Bitcoin halving 2020 prediction

[exstasie]

Erm, both halvings so far have been duds on the day. Not a lot happened. I expect it to be no different this time.

On the day, sure.

In both 2012 and 2016 though, BTC rallied hard prior to the halving itself. From June to August 2012, the price went up 219%. From April to June 2016, the price went up 106%. Litecoin's 560% rally this year should also be partly attributed to halving hype. Just like Bitcoin in 2012 and 2016, the selloff began months before the actual top.

For price not to be marked up like previous cycles, there would need to be a reduction in demand. Lowering the inflation rate means that all else equal, price should rise, since miners represent a significant portion of active market supply.

[Wexlike]

An insider with his ear on the tracks, whispered to me this:

The next much anticipated halving event will be a dud. There will not be a parabolic push up in price. It will steadily move sideways in the 5,000 range with low volatilty. Baffling everyone and flattening peoples interest in bitcoin. Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.

So much for making big gains from the next Bitcoin halving event. You are all shit out of luck?

I've heard the same stories last halving, and all of them were wrong. So please, go on and bet for a long-term decline.

[Pearls Before Swine]

Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.[/i]

Who is that person with his ear to the tracks, so to speak?  Reading this, it just sounds like a bunch of fud that could have been made up by anyone.  Anyone at all.

Stable coins becoming popular with corporations?  How does anyone come to that prediction?  That one baffles me, because there's no good reason for any company to be holding or investing in stable coins.  No need whatsoever.  The only part of this I *might* agree with is that altcoins will perhaps perk up.  Some of them are worth buying right now, as is bitcoin for that matter.  But I seriously doubt bitcoin is going to end up trading in the $5000 range while alts go up in value on their own.  It could occur, but I doubt it.

The halfing may not have much of an effect on the price of bitcoin, but there’s no way of knowing at the moment.  Not you, not me, and not this person who is making some very specific predictions and who claims to be able to predict the future. 

[wheelz1200]

An insider with his ear on the tracks, whispered to me this:

The next much anticipated halving event will be a dud. There will not be a parabolic push up in price. It will steadily move sideways in the 5,000 range with low volatilty. Baffling everyone and flattening peoples interest in bitcoin. Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.

So much for making big gains from the next Bitcoin halving event. You are all shit out of luck?

I kind of agree with this.  I dont think the next leg up will happen until 6-12 months after the halving.  Halving event pricing is priced in up front so it's hard to say that the lower block rewards will result in higher prices.  I would say we should be in this same type range (7-9k) up until halving then a little drop off until we start to see steady surges coming in behind it.

[barabarian1]

most people in this community always say bitcoin will go to the month of 2021 after being reduced by half in 2020. they compare and see the previous year that bitcoin is always pumping after being reduced by half.
but I also don't know whether in 2020 it will be the same as in 2016. Only time can answer that. we can only pray that bitcoin can pump up to our expectations.

[Dart18]

Did you even ask your ghost whisperer what altcoin is (it) (he) (i dont know ) supporting?

Do you even have bitcoin at the first place?
Why the hell are you in bitcointalk and yet you talk like that?
I mean, what the hell?
Signed up for a bitcoin forum just to make this kind of statements? Do you really love wasting time? 

[Reid]

Something might have fallen in your head.  I hope you didn't get an internal hemorrhage.

Not all are expecting much with the halving. Idiots will or newbies who are too lazy to dig more into what halving is really all about.
They thought it will just be another milking cow for crypto traders or holders but it is not.
Anything can happen in the crypto market and it could really go low or high.

Here is one help for you. BTW, I just used google. Try it some time.

Once that number is crossed, the block reward is cut in half. This process is predetermined and will continue until the last bitcoin is mined sometime in the year 2140. This process is referred to as a “halving,” and it can have long-term effects on the price of BTC.

[BrewMaster]

An insider with his ear on the tracks, whispered to me this:

whoever claims to be an insider and then gives you suggestions about the market is a big scammer and you must stay away from these people

The next much anticipated halving event will be a dud. There will not be a parabolic push up in price. It will steadily move sideways in the 5,000 range with low volatilty. Baffling everyone and flattening peoples interest in bitcoin.

people's interest in bitcoin is not because of its shooting price. it is because of the strength and security that it has.
as for the rise, we will see another shoot up before the halving and it will most probably be big since there are a lot of new people with fresh money who are expecting the same exact thing as last 2 times to happen and will act on it which means a big price rise!

Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.

stablecoins will only gain popularity during the widespread shitcoin pumps where day traders need something they can dump their shitcoins to. and if bitcoin goes sideways and has such gigantic drop to $5k then shitcoins will have an extremely hard time getting any pumps.

So much for making big gains from the next Bitcoin halving event. You are all shit out of luck?

my luck is in bitcoin staying below $10k or even less not in its price going up because the longer it stays here the more bitcoin i can accumulate with my paycheck which i use a portion of to buy bitcoin.
the only ones that would be shit out of luck are those who are bag holding altcoins thinking if bitcoin price doesn't rise then altcoins should

[YuginKadoya]

And did you believe what your source told you, did you had proof on why did he say something like this? it sounded like a FUD to me, so many would-be afraid and panic in selling their stash Bitcoin, this is my opinion, I think that there is one who wants to manipulate the market by setting up FUD but in my opinion, it may have some effect but I think it will be a slight move only,

we are in the longest period of a bearish movement many will surely believe this and the drama will be brought down the price to another level of downward movement, And right now I am seeing a lot of negative predictions that saying that the price of Bitcoin will be so bearish, If that the case then weak hands did believe that parabolic bearish thing.

[teosanru]

Everyone who has been in Bitcoin long enough knows that the halving is the lowest part in the parabolic growth.
The ATH is always half way between the halvings.

So if you sell your stash ant GTFO that would be great!  

I think you are absolutely correct. I can explain the reason behind this Actually halving just reduces the pace of creation of supply of bitcoin and not the stock of supply reaction to this isn't immediate and it takes time for the market to realize this imbalance in supply demand and then price gets skyrocketed so no one is thinking that just after thr day of halving we will see the ATH. I would like to show a chart from my very own post which I created earlier depicting effect of halving on

You can clearly see the All time high was seen somewhere around the 30-40% mark of the market because only after that the imbalance of Supply and demand was visible. I would try to dig deep and see if there is some static formula which works behind this.

[STT]

We're all insiders relatively because you are here and a user, the outsiders are the mainstream word especially those stuck in cash only who are being diluted of their worth by inflation exceeding actual growth.    If the outsiders favour the benefits of being an insider to Bitcoin then you have a base of growth in Bitcoin population probably and its likely FIAT continues to decline in holding any reasonable standard.
  The halvening just represents less each time it occurs, its a known change to new Bitcoins issued.   It is a bullish event as the contrast is that Bitcoin is issuing less while FIAT is increasing its supply of new currency, the ratio between the two is what results in a higher price.

the previous cycle didnt repeat the cycle before it.

Time never repeats, it rhymes so we'll see appreciation over years I think and people tend to over speculate when  they see this gain.   We always assume we get results like fast food not fine wine.
  Bitcoin surprised me, I didnt judge it as a decade long fine wine, so now I have learn my lesson and consider it's more then just what we can see on the horizon, I'm more bullish on 2021 then 2020.

[Darooghe]

There have been 2 havling events in the past. The first one resulted in BTC increasing in price by 80 times in about a year, and the second resulted in a +25 times price increase in about a year and a half. actually it usually starts climbing about a year prior to halving, then dips slightly right after halving, then starts a gradual rise from there, ultimately ending in a parabolic bull run about 12–18 months later. Most of that happens in the last 30 days, and most of that happens in the last 10 days. But obviously the fact that the past was bullish after halving does not necessarily imply that it will be also with the next halving.

[FIFA worldcup]

An insider with his ear on the tracks, whispered to me this:

The next much anticipated halving event will be a dud. There will not be a parabolic push up in price. It will steadily move sideways in the 5,000 range with low volatilty. Baffling everyone and flattening peoples interest in bitcoin. Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.

So much for making big gains from the next Bitcoin halving event. You are all shit out of luck?

As more and more people will have bitcoins the volatility will decrease and prices will be stable but this could not happen within 2 - 3 years. Bitcoin is still in its early years where only a few people have bitcoins with them and therefore this halving will produce the similar results as happened in 2017.

[Wysi]

An insider with his ear on the tracks, whispered to me this:

The next much anticipated halving event will be a dud. There will not be a parabolic push up in price. It will steadily move sideways in the 5,000 range with low volatilty. Baffling everyone and flattening peoples interest in bitcoin. Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.

So much for making big gains from the next Bitcoin halving event. You are all shit out of luck?

As more and more people will have bitcoins the volatility will decrease and prices will be stable but this could not happen within 2 - 3 years. Bitcoin is still in its early years where only a few people have bitcoins with them and therefore this halving will produce the similar results as happened in 2017.

Yes there are chances that it might lead to one more Bull run which is expected by most of the users but still there are doubts because unlike 2017 the market is highly manipulative now as it got more players and group of traders who are hell bent in manipulating the market. We might see an unusual year ahead.

[Lanatsa]

There have been 2 havling events in the past. The first one resulted in BTC increasing in price by 80 times in about a year, and the second resulted in a +25 times price increase in about a year and a half. actually it usually starts climbing about a year prior to halving, then dips slightly right after halving, then starts a gradual rise from there, ultimately ending in a parabolic bull run about 12–18 months later. Most of that happens in the last 30 days, and most of that happens in the last 10 days. But obviously the fact that the past was bullish after halving does not necessarily imply that it will be also with the next halving.

This is the thing thats why we can say that 50-50 chance to repeat the history or not.OP's saying directly mentioning on the other side which it isnt really bad to presume
but moving sideways on 5k levels after halving event sounds really an impossible thing into my ears.

[piebeyb]

Too many six-digit predictions. Too many one million predictions. Too many theories pointing that bitcoin will repeat the previous cycle. But the previous cycle didnt repeat the cycle before it.

I believe we are still to see the shaking that happened in the second half of 2015. Contrary to what I believed before, the cycle is stretched, not shrunk. 2011-2013 was two years, 2013-2017 was four years. Who knows, maybe this cycle will have six years.

I believe Masterluc prediction is on point. We are going to see $1000-$1200 after the halving, and the next ATH will only happen in 2021. A bull market like 2017 will only happen in 2023.

if that happens again repeating the previous cycle, what do you want to give to the analysis, 2016 you just created a bitcointalk account maybe you don't know too much about this cycle, don't be patient because you came in bitcoin after halving 2016 and then saw bitcoin touch ATH in 2017, so what you expect is 2023 is too long, I am among those who predict 2020 2021 later, so let's look at that

youre right on that , and there are known people who just predicted bitcoin price going to skyrocket but the question is if they knew bitcoin will reach thier prediction why they arent buying? Why bitcoin price drops instead of going up because of thier predictions.

You are just too hungry to force something to come right away, so just wait next year, relax and just watch

[arwin100]

There have been 2 havling events in the past. The first one resulted in BTC increasing in price by 80 times in about a year, and the second resulted in a +25 times price increase in about a year and a half. actually it usually starts climbing about a year prior to halving, then dips slightly right after halving, then starts a gradual rise from there, ultimately ending in a parabolic bull run about 12–18 months later. Most of that happens in the last 30 days, and most of that happens in the last 10 days. But obviously the fact that the past was bullish after halving does not necessarily imply that it will be also with the next halving.

This is the thing thats why we can say that 50-50 chance to repeat the history or not.OP's saying directly mentioning on the other side which it isnt really bad to presume
but moving sideways on 5k levels after halving event sounds really an impossible thing into my ears.

If we look back the track of the history it's really impossible to see this figures coming up when halving comes but if there's a major interruption will come maybe provably we can see those predicted bad figures to show up. But since we are doing great and maintain the stability these days maybe those fuds is wrong since provably we can see a great pump next year and hopefully we will be right on this since it's really awful to feel always that we are on bear market these days.

[danherbias07]

And they did that whisper to you for you to be left in the dark. 
You will just become another FOMO afterwards.

They can say all the sh1t that they want but it wont be stopped.
It ain't about the halving actually but more of the hype that will come.
Trust with bitcoin had grown and more people are into it. 2 months after the halving and you will see it. Better to fasten your seatbelt.

[7788bitcoin]

It ain't about the halving actually but more of the hype that will come.
Trust with bitcoin had grown and more people are into it. 2 months after the halving and you will see it. Better to fasten your seatbelt.

There is no hype without substance, the fact is that halving will reduce the number of coins being released and in turn it will create a deflation in the market and if there are many buyers and less sellers then you will see the price going up and it is simply moved on the basis of demand and supply and when you see more buyers coming in the market people will start investing in it and create a temporary bubble and it will go on as long as the bubble lasts.

[Wexlike]

It ain't about the halving actually but more of the hype that will come.
Trust with bitcoin had grown and more people are into it. 2 months after the halving and you will see it. Better to fasten your seatbelt.

There is no hype without substance, the fact is that halving will reduce the number of coins being released and in turn it will create a deflation in the market and if there are many buyers and less sellers then you will see the price going up and it is simply moved on the basis of demand and supply and when you see more buyers coming in the market people will start investing in it and create a temporary bubble and it will go on as long as the bubble lasts.

Just love to look at the S/F ratio when hearing about the halving.