Race to 40,000 DOW vs BTC

[Hydrogen]

Bitcoin is going to reach 40,000 before the Dow Jones does, according to the analyst eyeing a 200% price jump by August 2020.

Speaking to CNBC in an interview on Feb. 10, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, Tom Lee, said that although the Dow would hit 30,000 points before Bitcoin hits $30,000, 40,000 was a different story.

Lee: ‘I would not pick the Dow’
The Dow currently trades at 29,280, an all-time high, while BTC/USD is at $9,870 after hitting five-month highs of $10,150 over the weekend.

Lee summarized:

“My guess would be Dow, but if I had to say what is first to 40,000, I would... I would not pick the Dow.”

“Yes, @fundstrat just said he thought bitcoin could almost triple this year & beat the Dow to 40k,” host Kelly Evans confirmed.

$4K or $27K for BTC?
Earlier, the infamous Bitcoin bull said that due to the cryptocurrency breaking resistance provided by its 200-day moving average price, it was due to treble in just six months.

That forecast sparked contention from other traders, who told Cointelegraph that such optimism was still misplaced.

Nonetheless, after rising 40% year-to-date, Bitcoin has seen a new wave of price predictions from well-known figures hit the airwaves.

Most recently, Trading Bitcoin podcast host, Tone Vays, warned the short term could produce as low a price as $4,000. Contrasting him are the likes of fellow veteran Peter Brandt, who believes those waiting for even $6,000 have “missed the bottom.”



As Cointelegraph reported, PlanB, creator of the highly accurate stock-to-flow Bitcoin price model, shares the view that BTC/USD will remain higher — at least $8,200 before hitting a giant $100,000 by the end of 2021.

https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/bitcoin-will-beat-dow-jones-40000-tom-lee-doubles-down

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I need to read up on stock-to-flow pricing models.

There's an old thing known as thermoeconomics that I wish received greater support and coverage over keynesian or hayekian schools of thought.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermoeconomics

It attempts to compare flows of cash and pricing in terms of the laws of thermodynamics. Which on the surface appears to be a more consistent and reliable frame of reference.

That said $40,000 btc would be a somewhat mind blowing thing. $10k btc is still mind blowing to me. I remember it being at $3,000 and not believing my eyes. Who knows what the future holds.

[Lucius]

Tom Lee again? Well, this man is making new speculations every day, now he compares Dow Jones points with the price of BTC, what does that have to do with anything? I can only say that the level of nonsense that the American media sells to the public reaches the highest levels possible, especially with characters like Tom Lee.

That said $40,000 btc would be a somewhat mind blowing thing. $10k btc is still mind blowing to me. I remember it being at $3,000 and not believing my eyes. Who knows what the future holds.

Why it surprises you, Bitcoin was $20k at the end of 2017, it was $14k last year and only x4 from today price is $40k. The law of supply and demand, halving of miner rewards, an increasing adaptation worldwide create the value that BTC has today.

If in the next 10 years the price of 1 BTC is not at least $100k, this will be pretty strange to me personally. When I say at least $100k, I think at a stable price, which will be formed after several major bull runs and corrections that will follow afterwards.