Trofo (OP)
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January 25, 2020, 02:58:27 PM |
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Does anybody know the reason why odds for Germany to win keep rising whole day? It was 1,4 yesterday, then 1,5 this morning and now it is already 1,7. I am seeing Germany as clear favourites but these rising odds have put doubt in my mind.
In other game, I am picking Norway to win. Slovenia just looks a bit low on energy in the last few games and Norway always had quality on their side.
The rising or the dumping of the odds is always connected with the arbitrage, so it depends on how much money is olaced on each side Than, there is the "faking" of the odds, to move away players from that betting pair I understand the mechanics of odds changing. I was thinking, that there maybe was some interview where germans said that 5th place doesen't mean anything or maybe some injuries. Something that sparked people to bet against Germany and move the odds but I couldn't find anything. Anyway I ignored that that and went against the herd which is always profitable. Germany to win @1,75 should be the value and I took it.
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big_daddy
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January 26, 2020, 10:34:11 AM |
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It's THE Day European Championship - Winner Croatia @2.55 (price boosted) The other good price on the market is: Spain - Croatia Asian Handicap 0-0 Croatia (+1.5) @1.78 Good luck Cowboys!
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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Trofo (OP)
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Activity: 2660
Merit: 2705
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January 26, 2020, 12:16:02 PM |
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Asian Handicap 0-0 Croatia (+1.5) @1.78
I took that handicap since I am expecting a close game which will be decided in last minute. Therefore, this handicap should be good however it ends. That was objective thinking for my main ticket, on my other one for lower stakes I went full patriotic and placed a bet on Croatia to win and couple of our players to score over the offered margin, and couple of Spanish players to go under Can't wait for the match, I have a family lunch at 15:00 but i already informed everybody that I am leaving before 16:15 so I can watch the game at home in piece, without chatter.
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big_daddy
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January 26, 2020, 12:25:45 PM |
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I made another two “localpatriotic” tickets HT/FT - Spain/Croatia, than, Draw/Croatia Now I’m chasing a good over goal margin for the players, our players of course
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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Daniel91
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Activity: 3374
Merit: 1824
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January 26, 2020, 12:25:53 PM |
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Only a few hours before the start of the grand finale between Croatia and Spain. Croatia had a very difficult and exhausting match against Norway, while Spain had a much easier match with Slovenia. Because of this, it seems to me that the Spanish players might be more rested and that this could be an advantage for them. However, Croatian players have shown so far that they are real fighters and never give up. It seems to me that the odds are 50/50. What do you think?
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big_daddy
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January 26, 2020, 12:33:37 PM |
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I’ve watched the game against Slovenia, it wasn’t really so easy as the final result is showing Both teams are on their condition limits, but it’s the final match, and both will gove 200% to win the gold medal
I agree for the 50/50 chance, the bookies are giving a false advatage to Spain, that’s why the handicap price on Cro is the one for my single bet today
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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big_daddy
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January 26, 2020, 04:00:30 PM |
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Eyes open for sure bets on live Cheers
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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Rikafip
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Merit: 6426
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January 26, 2020, 07:20:00 PM |
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So in the end, Croatia lost against Spain 20:22. Spain won fair and square, nothing to complain here really, they were better, especially their goalkeeper Perez, even though it wouldn't be undeserved if we won either. That previous game in semifinals against Norway simply cost us too much, we don't wide selection of players like Spain had. They even managed to spare some players in their against Slovenia from playing full 60 minutes, and it showed in this final.
All in all, since we didn't even expect medal before start of this Euro ( I think that no one really knew what we can do), getting silver will be seen as success. Too bad that we didn't secure Olympic Games with this Euro silver, so we will have to play this summer tournament with France, Portugal and Egypt in order to qualify. Since this was last game for Lino Cervar, this next period will be time of change. Next coach won't have an easy job to do, to replace some players and bring new. Hopefully Strlek will play again for our national team as he was missed.
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Daniel91
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Merit: 1824
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January 27, 2020, 07:26:06 AM |
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Spain could use more players during this competition and their main players could rest more. Problem with Croatian national team is that we have 7 very good players but don't have good replacement for them. In such competitions with a lot difficult matches in very short time, it's always problem for our players, not just in this EURO but in all competitions before. In every competition in the last 10 years our main players was to tired in the last and the most important matches. Still, it's great success for Croatia.
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cryptofrka
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January 27, 2020, 08:14:01 AM |
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This was hard to take. It would have been my favorite gold medal, because it would have been won purely on heart and fight. I know it sounds like a cliche in sports nowadays, but this gold would have been a Rocky Balboa type of story. This silver feels like it too.
We were just a step too far from it, we missed Cindrić and did not get a break in the deciding moments. That goal that went in off of Šego, the post and then Šego again was the turning point in a really well played game. Then Karačić mnade a beginner's mistake and it was all over.
We had to play slow and boring because in an open game we would have lost by 5 goals, this is a great result but still hurts like hell.
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big_daddy
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January 27, 2020, 08:40:39 AM |
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i would like to thank the whole team, the silver medal, the second place is always a great achievment, but we still miss this gold medal... this time in two years, there will be another chance
(local story) Is there a way to ban the term “silver medal with golden shine” I’m simply going tilt when I hear or read this...
Only first is gold, and that’s it.
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If you don't believe it or don't get it, I don't have the time to try to convince you, sorry.
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virasog
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February 01, 2020, 10:26:14 PM |
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i would like to thank the whole team, the silver medal, the second place is always a great achievment, but we still miss this gold medal... this time in two years, there will be another chance
(local story) Is there a way to ban the term “silver medal with golden shine” I’m simply going tilt when I hear or read this...
Only first is gold, and that’s it.
Spain win the title for the second consecutive time and they surely were the better but the match score 22–20 suggest that Croatia really were close to the winning but in the end the game ended in Spain's favor.
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Trofo (OP)
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February 01, 2020, 10:55:27 PM |
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Locking the thread since competition finished some time ago.
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