.gr



Where did you get this bet "16.07.2019 - Olympiacos vs Nottingham: DC 1X & Over 2.5 goals @2.25" ?
I do not find it on bet365 and looking at https://www.oddschecker.com/ this market is not available in the best known bookies.

3:0 after 35 minutes Wink

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July 17, 2019, 12:41:30 AM
 #14

3:0 after 35 minutes Wink
And then HT entered Over 4.5... and no more goals LULZ  Angry
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July 19, 2019, 09:20:35 AM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:23:50 PM by mprep
 #15

Final in the African Cup of Nations tonight and I have added a confident pick --> Tunisia to win the trophy!



Have you any service for tracking your bets (blogabet or other) ?

I have just created one at blogabet in order to keep track without having to do the maths on my own here. Cheesy



Your current ROI is 29.94% which is pretty high. It will be interesting to see what your weekly and monthly return percentages are.

ROI for just 16 bets don't give info at all , but would love to see OP start tracking that
it's a big plus that all picks are included in OP so there is nothing to hide , but would be nice to start updating how many units were made total with ROI as well

if all bets are 1 unit then ROI isn't a problem

Just created a service at blogabet in order to track - I will still post all my picks here, just dont do the maths myself Cheesy Flat staking here (1 unit = 10/10).

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July 19, 2019, 05:57:05 PM
 #16

Have you any service for tracking your bets (blogabet or other) ?

I have just created one at blogabet in order to keep track without having to do the maths on my own here. Cheesy

Can send me in private message the link If you don´t want to promote public.
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July 19, 2019, 09:30:47 PM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:24:11 PM by mprep
 #17

Another good day Smiley Just added new picks.



Just added my new picks of the day - unfortunately rather late as most of these are beginning in a few minutes... Feel free to pm me for my blogabet page in order to receive updates automatically.

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July 22, 2019, 06:49:44 PM
 #18

Going well today  Grin
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July 22, 2019, 06:53:56 PM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:24:25 PM by mprep
 #19

Going well today  Grin

Crazy good day Smiley



Just added new picks for the day - lets see if we can keep up the good run. Very confident with both picks today, crossing fingers. Cheesy



Yesterday wasnt good... lets see if we can turn this around today. Added my newest picks from todays champions league qualification matches,

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July 24, 2019, 11:52:48 AM
 #20

So far it looks like you have an approximately 60-70% success rate, which is pretty good considering many of your bets are at 2:1 or higher.

Do you keep a log of your winnings per week, and the amount you spend per bet? Would be nice to see if you're placing equal size bets or not, or if not. how you distribute your funds.
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July 24, 2019, 11:57:23 AM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:24:42 PM by mprep
 #21

So far it looks like you have an approximately 60-70% success rate, which is pretty good considering many of your bets are at 2:1 or higher.

Do you keep a log of your winnings per week, and the amount you spend per bet? Would be nice to see if you're placing equal size bets or not, or if not. how you distribute your funds.

I didnt do this before but last week I created a blog at blogabet in order to keep track.



Yesterday was great - only winners. Smiley Those CL & Europa League qualification matches are nice for betting. I have just added todays picks, Aris being my strong point at home in front of their crowd.

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July 25, 2019, 10:30:06 AM
 #22

Your hit rate is pretty good so far op. I see that you are betting primarily on the money-line. Why don't you consider betting on unders and overs since you seem to have good knowledge of the sport?

If you can compile a well researched 10-30 accumulator of unders and overs, you could stand to make a lot in the short term if all your picks win.

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July 25, 2019, 10:53:25 AM
 #23

~
24.07.2019 - BATE Borisov v Rosenborg: Yes (Both Teams to Score) @ 2
24.07.2019 - Ferencvarosi TC v Valletta: Over 2.5 (Total Goals) @ 1.5
24.07.2019 - NK Maribor v AIK: Home Win (Full Time Result) @ 2.37
24.07.2019 - Red Star Belgrade v HJK Helsinki: Red Star Belgrade & No (Result/Both Teams to Score) @ 1.530
~

Congrats on your wins, mate!

I usually bet on @2+ because I like to rely on luck rather than on my knowledge about the teams' previous performance. I think anyone can use Google to determine which team is stronger, so to win really big, one should bet against the knowledge. Glad to see that you won two of those too yesterday. Smiley

.
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Stalker10
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July 25, 2019, 12:11:56 PM
 #24

Your hit rate is pretty good so far op. I see that you are betting primarily on the money-line. Why don't you consider betting on unders and overs since you seem to have good knowledge of the sport?

If you can compile a well researched 10-30 accumulator of unders and overs, you could stand to make a lot in the short term if all your picks win.

It has varied in the markets ... Not only 1x2, but O\U, BTTS and Win To Nill...

Making a very nice work at the moment  Grin
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July 25, 2019, 12:19:19 PM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:24:55 PM by mprep
 #25

Your hit rate is pretty good so far op. I see that you are betting primarily on the money-line. Why don't you consider betting on unders and overs since you seem to have good knowledge of the sport?

If you can compile a well researched 10-30 accumulator of unders and overs, you could stand to make a lot in the short term if all your picks win.

It has varied in the markets ... Not only 1x2, but O\U, BTTS and Win To Nill...

Making a very nice work at the moment  Grin

Thanks man - if you followed some of the picks lately, you might have won some pocket change just like me. Smiley I am not doing this professionally, not pay for my living via betting - my stakes are too small to live off it - but it can be a nice bonus. Smiley



Aris disappointing me... too bad, I was confident they would grab a win at home. Anyway, all in all another good day and I will be adding new picks shortly.

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July 26, 2019, 01:23:58 AM
 #26

Yes I´m following all your picks mate, here and blogabet.
Last days very nice. Lets see how 3 days now full of games if the trend persists.  Grin
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July 26, 2019, 10:11:05 AM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:25:06 PM by mprep
 #27

Picks added - Today from Austria, France, Russia and Finland. Lets see if we can have a good start to the weekend, which is full of interesting matches. The new season is getting started! Smiley



Morning everybody.

I have added new picks for the day - yes, the odds are quite low mostly but they still provide value in my opinion. Many options today with a full program. Good luck everybody and have a nice weekend.

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July 27, 2019, 09:43:44 AM
Merited by efialtis (1)
 #28

"27.07.2019 - Kalmar FF - Hammarby: Hammarby (Full Time Result) @ 1.95"

Wrong game mate...
https://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/sweden/allsvenskan/afc-eskilstuna-hammarby-0OCGbFID/, this is the correct one.
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July 27, 2019, 09:48:08 AM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:25:38 PM by mprep
 #29

"27.07.2019 - Kalmar FF - Hammarby: Hammarby (Full Time Result) @ 1.95"

Wrong game mate...
https://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/sweden/allsvenskan/afc-eskilstuna-hammarby-0OCGbFID/, this is the correct one.


Thanks mate! Blogabet bug, completely buggy right now. I will change as soon as it lets me!



Just added todays MLS picks as well - gotta love the goal game there! Cheesy



MLS went well except Chicago - I was really confident they would get 3 pts at home but okay... Added new picks for the day. Have a nice Sunday everybody.



I have just added my picks for Monday - all in all the weekend went quite well even though it could have been better. Lets hope for another good week and gl with your bets everybody.



One more note - since I have a couple of days off, I will also be playing live bets throughout the day... I wont post these in the thread though, just for your information.



I have added new picks for tomorrow - its champions league time and we have some very interesting matches! Smiley

By the way... I gotta admit, posting all those bets here manually is really starting to get boring and time consuming... Not sure how I will go on, maybe I ll just post my blogabet and anyone who likes to follow can do so...



Just added todays tips for CL qualifications as well as AUDI Cup - in addition to those single bets, I am thinking of going with a system 5/6 today... Smiley

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July 31, 2019, 11:57:08 AM
 #30

Just added todays tips for CL qualifications as well as AUDI Cup - in addition to those single bets, I am thinking of going with a system 5/6 today... Smiley

Too much confidence for today?
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July 31, 2019, 12:26:18 PM
Last edit: August 20, 2019, 08:26:33 PM by mprep
 #31

Very confident today actually... but hey, this is sports betting, you never know. Still, I have already placed the system bet in addition to my single bets. Smiley



Time for Europa League qualification and I have added my picks. Some nice odds, lets see! Smiley



Levski failed completely today - very surprising 0:4 defeat at home... Other than that its been a great though - if Trnava holds the lead and wins, the weekend can come! =)



Trnava made it as well so we had a really nice day! Just added a couple of picks, more to come a little later.

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August 02, 2019, 02:46:05 PM
 #32

You are going very well mate ! Thanks for the money  Grin
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August 02, 2019, 03:33:07 PM
 #33

You are going very well mate ! Thanks for the money  Grin

Hehe mate, so you still following me. Feel free to tip, haha Cheesy Kidding but yes. Since I have some days off, I am also placing lots of live bets over at blogabet.

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August 02, 2019, 11:00:24 PM
 #34

Yes following every day, directly from blogabet.
Prelive and live.
Tomorrow go on "vacances" so will be one week off Tongue
Today the 1x2 got us  Sad
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August 03, 2019, 10:52:11 AM
 #35

Yes following every day, directly from blogabet.
Prelive and live.
Tomorrow go on "vacances" so will be one week off Tongue
Today the 1x2 got us  Sad

Yes, the evening wasnt too good unfortunately - FRA 2. league can be tricky. All in all still some good days lately.

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August 08, 2019, 01:33:06 PM
 #36

Hey guys,

I am sorry but some of you were right - too much hassle manually pasting all those bets every day so I will close the thread now. Feel free to pm me to learn my blogabet service (free) if you like.

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