Wexnident
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February 22, 2020, 01:11:38 PM |
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Let's just hope the next bull cycle actually reaches your requirement lmao. Even if we assume a boom similar to what happened to 2017 happens, lets be honest. Back then, a lot of people were surprised, ignorant, and shocked about the event. But it immediately died down no? Price immediately crashed and the depression days immediately came to the market. What about now? Where people are expectant, where people are watching, where people are observing? I bet the moment it steps onto $20k or higher, a vast majority of those who actually traded to make a quick buck would exit the market. This prevents the market from fully growing, and it might actually just need a few more decades before reaching the price you want.
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mahilchii
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February 22, 2020, 02:29:44 PM |
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Oh god, I know crypto is unpredictable but these predictions are clearly Impossible. Look at the current market price and analyse based on that then make speculations. More and more people's are eagerly waiting for halving without any doubt but this is out of my mind.
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gweedo
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February 22, 2020, 02:58:41 PM |
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That's a crazy price for Bitcoin, we are now closer to Halving. But the price of bitcoin is still not too much volatile so predictions of prices rising to 20k-30k or even 50k will not be able to come true. This year I think prices will range from 10k $-15k $. So you should not set a target so high, it will cause you to be disappointed if the price collapsed in the near future.
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hirngespenst
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February 22, 2020, 06:58:05 PM |
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This is not just you, even a crypto kid is making a prediction about the next bitcoin price in the bull run where they have no knowledge except some hearing about the halving things. I feel caution that this FOMO will break the credibility of bull run once again like before! Guys, try to stay on the earth, please! No one knows what price exactly Bitcoin will hit, but we are predicting through the fact! When you predict 40-50-100K USD for one Bitcoin because of the halving, that makes no sense at all!
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bittraffic
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February 22, 2020, 07:13:32 PM |
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Its your selling price not ours so its up to you. I'm sure there will be a lot of people going to sell when the price of BTC touches the $20k, this is so that the people who kept holding BTC still while they bought at $20k had already got their money back. Its a long waiting game for them but they will savor the moment they got their money back. Do you think this 50K or 100K is going to take 2 bullrun cycle?
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Oasisman
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February 22, 2020, 11:14:58 PM |
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Way too unrealistic range. Didn't bother to check on your link, you should've wrote your analysis and predictions here so everyone wont bother to leave the forum just to check on your personal opinions. As we all know Bitcoin has a very volatile nature and nothing is impossible range that Bitcoin could reach. But, in a realistic approach, It's seems that the range you have presented is hard to achieve in this current marker situation, where Bitcoin is struggling to stay on the $10,000 level.
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btc_angela
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February 22, 2020, 11:25:08 PM |
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Its your selling price not ours so its up to you. I'm sure there will be a lot of people going to sell when the price of BTC touches the $20k, this is so that the people who kept holding BTC still while they bought at $20k had already got their money back. Its a long waiting game for them but they will savor the moment they got their money back. Do you think this 50K or 100K is going to take 2 bullrun cycle?
Of course it will be different for everyone of us, lots of factors to consider and you really need to be sure of everything before you sold them and be satisfied of your profits. But unrealistic goals is not good in the long run though as you might be disappointed if the price of bitcoin will not go that far. We just have to wait and see what the future will bring to all of us
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xvids
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February 23, 2020, 02:08:13 AM |
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It is nice to set up your goal but I think it is way too high. I would set up my price a much more lower, I would sell my savings when the price reach around $30-40K, I would also accumulate more while waiting for it to reach my goal.
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BlackFor3st
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February 23, 2020, 03:08:22 AM |
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After receiving messages and requests from my popular video and thread on Bitcoincointalk, "Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000" I decided to do a follow up on what price will be selling my Bitcoin during the next bull market phase and why. https://youtu.be/HxIdyjmeJscI am always open to learning and growing my understanding while at the same time want to help as many people as possible. I believe this is a valuable resource for the community. Predicting the bitcoin or the market price is not that bad especially if it will help the crypto to hype more but as a fellow crypto member in this forum. I can say that too much prediction will only give a bad effect to bitcoin and the crypto society someday. So it will be best if you will create a prediction that is near to the reality. 55k after the halving is too much especially if you have been following the market closely, I've been following the market daily so I know the capacity of the market even if there is a big hype. After the bull run the maximum that we can expect is 30k and if we can hit more than that then it's a bonus but don't expect too high as the market is very volatile, in every increase there is always a little setback of prices.
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Google+
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February 23, 2020, 04:28:28 AM |
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After receiving messages and requests from my popular video and thread on Bitcoincointalk, "Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000" I decided to do a follow up on what price will be selling my Bitcoin during the next bull market phase and why. https://youtu.be/HxIdyjmeJscI am always open to learning and growing my understanding while at the same time want to help as many people as possible. I believe this is a valuable resource for the community. I think the distance from the price that you predicted would require a very high effort because it is very difficult to be able to raise the price of bitcoin so expensive, even returning to the price of $20k requires a very high effort because it requires a lot of money. I hope the target that you predict can be glazed smoothly.
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Baofeng
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February 23, 2020, 09:12:12 AM |
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I think the reason we are having such discussions now is because of the performance of bitcoin especially in 2017 December. This is brought many interest into it.
However, as for the speculated price after halving, I do think is not too unrealistic if we go with what happened in 2017 which I don't think was because of halving. So now that we are going to have halving, the $55k or $33k price isn't too much to reach. For example, in 2017 at least we had close to 200% increase from the time price was $1k.
Oh for sure, I mean when I properly looked at discussions in 2016, this was after the halving as Baofeng points out, and still a lot of issues grappling with post Mt Gox era, and years for dwindling nothingness, people thought the >1k price simply wasn't coming ever again. It's not all the same now, and 2017 boom people also probably forget was a convergence of so many factors including the splitting away of BCH, the threats of the mining cartels, all that "civil war" drama -- which people predicted would tear Bitcoin apart. Maybe we need another crisis to emerge intact from? I also forgot to mentioned, the ETF application (and subsequent denial of SEC) of the Wiklevoss bros, that put the price < $1k again in early 2017. And then Japan entering the picture, followed by Australia. So it's hard to duplicate those 'factors' in 2017 that push the price to its bubble. 2020 is very different, investors mature, irrational buyers are now using their brain and not into that FOMO attitude, there are a lot of factors to really consider at the side.
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buwaytress
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February 23, 2020, 09:41:22 AM |
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I also forgot to mentioned, the ETF application (and subsequent denial of SEC) of the Wiklevoss bros, that put the price < $1k again in early 2017. And then Japan entering the picture, followed by Australia.
So it's hard to duplicate those 'factors' in 2017 that push the price to its bubble. 2020 is very different, investors mature, irrational buyers are now using their brain and not into that FOMO attitude, there are a lot of factors to really consider at the side.
Yup! It's never the same, is it? I do believe in cycles, but that's the overall big picture, and not necessarily correlated to any event like halving. I mean, so many more arguments I disagree with too on that side of things (halving and scarcity they're not immediately influential and nobody actually really cares). It's got to be so much more complex than simple triggers that people make it out to be. Although, I do agree investors mature, there's always new meat coming in... every halving does bring a new set of investors/speculators.
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Baofeng
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February 23, 2020, 02:22:12 PM Last edit: February 23, 2020, 11:43:20 PM by Baofeng |
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I also forgot to mentioned, the ETF application (and subsequent denial of SEC) of the Wiklevoss bros, that put the price < $1k again in early 2017. And then Japan entering the picture, followed by Australia.
So it's hard to duplicate those 'factors' in 2017 that push the price to its bubble. 2020 is very different, investors mature, irrational buyers are now using their brain and not into that FOMO attitude, there are a lot of factors to really consider at the side.
Yup! It's never the same, is it? I do believe in cycles, but that's the overall big picture, and not necessarily correlated to any event like halving. I mean, so many more arguments I disagree with too on that side of things (halving and scarcity they're not immediately influential and nobody actually really cares). It's got to be so much more complex than simple triggers that people make it out to be. Although, I do agree investors mature, there's always new meat coming in... every halving does bring a new set of investors/speculators. Agree, what you call new meat, I call them fresh blood. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) Again, it's just a question of where they should come though, I firmly believed that institutional money in already in, we might be looking at retail money though as new source for the next big bubble. Or just average joes around the globe who wanted to join to set another 360 degree turn.
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matchi2011
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February 23, 2020, 02:30:39 PM |
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It is nice to set up your goal but I think it is way too high. I would set up my price a much more lower, I would sell my savings when the price reach around $30-40K, I would also accumulate more while waiting for it to reach my goal.
With such goals and contentment you will be able to enjoy the wait, once the value already being reached then it's good for you to forget about anything. The cycle will bring huge value to your holdings, as most of the time halving really bring good market movement and selling it with your target value is achievable.
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ScamViruS
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February 23, 2020, 03:13:42 PM |
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After receiving messages and requests from my popular video and thread on Bitcoincointalk, "Bitcoin Halving Price Prediction $55,000 - $130,000" I decided to do a follow up on what price will be selling my Bitcoin during the next bull market phase and why. https://youtu.be/HxIdyjmeJscI am always open to learning and growing my understanding while at the same time want to help as many people as possible. I believe this is a valuable resource for the community. Everyone can give their analysis when they want. But we have to think realistically. Random people can predict random price. The price is very high. It will definitely take time to get to this price. Many will probably sell their bitcoin before going to that price. Because you can't sell ar the at top. None of us really don’t know what the top price will be.
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mahilchii
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February 23, 2020, 05:58:14 PM |
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This. Start of 2017 the price is ~$1k, then it goes to $2k then $3k, then people scream that the top will be $5k. I still vividly remember those discussions back then. But look at what happened at the end of the 2017. So in my case, I won't tell my price I'm going to sell because we really don't know what will be the top again. Maybe it can go to a parabolic rise again up to $50k, but we will never know until we crossed that bridge.
Of course we love predictions but I guess we also need to be realistic as well.
Yeah, with you on this. The levels of discussion we see today on forums on social media, we couldn't find them om those days. Not easily, and certainly not as frequently. But they were just as rabid and just as convinced... and yet most of them -- like me and like you -- had to be pragmatic about things. We all love a parabolic rise, but we can't afford to put all our hopes on one, got mouths to feed and rent to pay! I think the reason we are having such discussions now is because of the performance of bitcoin especially in 2017 December. This is brought many interest into it. However, as for the speculated price after halving, I do think is not too unrealistic if we go with what happened in 2017 which I don't think was because of halving. So now that we are going to have halving, the $55k or $33k price isn't too much to reach. For example, in 2017 at least we had close to 200% increase from the time price was $1k. Exactly, 2017 was unforgottable for everyone as the entire world was shocked with the massive price of BTC. Like you said this year was the one where most of the people showed interest therafter. Also there are lot of speculations coming around from the so called analysts but few are unique and most of the speculations are unbelievable, my predict is 15k after halving ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif)
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carlfebz2
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February 23, 2020, 06:50:11 PM |
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This. Start of 2017 the price is ~$1k, then it goes to $2k then $3k, then people scream that the top will be $5k. I still vividly remember those discussions back then. But look at what happened at the end of the 2017. So in my case, I won't tell my price I'm going to sell because we really don't know what will be the top again. Maybe it can go to a parabolic rise again up to $50k, but we will never know until we crossed that bridge.
Of course we love predictions but I guess we also need to be realistic as well.
Yeah, with you on this. The levels of discussion we see today on forums on social media, we couldn't find them om those days. Not easily, and certainly not as frequently. But they were just as rabid and just as convinced... and yet most of them -- like me and like you -- had to be pragmatic about things. We all love a parabolic rise, but we can't afford to put all our hopes on one, got mouths to feed and rent to pay! I think the reason we are having such discussions now is because of the performance of bitcoin especially in 2017 December. This is brought many interest into it. However, as for the speculated price after halving, I do think is not too unrealistic if we go with what happened in 2017 which I don't think was because of halving. So now that we are going to have halving, the $55k or $33k price isn't too much to reach. For example, in 2017 at least we had close to 200% increase from the time price was $1k. Exactly, 2017 was unforgottable for everyone as the entire world was shocked with the massive price of BTC. Like you said this year was the one where most of the people showed interest therafter. Also there are lot of speculations coming around from the so called analysts but few are unique and most of the speculations are unbelievable, my predict is 15k after halving ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) No one would ever forget that 2017 bull run specially to those who have been into this market for long time and also for those who did just recently jumped in because on the price that they have seen. I dont believe into those so-called analyst or experts out there and same as you said i dont even see the reason why would the heck that someone believe on 1M/btc price prediction or even on hundreds of thousands is already unrealistic. Reaching previous ATH is somewhat realistic compared to others.hehe
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Lecam
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February 24, 2020, 10:49:45 AM |
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I still can't believe people who think that bitcoin goes up like that all the time and could potentially go up like that all because "it previously happened". That is really sad, these are people who understand about trading and they are well versed in many things but they are forgetting such small details that change the whole market so big and they make wrong calculations all because of that.
The problem of your calculation is the fact that the amount of money coming into bitcoin every time there is a halving changes and also the amount required to go up changes as well. It requires more money to go from $10k to $20k then it required to go from zero to $10k, let alone something like $150k+ price point.
So, you are free to think halving will make things go up year after (I do agree with that part) but $150k+ can't happen, this time it is not like the previous easy ones because price is already high.
Yes true 150k$ is can't be happen it's very high and its not easy bitcoin goes up like that. Bitcoin maybe will grow 20k$-30k$ it is possible but that 150k$ its been so high that price. Many speculation prices right now but that price is been so so high.
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kotajikikox
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February 24, 2020, 11:02:26 AM |
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obvious that you only want others to click and gain traffic on your channel,why not just Give us the details here ? and besides in here?never expect things will come your way just like that because we have been seeing failure from time to time because of this huge expectation. stop looking for those instead just be contented with what market can Gives us as profit.
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criza
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February 24, 2020, 11:32:47 AM |
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What about now? Where people are expectant, where people are watching, where people are observing? I bet the moment it steps onto $20k or higher, a vast majority of those who actually traded to make a quick buck would exit the market. This prevents the market from fully growing, and it might actually just need a few more decades before reaching the price you want.
I disagree, I see the opposite side as to where the people where expecting for the price to set a new record for an all time high price so they would be more likely holding Bitcoin more than the $20,000 value. A lot of people would think that, as the bullish price indicates a massive increase in the value of Bitcoin, they would not abandon it easily for their hopes to increase their income even more and surpass ultimately their expected income from the start.
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