World Global Economy 2019 and future.

[Polo7]

One of my favorite topics are world markets and Economy i do my own research about this and i have opinion about this subject:

This is what i think what is current situation and future for countries and people! 




2019
Canada: i see Canada dollar will be stronger.  2019 is strong year for Canada dollar.
Canada stock market will be down. 


United Kingdom :
Economy big slow down 2019


USA :  market is good stock market is good.
USA dollar  remain not strong not weak Medium.


Europe: Eur currency will be weaker, Eu Economy will be better and Economy will go up everyday.

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[mu_enrico]

OP, if you like to read this kind of topic, you can download proper reports here:
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects
http://www1.oecd.org/economy/outlook/

Also stop doing multiple posts since it's not allowed on this forum.

[Polo7]

OP, if you like to read this kind of topic, you can download proper reports here:
https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects
http://www1.oecd.org/economy/outlook/

Also stop doing multiple posts since it's not allowed on this forum.

Okay Sorry about that! 

Thnx for reports but i have mentioned here what is the situation with Global world Economy, im waiting for critics now!

[mu_enrico]

Thnx for reports but i have mentioned here what is the situation with Global world Economy, im waiting for critics now!

Let's compare:

Yours:

USA :  market is good stock market is good.
USA dollar  remain not strong not weak Medium.

IMF:

In the United States, 2019 growth is expected to be 2.6 percent (0.3 percentage point higher than in the April WEO), moderating to 1.9 percent in 2020 as the fiscal stimulus unwinds. The revision to 2019 growth reflects stronger-than-anticipated first quarter performance. While the headline number was strong on the back of robust exports and inventory accumulation, domestic demand was somewhat softer than expected and imports weaker as well, in part reflecting the effect of tariffs. These developments point to slowing momentum over the rest of the year.

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2019/07/18/WEOupdateJuly2019

World Bank:

U.S. growth is expected to slow to 2.5 percent in 2019 and further decelerate to 1.7 percent in 2020 and 1.6 percent in 2021, as the effects of recent fiscal stimulus wane. These projections are unchanged from the previous forecast due to offsetting factors. On the one hand, recent tariff increases and associated retaliatory actions are expected to weigh on activity. On the other, growth is being supported by more accommodative monetary policy than previously assumed and by sustained increases in productivity growth and labor force participation (Figure 1.4.D).

http://pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/308981560187921635/211398-Ch01.pdf

OECD:

GDP growth in the United States is projected to moderate to around 2% in 2020 as the support from fiscal easing slowly fades. Solid labour market outcomes and supportive financial conditions continue to underpin household spending, but higher tariffs

https://issuu.com/oecd.publishing/docs/ieo106_handout_final/4

So basically what I'm saying is you need some rather serious literature research before able to produce something worth to discuss.

[Polo7]

Thnx for reports but i have mentioned here what is the situation with Global world Economy, im waiting for critics now!

Let's compare:

Yours:

USA :  market is good stock market is good.
USA dollar  remain not strong not weak Medium.

IMF:

In the United States, 2019 growth is expected to be 2.6 percent (0.3 percentage point higher than in the April WEO), moderating to 1.9 percent in 2020 as the fiscal stimulus unwinds. The revision to 2019 growth reflects stronger-than-anticipated first quarter performance. While the headline number was strong on the back of robust exports and inventory accumulation, domestic demand was somewhat softer than expected and imports weaker as well, in part reflecting the effect of tariffs. These developments point to slowing momentum over the rest of the year.

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2019/07/18/WEOupdateJuly2019

World Bank:

U.S. growth is expected to slow to 2.5 percent in 2019 and further decelerate to 1.7 percent in 2020 and 1.6 percent in 2021, as the effects of recent fiscal stimulus wane. These projections are unchanged from the previous forecast due to offsetting factors. On the one hand, recent tariff increases and associated retaliatory actions are expected to weigh on activity. On the other, growth is being supported by more accommodative monetary policy than previously assumed and by sustained increases in productivity growth and labor force participation (Figure 1.4.D).

http://pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/308981560187921635/211398-Ch01.pdf

OECD:

GDP growth in the United States is projected to moderate to around 2% in 2020 as the support from fiscal easing slowly fades. Solid labour market outcomes and supportive financial conditions continue to underpin household spending, but higher tariffs

https://issuu.com/oecd.publishing/docs/ieo106_handout_final/4

So basically what I'm saying is you need some rather serious literature research before able to produce something worth to discuss.

I have produced all the info is here according to my own research and i will add later more!

[Febo]

..., im waiting for critics now!

You are very optimistic. All what you wrote is fine if you think of the rest of 2019 or start of next year, but if we look at whole next year and 2021, then you are very optimistic. There is high chance we will see a total crash in next two years. I would give to that more then 50% chances. And that crisis will be global. Even Africa will be part of it.

[alyssa85]

Canada and uk will Take biggest Economic hit to the face the USA, Au and Eu will do fine at least 2019.


If you are looking for good investment to buy real estate then 2020 is good time buy Property in Canada.


Uk have 2 ways to go but this year the only way is suffering! 
High unememployment rate and high possibility for many businesias to declare Bancrupty

Are you sure about this? Germany is already in recession and their manufacturing sector has been in recession for 15 months, the only thing keeping them going is services and govt spending.

Because the Germans make cars and import parts from the surrounding countries (Czechia, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Italy), all those countries are showing signs of distress too. Sweden is showing distress for different reasons (their housing sector is showing signs of crisis and they have more household debt than most other countries).

The UK is actually chugging along on autopilot - perhaps distracted politicians means less meddling and the country runs itself anyway. Unemployment is at a 44 year low and wages are now rising at 4% which is the best since 2007.

[Polo7]

..., im waiting for critics now!

You are very optimistic. All what you wrote is fine if you think of the rest of 2019 or start of next year, but if we look at whole next year and 2021, then you are very optimistic. There is high chance we will see a total crash in next two years. I would give to that more then 50% chances. And that crisis will be global. Even Africa will be part of it.

My predictions and analyze is based on realistic calculations and information.

Yes in 2 years we would have big crash!
Im not optimistic im objective here.
But you should read i did mention here main things, and i will add more.

[Theb]

One of my favorite topics are world markets and Economy i do my own research about this and i have opinion about this subject:

This is what i think what is current situation and future for countries and people! 




2019
Canada: i see Canada dollar will be stronger.  2019 is strong year for Canada dollar.
Canada stock market will be down. 

The Canadian dollar will be strong yet the Canadian Stock Market will go down? How will that be possible if both depended on the same economy. Canadian companies are inside their stock market and it's a big reflection on how it can boost their economy which is also affecting the price of their own fiat currency. It's simple if either their stock market or fiat currency is down then both of them will somehow be affected by one another, there is no inverse relationship possible in this scenario when both are just translating what their current economy is.

[Polo7]

One of my favorite topics are world markets and Economy i do my own research about this and i have opinion about this subject:

This is what i think what is current situation and future for countries and people! 




2019
Canada: i see Canada dollar will be stronger.  2019 is strong year for Canada dollar.
Canada stock market will be down. 

The Canadian dollar will be strong yet the Canadian Stock Market will go down? How will that be possible if both depended on the same economy. Canadian companies are inside their stock market and it's a big reflection on how it can boost their economy which is also affecting the price of their own fiat currency. It's simple if either their stock market or fiat currency is down then both of them will somehow be affected by one another, there is no inverse relationship possible in this scenario when both are just translating what their current economy is.

Canada dollar have falled it will go up this year 2019.
Stock Market is strong now but it will fall down next year for sure!
Housing market will fall too! 

No you are not right i have done deep research and im sure about this

[alyssa85]

In uk all Ready Economic recession is going on.

Banks dont lend funds in uk and high credit Crunch.

I keep Monitoring and let u know What's next for uk

Well, I live in the UK, there is no credit crunch at all, bank lending is happening as normal. Unemployment is at a 44 year low, and wages are growing at their fastest since 2007. The economy is growing (the latest figures out in July were positive).

Brexit doesn't seem to have affected the economy - or if it has, it's affected it in a positive way in that it has made businesses pay down corporate debt and streamline.

[Theb]

The Canadian dollar will be strong yet the Canadian Stock Market will go down? How will that be possible if both depended on the same economy. Canadian companies are inside their stock market and it's a big reflection on how it can boost their economy which is also affecting the price of their own fiat currency. It's simple if either their stock market or fiat currency is down then both of them will somehow be affected by one another, there is no inverse relationship possible in this scenario when both are just translating what their current economy is.

Canada dollar have falled it will go up this year 2019.
Stock Market is strong now but it will fall down next year for sure!
Housing market will fall too! 

No you are not right i have done deep research and im sure about this

Do you mean the .05$ drop to CND/USD compared to last year? I wouldn't even consider that a big of a drop and the Canadian Dollar is really playing closely to .80$ as it moves around .76 to .78 to a USD. Maybe you could expound a little bit on your explanation why a fiat currency would go up when the rest of the economy would fall down? I just don't see in anyway how a fiat currency would be successful when it depends really on the economy of the country that being said you must know that a big reflection on that economy also is the performance of all of their domestic companies not to mention other industries as well.

[Google+]

the world economy will not be easy for you to predict in the future many things will happen, you better try to take advantage of any economic situation that occurs to be able to seek profits, follow the flow of economic movements in your own country after you can benefit then you can use in other countries.

[btc78]

One of my favorite topics are world markets and Economy i do my own research about this and i have opinion about this subject:

This is what i think what is current situation and future for countries and people! 
2019
Canada: i see Canada dollar will be stronger.  2019 is strong year for Canada dollar.
Canada stock market will be down. 
United Kingdom :
Economy big slow down 2019
USA :  market is good stock market is good.
USA dollar  remain not strong not weak Medium.
Europe: Eur currency will be weaker, Eu Economy will be better and Economy will go up everyday.

Have been seeing you all over the forum and posting purely speculation,would you mind putting some links next time on what’s your basis from this predictions?

Canada is doing good now as their economy is starting to grow back again ,but EU?i believe that they are struggling as of now,i have relatives living there and they can feel the problem in economy .and 2019 is getting over maybe it’s better to edit the year to 2020

[CryptoBry]

One of my favorite topics are world markets and Economy i do my own research about this and i have opinion about this subject:

This is what i think what is current situation and future for countries and people! 
2019
Canada: i see Canada dollar will be stronger.  2019 is strong year for Canada dollar.
Canada stock market will be down. 
United Kingdom :
Economy big slow down 2019
USA :  market is good stock market is good.
USA dollar  remain not strong not weak Medium.
Europe: Eur currency will be weaker, Eu Economy will be better and Economy will go up everyday.

Good to see an "expert economist" here on the forum dishes out good predictions that anybody can or may not believe at all. I am sure there are many here in this forum who can agree some of your points presented but a lot seems to go with the other side of the fence. We all have our own analysis on the global economy but one thing that majority of economists may agree is that there is a big degree of weakening in many big countries that pushed some to warn about global recession that will surely affect all of us. Now, it would be good if we can also connect this with Bitcoin or cryptocurrency...does recession man that Bitcoin can go dump or will it be helping its price go upwards since many will be interested to use it as a store of value protecting their assets?

[NathanJB]

May I know the specific purpose of this thread?

Because if we talk of the world's economy, and especially of the richest countries, it is basically something that is made up by a few individuals in suits up there in their glass offices. Economy is their game. And they are playing it at the expense of the rest of the world and humanity. Sometimes, it seems that economics is a mere BS that can only be discussed by and among people who are themselves filled with illusion of privilege. 

[el kaka22]

The sad and funny part of this is that whatever OP has guessed that came out wrong in many financial reports all around the world from the biggest institutions he has declined and continued his own projectory.

Well, let's hope you do not trade with other peoples money one day because that would mean a lot of poor souls will lose money because of your arrogance. Long story short the economy as a whole all around the world is not doing great, it is not collapsing tomorrow neither but it is not doing as great as it used to, which usually indicates that another crisis is along the way because even the smallest changes at the top equals huge changes at the bottom and when bottom goes the top goes as well (remember people not being able to pay their mortgages equaled to 2008 crisis of banks).

[Polo7]

May I know the specific purpose of this thread?

Because if we talk of the world's economy, and especially of the richest countries, it is basically something that is made up by a few individuals in suits up there in their glass offices. Economy is their game. And they are playing it at the expense of the rest of the world and humanity. Sometimes, it seems that economics is a mere BS that can only be discussed by and among people who are themselves filled with illusion of privilege. 

Yes to give enlightment about markets and Economy! 
As i have done a lot research

[Pab]

Very short and general estimates.If trade war will expand then will be very huge crisis all over the world
I don"t think China and USA can find any long term and real more prin
FED announced more printing already but monetary stimulus  will not help economy.It will only provide help to pump stocks.Secondary effects can be inflation what can be hidden inflation at beginning
What will FED do in a case of inflation my answer will do nothing

[liuqi]

World economic conditions are always not good third world countries. If there is any business investment means we need to concentrate on third world countries to make it boom.
If there is such investment we all can be stay and good level in economy as well as in education.