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Author Topic: 6 Months of Fundamental Opportunities in Bitcoin!!!  (Read 570 times)
cocoadreamboy (OP)
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November 08, 2019, 06:20:37 PM
Last edit: November 08, 2019, 11:36:46 PM by cocoadreamboy
 #41


It's easy to chart past performance and say there were missed opportunities.  When market is bad you could've shorted it and when it's going good you should've longed it.  Since markets have been alive this holds true.  I dont know what you are getting at really...

I’ve posted my previous analyses to show the efficacy of this over time. It was saying these things accurately as they were happening. It identifies when it is high (sell) and when it is low (buy).

Crypto follows a pattern, this pattern is difficult to see because the creation cost changes and is variable, but it follows a pattern around its creation cost.

Check out the historicals for btc, Bch, and eth in the pdf.

Aaron

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November 09, 2019, 07:07:47 AM
 #42


It's easy to chart past performance and say there were missed opportunities.  When market is bad you could've shorted it and when it's going good you should've longed it.  Since markets have been alive this holds true.  I dont know what you are getting at really...
I also have the same idea. I am just looking at its graphical history. What else is there? Are you sharing or you just want us to sign up at your offer first before we could look at the real deal?
But to sum it up, this could be done by any technical traders here.


I’ve posted my previous analyses to show the efficacy of this over time. It was saying these things accurately as they were happening. It identifies when it is high (sell) and when it is low (buy).

Crypto follows a pattern, this pattern is difficult to see because the creation cost changes and is variable, but it follows a pattern around its creation cost.

Check out the historicals for btc, Bch, and eth in the pdf.

Aaron

Pattern? I doubt that. If that is so then I wont see a lot of names still popping out here.
It is volatile. Just because you have seen the history of bitcoin doesnt mean you will be accurate enough for the next wave.

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November 09, 2019, 11:01:36 AM
 #43

I like to further see this one. I am just wondering that what might be the differences of what I can see here that is worth of my payment than the random persons here offering here in forum for free. Besides as the many person stated here can you please tell what are the processes or formulas of your analysis. Is it even more reliable than the others or is the same? 'Cause we are talking about the amount we will be paying here.

cocoadreamboy (OP)
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November 10, 2019, 05:54:06 PM
 #44

I like to further see this one. I am just wondering that what might be the differences of what I can see here that is worth of my payment than the random persons here offering here in forum for free. Besides as the many person stated here can you please tell what are the processes or formulas of your analysis. Is it even more reliable than the others or is the same? 'Cause we are talking about the amount we will be paying here.

You answered your own question. Why would you trust RANDOM people on here. You would have better luck asking a neighbor kid to draw a line on a bitcoin chart than any of the “technical analysts” on here.

What i make is fundamental analysis. That is completely different than these line drawers.

If you wish to not utilize my analysis, I wish you luck. You’re gonna need it.

https://www.amsinger.org/

Aaron

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November 10, 2019, 06:24:03 PM
 #45

What i make is fundamental analysis. That is completely different than these line drawers.

If you wish to not utilize my analysis, I wish you luck. You’re gonna need it.

Can you explain the fundamental trading strategy you expect clients to employ? BTC price is virtually always above this "creation cost" so where are examples of actual long entries and short entries? Stop losses? Without this, no one can verify profitability.

Why was April 2019 a long opportunity based on your system? I remember you were screaming to short back in May.

This is what the chart from the OP tells me: "I circled the bottom. That's a long opportunity. Then I circled the top. That's a short opportunity. Then I circled the bottom again. That's a long opportunity."

This is pure hindsight analysis.

cocoadreamboy (OP)
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November 10, 2019, 06:43:14 PM
Last edit: November 11, 2019, 11:33:51 AM by cocoadreamboy
 #46

Where did I say to short in May? Do you have any proof?

May 2 was the last day to buy. I said $13,000 was unsustainable. You remember that. I also said $10k was a ridiculous price. You also remember that.

It’s not hindsight. It is sight.

You can find my fundamental analysis here:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5198724.0

Hope you do the smart thing, and if you don’t I wish you luck! You will need it.

Aaron

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cocoadreamboy (OP)
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November 10, 2019, 06:47:14 PM
 #47

I love that I have stalkers on here lol

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November 11, 2019, 06:45:13 PM
 #48

It's easy to chart past performance and say there were missed opportunities.  When market is bad you could've shorted it and when it's going good you should've longed it.  Since markets have been alive this holds true.  I dont know what you are getting at really...
You know that when it gets to decision to be an holder, it is certain that we will be missing lots of opportunities and I think what is trying to get at is that during the past six month, the value of bitcoin has fluctuated several times, and there has been several dips and several pump, which you can now imagine how much a trader would have made if they had really traded during that time.

I think that within that six month, bitcoin has gone low and high between $7000 and $9000 several times, which means if one had trade on each, there should have been profit of $2000, every time that there's a trade, so anyone that did not take advantage of it that time like the op must have missed the opportunity which i think cannot be taken back again, except we start watching from now.
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November 11, 2019, 10:13:06 PM
 #49

I think that within that six month, bitcoin has gone low and high between $7000 and $9000 several times, which means if one had trade on each, there should have been profit of $2000, every time that there's a trade, so anyone that did not take advantage of it that time like the op must have missed the opportunity which i think cannot be taken back again, except we start watching from now.
That opportunity turned out to be an opportunity in hindsight.... try to convince me of new opportunities that will emerge as we move forward with the price action, which I'm sure you won't be able to do so confidently.

I have seen so many people try to pass off certain price movements as money making opportunities in hindsight, but I have seen very few who actually predicted price action, put money at stake, and were right.

People are better off simply dollar cost averaging now the price is going down, all to have a decent position ready for the next bull run.... don't be that sucker who always misses out on bull runs, accumulate now.

BSV is not the real Bcash. Bcash is the real Bcash.
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November 11, 2019, 10:43:20 PM
 #50

Where did I say to short in May? Do you have any proof?

May 2 was the last day to buy. I said $13,000 was unsustainable. You remember that. I also said $10k was a ridiculous price. You also remember that.

This thread, for example: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5146202

Quote from: cocoadreamboy
The optimal safe buy of bitcoin in the past month was May 2. That was when the price was most supported by the fundamentals. Now you are looking at a 47% loss on your bitcoin investment. Now is the time to take profit and wait for the price drop.

My metrics:

https://www.amsinger.org/subscriber-data

On May 22nd when you posted that, price was trading between $7,500 and $8,000. After that, the market never went below the $7,400s and a few weeks later we hit $14K.

That's what I'm talking about. It's easy to point at these charts in hindsight and say "it was so obvious!" In real time, it's not so simple. I don't see a consistently good basis for entries and exits here.

cocoadreamboy (OP)
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November 11, 2019, 11:39:50 PM
 #51

I said take profit not short. You really are not the best at understanding trading. Lol

You are not the smartest of my fan boys.

Aaron

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November 12, 2019, 12:23:14 PM
 #52

You are not the smartest of my fan boys.

Aaron

but your are the smartest of my enemies.  Grin Grin

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November 12, 2019, 06:12:17 PM
 #53


but your are the smartest of my enemies.  Grin Grin

There is no greater compliment in life than to have an enemy.

Friends have no need to respect you, but enemies (more than anyone else in the world) respect you.

Love and hate are two sides of the same coin.

Aaron

P.S. Most people want to be liked, I love to be hated Wink much love

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November 12, 2019, 09:14:58 PM
 #54

Let me know if you have any questions!

I believe it will be easier if you show your profits and how much capital you started and how much money you currently have. Show us your results so we can see how you are doing with your strategy. I prefer to believe in proof because it gets easier and is credible.

Another point: If you succeed with your strategy, why do you need other people's money?

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cocoadreamboy (OP)
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November 13, 2019, 03:55:35 AM
Last edit: November 13, 2019, 04:06:01 AM by cocoadreamboy
 #55

Let me know if you have any questions!

I believe it will be easier if you show your profits and how much capital you started and how much money you currently have. Show us your results so we can see how you are doing with your strategy. I prefer to believe in proof because it gets easier and is credible.

Another point: If you succeed with your strategy, why do you need other people's money?

I don’t take investment. People pay for my analysis.

My history:
1. In late 2012 I bought a $123 btc to make a legal purchase on a legal site.
2. I started investigating what bitcoin was because it was so difficult to buy.
3. Over the next year I made multiple legal purchases with btc and noticed the price fluctuations.
4. After a year I had to get a crap job, so I decided to make light legal sales with btc.
5. Off and on I worked crap jobs climbing the corporate ladder and making legal sales. After dealing with the dilapidated state of corporate America I decided to make real amounts of legal sales and a change.
6. I quit my job and started to make real legal sales when btc was ~$600. I noticed the price increase and that sparked my curiosity more.
7. I quit making legal sales early 2017 because I was drugged with scopolamine in Colombia. My mother asked me to quit and I did.
8. I had ~$30k in btc when btc was ~$1000.
9. I put half in cloud contracts with Viabtc (Chinese) so I could be paid every day and I put most of the remainder into eth @$78
10. Over the next couple months eth skyrocketed to $300, and I decided to put chunks into ICO’s.
11. Over 2017 my $30k turned into $250k by late 2017. Had I of kept my BTC it would have been $600k. I learned a major lesson there, never invest in ICO’s and keep your btc. Play the other coins to make more BTC.
12. In Jan 2018 Viabtc (Chinese) decided to steal $100k from me by withdrawing my cloud contracts during the peak of the market.
13. Over the beginning of 2018 the ICO’s I was in died and bitcoin was in a bear. I made effective and profitable arbitrage and trading plays, but year long bear is year long bear. I had to pay my rent.
14. In Nov 2018 I had $30k left. Bitcoin decided to take a 50% drop during the month, and I was left with $15k.
15. I came to bitcointalk to figure out why. I would have been happier if bitcoin went to zero, but why did it decide to stop at $3,300. A magnificent poster put up the creation cost idea, and I designed my algorithm for finding creation cost with his idea.
16. I had to keep paying my rent so eventually my portfolio went down to nothing.
17. I began marketing my algorithm, and promoting the true understanding of bitcoin and crypto in a legitimate business.

Had Jihan Wu and Bitmain not decided to play their manipulation games, I would be a midwest craft beer and Spanish wine importer and exporter. That is the business I was building since late 2017. It would have been simple, happy money, but Jihan Wu and his gang wanted to get greedy.

Slow death, thank you for asking this question. I love you man. Up until this point I hadn’t realized my business and the blood, sweat, and tears I have shed for it was a rage play. Now I know. Jihan Wu and Bitmain (Viabtc is a subsidiary of Bitmain) stole so much money from me and MANY others that I find it intolerable. They have the motive, the cash, and the incentive to manipulate bitcoin and all of crypto to steal from people. Bitmain is a multibillion dollar company. I find it disgusting.

You guys up until this point have never heard my black voice.

I’m a nigga from Flint, Michigan. And this little Chinese bitch Jihan Wu is the architect for all of bitcoin’s problem. They STEAL from people. They manipulate markets illegally. And Imma slit that tiny dicked, Steve Jobs wannabe turtleneck wearing, Chinese mothafucka’s throat (business-wise) for the pain he has caused and continues to cause to people. I will Gaddafi that motherfucka.  There are plenty of Asian men with reasonable sized dicks, but that guy has a tiny one.

Satoshi, if you are reading this, inventor to inventor, thank you for your beautiful invention. It has caused way more good than any other financial invention has for over a hundred years. But you do not need to lift a finger. I will deal with this cancer. That little Chinese bitch aint never dealt with a nigga from Flint.

My analysis would have saved me from ALL THESE MISTAKES. My analysis is tight. It is right. It is strong enough to go the distance. I post my stuff on Bitcointalk because I feel a debt to this community, but my battle is not on this site. No offense, but most people on here are cheap, miserly computer nerds who are totally fine donating to Jihan Wu's Lamborghini fund. But I don’t care. I post a lot of stuff for free on here. I will right these wrongs.

I’m motherfuckin’ Batman.

Aaron

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November 13, 2019, 10:29:56 AM
 #56


but your are the smartest of my enemies.  Grin Grin

There is no greater compliment in life than to have an enemy.

Friends have no need to respect you, but enemies (more than anyone else in the world) respect you.

Love and hate are two sides of the same coin.

Aaron

P.S. Most people want to be liked, I love to be hated Wink much love

1:0 for you.  Grin Grin

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November 13, 2019, 11:34:09 AM
 #57


My history:
1. In late 2012 I bought a $123 btc to make a legal purchase on a legal site.
2. I started investigating what bitcoin was because it was so difficult to buy.
3. Over the next year I made multiple legal purchases with btc and noticed the price fluctuations.
4. After a year I had to get a crap job, so I decided to make light legal sales with btc.
5. Off and on I worked crap jobs climbing the corporate ladder and making legal sales. After dealing with the dilapidated state of corporate America I decided to make real amounts of legal sales and a change.
6. I quit my job and started to make real legal sales when btc was ~$600. I noticed the price increase and that sparked my curiosity more.
7. I quit making legal sales early 2017 because I was drugged with scopolamine in Colombia. My mother asked me to quit and I did.
8. I had ~$30k in btc when btc was ~$1000.
9. I put half in cloud contracts with Viabtc (Chinese) so I could be paid every day and I put most of the remainder into eth @$78
10. Over the next couple months eth skyrocketed to $300, and I decided to put chunks into ICO’s.
11. Over 2017 my $30k turned into $250k by late 2017. Had I of kept my BTC it would have been $600k. I learned a major lesson there, never invest in ICO’s and keep your btc. Play the other coins to make more BTC.
12. In Jan 2018 Viabtc (Chinese) decided to steal $100k from me by withdrawing my cloud contracts during the peak of the market.
13. Over the beginning of 2018 the ICO’s I was in died and bitcoin was in a bear. I made effective and profitable arbitrage and trading plays, but year long bear is year long bear. I had to pay my rent.
14. In Nov 2018 I had $30k left. Bitcoin decided to take a 50% drop during the month, and I was left with $15k.
15. I came to bitcointalk to figure out why. I would have been happier if bitcoin went to zero, but why did it decide to stop at $3,300. A magnificent poster put up the creation cost idea, and I designed my algorithm for finding creation cost with his idea.
16. I had to keep paying my rent so eventually my portfolio went down to nothing.
17. I began marketing my algorithm, and promoting the true understanding of bitcoin and crypto in a legitimate business.


Holy shit Aaron, that's a wild ride. Do you have any hair left on your head ? Cheesy Hard to imagine how to lose that much money when being in the perfect position at the start of the most epic bull run till now.
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November 13, 2019, 06:06:31 PM
Last edit: November 13, 2019, 06:38:46 PM by cocoadreamboy
 #58

Holy shit Aaron, that's a wild ride. Do you have any hair left on your head ? Cheesy Hard to imagine how to lose that much money when being in the perfect position at the start of the most epic bull run till now.

Much crazier shit has happened to me this is just crypto stuff. I don’t much care about money. I didn’t really spend any of it (compared to most people). I just travel around and work on businesses, or inventions, or paintings.

Having more or less money has NO effect on happiness. But you need money to build bigger and bigger things Wink I want to build businesses, so I must develop good business plans that work.

My hair is glorious lol

Crypto trading is about getting IN at the right time and OUT at the right time. That requires measuring risk.  I made this analysis to find out what the risk is at any time.

Aaron

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November 13, 2019, 07:58:26 PM
 #59

I didn’t lose it lol, it was stolen.

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November 21, 2019, 12:46:11 PM
 #60

I will be upgrading the efficiencies of all the creation costs next Monday.

I virgin. I pure boy! I dicboy!
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