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Author Topic: Is there formula for bitcoin price ?  (Read 1432 times)
Wysi
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December 26, 2019, 05:55:24 PM
 #21

There will be no proper formula for bitcoin price as it depends on various factors and there will always be some new events or factor affecting the price of bitcoin negatively or positively. All we could do is just keep a track of market trend and act accordingly because we cannot gauge or define Bitcoin's fluctuation with any simply formulas.
cotton ball
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December 26, 2019, 06:09:15 PM
 #22

What your model and technical use? do you think is way how to start trading in bitcoin and altcoin? how to understand with your technical and method you discuss on your topic. I think like nonsense what have did you write, next time better you can give little explanation with your topic because almost every reader not understand what do you mean with your topic.
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December 26, 2019, 07:46:13 PM
 #23

Supply and demand so as to create a price there, is that what is meant about the formula? Whatever formula it is to trade I think it will basically be the same as buying low and selling high, but in reality it is still difficult to do when you don't know what happens behind many factors there that can affect prices more strongly than a formula you have.

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December 26, 2019, 09:06:39 PM
 #24

I think I have seen the same opinion but with a different formula and because I believe that there is no such formula that can determine the price of bitcoin accurately, I have ignored it.

Likewise, whichever formula you will be ending up with. That will not matter because it will only lead you to speculative formulas which will become good sometimes but many times, it won't.

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December 26, 2019, 09:14:44 PM
 #25

Coinmarketcap is just a basis.

Very flawed basis. It's something projects purposely exploit by printing as many tokens as possible, but only have a small chunk of it in actual circulation. The small chunk will obviously make the whole market cap look big while in reality it's just based on the small chunk of coins that are circulating.

Forks get an easy ride too because at the moment of forking, they have the exact number of coins as total supply, just way less in circulation in the initial phase, which we have seen pump the market cap of BCash to crazy high numbers.

It takes time for people to convince themselves to import their private keys into a new (most likely untested) wallet, and in most cases there is no replay protection right off the bat, which only further prevents people from dumping early on. Market caps are the Chuck Norris in crypto. Can't take them serious.
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December 27, 2019, 04:24:41 PM
 #26

No there is no such formula. In fact technical charts and other analytics also don’t work for bitcoin. There is only one rule which is followed by most of users that buy when you think price is taking dip and sell when you think you have good enough profit. Never do the greed.
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December 27, 2019, 05:42:18 PM
 #27

I am wondering analysis of bitcoin price/value.
I see some simplified econmics model in Princeton course about bitcoin.
That is Supply = T/P
           Demand = S/D
For price P = TD/S.

Although it is simplied model, while it provides basic thinking about it.

My question is is there other popular model/formula about it ?

That's it basically.  It's a pretty much open market so it's the supply/demand model that dictates the price.  Manipulation is still present but the price still follows if there are more buys than sells than the price will go higher and the inverse if there are more sellers than buyers.  No need to complicate it
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December 27, 2019, 05:56:32 PM
 #28

It doesn't really mean that those formula about supply and demand will all work with Bitcoin. Maybe there is but we haven't just discovered it yet. 'Cause if there's actually an accurate formula for bitcoin's price, then everyone should've know the exact price it could reach. Then some professional wouldn't make predictions about bitcoin price.
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December 27, 2019, 05:58:04 PM
 #29

No there is no such formula. In fact technical charts and other analytics also don’t work for bitcoin. There is only one rule which is followed by most of users that buy when you think price is taking dip and sell when you think you have good enough profit. Never do the greed.

My experience tells me that's you are actually right lol.
I didn't see any formulas or chart theories that could work in 70% of times at least.
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December 27, 2019, 06:30:45 PM
 #30

Lol, there is no fomular to calculating the price of bitcoin. The price is determined by the reactions on the crypto market, news, further developments in the cryptospace. The price of bitcoin is very volatile and i don't think we can have any fomular that can accurately be used in calculating the price of bitcoin. Stay on CMC https://coinmarketcap.com and you will always be informed when the price changes.
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December 28, 2019, 01:42:35 AM
 #31

Lol, there is no fomular to calculating the price of bitcoin. The price is determined by the reactions on the crypto market, news, further developments in the cryptospace. The price of bitcoin is very volatile and i don't think we can have any fomular that can accurately be used in calculating the price of bitcoin. Stay on CMC https://coinmarketcap.com and you will always be informed when the price changes.
prices change at any time, depending on demand and supply, I think it is more practical to look at coin.marketcap, we can immediately find out the price right away. but indeed if for knowledge there is no problem how to find the price. but I still choose to use practical methods

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December 28, 2019, 06:11:06 AM
 #32


My question is is there other popular model/formula about it ?

There are some factors that influenced Bitcoin price:
  • Supply and demand
  • Number of Exchange
  • Government regulation
  • External news

I'm not sure how to calculate the price of Bitcoin, but there is definitely a formula. If there's no formula, how does the exchange calculate Bitcoin price? It's impossible to just shoot numbers.
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December 28, 2019, 08:15:07 AM
 #33

I haven't really bothered looking into it, nor do I intend to. I just watch the price. What we just need to know is that demand plays a large part and that we are getting less and less new coins into circulation. Of course there'll be some manipulation from big players but it'll still have to take into account creating demand to drive up spikes, etc.
Karmakid
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December 28, 2019, 10:03:57 AM
 #34

The formula for the bitcoin price is simply law of supply and demand. It is a basic topic of economics. The more the people that buy something then the more its price will go higher. Bitcoin's price has jumped up a lot from its price of 2009 up until now, it proves that the demand for bitcoin is really high and if we want to see even higher prices then we should attract more and more people to invest into bitcoin.
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December 28, 2019, 11:05:46 AM
 #35

There are simply too many macro variables including sentiment that is simply unfeasible to predict all the time to have a model that can accurately say what price BTC is or should be at at any given time.

There have been attempts at doing this with all the TA going on, but I'm yet to see one that is legit.

At the end of the day though, I think that identifying the long term trends are much more important in this regard than short term predictions.

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December 28, 2019, 03:24:14 PM
 #36

I am wondering analysis of bitcoin price/value.
I see some simplified econmics model in Princeton course about bitcoin.
That is Supply = T/P
           Demand = S/D
For price P = TD/S.

Although it is simplied model, while it provides basic thinking about it.

My question is is there other popular model/formula about it ?

I'm not good on formula, but so far after ten years there is no relevant formula we can use, all I know is the price still depends so much on the hype and FUDS around us, if there are exact formula about the price of Bitcoin, then there is no more speculation, I guess another factor is the limitness of supply and all of it's features.
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December 28, 2019, 08:36:43 PM
 #37

If there was a formula to calculate Bitcoin price I guess everyone would be rich by now. But Bitcoin price doesn't behave according to formulas or patterns. It's defined by demand and supply, that is the main component that influence the price along with sone other side influences that can't be always determined and predicted.

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December 29, 2019, 06:11:21 AM
 #38

I am wondering analysis of bitcoin price/value.
I see some simplified econmics model in Princeton course about bitcoin.
That is Supply = T/P
           Demand = S/D
For price P = TD/S.

Although it is simplied model, while it provides basic thinking about it.

My question is is there other popular model/formula about it ?
There is no effective formula in determining the price of Bitcoin unless the law of supply of demand in which you stated above. Technically, Bitcoin's price don't follow other principle but rather the supply and demand only. Due to this case, we are implementing the technical and fundamental analysis which is subjective though it uses indicators, charts, and news for a certain market such as Bitcoin.

Absolutely, because it just for computation purposes and it has nothing to do with how much price would it be after 5 years. It has nothing to do with price, maybe just a little bit factor for the price but it is still depends on its volatility.

Market is still unpredictable even if you use some of those formulas in computing demand and its price.

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December 29, 2019, 06:58:41 AM
 #39

From the start of bitcoin the very first thing that was created was the pricing, everyone wanted to buy bitcoin and everyone wanted to sell theirs, so in the end there was a conclusion that whoever wants to sell bitcoin decided the price of it, if you are willing to sell your bitcoin only for 20 thousand dollars, then that is the price for you, if enough people believe the same thing with you then there will be less people selling under $20k and eventually price would go up, if you believe the price is 1 thousand then that will be the price.

Buyers are always around and they always buy but since it is a scarce product bitcoins price has always been decided by what the sellers are willing to sell their bitcoin for. In order to see what the price is, we have to see what sellers are willing to sell bitcoin for.

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December 29, 2019, 11:20:04 AM
 #40

There is no definite formula, it all matters in the demand and supply law. When the demand increases the price increases knowing that the supply of bitcoin is soon to be limited. There might be certain codes or laws applied in bitcoin while creating it, exact formula might be too tricky when laws also used.
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