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Author Topic: 61% of Bitcoin hodlers could sell at a profit  (Read 264 times)
JessicaVL (OP)
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November 29, 2019, 09:51:30 AM
 #1

According to The Block, up to 61% of Bitcoin hodlers could sell at a profit. Towards the end of the year, should Bitcoin prices stay about $8,000 per coin, 61% of hodlers could sell in their cryptocurrency. The Block looked at the overall potential to sell at a profit, with regards to both old adopters, and new traders.

https://twitter.com/intotheblock/status/1196835383423750147?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1196835383423750147&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbitcoinist.com%2Fhodling-pays-61-of-bitcoin-owners-could-sell-at-profit%2F

What is hodling?

So, what exactly is hodling? According to eToro, to hodl is to “to hold on to your coins, even when the market dips, rather than sell up and cash out.” If you don’t have a lot of time for trading on your hands, this is most likely the strategy for you. Some of the most successful Bitcoin hodlers include the Winklevoss Twins, Satoshi Nakamoto (the founder and creator of Bitcoin), and exchanges.

https://twitter.com/thetokenanalyst/status/1181618606649548800?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1181618606649548800&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fbitcoinist.com%2Fwho-are-the-biggest-bitcoin-hodlers%2F

Hodling Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is a pretty surefire way of earning profit on your coins. Riding out the fluctuations of the market is preferable to selling at a low because you’ve given into FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt). Particularly when it comes to Bitcoin, hodling is almost always the long-run way to go.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T3EVxpx0lLc

Bitcoin hodlers to sell at a profit
Around half of the addresses found to be “in the money” were actually new adopters. In fact, whales were found to make up a very small fraction of potential gainers. Those who entered into the market at low four-digit Bitcoin values were found to have the biggest potential for gain.

Losers are made up of those who bought at all-time high prices, and those that bought BTC at the peak of smaller rallies. Losing addresses make up 29% of all addresses, and are comprised mainly of those that bought at the top. Still, 61% of Bitcoin hodlers could sell at a profit, which is definitely not to be overlooked.

However, Bitcoin prices are volatile and there’s still the potential for losers to lock in profits. With a bull-run almost certainly imminent, Bitcoin value could cross the threshold it set in 2017 and enable those who bought near the top to earn a profit.

Bitcoin scares with a bearish turn
In the past week or so, Bitcoin has seen a slight downward trend in price. Now, it seems as though Bitcoin could go below $7,000, and cause another group of “hodlers” to become “losers.” At this price, the Bitcoin fear and greed index has plummeted by 32 points, which shows that people are feeling some fear, uncertainty and doubt. With that being said, even bigger slumps have been followed by rallies, so there’s no reason to panic.

Bitcoin hodlers actually help to diminish value slides. However, as soon as price appreciation occurs, there is usually a mad scramble of owners trying to sell their coins at more favorable prices to turn a BTC profit.

Overall, if you’re new to Bitcoin, the general idea would be to maintain patience and avoid panic-selling at a low.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dasfUZXrMqQ

How to Hodl
Hodling is probably the simplest and most effective crypto asset trading strategy out there. We know that 61% of Bitcoin hodlers could sell at a profit, and that’s an incredible endorsement of the effectiveness of this strategy. What’s important is that new traders learn to interpret the fluctuations of the market, and not give into FOMO or FUD. As we enter into a bull run, the Bitcoin value will climb and BTC profit for more hodlers will too.

Buy Bitcoin, or learn to trade the crypto asset market with eToro, the world’s leading social trading platform. Learn more at www.etoro.com

Cryptoassets are volatile instruments which can fluctuate widely in a very short timeframe and therefore are not appropriate for all investors. Other than via CFDs, trading cryptoassets is unregulated and therefore is not supervised by any EU regulatory framework. Your capital is at risk.


https://www.etoro.com/blog/market-insights/61-of-bitcoin-hodlers-could-sell-at-a-profit/
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November 29, 2019, 09:53:15 AM
 #2

Not really, if you are one of the unlucky bunch who decided to purchase Bitcoin in 2017-2018's boom. You are currently in negative and will be unless BTC goes way above 20k. Although it is safe to assume a fair amount of those people must've sold their coins already, there should be some HODLers. Considering the former miners and people who gathered more than thousands of BTC spread among several ten-thousand addresses, it has always been more than 60-70% almost always.
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November 30, 2019, 08:23:45 AM
 #3

a lot of people who invested early on has also lost their possession of btc that takes a good number of btc out of trading
there was an influx of new investors following an aggressive increase in 2017 but if they sell right now they would not be better off and could suffer a loss
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November 30, 2019, 08:35:29 AM
 #4

no one loses when he buys at a high price and doesn't sell it cheap, just as no one benefits if he buys cheap and then doesn't sell it at a high price, this is actually a personal decision where people have the right to make their own decisions, sometimes they have needs and needs for their lives so they have to sell it, usually they don't have another job to finance their lives so it depends on the funds invested in bitcoin so they have no choice to sell it, actually returning to each of the needs and needs of people selling it, if panic is more good go don't see the market, so bitcoin as a long term investment is quite more attractive than taking short term profits, just my opinion

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November 30, 2019, 08:40:27 AM
 #5

100% holder at 3000$ could sell with profit.
I don't think 61% is a reasonable nubmer, and it's just clueless.
what about people who bought at 20k, or 15k, because 15-20k is the range that they buy and sell so much. very big volume, and some of them might never take back half of invested money.

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November 30, 2019, 08:49:51 AM
 #6

Not really, if you are one of the unlucky bunch who decided to purchase Bitcoin in 2017-2018's boom. You are currently in negative and will be unless BTC goes way above 20k. Although it is safe to assume a fair amount of those people must've sold their coins already, there should be some HODLers. Considering the former miners and people who gathered more than thousands of BTC spread among several ten-thousand addresses, it has always been more than 60-70% almost always.

I think it holds true for people who bought BTC earlier this year when BTC was traded below 4k,  I dont think there ratio will be around 61%. Current reason is good for buying BTC but not much pay attention to this fact when market is down and out.

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Kprawn
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November 30, 2019, 10:34:07 AM
 #7

Well if you bought in January when the price was at $3000, you would have more than doubled your initial investment capital and you do not find

this very often with any other kind of investment. So, those pessimist that wants to point fingers at Bitcoin will have to swallow their pride and

agree with us that Bitcoin is a good store of value. People look at the short term volatility and then they base their opinion on that, where they

actually have to look at Bitcoin as a long-term investment. (forget for one moment that it is supposed to be a currency.)  Roll Eyes

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November 30, 2019, 10:37:34 AM
 #8



In case a big percentage of the 61% holders will be listening to this suggestion then the market will really have a bloody disaster. But no, in my opinion, once a holder is always a holder (akin to once a priest always a priest dogma of the Roman Catholic Church?). Of course, as a rational thinking being, we should also be thinking about this option but since I am not a trader for now selling my Bitcoin can signal the end of my involvement with this "lucrative" industry. For the time being, I am holding (like the millions of other people) all because I am looking forward to the halving event this coming May 2020, and I am really crossing my fingers that this can never be another disappointment.
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November 30, 2019, 11:00:15 AM
 #9

Maybe that percentage is not accurate since we don't know how many bitcoin holders who already bought bitcoin at a low price. But I am sure that if people can use the chance to buy bitcoin when the price reaches $3000, they are now making a lot of money if they decide to sell now. I think many holders still waiting for bitcoin price to increase higher more than $10k so they will make a bigger profit. Besides that, I am sure the holders do not hold the bitcoin, but they are buying and sell bitcoin, especially if the price moves up and down.

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November 30, 2019, 11:57:26 AM
 #10

There is a difference between short and long-term holders, and between how much both of them sell over a period of time. Short-term holders are only looking for a quick profit, and they probably sell all coins in a favorable moment. Long-term holders are selling only small parts if they need a fiat, or they use BTC to pay/buy directly some goods or services.

Once again the keyword in this story is "could", which means it doesn't really have to happen. It should also be noted that this percentage is based on address analysis, which is a very questionable methodology and does not actually produce realistic results.

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November 30, 2019, 12:16:25 PM
 #11

A LOT of people arrive in the last gasps of a bubble. This is why so many were turning people away I guess. Plenty of them will be in for a lengthy wait before being back in the black. I'm sure many if not most sold at a vast loss as that's what humans tend to do.
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November 30, 2019, 12:22:26 PM
 #12

That's as usual probably very inaccurate. 61% of addresses doesn't necessarily mean 61% of all wallets in existence, and doesn't necessarily mean 61% of all users.

Most likely it's multiple addresses and multiple wallets owned by probably a lot less entities than we imagine. Take into account wallets forever lost or unlikely to ever become active, and it's a lot fewer than that.

Which is good news of course since it means most people must hold to wait for prices to go back up.

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November 30, 2019, 12:26:23 PM
 #13


What is hodling?

So, what exactly is hodling? According to eToro, to hodl is to “to hold on to your coins, even when the market dips, rather than sell up and cash out.” If you don’t have a lot of time for trading on your hands, this is most likely the strategy for you. Some of the most successful Bitcoin hodlers include the Winklevoss Twins, Satoshi Nakamoto (the founder and creator of Bitcoin), and exchanges.

In my dictionary Hodl gives another meaning. true Hodlers don’t care about the price. BTC can be $10,000, $1,000,000, or even $1, I will still Hodl, forever. It means Hodling until I don't deal in fiat paper money ever again. However, for a lot of Bitcoiners out there, Hodling depends on how much profit is enough for them, so everybody is different. Some people question of a bubble so they will HODL and cash out a little bit after every run. Some people Hodl until the value of your holdings gets to a psychological level which is different for every investor. Either way, whatever kind of Hodler you are, it is a good strategy in Crypto because long term investing will always beat short term trading due to capital gains taxes. So leave your savings on BTC that you feel comfortable with.
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November 30, 2019, 12:41:31 PM
 #14

100% holder at 3000$ could sell with profit.
I don't think 61% is a reasonable nubmer, and it's just clueless.
what about people who bought at 20k, or 15k, because 15-20k is the range that they buy and sell so much. very big volume, and some of them might never take back half of invested money.
What is the $3k number about? In the tweet, it is said that if the price is the way it is right now, 61% would profit from selling. I wonder how that number is calculated, though. If it a thorough study of addresses that have been holding BTC since a certain period of time but not since the $9k and above time? And what about people using exchanges all the time? What about those who bought prior to 2017?
It seems to be a number which is hard to calculate.

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Distinctin
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November 30, 2019, 12:42:28 PM
 #15

For about that we are buying Bitcoins during 2017 bullish, does holding would still matter? It never makes sense at all, knowing the fact that the market won't really get back to that price or above just to make a profit, holding will never work.
But we are buying Bitcoin right after the bullish ends definitely, we make money from it. And much more to gain if we are able to hold it a little bit longer.
gentlemand
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November 30, 2019, 12:43:28 PM
 #16

In my dictionary Hodl gives another meaning. true Hodlers don’t care about the price. BTC can be $10,000, $1,000,000, or even $1, I will still Hodl, forever. It means Hodling until I don't deal in fiat paper money ever again.

I would've thought a microscopic minority feel that way and even most of them are lying either to the world or themselves.

Holding is just as much an investment strategy as trading your tits off. It just tends to be a more sensible option for most people.
eaLiTy
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November 30, 2019, 12:44:32 PM
 #17

According to The Block, up to 61% of Bitcoin hodlers could sell at a profit. Towards the end of the year, should Bitcoin prices stay about $8,000 per coin, 61% of hodlers could sell in their cryptocurrency. The Block looked at the overall potential to sell at a profit, with regards to both old adopters, and new traders.
I will call this a bullshit theory, how on earth they will come to a stupid conclusion like this, the people who invested in BTCitcoin are waiting for the big rally even if they are planning to book their profit and the majority will not even sell until you see an all time high valuation, how do they look at individual traders and their patterns and how they will calculate their overall mentality on when they will book their profit. If you look at the profit exclusively by the early investors then majority will sell now but that is not the case.
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November 30, 2019, 01:21:54 PM
 #18

Long-term holders always hold to the escalation of costs and volumes.

Although the conditions are now favorable for sales, they are aware of the added value aspects that do not stop here. There are still moments of growth in the following years and it is very unlikely to sell quickly because they are waiting for their peak momentum. Holders who have bought at the highest price range also do not want to experience a loss. they hold back what they have bought, and use new funds to at least find a balance of capital by accumulating.
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November 30, 2019, 01:29:28 PM
Merited by gentlemand (1)
 #19

What is hodling?
So, what exactly is hodling? According to eToro, to hodl is to “to hold on to your coins, even when the market dips, rather than sell up and cash out.”

that is a wrong definition and in my opinion it is what the newbies think. which is why we have so many weak hands who bag hold and then panic sell.

HODL means making a wise investment decision and putting your money in something you think has a long term potential and then not worrying about its short term fluctuations. additionally you enter during the time where price is in a dip so that you are guaranteed to see profit.
this means buying bitcoin this year and not even thinking about the times where price came down. if you did that, then even with the drops you still are in more than 100% profit!

There is a FOMO brewing...
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November 30, 2019, 01:47:50 PM
 #20

Another speculative article. People won't sell at a profit because that's what hodling is about. You're looking to buy goods for your coins at some point not sell it for fiat. Hodlers don't need and don't want fiat. They are mostly people who have enough fiat to live by and Bitcoin is their long term investment, for some even a retirement fund.
They will not sell, profit or not. They will exchange for things and that's a difference. I will give my bitcoins one day to someone for a house or a yacht but I won't sell for fiat.
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