Thus, again my fear is that WHEN IMHO, the stock market actually does dump out at 50% of the
2020 high of around 2/14/20...Bitcoin will follow. Not because that BTC is not a good value long term, but because people will crack at a 50% drop in the stock market
and the frigging country is going shut down dead for 3-4 months! People may WANT to buy cheap stocks and cheap BTC/Crypto but real-life issues like keeping and paying for
Grandma in the Nursing home will take priority. Thus, if it is so bad that the major Whale HODL'ers also start to bail out at that point. We are screwed.
I'd like to buy more BTC at these prices long term but I am dead broke with real-life issues likely for the next 3 months as well! A friend said the good thing is the rental property will be 50% cheaper and he could buy one each. Until I pointed out NO RENTERS the university is likely closed till FALL and who knows about enrollment
than would be enough to even find renters at that point and he likely will be laid off in less than a month! Tossing BTC/Crypto if it becomes a long term
speculative investment into rental properties on my part, also long term, if that becomes the case for both, well, I like my odds with BTC/Crypto better, so I'm not gonna do it.
So hopefully, and I mean, I really, really, hope....that BTC only also goes down to 1/2 value more or less....say $5k when sh*t hits the fan. These next 2 months or
so with halving are gonna determine if BTC/Crypto is a store of value, unlike stocks, once the bottom price of both is hit? Or that BTC/Crypto is just a nice normal long term speculative investment you can dump quickly in bad economic times to fill your emergency/catastrophic fund 24/7. Thus as a 'speculative asset' it indeed may
come back when the stock market hits ATH again, in what 7-12 years maybe?
The next 2 months will tell. I'd settle for a nice sideways uncoupled from stock market
panic approaching, IMHO, at whatever price! Also that the Whales have drunk enough kool-aid to not 'crack' under pressure to dump on top of the above, that would be 'catastrophic'! Damn, 'Black Swan Events' on top of the Halving!
No idea myself wtf is gonna happen...but IMHO it will happen in next 2 months. I'm HODL'ing!
I just hope others are as stubborn and will accept a worse case, long term recovery to boot a
Brad
edit: well this sure did not help much
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/29/president-trump-extends-national-social-distancing-guidelines-through-april-30.htmlThe stock market is gonna lose their ever-loving mind on Monday and dump I fear. Would be nice if BTC decoupled from such.