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Author Topic: Bitcoin halving 2020 prediction  (Read 937 times)
dragonvslinux
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December 08, 2019, 06:38:58 PM
 #61

I think there's a good chance that leading up to the halving will be the last chance to get a 4 figure Bitcoin, and I doubt we will ever see this opportunity again.
I also don't think a 5 figure Bitcoin will last as long as 4 figures has. We'll probably spend longer at 6 figures before another correction in my mind.

Just have some cash on the sidelines for an eventual dump. 6 figures ? Haha boy you're definitely not dreaming small ^^

Indeed, don't worry I have my levels carved out for an eventual dump  Wink
You're right, I'm not dreaming small. Also wouldn't be selling shit until 6 figures either.

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coinfinger
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December 11, 2019, 05:14:45 PM
 #62

any prediction is not a problem. but this is the crypto world. anything can happen. I personally still believe bitcoin will have a value of more than $ 10,000 after halving occurs. yeah, they think like that. because for the past 10 years bitcoin has no important function other than just for trading and transactions. so the more difficult bitcoin is mined, it can make the miners not continue. This is in my opinion about the statement you wrote.
I get what your concern is, but the more difficulty in mining BTC means the higher price of bitcoins and hence the miners will be compensated in either ways, if miners were earning 25 BTC per block and reduced to 12.5 you can see still there's no problem about miners because the price increased and sorted the issue.

That's the actual reason why bitcoin price rise when halving occurs because the miners reward is decreased to half ( as suggest by the word halving) and hence the price tends to go up.
The Sceptical Chymist
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December 11, 2019, 05:44:02 PM
 #63

I'm kind of wondering how this next halving is going to affect bitcoin, and it's something I thought about before the last one when I had the feeling that the halving would have already been priced into bitcoin well before it happened.  If I recall, I was wrong about what really happened, which was a rise in price afterwards.

The problem is that nobody knows when something gets priced in, especially not with a halving, the exact time of which is known so far in advance.  If you believe in efficient market theory, all the halving should have been priced in right when bitcoin was created.  I'm personally not a believer in strongly efficient markets, but I also don't think bitcoin necessarily needs to start moving upward right after a halving.

I'll boggle my own mind if I keep thinking about it, so I'll stop.  It will be very interesting to see what happens right before and after the next halving.  It's only a few months away, so I'll have my eyes crazy-glued to preev in May.

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December 12, 2019, 05:49:55 PM
Last edit: September 10, 2023, 02:33:20 PM by dragonvslinux
 #64

I have a new halving prediction, for anyone that might be interested. I'll warn you, it's rather boring. It's based on the idea premise that price will be the same as it is now  Roll Eyes


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julius caesar
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December 13, 2019, 06:03:32 AM
 #65

At the halving - $10,000 to $12,000.

Late 2021 - $70,000 to $100,000.
Let see if the price will hit that price. If ever in late 2021 the price of bitcoin reach the $70,000 to $100,000 many people will become instant millionaire especially the people who bought at the price of $3000. I am still willing to wait or to hold my bitcoin until it hit again its all-time high price.

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December 13, 2019, 12:31:11 PM
 #66

any prediction is not a problem. but this is the crypto world. anything can happen. I personally still believe bitcoin will have a value of more than $ 10,000 after halving occurs. yeah, they think like that. because for the past 10 years bitcoin has no important function other than just for trading and transactions. so the more difficult bitcoin is mined, it can make the miners not continue. This is in my opinion about the statement you wrote.

I think what will happen will be more like what happened during the Litecoin halving in August.

Prior to halving the price climbed to $150, and once halving happened, people took profits and the price plunged to the $50 range.

So - if bitcoin emulates this, it will go to about $12,000 to $15,000 before halving. Afterwards people will take profits and it will settle back where it is now: about $7,500.

 
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December 13, 2019, 01:28:58 PM
 #67

Like most of bitcoiners, I'm also expecting a new ATH to be set after halving. It's the most awaited event and no one wants to be left by rocket because of the hype effect. An opportunity to sell at high price. Some speculating $50k, $100k, and even million. For me $30k is the most realistic that btc could reach this coming halving. Others prediction are too high because they based it in the past, the growth percentage from previous ATH. Some are just made by their mischievous thinking.
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December 13, 2019, 05:21:26 PM
 #68

any prediction is not a problem. but this is the crypto world. anything can happen. I personally still believe bitcoin will have a value of more than $ 10,000 after halving occurs. yeah, they think like that. because for the past 10 years bitcoin has no important function other than just for trading and transactions. so the more difficult bitcoin is mined, it can make the miners not continue. This is in my opinion about the statement you wrote.

I think what will happen will be more like what happened during the Litecoin halving in August.

Prior to halving the price climbed to $150, and once halving happened, people took profits and the price plunged to the $50 range.

So - if bitcoin emulates this, it will go to about $12,000 to $15,000 before halving. Afterwards people will take profits and it will settle back where it is now: about $7,500.

that is few things people to prepare waiting bitcoin halving many people are excited with  halving event because when bitcoin halving also brings the good impact for altcoins, its make altcoin increase price so trader get more profit from these event
but there is no one know surely of when bitcoin halving, people just prediction between 2020 or 2021..honestly i dont know when bitcoin halving but im thinking maybe last end of 2020 or half of 2021

 
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December 14, 2019, 11:28:55 AM
 #69

any prediction is not a problem. but this is the crypto world. anything can happen. I personally still believe bitcoin will have a value of more than $ 10,000 after halving occurs. yeah, they think like that. because for the past 10 years bitcoin has no important function other than just for trading and transactions. so the more difficult bitcoin is mined, it can make the miners not continue. This is in my opinion about the statement you wrote.

I think what will happen will be more like what happened during the Litecoin halving in August.

Prior to halving the price climbed to $150, and once halving happened, people took profits and the price plunged to the $50 range.

So - if bitcoin emulates this, it will go to about $12,000 to $15,000 before halving. Afterwards people will take profits and it will settle back where it is now: about $7,500.

that is few things people to prepare waiting bitcoin halving many people are excited with  halving event because when bitcoin halving also brings the good impact for altcoins, its make altcoin increase price so trader get more profit from these event
but there is no one know surely of when bitcoin halving, people just prediction between 2020 or 2021..honestly i dont know when bitcoin halving but im thinking maybe last end of 2020 or half of 2021
Halving can make bitcoin have higher price with many prediction always when halving time each for years bitcoin raised to higher price, last halving time is 2017 where bitcoin growing above $16K and give much profit for all investor, I think for second bitcoin halving give positive effect where bitcoin and altcoin keep raise with higher price.

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December 14, 2019, 11:37:43 AM
 #70

Halving can make bitcoin have higher price with many prediction always when halving time each for years bitcoin raised to higher price, last halving time is 2017 where bitcoin growing above $16K and give much profit for all investor, I think for second bitcoin halving give positive effect where bitcoin and altcoin keep raise with higher price.

There is no coin halving in 2017 rather it was in 2016. bitcoin reached its peak after 1.5 years of coin halving in 2016
Quote
First, a reduction from 50 BTC to 25 BTC in November 2012, then the second halving shifted the pre-determined goalposts from 25 to 12.5 BTC in July 2016. Now, the anticipation of the next halving event will see the block rewards drop from 12 to 6.25 BTC in May 2020.
https://masterthecrypto.com/bitcoin-halving/
2016 coin halving passed away quietly and I am sure this will pass too. We must stay vigilant from these speculations.

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December 14, 2019, 12:41:33 PM
 #71

any prediction is not a problem. but this is the crypto world. anything can happen. I personally still believe bitcoin will have a value of more than $ 10,000 after halving occurs. yeah, they think like that. because for the past 10 years bitcoin has no important function other than just for trading and transactions. so the more difficult bitcoin is mined, it can make the miners not continue. This is in my opinion about the statement you wrote.

I think what will happen will be more like what happened during the Litecoin halving in August.

Prior to halving the price climbed to $150, and once halving happened, people took profits and the price plunged to the $50 range.

So - if bitcoin emulates this, it will go to about $12,000 to $15,000 before halving. Afterwards people will take profits and it will settle back where it is now: about $7,500.

that is few things people to prepare waiting bitcoin halving many people are excited with  halving event because when bitcoin halving also brings the good impact for altcoins, its make altcoin increase price so trader get more profit from these event
but there is no one know surely of when bitcoin halving, people just prediction between 2020 or 2021..honestly i dont know when bitcoin halving but im thinking maybe last end of 2020 or half of 2021
Halving can make bitcoin have higher price with many prediction always when halving time each for years bitcoin raised to higher price, last halving time is 2017 where bitcoin growing above $16K and give much profit for all investor, I think for second bitcoin halving give positive effect where bitcoin and altcoin keep raise with higher price.

I am still waiting when would that halving starts to create more new rising price, but as the expectations grows stronger I don't see any progress for the main time. That's true we experienced successful price increase last 2017, but it was totally different now in 2019 because the market never responded the way we like it to. Hopefully with second halving, there's a positive movements that will initiate good outcomes.

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December 14, 2019, 01:06:39 PM
 #72

I have a new halving prediction, for anyone that might be interested. I'll warn you, it's rather boring. It's based on the idea premise that price will be the same as it is now  Roll Eyes


Well, good to know what's coming in the next 5 months, pretty boring hah  Cheesy
At least, we have to prepare some spare cash to survive through the months and the rest to buy more bitcoin.
At this point, better to watch closely to put short or long positions.
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December 14, 2019, 02:27:21 PM
 #73

I have a new halving prediction, for anyone that might be interested. I'll warn you, it's rather boring. It's based on the idea premise that price will be the same as it is now  Roll Eyes


Well, good to know what's coming in the next 5 months, pretty boring hah  Cheesy
At least, we have to prepare some spare cash to survive through the months and the rest to buy more bitcoin.
At this point, better to watch closely to put short or long positions.

I won't believe much in the result of the prediction and even the crypto price analysis knew that the probability of their prediction to happen is narrow because of the market stance (volatility in nature). Mind you, a single whale can change the price of the market as we speak not to talk about the upcoming halving market.

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December 14, 2019, 03:14:21 PM
Last edit: September 10, 2023, 02:31:29 PM by dragonvslinux
 #74

I have a new halving prediction, for anyone that might be interested. I'll warn you, it's rather boring. It's based on the idea premise that price will be the same as it is now  Roll Eyes


Well, good to know what's coming in the next 5 months, pretty boring hah  Cheesy
At least, we have to prepare some spare cash to survive through the months and the rest to buy more bitcoin.
At this point, better to watch closely to put short or long positions.

I won't believe much in the result of the prediction and even the crypto price analysis knew that the probability of their prediction to happen is narrow because of the market stance (volatility in nature). Mind you, a single whale can change the price of the market as we speak not to talk about the upcoming halving market.

You're right there's a good chance this prediction will not happen, predominantly as it's one of a few I've published recently that contradicts other "so far" accurate bearish predictions, of anywhere between a $2,500 and $6,400 low, but otherwise around $5k on average. It's definitely a prediction that would contradict most of my other analysis, hence publishing it.

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December 14, 2019, 05:27:34 PM
 #75

The halving at the time it happens will be close to many events, launching of many stablecoins, possible wars between them, all in turn there are many probabilities that Bitcoin rises, in addition to people's emotions, perhaps the Halving effect does not It looks immediate, it may take 1 or 2 months, even if adoption is helping a lot.

I follow [urlhttps://twitter.com/100trillionUSD]PlanB[/url] and its prediction model closely, I see that it has been very successful, I hope it continues to be met, there are many expectations regarding this.


Source: https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1109168697250377728

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December 14, 2019, 06:05:05 PM
 #76

any prediction is not a problem. but this is the crypto world. anything can happen. I personally still believe bitcoin will have a value of more than $ 10,000 after halving occurs. yeah, they think like that. because for the past 10 years bitcoin has no important function other than just for trading and transactions. so the more difficult bitcoin is mined, it can make the miners not continue. This is in my opinion about the statement you wrote.

I think what will happen will be more like what happened during the Litecoin halving in August.

Prior to halving the price climbed to $150, and once halving happened, people took profits and the price plunged to the $50 range.

So - if bitcoin emulates this, it will go to about $12,000 to $15,000 before halving. Afterwards people will take profits and it will settle back where it is now: about $7,500.

that is few things people to prepare waiting bitcoin halving many people are excited with  halving event because when bitcoin halving also brings the good impact for altcoins, its make altcoin increase price so trader get more profit from these event
but there is no one know surely of when bitcoin halving, people just prediction between 2020 or 2021..honestly i dont know when bitcoin halving but im thinking maybe last end of 2020 or half of 2021
Halving can make bitcoin have higher price with many prediction always when halving time each for years bitcoin raised to higher price, last halving time is 2017 where bitcoin growing above $16K and give much profit for all investor, I think for second bitcoin halving give positive effect where bitcoin and altcoin keep raise with higher price.

I am still waiting when would that halving starts to create more new rising price, but as the expectations grows stronger I don't see any progress for the main time. That's true we experienced successful price increase last 2017, but it was totally different now in 2019 because the market never responded the way we like it to. Hopefully with second halving, there's a positive movements that will initiate good outcomes.
alright me too, i also waiting for the halving comes. many people so excited about bitcoin halving and they are prepare to take their profit
but you wrong with waiting second halving, because bitcoin has been halving in 2013 and 2017 and the next third halving in 2020 or 2021? just waiting to see it, prepare from now and take profit from it

 
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December 15, 2019, 08:16:41 PM
 #77

I have a new halving prediction, for anyone that might be interested. I'll warn you, it's rather boring. It's based on the idea premise that price will be the same as it is now  Roll Eyes


Well, good to know what's coming in the next 5 months, pretty boring hah  Cheesy
At least, we have to prepare some spare cash to survive through the months and the rest to buy more bitcoin.
At this point, better to watch closely to put short or long positions.

I won't believe much in the result of the prediction and even the crypto price analysis knew that the probability of their prediction to happen is narrow because of the market stance (volatility in nature). Mind you, a single whale can change the price of the market as we speak not to talk about the upcoming halving market.

You're right there's a good chance this prediction will not happen, predominantly as it's one of a few I've published recently that contradicts other "so far" accurate bearish predictions, of anywhere between a $2,500 and $6,400 low, but otherwise around $5k on average. It's definitely a prediction that would contradict most of my other analysis, hence publishing it.
I'm glad that you that did the analysis understand my point of impression because the above user was so optimistic which the prediction and he might not understand the concept of the crypto market trading very adequately, so in other for him not to make mistake I have to correct him.

.
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December 15, 2019, 08:50:20 PM
 #78

I follow PlanB and its prediction model closely, I see that it has been very successful, I hope it continues to be met, there are many expectations regarding this.

The stock-to-flow model probably has some merit but it won't remain true forever. That would be impossible. Eventually the model will dictate that BTC's market capitalization be larger than the entire world economy. And with more halvings, the value is still supposed to grow exponentially larger than that. It becomes completely nonsensical.

So the question becomes: when will the stock-to-flow model fail?

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December 15, 2019, 09:14:04 PM
 #79

An insider with his ear on the tracks, whispered to me this:

The next much anticipated halving event will be a dud. There will not be a parabolic push up in price. It will steadily move sideways in the 5,000 range with low volatilty. Baffling everyone and flattening peoples interest in bitcoin. Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.

So much for making big gains from the next Bitcoin halving event. You are all shit out of luck?

I wanted to be a fly to see the face of Tom Lee and john Mcafee, they were the people who always made very optimistic price forecasts and the year is ending and all I see on the news channels is dark news like these:

Bitcoin Set to Enter Disbelief Phase Should Hodlers Prep for 2.8k

Just imagine:

at the end of next year John McAfee sitting in his boat and then opens his laptop, enters the coinmarketcap and look at the price of bitcoin:

1 BTC = $2800. hahaha

the guy will have a nervous breakdown

while John McAfee is having a nervous breakdown because he saw him priced at $2800... at the same time Tom Lee will be getting a lot of calls from his customers complaining that they lost a lot of money. hahahaha

Jokes aside, of course I find it impossible for the price to fall to $2800. But the bottom line is that it may be possible that it will take many years after half to see high prices

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..PLAY NOW..
Capt00
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December 15, 2019, 10:56:02 PM
 #80

An insider with his ear on the tracks, whispered to me this:

The next much anticipated halving event will be a dud. There will not be a parabolic push up in price. It will steadily move sideways in the 5,000 range with low volatilty. Baffling everyone and flattening peoples interest in bitcoin. Meanwhile people will start buying and trading alts again and stablecoins will see a significant rise in popularity especially with big corporations.

So much for making big gains from the next Bitcoin halving event. You are all shit out of luck?
Even though it was a depressing market show but people are still hoping that it won't be like that and they will see the rise of market price after halving.
If altcoins will move on that time, it for sure that investors may start to look and invest altcoins but somehow it is gonna be a tough decision and a risk move cause we know altcoins low performance nowadays.
And I am hoping I could have a luck next year.
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