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Author Topic: Arbitrage on sportsbetting is possible?  (Read 351 times)
RealMalatesta
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November 08, 2019, 10:48:23 AM
Last edit: November 27, 2019, 12:28:46 PM by RealMalatesta
 #21

I like to appreciate your different way of thinking. Instead of trying out these arbitrage things, you better focus on one or two sport so that you may predict them easily. Easily in the sense you may predict more than 50% accurately when you are watching/following few sports continuously. Being more than 50% successful is more then enough thing to be profitable in sportsbetting given that you do not increase your bet amount.

Like trading arbitrage, you need to watch and figure out feasible things (within short period of time frame) to go for your mentioned arbitrage. That must be a big headache, instead of taking that, you can simply opt for betting one side which you believe to be strong enough to beat the opponent on that particular day with the expectation of 50% likely you to be right. An easy way to find profits out of gambling comparatively with lesser bankroll involved in your arbitrage plan.
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November 08, 2019, 11:44:43 AM
Merited by DarkStar_ (5), Heisenberg_Hunter (2)
 #22

Honestly, I am not sure the term arbitrage is right to use here. But, I am about to ask:

Will it be profitable if we bet on both the side of a sport but in different gambling house with different odds. Definitely one team will win so that I will get profits which will be covering the losses in another house? Given that I am betting same amount of money on both of the houses.

Let me explain with example:
2 gambling houses : House-A and House-B
2 sport team : Team-1 and Team-2

House-A is showing odd of 3.5 for the betting of, if Team-1 wins.
House-B is showing odd of 4.0 for the betting of, if Team-2 wins.

Now, I bet on Team-1 in House-A and on Team-2 in House-B for the amount of $10 each.

Team-1 wins.

I will lose $10 in House-B but I will get $30+ from House-A.

Now, my balance must have grown from $20 to $30+

Where or what I am missing out here or are you already doing this? Roll Eyes

I have been doing that for some time. It is a very good opportunity to make 'guaranteed' profits. But to this manually is almost impossible. But there are several good softwares that automatically track arb bets over 100+ different bookmakers.

But there are some catches.

· to be profitable with sports arbitrage you need at least 10-15 bookmaker accounts which are funded.
· Many bookmaker very often limit accounts if they see it belongs to arb bettor
· There are several struggles that can happen when placing your arb bet.
            · The odds can suddenly change after you placed your bet on bookmaker A
            · Bet gets voided on 1 of the 2 bookies
            · Bookie changes the max stake while placing the bet
            · .....


Thats why I changed from arbitrage betting to value betting. Value betting is not a 100% guaranteed winning method. Downswings can occur. But in the long run value betting will be profitable. the software that I am using personally says that with 30 value bets daily by following their bets and bet amounts you should be able to double your bankroll within 90 days.

the software is pretty nice as well. I will attach some screenshots. All value bets appear automatically, You can log your bets with 1 click so you have a total report at any times



couple things I like more about value betting.

· no cross betting between bookies necessary
· No need of having 10+ betting accounts. 1-3 are more than enough
· smaller bankroll needed to start with
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November 08, 2019, 12:11:48 PM
 #23

Yes its possible but finding the opportunities is somewhat impossible yet bookies wont really have that big gapped when it comes to odds.

Also its being mentioned already that you might faced up some issues in regards with sure bettors.It might be a worth to try but finding opportunities
is quite hard.

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DarkDays
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November 08, 2019, 03:05:14 PM
 #24

It's rare for you to see a spread that large when it comes to sports books, however you might be able to take advantage of so-called promotion arbitrage (or matched betting).

There's plenty of platforms out there that will suggest these opportunities for you, but you should note that it's against the T&C's at most places, though it would be very difficult to track.
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November 08, 2019, 04:39:06 PM
 #25

in theory it should work but in my opinion it is much more difficult to carry out arbitrage on the betting sites than on the exchanges because the odds can vary even at the last second on the various sites, it is perhaps better to use the banking technique as on betfair, there are sites that accept altcoin to bet that they allow this practice? ...
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November 08, 2019, 11:49:25 PM
 #26

The best method to arbitrage sports betting imo is via utilizing multi team parlays.

That's not arbing. If you're playing both sides, then don't play either of them instead: you're paying 2-8% for betting both sides for absolutely zero reason. If you're hedging at a later date because you're not confident in your pick anymore, then sure, but hedging a parlay with another parlay is dumb.

taking a break - expect delayed responses
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November 09, 2019, 07:56:55 AM
 #27

couple things I like more about value betting.

· no cross betting between bookies necessary
· No need of having 10+ betting accounts. 1-3 are more than enough
· smaller bankroll needed to start with
Honestly, I am not a big fan of value-betting. It is simply a psychological way of convincing yourself that you beat the bookie. Some are experts in this field, but the majority fail trying to find value bets.

Accumulator and Arbitrage betting is a lot more fun in comparison with similar risks. Arbers usually don't care about losing their accounts and it is possible to earn big through accas through a small bankroll too. Just my 2 cents.

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November 10, 2019, 12:50:35 AM
 #28

It is possible if you are able to somehow
a) find these odds on a regular basis and take advantage of it
and b) find a way to repeat this method over and over again over large volumes, without your account being shut down by these sites.

AFAIK it's extremely difficult to achieve both which is the reason why even though it is profitable in theory, it's not that profitable in practice. You're probably better off spending your time and energy elsewhere.
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November 10, 2019, 07:29:10 AM
 #29

b) find a way to repeat this method over and over again over large volumes, without your account being shut down by these sites.

AFAIK it's extremely difficult to achieve both which is the reason why even though it is profitable in theory, it's not that profitable in practice. You're probably better off spending your time and energy elsewhere.
I have to disagree here. Many people keep talking about accounts getting limited or shut down which is a limitation, but the work-around here is to create new accounts(Non-KYC sites are better here).

I know a person who risks huge amounts for 2-3% guaranteed profit and gets his account limited or shut down and opens new accounts and continues doing the same. This is a safe technique as long as you stick to reputed sites(Avoid sites like 1xbit etc) which pay out your winnings always.

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November 10, 2019, 11:41:10 AM
 #30

b) find a way to repeat this method over and over again over large volumes, without your account being shut down by these sites.

AFAIK it's extremely difficult to achieve both which is the reason why even though it is profitable in theory, it's not that profitable in practice. You're probably better off spending your time and energy elsewhere.
I have to disagree here. Many people keep talking about accounts getting limited or shut down which is a limitation, but the work-around here is to create new accounts(Non-KYC sites are better here).

I know a person who risks huge amounts for 2-3% guaranteed profit and gets his account limited or shut down and opens new accounts and continues doing the same. This is a safe technique as long as you stick to reputed sites(Avoid sites like 1xbit etc) which pay out your winnings always.
You just mentioned it the chance of being caught and have your account being freeze is always the case of dealing with this arbs betting.
The risk always high due to the amount of differences, you can take the advantage if you have a huge amount of investment / bankroll capital
the problem if once caught that money will be forever stuck and by creating new account same thing will happen.
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November 10, 2019, 12:53:51 PM
 #31

It is difficult to find such a good bet, most bookmakers are often linked and the odds are almost equal.
Most of the odds we see have been evaluated by top experts so it's hard to find odds that are too big.


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