Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 15, 2020, 12:18:17 PM Last edit: February 29, 2020, 06:59:05 PM by Sport X Tipster |
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 16, 2020, 02:01:17 PM Last edit: February 28, 2020, 09:59:55 AM by Sport X Tipster |
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PRO TIP FOR 16 February 2020
Scotland Premier League: Kilmarnock - Hibernian, Asian Handicap +0.25 Hibernian, Stake 6/10, odd 1.86 at Pinnacle Sports (1-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: Very balanced game this week in Scottish football. Maybe the most even game this week. Kilmarnock comes after an amazing 2-1 victory against Rangers at home last week while Hibs crushed Ross County 3-0 at home. Kilmarnock won the last 3 games and is threatning Hibernians Championship group spot. With 37 goals scored, Hibs attack is 3rd best in the league after titans Rangers and Celtic, while Kilmarnock's defence is 4th after Rangers, Celtic and Aberdeen. I don't expect a game with a lot of goals and draw seems the most likely score, but there's always a chance for Hibs to grab the victory and detach themselves. No bet under 1.75.
Good luck to followers!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 17, 2020, 01:11:57 PM Last edit: February 28, 2020, 09:59:09 AM by Sport X Tipster |
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PRO TIP FOR 17 February 2020
Romania Liga 1: Hermannstadt - Astra Giurgiu, Asian Handicap +0.25 Astra Giurgiu, Stake 6/10, odd 1.86 at Betfair (2-2 HALF WON)
PREVIEW: Having 3 points less from a Federation decision, Astra is forced to win 2 games before picking the last play off/out contenders. They are currently on 5th position with 40 points, 9 less than the leaders CFR Cluj. Astra's target has been first 2 places, but after 2 surprising defeats in the last 2 games, they're not even sure of participating in Championship group. A win tonight will make their last 2 games easier. Otherwise, they have a huge chance to lose the spot, given Viitorul is having 2 easy games.
Hermannstadt is currently on 10th position and guaranteed a play out spot, no matter what they do. They're 3 points over the last relegating team, but the important game are yet to come, because in play out all teams will start with half of their current point numbers.
Coletscu Sebastian is tonight's referee and I expect a lot of tough play and lot of cards, because where Coletescu is, a lot of cards are shown. No important missings for either team and AH +0.25 Astra seems the only logical bet here.
Good luck to followers!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 18, 2020, 10:34:08 AM Last edit: February 28, 2020, 09:58:25 AM by Sport X Tipster |
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PRO TIP FOR 18 February 2020
UEFA Champions League: Atletico Madrid - Liverpool, Asian Handicap +0.5 Atletico Madrid, Stake 4/10, odd 1.72 at SBOBET (1-0 WIN)
PREVIEW: This one is a tough call, that's why I won't risk more than 4 units on it. Indeed, Liverpool comes undefeated in the last 14 games, since they lost 5-0 at Villa in League Cup (although they played that game with second and third team). Ever since they won 13 games and draw once against Shrewsbury (but also played with second and third team). Atletico on the other hand has only 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 7 games, with only 0.57 goals on average. For Atletico Herrerra, Joao Felix, Trippier and Poveda will not play, while for Liverpool Nathaniel Clyne, Larouci and Shaqiri are injured and unavailable for this game. Against all odds, I think Atletico will not lose this game. A draw, maybe 1-1 is most likely. I don't think either team will force a lot and the qualifying team will be known at Liverpool in 2nd leg. Small stake, though!
Good luck to followers!
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swogerino
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February 18, 2020, 02:56:20 PM |
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PRO TIP FOR 18 February 2020
UEFA Champions League: Atletico Madrid - Liverpool, Asian Handicap +0.5 Atletico Madrid, Stake 4/10
PREVIEW: This one is a tough call, that's why I won't risk more than 4 units on it. Indeed, Liverpool comes undefeated in the last 14 games, since they lost 5-0 at Villa in League Cup (although they played that game with second and third team). Ever since they won 13 games and draw once against Shrewsbury (but also played with second and third team). Atletico on the other hand has only 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 7 games, with only 0.57 goals on average. For Atletico Herrerra, Joao Felix, Trippier and Poveda will not play, while for Liverpool Nathaniel Clyne, Larouci and Shaqiri are injured and unavailable for this game. Against all odds, I think Atletico will not lose this game. A draw, maybe 1-1 is most likely. I don't think either team will force a lot and the qualifying team will be known at Liverpool in 2nd leg. Small stake, though!
Good luck to followers!
I think that your tips are more on the safe side and trying to provide winning tips which is good.However I would wait and see your performance for at least one month and if I see a lot of greens it is only natural for me and probably many other gamblers here to have an interest or be part of this venture.
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Viscore
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February 18, 2020, 03:04:35 PM |
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Based on what you claimed, you are already a profitable tipster, so welcome to the forum. However, I believe that people here would not just rush to avail on your service just because you claimed to be profitable, so sharing your picks here would be a good start.
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 19, 2020, 01:40:44 PM |
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PRO TIP FOR 18 February 2020
UEFA Champions League: Atletico Madrid - Liverpool, Asian Handicap +0.5 Atletico Madrid, Stake 4/10
PREVIEW: This one is a tough call, that's why I won't risk more than 4 units on it. Indeed, Liverpool comes undefeated in the last 14 games, since they lost 5-0 at Villa in League Cup (although they played that game with second and third team). Ever since they won 13 games and draw once against Shrewsbury (but also played with second and third team). Atletico on the other hand has only 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 7 games, with only 0.57 goals on average. For Atletico Herrerra, Joao Felix, Trippier and Poveda will not play, while for Liverpool Nathaniel Clyne, Larouci and Shaqiri are injured and unavailable for this game. Against all odds, I think Atletico will not lose this game. A draw, maybe 1-1 is most likely. I don't think either team will force a lot and the qualifying team will be known at Liverpool in 2nd leg. Small stake, though!
Good luck to followers!
I think that your tips are more on the safe side and trying to provide winning tips which is good.However I would wait and see your performance for at least one month and if I see a lot of greens it is only natural for me and probably many other gamblers here to have an interest or be part of this venture. Thank you for your kind words! Indeed, we're going mostly on safe side, but sometimes, when we feel there was a bookmaker mistake (e.g. wrong odds) we're ready to speculate it. Look forward in you joining our team! It would be a pleasure for us to provide you winning tips daily!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 19, 2020, 01:47:22 PM |
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Based on what you claimed, you are already a profitable tipster, so welcome to the forum. However, I believe that people here would not just rush to avail on your service just because you claimed to be profitable, so sharing your picks here would be a good start.
Hi and thank you for your warm welcome ! It's a pleasure to be here and share some of our tips, in order to gain a nice exposure. We want to earn your trust gradually and because of that I want everything to be 100% fair and transparent. There's nothing to hide and all our tips will be posted here and verified by both Blogabet and Tipster Tube to ensure the integrity of them. If you have any questions, please don't hesitate to ask them here! Best regards, SPORT X TIPSTER
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 19, 2020, 02:00:08 PM Last edit: February 28, 2020, 09:57:54 AM by Sport X Tipster |
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PRO TIP FOR 19 February 2020
UEFA Champions League: Tottenham - RB Leipzig, Asian Handicap 0 Tottenham, Stake 10/10, odd 2.06 at SBOBET (0-1 LOST)
PREVIEW: I personally don't understand these odds at all. First of all, we're talking about Tottenham, a team that is unbeaten in all competitions for 7 games (last defeat was 1-0 at home against Liverpool), We're talking about Tottenham, a team that last year played the in Champions League final and last but not the least, we're talking about Tottenham that has Jose Mourinhno as coach. Let's not forget Tottenham won 2-0 with Manchester City in Premier League 2 weeks ago. On the other hand, we're talking about RB Leipzig, a team that's doing pretty good in Germany and recently had a 0-0 draw at Munich against Bayern, but a team that also lost twice against Eintracht Frankfurt in 5 games and wasn't able to defeat Monchengladbach at home after being led by 2-0. So there's a large difference between these 2 teams to be honest. For Tottenham Kane, Sissoko and Son will not play and I think that's why the odds are this. But let's not forget that Leipzig aslo has Adams, Kampl, Konate, Orban and Upamecano injured, so that will definitely compensate. I think Tottenham has enough great players to win this game even without Son, Kane and Sissoko and this odd is a must for a team like Tottenham.
Good luck to followers!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 21, 2020, 10:12:10 AM Last edit: February 28, 2020, 09:57:19 AM by Sport X Tipster |
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PRO TIP FOR 21 February 2020
Italy Serie B: Cosenza - Frosinone, Asian Handicap 0 Frosinone, Stake 7/10, odd 1.82 at SBOBET (0-2 WIN)
PREVIEW: With 40 points from 24 games, Frosinone is one of the favourites at direct promotion this season. In fact that is their target and right now they're doing pretty well. They haven't lost any of their last 6 games and last 4 games they won 1-0, Italian style. They're having a very good team and no important injuries for this game. Cosenza on the other hand is, in my point of view, a future relegated team. They lack of team quality and their play is really poor. Last week they beat Livorno 3-0, but Livorno is by far the worst team in the league, without a chance to remain in Serie B next season. Before that win, Cosenza had a 5 lost games in a row streak. At home they're not doing great either, with only 2 wins and 4 draws in 11 games. They only scored 9 goals at home and received 11, which means most likely we'll have a low scoring game. Still AH 0 Frosinone is a very good bet with a great odd, which I'll gladly take.
Good luck to followers!
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Haunebu
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February 21, 2020, 10:20:51 AM |
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Its refreshing to see a tipster discuss his tips in detail. My first impressions regarding your tips are great op. I am not concerned about your overall profit since win rate is more important though it remains to be seen if your 65% win rate is accurate or not.
I will be following this thread a bit more closely from now on and will definitely use your services if your free tips have a good track record here in this forum.
Small tip: Provide the odds in decimal format for every tip.
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tyKiwanuka
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February 21, 2020, 02:07:55 PM |
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I too think, that you are doing a pretty good job. I went through your stats from previous years and it's looking rock solid, congratulations. Tbh your way of betting reminds me very much of a paid service that I was subscribed to some 12 years ago, but I don't think you are the same guys That Tottenham bet, though lost, was a good one I think and had some value. Maybe not 10/10 value, this is CL after all, but you can't win em all. You are betting on a lot of different leagues, which is something I don't like that much, but as long as you make your profits with it, all good. Your reasonings for your bets are a bit so and so, most of that information I can gather with a quick look at the table or recent matches. But I know, that it's hard to always give super sophisticated reasoning, especially when you bet a lot with gut feeling, which I suppose you do and most ambitious betting people do to a certain extent. You said you have 4 experts. Does each of them cover some leagues or do you all cover all leagues ? Do you discuss the picks to be published or can each of you publish his picks independently (if each of you is specialized in some leagues) ?
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.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 22, 2020, 08:49:16 AM |
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Its refreshing to see a tipster discuss his tips in detail. My first impressions regarding your tips are great op. I am not concerned about your overall profit since win rate is more important though it remains to be seen if your 65% win rate is accurate or not.
I will be following this thread a bit more closely from now on and will definitely use your services if your free tips have a good track record here in this forum.
Small tip: Provide the odds in decimal format for every tip.
Thank you for your very nice words Indeed we're trying our best to prove ourselves on this forum too. Already a lot of people know us from various blogs and forums, but there's always room for improvement. Regarding your tip, indeed, I was thinking to post odds in decimal format too, but the reason why I'm not doing it is that odds can differ from bookmaker to bookmaker and while we can pick odd of let's say 1.90 at SBOBET or Pinnacle Sports, a punter who wants to follow our tips, but is from US or another country that cannot access our bookmaker, will get a lower odd of, let's say 1.8 at 5 Dimes and he will be furious. We can lose a lot of potential members this way. I think it will be best for people that follow our tips to check if they can play our tips at their local bookmakers and what odds they can get them at. Thank you for your suggestion anyway and if it's more people here that think this way, we will definitely add the odds at the bookmaker we're playing on! Have a great day!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 22, 2020, 09:04:25 AM Merited by tyKiwanuka (1) |
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I too think, that you are doing a pretty good job. I went through your stats from previous years and it's looking rock solid, congratulations. Tbh your way of betting reminds me very much of a paid service that I was subscribed to some 12 years ago, but I don't think you are the same guys That Tottenham bet, though lost, was a good one I think and had some value. Maybe not 10/10 value, this is CL after all, but you can't win em all. You are betting on a lot of different leagues, which is something I don't like that much, but as long as you make your profits with it, all good. Your reasonings for your bets are a bit so and so, most of that information I can gather with a quick look at the table or recent matches. But I know, that it's hard to always give super sophisticated reasoning, especially when you bet a lot with gut feeling, which I suppose you do and most ambitious betting people do to a certain extent. You said you have 4 experts. Does each of them cover some leagues or do you all cover all leagues ? Do you discuss the picks to be published or can each of you publish his picks independently (if each of you is specialized in some leagues) ? Hello and thank you for your nice words I'm affraid we're not the same guys, because we were formed in 2012 and even if we were betting since longer time, we got our group together only later. Let me answer your questions one by one: 1. Yes, we cover plenty of leagues, because we're not only focusing on one league, we're focusing on value tips and potential bookie mistakes. We're daily searching for best possible odds and no matter we find a game in Champions League or Iceland 3rd division, as long as it has value and it's playable at important bookmakers, we're going for it. 2. Maybe our analysis isn't that sophisticated at some point and I totally agree with it. We're focusing more on the tip and less on the explanaition, because we consider that if a tip is good enough and if that people have enough trust in you, they will play your tip, even if the analysis isn't the best. Also, for some leagues it's pretty difficult to find some news that could explain why you chose to pick that game. 3. Yes, we have a team of 4 experts from various countries, actually 5 now, because we just hired another tipster recently 4. Each expert has a couple of leagues that closely follows, followed by another group of leagues of interest and some the 3rd group of alternatives leagues, in case first 2 group of leagues are not available in that day. 5. We discuss daily via Skype/ Facebook/ What's App. We have our own group and discuss daily the best possible picks, what everybody wants to bet on and stuff like that. It's not always easy to find the best tip, when 4, sorry 5 tipsters talk about the best outcome, but we try to convince each other that our tip is the best and if we have enough arguments, we'll go for it. When we find more than 1 great tip that we consider worth publishing it, we add that tip too. As a rule, we don't add more than 3 tips per day! That's just how we work! Maybe it's not the best approach in the world, but working as a team definitely helps us brainstorming more and removes the "gut" or "feeling" factor that most tipsters have, when they want to bet on something emotionally. Should you have any other questions for us, I'm here, don't hesitate to ask me! Have a great day!
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Pmalek
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February 22, 2020, 09:06:19 AM |
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You seem to base the decisions you make on table standings. I have no problem with that as long as your predictions win. What I would like to see is which bookmakers offer that particular line and at what odds at the moment when you placed them or made the post. That would make it easier for users to find the matches asap to avoid sudden drops in the odds.
Good luck, I'll keep checking back to see how this is going!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 22, 2020, 09:10:40 AM Last edit: February 22, 2020, 02:36:17 PM by Sport X Tipster |
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PRO TIP FOR 22 February 2020
Romania Liga 1: Voluntari - Hermannstadt, Over 2 Goals, Stake 5/10, odd 1.75 at Pinnacle Sports (2-0 DRAW)
PREVIEW: Since Teja has become the new coach of Voluntari, the team started to play more offensive and got 3 victories in the last 5 games. In fact they were only defeated by CFR Cluj and FCSB, top teams. It's good to note that Voluntari has most over 2.5 goals in Liga 1 (with 18 out of 25 games) and Hermannstadt is on 6th place (with 14 out of 25 games). Both teams will meet again in play out a couple of weeks from today and today's game is not very important, because in play out, teams will start with half their number of points. So far there has been 7 games between these 2 teams and everytime the host didn't lose. 5 out of the 7 games had at least 2 goals in it, which makes me believe the current form of both teams is a trigger for a feast of goals today. I pick the safe side with Over 2 goals and I suggest you to do the same.
Good luck to followers!
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tyKiwanuka
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February 22, 2020, 09:15:45 AM |
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Thank you for that detailed answer Maybe it's not the best approach in the world, (...)
It's not necessary to be perfect in every area or have it all figured out to be successful. And being comfortable with what you do and how you do it, is maybe more important than seeking perfection with something you are not comfortable with. Regarding your tip, indeed, I was thinking to post odds in decimal format too, but the reason why I'm not doing it is that odds can differ from bookmaker to bookmaker and while we can pick odd of let's say 1.90 at SBOBET or Pinnacle Sports, a punter who wants to follow our tips, but is from US or another country that cannot access our bookmaker, will get a lower odd of, let's say 1.8 at 5 Dimes and he will be furious. We can lose a lot of potential members this way. I think it will be best for people that follow our tips to check if they can play our tips at their local bookmakers and what odds they can get them at. Not a good advice or modus operandi. If you play 1.90 on average and your customers (are only able to) play 1.80 on average, they might sit at a loss, while you are still playing profitable. The odds, and always getting the best ones, are crucial longterm - makes a huge difference. So when you recommend a 1.90, something like 1.87 should be the minimum to follow the bet. But the ultimate goal should be to get the exact same odds. You are operating with a yield like 5-10% (I think) and getting f.e. 5% worse odds on average makes your customers play with a yield of 0-5% only. And 1.90 to 1.80 is already more than 5%
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.....wie die Zeit fliegt.....
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 22, 2020, 09:17:04 AM |
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You seem to base the decisions you make on table standings. I have no problem with that as long as your predictions win. What I would like to see is which bookmakers offer that particular line and at what odds at the moment when you placed them or made the post. That would make it easier for users to find the matches asap to avoid sudden drops in the odds.
Good luck, I'll keep checking back to see how this is going!
Hello and thank you from your message. I understand your point of view and you're correct. We'll start from now on to add odds from the bookkmakers we pick to bet the tip on. Thank you for your nice words and hopefully you will enjoy our tips Have a great day!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 22, 2020, 09:32:09 AM Last edit: February 22, 2020, 09:45:32 AM by Sport X Tipster |
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Not a good advice or modus operandi. If you play 1.90 on average and your customers (are only able to) play 1.80 on average, they might sit at a loss, while you are still playing profitable. The odds, and always getting the best ones, are crucial longterm - makes a huge difference. So when you recommend a 1.90, something like 1.87 should be the minimum to follow the bet. But the ultimate goal should be to get the exact same odds. You are operating with a yield like 5-10% (I think) and getting f.e. 5% worse odds on average makes your customers play with a yield of 0-5% only. And 1.90 to 1.80 is already more than 5% Yes, I totally understand your point of view and you're right. That's why we always place our tips, based on the odds of the best bookmakers on the market and with highest liquidity. We could have picked smaller bookmakers or illiquid ones, but we understand that: 1. Punters cannot play high stakes, because they will get limited fast and even blocked 2. Bookmakers may block the game before other players can bet on it 3. Bookmakers can decrease the odds and the maximum stake allowed. If you look at the stats from Blogabet/Tipster Tube, we will only place our tips at high stake bookmakers not because they have the biggest odds, but because they won't drop the odds that fast in case large bets are placed on events. You will never see a tip from us at for example: 1xbet, bet365 or other low limit bookmaker, because we know is not profitable either for us nor our clients. You pointed out very well regarding the odds decrease, totally agree! The only problem arises for punters that cannot place our tips at high stake bookmakers, because if it's impossible for punters to access them from their country, it's impossible for us to guarantee them the same ROI at a lower odd. For example we have this problem with a few clients from China. Since in China is forbidden to bet online with the exception of state owned shops, although they're following our tips closely, sometimes they can't catch the same bets or odds as we and they understand it. They're having a lower profit, but as long as it's a profit they are happy with it. Other clients would not understand that and unfortunately for them, we don't have any answers yet and I'm sure that no tipster (except for maybe local ones) has any. Thanks for bringing up this discussion! It's always great to share experiences and thoughts!
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Sport X Tipster (OP)
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February 23, 2020, 08:46:36 AM Last edit: February 24, 2020, 09:05:34 AM by Sport X Tipster |
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PRO TIP FOR 23 February 2020
Portugal Primeira Liga Ferreira - Famalicao, Asian Handicap 0 Famalicao, Stake 5/10, odd 1.90 at SBOBET (2-1 LOST)
PREVIEW: Famalicao is one of the surprises this year in Primeira Liga. Many experts suggested they will fight to avoid relegation, but they're currently fighting to play in Europa League, which would be an amazing achievement. They are currently on 5th position with 33 points, like Rio Ave and only 3 points less than Sporting who's on the 4th position. Away they're doing pretty good, gathering 15 points from 10 games and losing only to Benfica, Porto and Portimonense. They scored 14 goals and received 17 goals in 10 games, with an average of 3.1 goals per away game, second only to Aves.
Ferreira on the other hand is a disappointment this season and it's only a shadow of the team that 10 years ago, was fighting top 4 spots and was playing in Europa League. They're currently on 16th position, only 1 point more than Portimonense the first relegating team. They lost the last 4 games in a row. They scored only 12 goals so far and received 30, having the worst attack in the league and 3rd worst defense. At home, they only managed to earn 11 points from 11 games. They scored 7 goals and received 11, having an average of 1.6 goals at home second bottom after Setubal.
For this game Perez is unavailable for Famalicao, due to his national selection, while Konate is questionable, having a slight injury. Ferreira doesn't have any important injuries, but the situation at the team is very tense with a lot of conflicts between the players and the coach, while fans are threating the players if they relegate.
In the only 5 games ever played between these teams, Famalicao won 4 times (including 3 victories away at Ferreira), while Ferreria only won once away, last year. Due to these circumstances, I expect a very balanced game and most likely a narrow win from Famalicao. There's a visible difference between these teams and not only as standings, but also game quality and players. AH 0 Famalicao, seems the logical bet for me and the odds are very good for them.
Good luck to followers!
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