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Author Topic: How to predict Bit coin price.  (Read 3467 times)
STT
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September 21, 2019, 09:25:06 PM
Last edit: September 22, 2019, 10:26:58 AM by STT
 #61

I see a trend in the cryptocurrency market for a friend. Most of the liquidity from Bitcoin, took USDT. I think that the price of Bitcoin will now fall.

This can always be said to be true, if Dollar wasnt currently in a loose monetary standard there would be less dollars available to spend on anything and so prices fall for many things when this is true.     Thats most easily observable by the ongoing interest rate which is closer to zero over the last few years then its ever been long term before in history.   Its true all over the world, basically because we have so much debt repayable and in the near term would be make governments insolvent if rates were any higher so they set it low by force.      At some point its not likely to continue as money will lose too much value to inflation.
   Right this moment, USD wont beat BTC especially for liquidity reasons as BTC is a fixed supply and creates some demand by the need for transactions fees to use it.

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September 21, 2019, 09:36:45 PM
 #62

∼snip∼

This is something very difficult to do, there are many techniques that can bring you closer to a possible price scenario, some use the technical analysis, the fundamental one, the mixture of both, but what must be taken into account is that the market is often moved by people's emotions, also the Strong Hands or whales that are in charge of planning their movements and setting up some bullish or bearish traps for them to win.

The news can play a very important role, because given this many people react immediately they know why everything originated, although the Speculator and the Market Investor almost never review the news, you can talk about some kind of manipulation through them, since bad news represents for some to sell fast before it goes down and for others it represents the opportunity to buy cheap to continue in Hold.

I think that it would not be a question of predicting, because when predicting it is possible to be mistaken, because it is to be doing something of gambling, and the probabilities of success the Random that escapes much of technical foundations and of market study comes into play. In my case I don't get ahead making a prediction, I always expect a fundamental market movement to react and take a position in the market.

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September 22, 2019, 04:38:23 AM
 #63

Market movement can be possibly predicted if you have the control of the most of the whole market in which i believe that the Big whales can do. They have huge financial resources that they can manipulate the market movement of when they would like to pump and dump a certain coin that you will become very lucky if you have connections with them.
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September 22, 2019, 06:47:48 AM
 #64

Market movement can be possibly predicted if you have the control of the most of the whole market in which i believe that the Big whales can do.
but the real question is are there only one whale ? no  .they are lots of them and they are not in a cooperation or doing an agreement to pump or dump the market  . one whales think that they can control the market but the other whales are making a counter move because they dont want to see the market remain on that state .  there is no  really a secret on how to predict the bitcoin price or the price of other coins  , you just enjoy or un-enjoy thier flow while it last  .
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September 22, 2019, 07:37:27 AM
 #65

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.
Easiest way that i found maybe follow news. If there are positive rumours come, usually bitcoin price will up. Maybe time to stock when you can. But about bad news, usually it come suddenly, maybe stop loss is best way to prevent you lose too much in bitcoin trading. But it will be better if you can expert in technical analysis.

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September 22, 2019, 01:49:37 PM
 #66

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.
Already you got detailed explanation of how the price prediction works but if you want simple hint that I have is don't sell when you see sudden dump and don't buy when you see sudden bump which could save you from losses even it is not money making strategy.
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September 22, 2019, 04:52:07 PM
 #67

Already you got detailed explanation of how the price prediction works but if you want simple hint that I have is don't sell when you see sudden dump and don't buy when you see sudden bump which could save you from losses even it is not money making strategy.

I think for bitcoin, a sudden dump isn't a bad buy signal because bitcoin is a coin that won't be expected to be dumped forever, whatever dump for bitcoin isn't forever. It is going to start increasing again. I would definitely buy a bitcoin dump but not altcoins.
Better read carefully what I said,don't sell when you see sudden dump which literally mean that the prices surely will rise again so don't get panic and go in losses on that conditions.
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September 22, 2019, 08:42:25 PM
 #68

Already you got detailed explanation of how the price prediction works but if you want simple hint that I have is don't sell when you see sudden dump and don't buy when you see sudden bump which could save you from losses even it is not money making strategy.

I think for bitcoin, a sudden dump isn't a bad buy signal because bitcoin is a coin that won't be expected to be dumped forever, whatever dump for bitcoin isn't forever. It is going to start increasing again. I would definitely buy a bitcoin dump but not altcoins.
Better read carefully what I said,don't sell when you see sudden dump which literally mean that the prices surely will rise again so don't get panic and go in losses on that conditions.
Clearly, it's a trap if you see such dump. On the other hand, people who do scalping will benefits from it but they shouldn't be too late to buy the short dip or else they will get caught with the bear trap. Bitcoin has been stable this past few weeks and we've seen such small efforts of trying to break a new resistance. It would be better if we just hodl and wait until the right time will come to sell.

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September 23, 2019, 04:32:15 PM
 #69

I think that the price will drop to Bitcoin to $ 9,000, because Altcoins are very cheap at the moment.

With this, are you saying that altcoins price controls the bitcoin price?
I doubt so, it is rather the other way. Bitcoin is the focus of cryptocurrency and it is the most demanded too, this is why the price will be more on the increase.
I see a trend in the cryptocurrency market for a friend. Most of the liquidity from Bitcoin, took USDT. I think that the price of Bitcoin will now fall.
You are making a very big mistake, when you are predicting bitcoin, never you rely on technical analysis alone, but also rely on fundamental analysis also, if you use fundamental analysis, you will find that there are some factors that will help boost the price of bitcoin in the coming days, and that would be the bakkt, it is expected that bakkt will have a very big impact on the price of bitcoin which after my own through analysis too, I agree that bakkt will really make some impact.

I don’t know from where you are picking your own FUDs from when virtually everyone believes that the bakkt that will be released on the 23rd is what will make a very big wave for bull run and we could actually get to see the bull run of bitcoin at the end of this year.
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September 30, 2019, 03:31:07 AM
 #70

I think that the price will drop to Bitcoin to $ 9,000, because Altcoins are very cheap at the moment.

With this, are you saying that altcoins price controls the bitcoin price?
I doubt so, it is rather the other way. Bitcoin is the focus of cryptocurrency and it is the most demanded too, this is why the price will be more on the increase.
I see a trend in the cryptocurrency market for a friend. Most of the liquidity from Bitcoin, took USDT. I think that the price of Bitcoin will now fall.
You are making a very big mistake, when you are predicting bitcoin, never you rely on technical analysis alone, but also rely on fundamental analysis also, if you use fundamental analysis, you will find that there are some factors that will help boost the price of bitcoin in the coming days, and that would be the bakkt, it is expected that bakkt will have a very big impact on the price of bitcoin which after my own through analysis too, I agree that bakkt will really make some impact.

I don’t know from where you are picking your own FUDs from when virtually everyone believes that the bakkt that will be released on the 23rd is what will make a very big wave for bull run and we could actually get to see the bull run of bitcoin at the end of this year.
After predicting the price of Bitcoin over the course of these 2 years, I realized that the best thing is to earn extra money to buy Bitcoin. I spend all my free time on extra work and when Bitcoin falls in price, I buy it.
If you spend only your free time it was hard to earn so you can active all the time it will make good profit. Last year everyone drawback on Bitcoin investment so you also face some issues. But this year six months are make good growing in Bitcoin it will make enough profit, The current fluctuation is drawback of some investors. No one is predict the daily outcome but future outcome is good in Bitcoin.

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September 30, 2019, 03:48:15 AM
 #71

The most accurate way you can predict is if you closely follow the funding rates for the bitcoin futures ( doesn't work for ETH futures however). Take a look at Bitmex funding stats,

https://www.bitmex.com/app/fundingHistory

If you plot this against the BTC price you will see that when the funding gets very large ( >0.20% ) for multiple 8 hour periods then a correction usually shortly follows. The issue is to be patient and try and catch the last time the funding rate is high and not get in too early since there were times when it could of went >20% against you.

So use this with basic technical analysis and it should prevent you from taking bad trades. Issue is that this funding rate rarely gets that large, only a few times a year.
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September 30, 2019, 09:58:40 PM
 #72

My friend - if trading and predicting accurate BTC price would be so easy than everyone of us would be riding in their new ferrari. Crypto is too volatile in general and predicting price is almost impossible  Wink
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October 02, 2019, 08:54:47 AM
 #73

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.

It is virtually impossible to predict.

No difference between flipping a coin and hedging your bet or going with gut feeling.

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October 02, 2019, 12:07:44 PM
 #74

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.

In short, nope.  Crypto is probably the hardest market to predict.  People will show you chart after chart saying why it will go up or down, if they are right it's pure luck.  Crypto is very volatile.  I would just look long term and hold on and forget about the short term ups and downs.  You will be sure to lose money if you buy and sell based on daily emotions, good luck
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October 02, 2019, 01:48:01 PM
 #75

it is hard to say . i can predict bitcoin price especially exact prices of every wave in chart btc / usd whatever duration
of  graphical columns 3 month or  12 month ...... or less then

some news can affect on the price directly like past year where bitcoin fall under 3500 from level 6000
can go with the same bearish or bullish trend , but don't try to find the exact price
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October 02, 2019, 04:37:16 PM
 #76

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.

Since no one can read the future then is impossible to predict the price, but a wise move is to follow the news, if news talks good about bitcoin it should go up, if talk bad it should go down, but not always is this way. If you want tome nice news sources i will leave a couple of links for you:

https://www.coindesk.com/
https://cointelegraph.com
The best method to predict the price of bitcoin is the fundamental news which has a better edge over technical analysis just as you rightly said the OP should stick to news in those sites and monitor news about bitcoin has it unfold thus make an appropriate analysis before taking the decision to sell buy bitcoin or sell however predicting the price is a mission impossible and can lead to streak of losses if the buyer did not make through research and take the necessary precautions.

teosanru
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October 03, 2019, 11:32:02 AM
 #77

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.
Without some technique it is impossible to predict any movement in btc. But luckily the technique there is to know the direction of btc is Technical Analysis. But assuming that you are absolute newbie into trading. i would tell you a very simple technique. Learn about technical Analysis basics and chart and candlesticks. After that learn moving averages and types of moving averages. Then there is a simple moving average trick that is called the moviny average crossover in which one short term average bisects a long term average. For this purpose we use 50 and 200 day moving average and the crossovers are called golden crossover if the 50 day MA crosses 200 day from below and death crossover is when 200 day cuts 50 day from below. The golden crossover signifies bull market means time to buy while death crossover signifies bear market means time to sell. You can buy/sell accordingly to this strategy.
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October 03, 2019, 05:32:09 PM
 #78

I follow what i have learned from Peter Brandt video
He has two MA to discover bitcoin trend.One is 14 MA second 114 MA. All that dump from 10000 K to current 8K was one day after bearish cross on daily.It works on daily weekly 4H charts as well
I am supporting my charting with Bolinger RSI Macd and Scholastic

You drawn your charts on trading view or investing.com for free and without limitation and observe how it works

 
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October 04, 2019, 05:29:20 PM
 #79

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.
Your question is too broad, there are tools that traders use to try to tell how the market is going to move during a certain period of time but no one can really predict with a 100% accuracy what the price is going to do during the next days or weeks, I recommend to you to read a few books about trading and investing before trying to obtain any kind of profits in this market, because if you don't do it I can assure you that the possibility that you earn money in this market are zero.
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October 04, 2019, 11:30:12 PM
 #80

Any body here now how to predict bitcoin price. Or is there a hint how when to buy and when to sell bit coins. Or how to make profits on buying and selling bitcoins.? I want to try buying and selling crypto currency.

I would suggest you to go through videos on how to trade. The guide will certainly guide you on how and when a coin should be bought or sold. I am sure you are new to trading. Kindly learn the basics before you jump into it. Dont rush with your money.
Watching videos alone can't help fully and neither do just learning the basics. If he truly wants to enter into trading, then he should set out a small amount of money he is ready to lose and try demo trading. With this, he will not waste much with the main fund.
What many traders fail to understand is that watching videos and learning strategies is nothing compared to practising.
And OP, as for predicting the right Bitcoin price, charts can help, but it's quite hard to get the exact price.
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