Q4 -Quarter 4 speculation thread, where will 2019 end, join the LIST

[TheBeardedBaby]

My out-of-the-competition try 7900$.
Sorry for i missed it this time again.

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[wwzsocki]

...I think you are late buddy, OP has already announced that the game list was already closed...

Are you sure this was closed before I reserved my spot or is closed now just after my post?

Because before I applied, of course, first I have read the OP and couple of posts from the last page and there was nothing that the contest is ended?

Even more, I have seen people applying and found this in the OP:

-You can give your price until: 09-October-2019  13.00 CET

That is why I reserved my spot because it was exactly 9 October around 13.00 CET when I found this thread and started to read it.

If this is true, then it would be great to add to the OP an announcement about the contest end.

[El duderino_]

I'm sorry for them that where to late, but I think like every game before the enter and close date where very clear....

The problem is in the window of those days some take prices early and some wait till the last day, some notice only last day or whatsoever...

But for them that have let us say 10,000 and the next one 10,100, then they have a range of 50$ between and if someone thats to late picks 10,040 or something then it would decrease a lot of chance is the price would be ranging around those numbers and it wouldn't be fair for them that where on time.

I do like everyone to join, but if there is a open and close, then I must respect them for everyone that has joined.


Small question for other members, or the entree and close clear to understand? Or did I do it wrong and have to change things for probably the HALVING game after Q4??

[El duderino_]

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5188987.msg52700259#msg52700259

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5188987.msg52702087#msg52702087

Last day I also posted these ones as reminder and as END....

[akhjob]

Small question for other members, or the entree and close clear to understand? Or did I do it wrong and have to change things for probably the HALVING game after Q4??

I don't think there is a need for changing anything in the next game after Q4 and I don't think there is anything misleading in the OP (I'm not a native English speaker).

Moreover, when someone is giving out free Bitcoins for engaging the community, I think all the participants should respect the OPs terms and conditions without complaining.

Missed Q3 because of merits
Waited for long enough
Forum contribution gave me merits
Q4 is hot stuff  

^Hope this is eligible for a haiku and I would like * if possible.

Thanks Mic

[asche]

@mic you did everything fine.

I can only speak for myself, but I simply didn't read thoroughly enough!

Thanks for hosting these games

[BrewMaster]

Small question for other members, or the entree and close clear to understand? Or did I do it wrong and have to change things for probably the HALVING game after Q4??

nah, it was all clear and thanks for these games you keep putting up every quarter.
i personally was trying to join near the end of the date but i got busy and didn't visit bitcointalk and when i did near the end, i forgot to join the game

[STT]

Theres a natural conflict here between the best time to guess being the last moment because it gives the best data near term and the problem of being distracted, etc.  The best advice is always take the deadline as one day earlier then stated or 1 hour, etc.    The timezones makes matters more confusing so really going on a day early was the best approach.  I just couldn't decide but Im the type to procrastinate.
  I was just waiting elsewhere for a deadline, they said midnight 10th October release.   Turns out they were going on Samoa time which is 22 hours past when Sydney first sees that same midnight   Its like 4am Thurs there now and Friday in Australia.

I wanted to characterise my guess as staying within range, its a big range but my previous guess in July was a breakdown so seriously alot more bearish.    I saw us failing support in that case as speculators enter a 'shock' reaction to leaving the uptrend.  Thats natural, some are going to hop off the hay cart when it hits a bumpy road and we have so much speculation in BTC that the impact of some leaving has alot of influence near to medium term.   So I'd say its doing as expected and my guess this time also was not positive but I didnt think it was reasonable to again predict a breakdown out of range, its just we do have a big possible range of prices now from perhaps 6k to 10k is how I see it.    It might have been reasonable to predict a breakout upwards from that range but my guess is we dont move substantially before year end.

does the opposite of what the majority thinks

Support lines and areas of major volume are like magnetized is how I view it.   You know how the magnet can attract but also repel depending on the polarity, I think this happens is because if everyone aims for 10,000 then there is many orders around this area.   If the price has run upto 10k then alot of these orders are sell orders from the speculators who want their money back and maybe to repay leverage they employed.   Hence this popular pricing becomes ironic, we are both attracted towards then repel from common or high volume areas.    This is more a shorter term effect imo.

[Dabs]

I have a suggestion. Give an end date and time with a specific time zone, probably UTC. and base it on forum time. Maybe allow a grace period of maybe 5 to 15 minutes, but really, anyone who posts an hour later than that is just pushing it. They should have joined at the latest an hour BEFORE the deadline.

You could also go bitcoiny and base it on a particular block height, but I think forum time works best.

Finally, you could also have an "End" post, where anything before that is counted, but any post after that is too late, and that is final. Besides, your game, your rules.

*Edit* you did specify CET as the timezone. so....

[El duderino_]

Small question for other members, or the entree and close clear to understand? Or did I do it wrong and have to change things for probably the HALVING game after Q4??

I don't think there is a need for changing anything in the next game after Q4 and I don't think there is anything misleading in the OP (I'm not a native English speaker).

Moreover, when someone is giving out free Bitcoins for engaging the community, I think all the participants should respect the OPs terms and conditions without complaining.

Missed Q3 because of merits
Waited for long enough
Forum contribution gave me merits
Q4 is hot stuff  

^Hope this is eligible for a haiku and I would like * if possible.

Thanks Mic

Haiku syllables = 5 first line 7 middle line 5 end line

[El duderino_]

Thx guys, I just wanted to know if I was doing it good......

I wouldn't mind of adding more people, but I just think its not fair for those that guess with there best thoughts for bring close etc...

I would hate losing myself to someone that actually shouldn't be there 

[El duderino_]

Haiku Update leading :

illyiller                   4
Last of the V8s     4

goldkingcoiner      3


Biodom                2
buwaytress           2
jimbotoronto         2

[akhjob]

Haiku syllables = 5 first line 7 middle line 5 end line

LOL didn't know about that 
So I wrote a poem then  Or just scribbled 

Anyways thanks for the game mic 

[DaveWave]

Haiku syllables = 5 first line 7 middle line 5 end line

LOL didn't know about that 
So I wrote a poem then  Or just scribbled 

Anyways thanks for the game mic 

Buddy it is not even a poem.

Mine is not even a good one I guess. It is hard to create a good haiku though that fits well on this game. Hurrah to some people that made it sounds cool. I'll try to make a good one next quarter.

[Globb0]

A true Haiku should have some relation to nature within. 

[sheenshane]

Last day I also posted these ones as reminder and as END....

Ohh that was a very quick end of your contest mic.

Upon inspiring your contest I'd created another contest on my local section.
Here: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5190296.0  -- Anyone can join and welcome there especially WO brothers/sisters.
Only one Haiku Legend was there.

You can join there while waiting for a result here.

Good luck to those who are participating here including me.

[johhnyUA]

This time it was pretty short. I mean just 9 days from 30 September to 9 of October  

Edit: Ah, In all previous times it was just 9 days too.
oh, good luck to the winner, anyway. Let it be someone with bet above 30k  

[El duderino_]

Haiku syllables = 5 first line 7 middle line 5 end line

LOL didn't know about that 
So I wrote a poem then  Or just scribbled 

Anyways thanks for the game mic 

Buddy it is not even a poem.

Mine is not even a good one I guess. It is hard to create a good haiku though that fits well on this game. Hurrah to some people that made it sounds cool. I'll try to make a good one next quarter.

Haha not sure its gonna be something quarter related or something new

Maybe pre and after HALVING or something

[Globb0]

Mic Gs pants fell off
when he got hold of a cod
Its fine to rape fish

[JSRAW]

2 mins silence for suckers ---- 0 votes ----