Have we been entertained?

[gweedo]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

Bull run markets can occur at any time during the development of this market. It doesn't follow any rules and your claims are baseless. The bull run market started in 2017, then it took a year for the correction and now the bull run has continued. As long as the market has a lot of positive news and many investors are interested in this market, bull run will surely happen.

[jostorres]

2017 is not even 3 years ago, it was 2017 "December" which means just about a month ago so it is basically 25 months or so and not 3 years. The interval of 4 years usually talked about in the regard where price goes up, then goes down hard, then goes up slightly more than goes up again highly, so there is an interval but it is not really that common, just so far it has happened twice in 8 years so people assume it will continue to happen.

Just to give an example 2014 was high, 2015 was low, 2016 got better, 2017 was high, 2018 was low, 2019 got better, so everyone expected 2020 to be high as well with that logic, just because it has historically happened doesn't mean it will certainly happen again as well. Maybe it will happen, I am not saying it won't, but it won't happen because of the cycle, it will happen because of halving probably.

[bitbunnny]

If you are trying to find the patter, don't, there isn't any. Bull run can happen any time but very often is hard to determine if we are having real one. The more you trying to make some analysis, the more is likely that you will create some conspiracy theory like you did and find something hidden where there isn't any.

[alexsandria]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

Four years interval in terms of Bitcoin bull runs? Or are you referring to the entire cryptocurrency market bull run? Either way, you missed measuring that the last strongest bull run happened in 2017. That is only 3 years ago. And after that, Bitcoin has actually climbed from $3,000ish to $14,000 plus. That was considered a bull run for me although not as strong to break the 2017 ATH.

Agree, however the OP seems to state that at exactly four years there will be a bullrun. Which is not since bullrun could happen at anytime means randomly. I bet he want to state the halving's bullrun, instead? Or which can be considered to have 4 years interval.

Anyway, hey OP, would mind sharing us your studies? For us to discuss it further.

[bitvalak]

Since bitcoin was first launched until now it shows a bullish trend from the initial opening price of $ 1. Not only intervals of 4 years. You have to understand that they do it that way to take advantage of circumstances to buy bitcoin. What are you looking for? Yes clearly the capital gains from buying bitcoin, the concept is that simple. Because the adoption of bitcoin is still not fully utilized by the public.

[xvids]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

So are you also saying that Satoshi also arranged it?
So all of this has been planned all along?
I don't think so for me it is just a coincident because if it was planned then maybe all of the whales has been playing a huge role for it.

[coinfinger]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

Four years interval/cycle is obviously due to halving mechanism and I just wonder how masterfully Mr.Satoshi planned and implemented things to make bitcoin versatile and mainstaream capable payment processor. Yes, it is really entertaining but we cannot be sure about this cycle will repeat only for every four years.

Yes, this cycle takes four years time due to the current number of adopters and investors but in future when more people into bitcoin ecosystem, time span of this cycle will be shorten which will eventually lead to sustaining prices after decades. This is how exactly old prices are doing after existing for 1000+ years.

[Oasisman]

If you are trying to find the patter, don't, there isn't any. Bull run can happen any time but very often is hard to determine if we are having real one. The more you trying to make some analysis, the more is likely that you will create some conspiracy theory like you did and find something hidden where there isn't any.

That's what some people include on their technical analysis, looking at the historical data finding out patterns and I've heard enough of the 3 year or 4 year bull pattern. I even believed this in some point of my investment journey in cryptocurrency, but found out it's irrelevance on the latter. Not even the news and article writers in cryptocurrency gave us accurate info regarding the price movements.

[Yaunfitda]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

We're not yet entertain, we are still far from an all time high.

If the four year cycle holds true, then 2021 is the year that we are going to be entertain (again!).

So let's wait and see for the next chapter of BTC, entertain or not, we're still here, thru thick and thin, ups and down, bulls and bears. And now that this is block halvin year, everyone is really busy and getting excited and wait till the next big bull run.

[Dart18]

Really?
They are that patient to wait another four years to make another drama?
Korean or Japanese drama?  

I don't think so. You might have predicted it right but that doesn't mean it is 100 percent accurate.
Besides, where is your proof? I cannot see any link? You just blast some statements without backing it up.  

[Kyraishi]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

A lot of these news are most likely purposefully put out in order to persuade markets in a certain direction - Bakkt, ETF approvals, etc. etc. which have absolutely no real life implications but have short term implications on price on which speculators can make money off of.

But what you say has some truth to it.

A lot of short term news are simply noise with no long term implications to BTC's fundamentals, which is the driver of price in the long term.

[buwaytress]

I get where OP thinks the bull cycles are on a 4-year timer, but that's not necessarily true.  He's probably just looking at the ten year chart for bitcoin and if so then that's what it would appear to be, but I'd point out that 10 years is a very short time frame when looking at a chart of anything.  Whether that pattern repeats or not, I wouldn't bank on it happening again and again.  Bitcoin is as unpredictable an investment as it gets.

Keep telling myself this. 10 years is nothing in the scheme of things, and at most, only shows us 3 good cycles to examine. 2 is the minimum for a pattern to form and 3 is the minimum to have that pattern repeated... so we basically are working with the bare minimum of assumptions that a pattern has been established and a cycle is in repeat.

And then we also work on data that is for me not of high quality, since the early years, markets were too small, data was only provided by a few, and simply wasn't global enough. I would go as far as saying that anything pre 2015 should be regarded as very weak, near-unuseable data.

Of course, I still believe in the cycle. But I'm not betting my soul on it;)

[Capt00]

Some says it's after halving, but we need to consider the changes that happens in crypto market now. There's a lot of changes within that 4 years like banning, multiple scamming projects that affects the investors trust and different countries not accepting crypto.

I think the 4-year interval isn't very accurate at all because there's a lot that has happened and I'm sure a lot will still happen in the future even in a span of 1 year. If in case there's indeed a 4-year interval now it may be a coincidence but it is not 100% that it will be a 4-year interval all the time if it is that easy then a lot of people would be millionaires in no time.

[bitcoindusts]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

This crypto events are here to give more awareness to the people.  I do not think they are just dramas (except the CW case claiming to be Satoshi) because they contribute on what Bitcoin is today.  Aside from that adoption also raises the bar of adoption for Bitcoin and somehow help with the demand in the market. They are not only entertainment but a real life case where Bitcoin is being utilized in real life.

[smyslov]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

We'll appreciate if you can post your analysis because this is something new for me or to us, there is no specific time on the bull because the market heavily relies on the news and events and I don't think that the four year interval is even close to that unless you show us a solid proof, and I'm not entertained on the bear market drama.

[killerfrost]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

Your statement will be more convincing if you have a specific analysis of what you say. But unfortunately, you make a statement without any evidence so no one here will believe what you said. And me too, this market is unpredictable and prices can go up or down at any time. But this year Bitcoin will be halving so I think we will increase instead of decrease as you think

[target]

Well come to know this when finally all coins are mined and halving will stop which miners will just keep mining transaction fees.  Right now Prices keeps going  up almost every halving which coincidentally is every 4 years as well, you can say halving is much of a reason why price go up for the supply can't cope up with the demand.

[Bezobraznike]

On my study and analysis, I discovered that the bull runs like four years interval, and with this too,if you observe it is planning to confirm my analysis. Now, all the news about baktt advances breaking and all the likes, are they just crypto-drama or arranged news to keep us busy and entertained?

Your statement will be more convincing if you have a specific analysis of what you say. But unfortunately, you make a statement without any evidence so no one here will believe what you said. And me too, this market is unpredictable and prices can go up or down at any time. But this year Bitcoin will be halving so I think we will increase instead of decrease as you think

   He didn't share his complete analysis with us, but I understand what he wish to say. I think it's easy to notice how crypto-news
follow some up or down trends, and that is what news do, they report about current events. Higher price rise, or big drop is what
attracts people I think, drama that TIDOVEE talks about.
   Killerfrost I don't see nothing about Bitcoin price decreasing. In long-term price of Bitcoin will increase, but in the mean time
price will fluctuate just like until now.

[outatime1]

I don't think the 4 year cycle is random.  I think it is linked to the 4 year cycle of the halving like others on this forum have said before.  There is a reason for that pattern and I think we can use that to our advantage.

[asus09]

Well come to know this when finally all coins are mined and halving will stop which miners will just keep mining transaction fees.  Right now Prices keeps going  up almost every halving which coincidentally is every 4 years as well, you can say halving is much of a reason why price go up for the supply can't cope up with the demand.

Each four years have new way hope with bitcoin touch higher price and become most entertained at the future keep stable for growing up to higher price and become most popular payment digital transaction in the world, many countries want accepted bitcoin and make many people most interested with bitcoin and altcoin assets holding for long term.