La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2025/26

[Pokapoka124]

I won't be betting much this week for La Liga maybe only 1/2 of the matches that I will follow and one of them that makes me quite curious is the match between Real Sociedad vs Mallorca tomorrow (time zone in my country) even though both teams have positions that are not far apart in the standings but the bookies give quite far odds, I think choosing a 1x2 bet on the host is the right choice, Sociedad in the last two weeks the game is good and won both weeks compared to Mallorca who have suffered two consecutive defeats, the odds for both teams at this time.


@1.78 for the time being is quite worth trying.

The odds have gone against you. Before the game, I compared stats for both sides and found out both sides are tough opponents and have a hard time when they meet so I was expecting a draw or hard win but Mallorca showed bravery against the home side with a win. Mallorca have now recorded both wins home and away against Real Sociedad.

[len01]

• Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid (ATM over 2.5)

Anyone who missed this match and didn't bet on Atletico Madrid to win will regret it. It may look confident but look at how Valladolid are doing so poorly and have no hope whatsoever. Betting on ATM to win would be easy money but I opted to bet on ATM over 2.5 to get odds @1.7. Looks better.

[Pandu Geddon]

• Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid (ATM over 2.5)

Anyone who missed this match and didn't bet on Atletico Madrid to win will regret it. It may look confident but look at how Valladolid are doing so poorly and have no hope whatsoever. Betting on ATM to win would be easy money but I opted to bet on ATM over 2.5 to get odds @1.7. Looks better.

Good luck with your bet. Hopefully, Atletico Madrid will get a better win than Madrid and Barcelona who both won narrowly against teams at the bottom of the standings. Atletico should be able to secure their win, but we can't be too sure about their winning score. Lately, the teams at the bottom of the standings have also played quite well, even though they lost, they didn't lose by a large number of goals. But Valladolid might not be difficult for Atletico.

[sotelorene]

Real Madrid has quality players who can help the team to win many trophies but it looks like Real Madrid players are not ready to play for the team this season I know that Real Madrid is facing an injury crisis this season but their performance is not good, Real Madrid played well yesterday against Alves and the reason why I said they played well is that they defend well even when Mbape was sent off, Kylian Mbape get unnecessary red card yesterday after a tough tackle on Alves player.

With the current performance this season I don’t think Real Madrid can make a comeback against Arsenal Real Madrid doesn't have the energy to do it and even if they can do it Real Madrid's defenders are not good, Real Madrid can’t keep a clean sheet, I have to think about Real Madrid team this season they can not win any trophy this season, Real Madrid is a big team but as a Real Madrid fan, I believe my team can not win a title this season.

After Mbappe got a red card, I even thought for a minute that this could be the third defeat in a row for Real, but they were able to hold on well and later Alaves also got a red card, which equalized their forces on the field.

A difficult game that should have been easy for Real, before the game with Arsenal I would have liked it to be an easier match without unnecessary emotions. Real wins and maintains a 3-point gap from Barcelona, ​​Atletico should also beat Valladolid today and maintain the same gap from Real.

What Mbbape did yesterday shows that players can be very stupid sometimes I mean how will you be winning match and still went ahead to match your opponent and it was not like it was a mistake, it was an intentional act, Mbbape is too big to be playing that kind of thing I mean it is unprofessional. Actually Real Madrid try to hold and maintain the 1 goal to some point I feel Alaves will equalize the goal but when you are big you are big so Real Madrid show them, they are big. Moreover, Barcelona is topping Real Madrid with 4 points not 3 points, Barcelona has 70 points while Real Madrid has 66 and Atletico de Madrid have 60 but they will be playing today.

[AprilioMP]

• Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid (ATM over 2.5)

Anyone who missed this match and didn't bet on Atletico Madrid to win will regret it. It may look confident but look at how Valladolid are doing so poorly and have no hope whatsoever. Betting on ATM to win would be easy money but I opted to bet on ATM over 2.5 to get odds @1.7. Looks better.

Betting on Atletico Madrid to win is more convincing than betting on over 2.5 because this match will have 3 goals even though Valladolid are the bottom team.
I will not play a single Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid match, but I will include two other matches from different leagues and all three will not choose the over bet, but rather choose to win one of them in 1x2.

[Mate2237]

• Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid (ATM over 2.5)

Anyone who missed this match and didn't bet on Atletico Madrid to win will regret it. It may look confident but look at how Valladolid are doing so poorly and have no hope whatsoever. Betting on ATM to win would be easy money but I opted to bet on ATM over 2.5 to get odds @1.7. Looks better.

Good luck with your bet. Hopefully, Atletico Madrid will get a better win than Madrid and Barcelona who both won narrowly against teams at the bottom of the standings. Atletico should be able to secure their win, but we can't be too sure about their winning score. Lately, the teams at the bottom of the standings have also played quite well, even though they lost, they didn't lose by a large number of goals. But Valladolid might not be difficult for Atletico.

You can't blame Barcelona and Madrid for struggling to get wins over teams that are not too fancy compared to them you have to note that they are have important champions League games coming up especially Madrid who has to cancel three goals to have the chance of qualifying for the next phase of the champions League

But for atletico Madrid they have not been fantastic of late  but against Valladolid in today's encounter I think that atletico madrid is going to win at home today I don't see Valladolid as a tough opponent that will be a challenge to ATM

[AirtelBuzz]

• Atletico Madrid vs Valladolid (ATM over 2.5)

Anyone who missed this match and didn't bet on Atletico Madrid to win will regret it. It may look confident but look at how Valladolid are doing so poorly and have no hope whatsoever. Betting on ATM to win would be easy money but I opted to bet on ATM over 2.5 to get odds @1.7. Looks better.

Betting on Atletico Madrid to win is more convincing than betting on over 2.5 because this match will have 3 goals even though Valladolid are the bottom team.
I will not play a single Atletico Madrid vs Real Valladolid match, but I will include two other matches from different leagues and all three will not choose the over bet, but rather choose to win one of them in 1x2.

Yes betting on Atletico Madrid to win this match would be the most credible. We are absolutely confident that Atletico Madrid will be able to win this match as they will be competing against a team ranked 20th in the points table. If Real Valladolid had a few notable performances in a few matches we might have considered that they could suddenly become a threat to Madrid.

But it is worth checking for everyone that they do not have the power that makes them stand behind every party. Considering Atletico Madrid's position, we can't say they've been fantastic recently, but they'll definitely be able to play with a fluent style today.

[Spaceman1000$]

The Champions League and La Liga are different competitions, so the fact that Mbappe received a red card in a La Liga game will not affect his participation in the Champions League.

This is not a necessary red card.
] and even this is his first red card at Real Madrid and his first red card after 6 years, the last one was in the Coupe de France match in 2019. Yes, and fortunately, Real Madrid had led 0-1 just before the red card happened.

This will be quite bad for Real Madrid's performance going forward with Mbappe's absence for several matches. But as you said, La Liga matches are different from UCL, so red cards in La Liga do not apply in UCL and Mbappe can still be in the UCL lineup when facing Arsenal later.

Source: Mbappé sees red

Mbappe only got one game of disqualification, essentially did not suffer from this red in any way, as he will be ready to go out for all important games. If it was a disciplinary violation, then the punishment woheyuld be from 3 to 5 games, but it was just in game violation. By the way, I didn’t see the game, but I saw screenshots where the Alaves players also walked with straight feet at the Real players, but the referee didn’t even give a foul. To be honest, I am increasingly inclined to believe that there is a conspiracy against Real in La Liga 

Interestingly, the red card he got over the weekend won't affect him in the champions league because the la Liga and the champions league are two seperate competitions entirely which is also a positive news for Real Madrid as they seek to overturn the three goals deficit against Arsenal football club, Real Madrid would need at least three goals against Arsenal and also ensure that they do not concede any goal against the English side so as to keep their hopes of qualifying alive and kylian Mbappe's presence would be very essential for Real Madrid.

[Volgastallion]

I cant believe how the referee doesnt show the red card to Mbappe, i mean how do you need the VAR when it was super clear and in front of you. I dont want to sound like all that conspirancy guys, but come on..... its always in favor of Real Madrid what the referees sees. Thanksfully the VAR correct the main referee.

[Olatundespo]

Yes betting on Atletico Madrid to win this match would be the most credible. We are absolutely confident that Atletico Madrid will be able to win this match as they will be competing against a team ranked 20th in the points table. If Real Valladolid had a few notable performances in a few matches, we might have considered that they could suddenly become a threat to Madrid. But it is worth checking for everyone that they do not have the power that makes them stand behind every party. Considering Atletico Madrid's position, it is very true that winning every match is now the most essential thing for them.

Real Valladolid is the worst team in La Liga this season so I am quite sure that Atletico Madrid will be able to win the match very easily especially since they will play at home with a big enough motivation to be able to stay in the competition for the championship title even though the percentage of Atletico Madrid to win the title this season is quite small but of course they have the ambition to maintain their best position in the current La Liga standings.
For betting options, no one doubts that Atletico Madrid can win the match, even I bet on the handicap because I am sure Atletico Madrid will be able to win the match with a score of more than 2 goals.

They are a comparatively weak team, there is no doubt about it and it is probably safe to say that they will lose to Atletico Madrid. That is why there will be a choice of the best team when betting but it is going to be a one-sided one which may not provide us with any extra entertainment. Atletico Madrid will be able to score at least four goals at home. Although their form is not the best right now there is frustration among them and the loss of points has made them a more depressed team.
Regarding the question of winning the title I think Atletico Madrid chances are very low but they still have the possibility of turning around because if they get three points against Real Valladolid, they will be able to reduce the points gap and their confidence will increase further with a win.

[Pandu Geddon]

Good luck with your bet. Hopefully, Atletico Madrid will get a better win than Madrid and Barcelona who both won narrowly against teams at the bottom of the standings. Atletico should be able to secure their win, but we can't be too sure about their winning score. Lately, the teams at the bottom of the standings have also played quite well, even though they lost, they didn't lose by a large number of goals. But Valladolid might not be difficult for Atletico.

You can't blame Barcelona and Madrid for struggling to get wins over teams that are not too fancy compared to them you have to note that they are have important champions League games coming up especially Madrid who has to cancel three goals to have the chance of qualifying for the next phase of the champions League

But for atletico Madrid they have not been fantastic of late  but against Valladolid in today's encounter I think that atletico madrid is going to win at home today I don't see Valladolid as a tough opponent that will be a challenge to ATM

Who blames Barcelona and Madrid? I just highlight how the teams at the bottom of the table this week also did not get very bad results when facing strong teams. If you consider Barcelona and Madrid focus on the Champions League, do you think both coaches did not play the players they trusted? Barcelona and Madrid did not reduce anything. They still played well with the players they usually play. It means they do not underestimate the match in La Liga even though they have to focus on the Champions League.

[bastisisca]

I only know that Real Madrid don't know how to lose, if they can't score a few goals by the end of the first half, or worse, if they concede a goal, the players will start to get nervous and commit fouls. This will lead to yellow cards from Real Madrid. Therefore, I think that the first half of the game can be decisive, Arteta should pay special attention to this, try to play as best as possible in defense, it seems to me that they can do this, but the most important thing is not to let Real Madrid pin them near their goal, because it will be difficult to withstand 90 minutes of Real Madrid's attacks.

I agree, Real Madrid is a very strong and dangerous team. Although they have had very poor performances in the last matches, i add for completeness.
Arteta must focus on defense and avoid giving opponents space.
If given space, Real Madrid's excellent players can come up with dangerous creative ideas

[el kaka22]

The Arsenal game definitely ruined their perception. They were expecting to beat Arsenal easily, and then face probably PSG or something and they were hoping they would beat them too, neither of these teams are big teams that won UCL before, so they assumed they would win. But Arsenal destroyed them, which goes to show that there is a chance Real Madrid could lose the cup, the ucl, the league and basically end the season with zero titles all season long.

The only way to make a comeback from this would be Barcelona losing at La Liga while Real Madrid winning, or maybe they do 3 more goals within the game against Arsenal and then if they are lucky they would be able to actually win at overtime or penalties. Which isn't impossible but would be quite tough. So that is why they are having some trouble at the moment concentrating.

[Polkeins]

It is unclear why Mbappe played so harshly in the episode with Antonio Blanco.
It was obvious that the foul was terrible and it's strange that the referee needed assist with VAR, because the blow to the shin with spikes from Mbappe was obvious.
Apparently Mbappe was tired of such a busy schedule in Madrid and decided to take a break from soccer a little, because otherwise it is difficult to somehow understand the motives for his actions.
There was no dangerous attack from Blanco and now because of such a gross violation Real Madrid will again have to try to hold on to the victory, which is so necessary in the last rounds, especially after yesterday's victory of Barcelona.
If Real lose today, Barcelona's lead will be 7 points, which means Real must win today if they still want to win in La Liga.

Mbappe red card for kicking Antonio Blanco's leg was a huge blow to Real Madrid, who were struggling to close in on Barcelona in the title race. The foul should not have been committed because Real Madrid were not under pressure. Whether the violation was intentional or not, what is clear is that he cannot strengthen Real Madrid in the next match. Losing Mbappe is very detrimental to Real Madrid because they have to lose their mainstay player at a crucial time, especially in the last few matches, their front line has been very unproductive.

Real were lucky that Alaves could not realize their advantage and on 70th minute Alaves player got a red card and the last 30 minutes the teams played in equal parts.
Now the gap between Barcelona and Real is only 4 points, and from Atletico Simeone as much as 10 points. Given the weakness of Atletico's game in the end of the deason it seems that it is Real and Barcelona this time will determine the winner in La Liga and there are still 7 games ahead, including the game with Barcelona on May 11. So the competition at the end of the championship will be tough.

[KTChampions]

Mbappe only got one game of disqualification, essentially did not suffer from this red in any way, as he will be ready to go out for all important games. If it was a disciplinary violation, then the punishment would be from 3 to 5 games, but it was just in game violation. By the way, I didn’t see the game, but I saw screenshots where the Alaves players also walked with straight feet at the Real players, but the referee didn’t even give a foul. To be honest, I am increasingly inclined to believe that there is a conspiracy against Real in La Liga 

I don't think there is a conspiracy against Real Madrid. Because the decisions were the right ones. On the contrary, there are many people who think that Real Madrid made the decision in their favor. Mbappé's absence will make it very difficult for Real Madrid in a difficult match. However, this mistake is Mbappé's. Because he tackled the Alaves player very harshly. He deserved a direct red card. Ancelotti should warn him about this. If Real Madrid hadn't scored, the match could have ended in a draw.

I didn't say Mbappe didn't deserve a red, obviously he did. But when similar incidents happen to Real Madrid players, sometimes they get ignored. I remember exactly 2 or 3 rounds ago when Vinny beat two players in the center of the field and passed the ball forward, the third player rushed feet first and made a barrier (he didn't have time to get to the ball initially). He didn't even get a yellow, although if he had hit Vinny with a straight leg it would have been 100% an injury.

[TelolettOm]

--snipped

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I don't think there is a conspiracy against Real Madrid. Because the decisions were the right ones. On the contrary, there are many people who think that Real Madrid made the decision in their favor. Mbappé's absence will make it very difficult for Real Madrid in a difficult match. However, this mistake is Mbappé's. Because he tackled the Alaves player very harshly. He deserved a direct red card. Ancelotti should warn him about this. If Real Madrid hadn't scored, the match could have ended in a draw.

Yes, Real Madrid and Mbappe have also apologized for the foul and they accepted the sanctions for the mistake in the game. There is no other intention, indeed, Mbappe was somewhat provoked by a series of things that made him do it. But the point is, as explained by Davide Ancelotti about this Mbappe red card

Source: Davide Ancelotti on Mbappé's red card

And now, they are more focus on the next second leg match against Arsenal in UCL, that is much more important to focus more again.

[bitgolden]

Real Madrid performed brilliantly when they beat Manchester City and Atletico Madrid but after that their performance began to erratic with the defeat to Arsenal in the Champions League. Moreover, in La Liga, if they are not consistent with the remaining matches, then the hope of retaining the title this season could be dashed because Barcelona performed quite impressively by widening the points gap to 4 points.

I think Real Madrid's focus is on the second leg of the Champions League because they have to try hard to beat Arsenal with a score of 4-0 to be able to qualify for the next round. A fairly tough challenge and maybe Real Madrid's chances in the Champions League are so slim at the moment. Well, to win the CDR, of course the obstacles they have to focus on are heavier because Barcelona is more confident when meeting Real Madrid, but for now I think their chances are still 50:50.

They do not really "need" a 4-0, they need a 3-0 and then maybe penalties would be fine, or even just a situation where they could win on extra time. But I would like to say something about that Arsenal game, normally they played well in that game and they were doing fine all the way until Rice scored from freekick, and there was someone who found last 13 freekicks and he did not score any of them and some of them were horrible.

So that is why I hope that second game wouldn't be the same because Arsenal won on some miracle, Rice normally doesn't score like that from freekicks and because of this there is no reason why you should be considering the same would happen on the second game.

If nothing else, we could bet on Real Madrid to win, even if they win like 3-1 but fail to go to next stage, that would still mean we are winning the game and the bet. That should be the most important thing while betting, if we are winning then there is no problem if Real Madrid goes to semis or not.

[Arenga pinnata]

Yes betting on Atletico Madrid to win this match would be the most credible. We are absolutely confident that Atletico Madrid will be able to win this match as they will be competing against a team ranked 20th in the points table. If Real Valladolid had a few notable performances in a few matches we might have considered that they could suddenly become a threat to Madrid.

But it is worth checking for everyone that they do not have the power that makes them stand behind every party. Considering Atletico Madrid's position, we can't say they've been fantastic recently, but they'll definitely be able to play with a fluent style today.

Well I guess it is. Atletico Madrid shouldn't have any significant difficulties in this match. Because Valladolid is a team that is not comparable to Atletico Madrid. The difference in strength between the two is also very different. Last week, Valladolid even lost to Getafe with a score of 0-4. So if Atletico Madrid cannot win this match then it will be quite a disappointing result. And Atletico Madrid's reputation will decline slightly because the quality of their game will really be in doubt in other matches.

Betting on Atletico Madrid winning would indeed be a more convincing choice. But still surprising things can happen in football. But I hope that doesn't happen in this match.

[Majestic-milf]

 I feel that the foul that led to Mbappe getting carded wasn't necessary and if you looked at it, it was as if the guy was intentionally going for the player's leg more than he was going for the ball. Had it been they were losing at the moment, I'd have said that he did it out of frustration but if you check, they were leading and had no reason to be that aggressive.
Alaves could not take advantage of the fact that Madrid were playing with ten men and win the game instead they let Los Blancos cart all three points even with ten men. For me they deserve to be relegated just by this their poor performance.

[Smartvirus]

I agree, Real Madrid is a very strong and dangerous team. Although they have had very poor performances in the last matches, i add for completeness.
Arteta must focus on defense and avoid giving opponents space.
If given space, Real Madrid's excellent players can come up with dangerous creative ideas

I wouldn’t call them toothless but Real Madrid don’t seem so dangerous anymore. Yeah, they’ve got the squad, they’ve got the pace and attacking capability but lately, teams have been able to subdue them in the worst way possible, getting the best of them to the point of being red carded from the game. This is so unlike the Ancelotti side that is know for destroying which ever team they are matched against. The Laliga as it is looks gone to them and all they’ve got for a fighting chance is Arsenal in the UCL and that is really slim!